Questions tagged [interest-rates]

An interest rate is the rate at which interest is paid by a borrower (debtor) for the use of money that they borrow from a lender (creditor).

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Implied Funding/Borrow Costs in Short-Dated ETF Option Prices

I'm struggling with some anomalous behavior in an analysis I'm running and was hoping for some advice/insights. I'm attempting to extract the implied funding/borrow costs from ETF option prices (say ...
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1answer
311 views

Quantlib-Python: use zero rates to get the originally bootstrapped curve

Let's say I am trying to build a curve using deposits, future and swaps with one of the three Quantlib methods in Python as below: ...
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2answers
481 views

Quantitative strategies in the Fixed Income space

I'm looking to learn more about systematic strategies in the the fixed income space, particularly in Rates products (anything from simple cash to inflation or vol). I've been reading a couple of ...
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2answers
189 views

Application of Itô's lemma - Forward process

How would be applied the itô's lemma in the following equation: And we know that:
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2answers
136 views

OIS, Fed Funds Rate and Working

I'm a bit confused about OIS. Is OIS the overnight interest rate or is it a swap. If OIS is the rate at which banks lend overnight, where does the swap come in? Don't they borrow at a fixed rate? ...
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3answers
3k views

Why do we discount in ois and not treasuries

OIS is the 1-day non-collateralized interbank interest rate. Such a rate is not risk-free. The market trades a very useful curve that is much closer to "risk-free": the government bond curve. So the ...
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33 views

Calculating the interest portion of a loan between two dates

The IPMT function in Excel calculates the interest portion of a loan between 2 dates. Is this a closed loop formula? Or are the payments projected and the interest summed up? I need to implement ...
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64 views

Forward rate versus 10 year constant maturity swap

In Yield Book, the cashflows are projected using the current coupon + a spread on the 10 year constant maturity swap How is this 10 year constant maturity swap different from the forward rate curve? ...
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1answer
47 views

What's the difference between the short rate model projection and the 3M forward curve?

A term structure has a forward curve So what is it that the short rate model is projecting exactly? Why is it needed? How are they different?
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9k views

How to calculate daily risk free interest rates

I'm working on an assignment in which I need to calculate excess return for six stocks plus the S&P 500. I have computed daily logarithmic returns for every stock and for the market, I now need to ...
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63 views

Why can the t-bill rate forecast stock returns?

The tbill rate is used as a predictor of the equity premium in a number of papers. Whilst there is not a general consensus about whether it is a significant predictor, it is still widely used. I ...
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1answer
289 views

Black and Normal Model for Caplet using Python

I am able to Price Caplet using Black 76 model in Python. However, I am unable to price the same with Normal Model. Can anyone suggest what is missing ? I am valuing caplet that caps interest rate on ...
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Feller Condition (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) source

For the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model $$\text{d}r_t = a(b-r_t)\text{d}t+\sigma\sqrt{r_t}\text{d}W_t$$ the condition (referred to as "Feller condition") $$2ab\geq\sigma^2$$ ensures that the solution is ...
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76 views

Concentration risk in Rates

What are some good ways to assess the concentration risk for a rates curve or by currency when volumes traded by instrument are not easily available? For ex, if for some currencies, the PV01 at ...
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1answer
469 views

What is the trickiest thing to get right in Rates Quant recently (2019)?

What are the biggest challenges for Rates Quants in 2019? Most quants have been through a lot over the past years-shifting their SABR models in JPY swaptions, fixing the FVA models for negative rates, ...
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1answer
48 views

Effective Annual Interest Rate (EAIR) in a 12-month loan [closed]

A \$980 loan is paid over 12 months in 12 equal payments of $90 each. What is the loan's EAIR? 980/12=81.666…. (monthly principal payment) 90-81.6666….=8.3333….. (monthly interest payment) ...
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A Soft Problem: Application of Stochastic Differential Equations in Hilbert Space Beyond HJM Interest Rate Model

I am reading books on stochastic differential equations (SDE) in Hilbert spaces. It seems that every book just discusses HJM interest rate model as an application when discussing financial ...
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2answers
60 views

Cash vs Deposit Rates

When constructing a yield curve for derivatives purposes, what is the difference between cash and deposits rates?
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1answer
248 views

How to calculate one-year forward one-year rate? [closed]

I'm just a little lost on how to calculate forward rates. I know this is an easy question, but, if we are given a one-year and two-year zero rate (let's say, for the sake of the argument, 2% and 3% ...
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1answer
356 views

CMS Pricing - Convexity Adjustment by Replication [closed]

I'm trying to learn CMS pricing, but didn't get the logic of this method. Previously cited articles about this method is pretty complex. I'd be glad if you can provide me with simpler articles or ...
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85 views

Curve Building + Swap Pricing [duplicate]

Assume Swap means a USD Swap with standard conventions (semi-annual fixed payments and quarterly floating payments, etc).
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3answers
369 views

Why is it useless to model stochastic volatility when pricing Vanilla style derivatives?

With respect to the answer by user AFK in Ideas about Stochastic volatility models. I am specifically interested in interest rate options (IR Caps/Floors and Swaptions).
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1answer
149 views

Reference books for interest rates modeling?

I'm interviewing for a rates modeling quant role in a sell side bank. The role is centered around pricing and risk management of rates trading carried out by the front office. I've been told to ...
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228 views

Interview question on interest rate spread trade

Consider this interview question: Tell me how you'd construct a risk neutral cross country trade on the 2 year – 10 year interest rate spread in Germany and the U.S. What does "risk neutral" mean ...
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1answer
356 views

Shifted Log-Normal model

I am trying to understand how the shifted log-normal model works, in which we shift a log-normal model by a factor before the simulation so that interest rates don't turn negative during the ...
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1answer
95 views

Good References for Treasury Futures Spreads

I’m reading the excellent Treasury Bond Basis by Burghardt. I was wondering if there’s a similar quality book/paper about Yield curve spreads using treasury futures (i.e. NOL, NOB, FYT).
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1answer
86 views

Single vs Multi factor interest rate model

How do we explain the difference beween a single and multi factor interest rate model. Short term interest rate is one of the factor which is used in drift and vol calculation but what are other ...
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1answer
114 views

What is a central bank's shadow rate

I was reading a WSJ article about the European Central Bank shadow rate, which is -5.1% at the moment. The article says about the shadow rate that "Calculated with the rates on longer-dated credit ...
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52 views

What are the trade offs when choosing a long term bond future to trade?

It seems that when trading long term bonds *** and choosing between the two offerings on CME one is presented with a Scylla and Charybdis decision. 1. VOLATILITY CONSISTENCY: Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond ...
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4answers
394 views

Bond ETF vs Bond Future for longer term holding

How would a long term investor go about evaluating the prospect of investing in a bond ETF vs a long position in a future of equal duration? Let’s asume this investment is in a taxable account. Let’s ...
3
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0answers
166 views

Bachelier Pricing Formula for Interest Rate Binary Options

Similarly to the Black and Scholes formula, I am looking to replicate Bachelier's caplet formula with two digital options: (1) asset-or-nothing (forward rate in this case) and (2) cash-or-nothing. For ...
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2answers
5k views

How popular is the Linear Gauss Markov (LGM) model?

Some friends recommend to me Linear Gauss Markov model, saying it's interesting to have a look at it. Basically it's a framework different from HJM, with potential to extend, and the merit is that it'...
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1answer
414 views

Why Hull White 2 Factor model can't capture vol skew?

Is there a way to stay with the short rate model (like HW2F or G2++) but extend it to capture vol term structure (vol smile or skew). What happens if I calibrate HW2F to OTM swaptions? (I don't want ...
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1answer
682 views

Cap/Floor ATM Rate

This is a question on cap volatility market data. The quotes usually include volatilities for different strike (1%, 2%, ... 5%) and maturities (1Y,2Y,...20Y). One volatility for each combination of ...
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2answers
85 views

how to trade interest rates outside G10

G10 currencies markets have active FRA markets and apart from NOK, SEK and NZD one can also speculate on interest rates through exchange-traded futures. What's the best liquid way to speculate on ...
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1answer
2k views

What is the intuition behind the fact that Modified duration = Macaulay Duration / (1+r)?

I understand the derivation of both:take dP/dR and divide by P which will give you both 1) modified duration OR 2) macaulay duration / (1+r) (notice the weighted average time built into the function ...
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0answers
56 views

Basic Question on rate hikes priced in through Eurodollar futures (EDF)

(Say) The Mar19 Future price is 94.52(5.48%) and the Dec 19 Future price 94.27(5.74%), does this imply that markets expect a ~25bps hike specifically between the time period when the two contracts end ...
3
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1answer
176 views

Modeling Interest-only Mortgages

Can we infer a range of future all-in costs for I/O ARMs with current index forward curves? Essentially, just taking a worksheet like this and adding some type of ramping capability after the fixed ...
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1answer
109 views

Derive a mathematical equation for Eurodollar future rate

If we suppose that r(t) follows a Vasicek model, which is: $$dr(t) = (\mu - \kappa r(t))dt + \sqrt\sigma dW(t)$$ How to derive an expression for Eurodollar future rate?
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1answer
80 views

Convexity adjustment--Assume sport and futures rates move together?

A cash flow argument I typically see for why a convexity adjustment is necessary is the following (taken loosely from Hull 9/e, p. 143): Say I am short an interest rate futures contract (e.g. ...
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1answer
1k views

Shape and geometry of the yield curve

Let the initial yield curve $T\mapsto y(0,T)$ be given for a term structure family of bonds $B(0,T)$ having different maturities. I am trying to figure out the geometric properties of the yield curve. ...
2
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1answer
277 views

How do swap dealers make money from trading cancellable swap?

A fixed-rate payer (e.g. a swap dealer) of a cancellable swap pays more interest than he receives because he has the right to terminate the swap after a certain time if rates fall. What are the ...
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1answer
77 views

Spreadlock derivatives

I would like to price a spreadlock forward swap and a spreadlock swaption but I don't find in the web any research article. Would you please provide me with some freely accessible papers on the web ? ...
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5answers
8k views

What is a regime switch?

I've come across the term regime switch in volatilities when reading about the modelling of interest rates but could not find a definition for a regime switch and what a regime is. Can somebody give ...
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3answers
5k views

Calculate OIS rate 3 months, 1 year

I don't know if there are any similar posts in this forum but I’m trying to describe below all things that I understand about OIS rates and Libor rates. Please correct me if I’m wrong somewhere. I am ...
3
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2answers
1k views

Implementation of one-factor Hull-White short interest rate model

I am looking for implementation in R, VBA, C++, Python (or in any other programming language) of one-factor Hull-White short rate interest model according to the following article: Hull J. and White ...
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1answer
98 views

time step choice impact in Vasicek model simulations

I am trying to make some computations using Vasicek short rate model. Especially I a trying to compare exact expectation(obtained with the formula) and the expectation from Monte Carlo simulation. ...
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313 views

Zero Coupon Bond prices in One Factor Hull White model

I implemented the one factor Hull White model for educational purposes and I calibrated the model from a given (made up!) yield curve: The Zero Coupon Bond Prices from this yield curve are: Taking ...
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1answer
79 views

Ho & Lee yield curve fitting with zero coupon bond market prices

The Ho & Lee model for interest rates is given by the SDE: $$ \mathrm d r = \eta(t) \mathrm d t + c\,\mathrm d X $$ The calibration function for $\eta(t)$ is given by $$ \eta^*(t)=c^2(t-t^*)-\...
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1answer
100 views

a property of zero coupon bond in Brigo/Mercurio's “Interest Rate Models”

Let $P(t,T)$ be the the value of a contract at time $t$. This contract guarantees its holder the payment of $1$ at time $T$. consider $t<T<S$, when the interest rate is non-deterministic, do ...