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Questions tagged [interest-rates]

An interest rate is the rate at which interest is paid by a borrower (debtor) for the use of money that they borrow from a lender (creditor).

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Interest Rate Model Validation

I am a FX trader intending to switch to market risk and was just curious to know from practical experience of people out here that what exactly is the role of an interest rate model validator and what ...
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Basic Question on rate hikes priced in through Eurodollar futures (EDF)

(Say) The Mar19 Future price is 94.52(5.48%) and the Dec 19 Future price 94.27(5.74%), does this imply that markets expect a ~25bps hike specifically between the time period when the two contracts end ...
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Vasicek 2 factors model calibration

I am working on to calibrate two factors Vasicek interest rate model. Can I start by asking a really stupid question? For the stochastic model $dr_t=\kappa(\mu−r_t)dt+\sigma dWP(t)$ with the real ...
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88 views

Derive a mathematical equation for Eurodollar future rate

If we suppose that r(t) follows a Vasicek model, which is: $$dr(t) = (\mu - \kappa r(t))dt + \sqrt\sigma dW(t)$$ How to derive an expression for Eurodollar future rate?
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54 views

Convexity adjustment--Assume sport and futures rates move together?

A cash flow argument I typically see for why a convexity adjustment is necessary is the following (taken loosely from Hull 9/e, p. 143): Say I am short an interest rate futures contract (e.g. ...
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Time series modelling of interest rates

I am currently modelling some interest rates using standard time series methods and was wondering whether one usually takes the log differences of interest rates as one does in equity modelling. My ...
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86 views

Zero Coupon Bond prices in One Factor Hull White model

I implemented the one factor Hull White model for educational purposes and I calibrated the model from a given (made up!) yield curve: The Zero Coupon Bond Prices from this yield curve are: Taking ...
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2answers
67 views

how to trade interest rates outside G10

G10 currencies markets have active FRA markets and apart from NOK, SEK and NZD one can also speculate on interest rates through exchange-traded futures. What's the best liquid way to speculate on ...
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56 views

Ho & Lee yield curve fitting with zero coupon bond market prices

The Ho & Lee model for interest rates is given by the SDE: $$ \mathrm d r = \eta(t) \mathrm d t + c\,\mathrm d X $$ The calibration function for $\eta(t)$ is given by $$ \eta^*(t)=c^2(t-t^*)-\...
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Arbitrage possible with negative rate of interest?

Given a security having price $1$ at time $t=0$, and price $1+r$ in all world states at $t=T$, i.e., a risk-free bond with interest rate $r$. At $t=0$, short this and also buy an other risk-free bond. ...
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1answer
69 views

Construct a butterfly interest rate portfolio to eliminate PCA exposures

I have data from 2012 to 2016 for interest rates whose term range from 2 month to 30 years, a total of 10 Principal components can be calculated. Then I want to construct a portfolio, $$WFLY = w_1 *5Y ...
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Black and Normal Model for Caplet using Python

I am able to Price Caplet using Black 76 model in Python. However, I am unable to price the same with Normal Model. Can anyone suggest what is missing ? I am valuing caplet that caps interest rate on ...
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Derivation of CIR interest rate model [duplicate]

I am trying to understand the derivation of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross interest rate model. This has a stochastic differential equation of the form $$dr=(\eta-\gamma r)dt + \sqrt{\alpha r} \space dX$$ ...
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1answer
108 views

Why are interest rate swaps the most popular interest rate derivatives [closed]

Interest rate swaps are the most popular interest rate derivatives. Is there a reason why they are more popular than other interest rate derivatives (e.g. forwards, futures)? Is it because they were ...
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3answers
248 views

Why 10-year versus 2-year spread?

I occasionally see the 10y-2y spread referenced as a recession predictor. See, e.g., https://seekingalpha.com/article/4201787-current-slope-yield-curve-tell-us Why 10y minus 2y? Specifically, why use ...
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Duration of a FRN in continuous time interest rate model

This question was inspired by my attempt to understand the duration of a floating rate note, or FRN for short. Several answers, like this, say the duration of a FRN is just time to next coupon payment....
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1answer
76 views

How are Interest Rate Swaps Quoted

Im not sure if this is the right place to ask this question or whether Personal Finance & Money would be a better place. Basically I know that initially interest rate swaps are quoted based on the ...
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Drivers of front Eurodollar front future price

I know the front Eurodollar is most closely tied to 3Mo LIBOR fix published daily, as that is what it settles to. I also know information that affects expectations of very short term rate hikes will ...
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1answer
41 views

Approximation of Forward Rates in discrete time

The forward rate from time $t$ to $T$ ($f_{t,T}$) can be approximated by: $$ f_{t,T}= \left[ \frac{(1+r_T)^T}{(1+r_t)^t} \right]^{\frac{1}{{T-t}}}-1 \sim \frac{(1+r_T)^T-(1+r_t)^t}{T-t} $$ Why is ...
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1answer
100 views

What is the value/price of a bond paying floating rate

I am going through J.C.Hull for swaps. Where he says we can value a swap using bonds. Let $B_{fl}$: value of floating rate bond, $L$ notional principal. Why is $B_{fl} = L$ just after a payment ? What ...
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1answer
183 views

Relation between OIS rate and discounting rate

This is from book Modern Derivatives Pricing and Credit Exposure Analysis page 22 In an OIS, two parties exchange a fixed coupon (paid annually for longer-dated ...
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1answer
88 views

Difference between settlement of Eurodollars and FRA

I am going through J.C. Hull's chapter on FRA and EuroDollar Futures. Taking the case of FRA. I assume $T_0$ is the time when two parties entered into a FRA to fix interest rates they get on a ...
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Bootstrap zero curve source of information

I'm trying to understand the bootstrap methodology to construct a zero curve from a par curve in detail. I'm looking for a good source of information, preferably with a detailed example, that ...
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1answer
224 views

Swap Curve and Forward Libor Rates

How does the (interest rate) swap curve incorporate forward libor expectations?
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1answer
89 views

a property of zero coupon bond in Brigo/Mercurio's “Interest Rate Models”

Let $P(t,T)$ be the the value of a contract at time $t$. This contract guarantees its holder the payment of $1$ at time $T$. consider $t<T<S$, when the interest rate is non-deterministic, do ...
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1answer
53 views

Exact definition of effective daily federal fund rates

based on https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFF I found that the effective federal fund rate reach to something like 13% in 1982. Based on my trading experience, I could earn this risk free rate ...
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1answer
125 views

Implied AUD Interest Rate from USDAUD FX Swap and USD Interest Rate

Can someone help me understand how to derive the implied interest rate or spot rate in BBG FXFA? I actually get why the Forward rate, F_Ask and F_Bid are derived using the formula in the picture. ...
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1answer
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Which interest rates (maturity length) should one use for calculating interest rate differential of AUDUSD?

An interest rate differential is a difference in interest rate between two currencies in a pair. It is not clear from the internet articles such as the one below which maturity length should be used ...
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Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
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Hull White 1F Model Calibration Volatiltiy Squeeze

Just wondering if anyone encountered a volatility squeeze during model calibration of GSR / Hull white 1F models? The calibration is an iterative process for the time dependent vol, while the mean ...
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1answer
52 views

Spreadlock derivatives

I would like to price a spreadlock forward swap and a spreadlock swaption but I don't find in the web any research article. Would you please provide me with some freely accessible papers on the web ? ...
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basic difference between interest rate models

I am reading up on interest rate models, but currently confused about difference in the two types of models: no arb models like ho-lee, vasicek etc. others like nelson siegel, pca models etc. While ...
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2answers
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“Standard” Model for Effective Fed Funds Rate

Is there a "standard" model used to model the Effective Fed Funds Rate? I know that BGM is often used for LIBOR but haven't found a similar application to the Effective Fed Funds Rate. Do ...
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1answer
66 views

Euribor 3M exact definition

According to Bloomberg, Euribor 3 months (and more precisely Euribor 3m ACT/360) is the benchmark rate in the large euro money market. It is said that "Euribor is quoted on an actual/360 day-count ...
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1answer
92 views

HJM or Short rates model?

When market practitioners do prefer HJM models to short rates models when it comes to pricing derivatives (other than swaptions and caps, let say light exotics to exotics) ? To be more specific, ...
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Do I need to displace the swap rate in a displaced LMM swaption approximation?

In the displaced LMM swaption approximation (Rebonato et al), I'm trying to understand if I need to displace both the forward rate and the swap rate when computing the swap rate covariance matrix $C_{...
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1answer
112 views

Confusion regarding the risk neutral and physical measures

I may be confused. I am looking at the risk neutral vs. physical measures. We know that knowing the short interest rate stochastic process $r$, a bond maturing at time $T$ can be considered as a ...
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2answers
223 views

Interest rates forward implied volatility models

I'm trying to find out which model to use to price a pur forward volatility product named VolBond marketed by structuring desks currently. Let me introduce the products first: Example 1: You pay 100 ...
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1answer
62 views

Why is LIBOR rate smoother than the US treasury rate?

Compare the daily rate graphs of LIBOR and US Treasury bill, the former is a lot smoother than the latter. Is there any reason for this?
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LIBOR Market Model (LMM) - references

Could you advice me where I can find the best mathematical description of LIBOR Market Model theory (except the references from the Link). Is there any book/article/pdf file/web page/notes which you ...
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1answer
145 views

Why Arent There Long Rate Models?

You have short rate models, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Short-rate_model, but there doesnt seem to be any long rate models. I find this weird as in options modelling you model the whole smile, not ...
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1answer
119 views

Hedging Ratios for Fixed Income Instruments

If you buy a corporate bond and you want to hedge the interest rate risk, how would you know how many interest rate futures/swaps to hedge the bond with? The same with an MBS security, if you want to ...
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45 views

Portfolio Analysis for Non-Linear Products

How does one apply modern portfolio theory to optimize the allocation of a portfolio of interest rate derivatives?
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1answer
113 views

Estimation of market price of risk of short interest rate under the Hull-White model

I think I am a bit confused. I intend to estimate the market price of risk the short interest rate, say, under the Hull-White model. I have the following two questions. Is it correct to state state ...
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0answers
35 views

Interest model calibration and binomial trees

Are there any good books for beginners on calibrating interest rate models and creating binomial trees based on these interest rate models and using them in pricing
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1answer
72 views

Credit Spreads and Relative Value : floating vs fixed bond

I would like to study if, in these weeks during the italian credit crisis, floating govy bonds were more resilient than fixed govy bonds. For each floating issue (CCTS) I chose the fixed issue with ...
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117 views

Zero Coupon Bond Price under Hull White Model (One Factor)

While pricing Zero coupon bond using One Factor Hull White model. how to determine this value using real world example. θ(t)=F_t (0,t)+(σ^2 (1-e^(-2at) ))/2a
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2answers
81 views

Data for daily real interest rates

In a high frequency model i would like to add daily real interest rates (preferably short-term) as a variable. However, I cannot seem to find either daily CPI data, or daily real interest rates (...
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82 views

Volatility from lognormal and shifted lognormal models

Is the volatility calibrated for lognormal and shifted lognormal models the same? How do I calibrate shifted lognormal volatility for negative interest rate currencies like JPY and CHF
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Where can I find data on US bank interest rates or 4-week T-bill rates dating back to 1970s or earlier?

Where can I find data showing 4-week T-bill rates or U.S. savings accounts' interest rates from 1960s to present, or 1970s to present?