Questions tagged [interest-rates]

An interest rate is the rate at which interest is paid by a borrower (debtor) for the use of money that they borrow from a lender (creditor).

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Estimating Parameters - Vasicek

The Vasicek model for the short rate $r_t$ is given by the SDE $$ dr_t = \alpha(\beta - r_t)dt + \sigma dW_t, $$ where $W_t$ is a Brownian motion under the physical measure. I'd like to compute bond ...
9
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331 views

Zero Coupon Bond prices in One Factor Hull White model

I implemented the one factor Hull White model for educational purposes and I calibrated the model from a given (made up!) yield curve: The Zero Coupon Bond Prices from this yield curve are: Taking ...
8
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2answers
197 views

Interest Rate Models cheat sheet - Need for advice

I'm trying to get through the litterature of interest rate models for some time now. As I don't have any experience working with them, I started looking for some kind of a cheat sheet that would ...
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187 views

No arbitrage conditions for normal implied volatility

usually the term implied volatility refers to Black-Scholes implied volatility (also Log-Normal volatility): it is defined as a quantity which when plugged in the Black-Scholes formula returns the ...
8
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0answers
625 views

compute time from FX forward, how use DEPO rates?

assume I have following delta-term vol data from broker: ...
6
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0answers
141 views

Feller Condition (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) source

For the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model $$\text{d}r_t = a(b-r_t)\text{d}t+\sigma\sqrt{r_t}\text{d}W_t$$ the condition (referred to as "Feller condition") $$2ab\geq\sigma^2$$ ensures that the solution is ...
5
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0answers
66 views

Implied Funding/Borrow Costs in Short-Dated ETF Option Prices

I'm struggling with some anomalous behavior in an analysis I'm running and was hoping for some advice/insights. I'm attempting to extract the implied funding/borrow costs from ETF option prices (say ...
5
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0answers
189 views

Pricing interest rate options in emerging markets

I've been thinking how to price the early payment of mortgages in banks from emerging markets, where swaptions/caps/floors aren't available, and how to hedge this kind of options. At first I thought ...
5
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0answers
128 views

Optimal mortgage rate strategy

When buying a mortgage, you can choose to "lock in" a rate at any point within 60 days of your closing date. Once locked in, you can't revert. This makes it a secretary problem - in the traditional ...
5
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1answer
110 views

What type of interpolation should be used in key rate perturbation models?

When perturbing a key rate in order to assess sensitivity of portfolio value, what sort of interpolation is standard? A book I am looking at says linear, but this seems pretty unrealistic to me--and ...
4
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53 views

What are the trade offs when choosing a long term bond future to trade?

It seems that when trading long term bonds *** and choosing between the two offerings on CME one is presented with a Scylla and Charybdis decision. 1. VOLATILITY CONSISTENCY: Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond ...
4
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2answers
863 views

Fixing mean reversion parameter in the 1F HW model

I am trying to calibrate the 1 factor Hull White model to ATM swaptions. The strategy which I use is to minimise the sum of squared difference between model and market prices for the swaptions on the ...
4
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0answers
127 views

Inflation/Rates Correlation

I've been looking into a short piece of maths a colleague has written on pricing inflation with payment delays, and was hoping someone could confirm whether my understanding is correct, or if my ...
3
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0answers
65 views

Why can the t-bill rate forecast stock returns?

The tbill rate is used as a predictor of the equity premium in a number of papers. Whilst there is not a general consensus about whether it is a significant predictor, it is still widely used. I ...
3
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0answers
181 views

Bachelier Pricing Formula for Interest Rate Binary Options

Similarly to the Black and Scholes formula, I am looking to replicate Bachelier's caplet formula with two digital options: (1) asset-or-nothing (forward rate in this case) and (2) cash-or-nothing. For ...
3
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0answers
258 views

Calibration of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process that hits zero (Feller condition violation)

I'm considering a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process $$ dx_{t} = \alpha\left(\theta - x_{t}\right)dt + \sigma \sqrt{x_{t}}\,dW_{t}\,,\qquad \alpha,\beta,\sigma > 0 $$ which by assumption has $2\...
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132 views

volatility term structure calibration

As is well known in order to calibrate an interest rate model (i.e. hull-white, LMM) i need to use the current market yield curve and volatility. But in the case I want to calibrate the model in a ...
3
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0answers
1k views

Jamshidian's trick for Swaptions

Following Brigo$^1$ p.77, we can decompose the price of a swaption as a sum of Zero-Coupon bond options (Jamshidian's Trick). To do so, the authors suggest to find $r^*$ the value of the spot rate at ...
3
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0answers
276 views

Hull White 2 factors and non Markov interest rates

I am studying the calibration of the 2 factors Hull White model on Brigo and Mercurio's book. They point out that, using cap volatilities, the value of $\rho$ is almost minus one and this means that ...
3
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306 views

Reset Date standard for ICP (Indice Camara Promedio) trade

What is the Reset Date standard for ICP (Indice Camara Promedio) trade? Trade Currencies are USD v/s CLP. Please provide the ISDA link if there are any amendments to ISDA standards.
3
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351 views

Ridiculous Bond Prices under Vasicek Model

Has anyone played with the parameters of the Vasicek model and observed the sometimes ridiculous bond prices it implies? E.g. with the right parameters, a 30-year zero is priced at $147,327. To be ...
3
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126 views

Fed Funds Rate: longer maturities

FFR published by Fed Bank of NY is the average rate US banks charge each other for the overnight loans of their reserves required by the Fed regulations. Since Fed acts similar to a clearing house ...
3
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0answers
430 views

Bond (yield curve) dynamics in the Forward-LIBOR-market-model

The standard Libor-Forward-Market-Models provides a way of modelling the evolution of forward rates in time. However the model does not seem to be well suited for the modelling of zero-bonds. But ...
3
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0answers
632 views

Reasoning for Bloomberg's short rate volatilty calculation

Bloomberg, in its documentation, explains that it calculates the short rate volatility for its Hull White implementation by multiplying the e.g. 10y IRS rate (divided by 100) by the 10y cap vol. Why? ...
3
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0answers
156 views

A doubt about Evans and Jovanovic (1989) economic model for entrepreneurs with credit constraints

[I already posted this question on the math forum of stackexchange and I was advised that I should post this question here] In Evans and Jovanovic (1989) you will find a model for entrepreneurs with ...
3
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0answers
961 views

Yield Curve Volatility

Let you have several issuers, and let each issuer have its yield curve built up with liquid plain vanilla fixed rate bonds. Each yield curve has its slope and its curvature, and they obviously change ...
3
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1answer
423 views

Questions about Markit rates curve bootstrapping

I am reading the following two Markit documents concerning the bootstrapping of respectively the USD rates curve and the EUR, GBP, JPY, CHF, CAD, HKD, SGD, AUD and NZD rates curves. (Both versions are ...
2
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77 views

Ito's lemma for special case

Assume a HJM framework with the same Brownian motion driving the dynamics for every tenor. $$ df(t,T) = \alpha(t, T)dt + \sigma(t,T) dw_t \,, $$ with $\alpha(t, T) = \sigma(t,T)\int_t^T \sigma(t,s)ds$....
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37 views

How does this transformation for Euler Scheme in mean reverting SDEs alleviate instability?

I saw this text in the book - Interest Rate Modelling by Andersen volume 1 on Page 112: I am unable to understand: How does instability arise when we use the Euler scheme on X(t)? What change does ...
2
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0answers
29 views

Discrete term structure models - generalized procedure to ensure positive probabilities across multiple measures

Question: Is there a generalized procedure for building a discrete (e.g. binomial) term structure model with risk-neutral branching probabilities that ensure positive probabilities under alternative ...
2
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0answers
31 views

A Soft Problem: Application of Stochastic Differential Equations in Hilbert Space Beyond HJM Interest Rate Model

I am reading books on stochastic differential equations (SDE) in Hilbert spaces. It seems that every book just discusses HJM interest rate model as an application when discussing financial ...
2
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0answers
63 views

Basic Question on rate hikes priced in through Eurodollar futures (EDF)

(Say) The Mar19 Future price is 94.52(5.48%) and the Dec 19 Future price 94.27(5.74%), does this imply that markets expect a ~25bps hike specifically between the time period when the two contracts end ...
2
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0answers
73 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
2
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0answers
50 views

Interest model calibration and binomial trees

Are there any good books for beginners on calibrating interest rate models and creating binomial trees based on these interest rate models and using them in pricing
2
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0answers
61 views

Bond prices at future times under Vasick one-factor model

In Vasicek one-factor model (and in other affine models), the price of a zero-coupon bond at time $t$ conditional on the information at this time is $$P(t,T) = E[e^{-\int^T_tr(u)du}|F_t] = A(t,T)e^{-...
2
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0answers
183 views

Reason for choosing the T-forward measure to calculate expected value of forward curves

Setup I read that when simulating forward curves $(r_t(s_i))_i$ at some future time $t>0$, one is supposed to center them not around $F(0;t,t+s_i)$, but around $$\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q_{t}}[r_t(s_i)]...
2
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0answers
246 views

Hull White and HJM model not Markov

In HJM model we have instaneous forward rate $f(t,T):$ $$d f(t,T) = v(t,T)v_T(t,T)d t - v_T(t,T)d W_t,$$ is ...
2
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0answers
75 views

How do traders determine when points in a yield curve are at 'fair value'?

While on my last day on an internship last summer, I heard on the morning call a UK rates trader say something along the lines of: "Most of the curve is at fair value at the moment, so nothing ...
2
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0answers
138 views

Discount rate in IRS valuation

This might be a very basic question but I didn't find the answer in the materials I saw on Google. What is the interest rate used to compute the discounted cash flows for both the fixed and variable ...
2
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0answers
302 views

Ho-Lee Model Calibration: theta becomes smaller

This question is regarding the Ho-Lee model: $$ dr_t = \theta_tdt + \sigma dW_t $$ In discrete time, we can calibrate an interest rate binomial tree by finding $\theta$ in each period to match ...
2
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0answers
116 views

Basic Interest Rate Modelling Ques

I have got a question regarding the Vasicek Model and the corresponding Bond Pricing Equation (BPE). Starting with a short-rate process (under measure $P$ or real world drift $u(r,t)$) of the form: $...
2
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0answers
851 views

Free Data Source for Credit Spreads?

Credit spreads are a key economic indicator. They are the difference between yields on corporate and government debt. They are a measure of confidence in the private sector, they provide insight into ...
2
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0answers
157 views

Implied Equity Volatility under Stochastic Interest Rate

I would like to draw some general conclusions for the effect of stochasticity of interest rate on the implied volatility of a European call of a stock. Below I show, trivially, the implied volatility ...
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0answers
651 views

Hedging with interest rate futures, different duration

This is from Hull, problem 6.16. Suppose that it is February 20 and a treasurer realizes that on July 17 the company will have to issue \$5 million of commercial paper with a maturity of 180 days. If ...
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0answers
476 views

Code for quasi-Gaussian model (Cheyette model)

I'm looking into the quasi-Gaussian model with linear local volatility as explained by Andersen and Piterbarg (Interest Rate Modeling, Volume 2). I'm trying to calibrate this model and implement it. I ...
2
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0answers
97 views

Are forward rates starting at observation date spot rates?

In part 3.2 of Lu and Neftci (2003) "Convexity Adjustments and Forward Libor Model: Case of Constant Maturity Swaps", the authors propose a new way of pricing CMS swaps, with Monte Carlo simulations. ...
2
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0answers
112 views

Interpolation of forward zeros-coupons bonds simulations for missing maturities (ESG data)

I have a set of economic scenarios simulated with Barrie and Hibbert ESG. The stochastic model for interest rates used is Libor Market Model Shifted. I am facing a problem with zeros-coupons prices. ...
2
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0answers
53 views

Can I use these rates for ACT/360 discounting?

I have calculated forward rates like this: $r_{t_1,t_2} = \left(\frac{(1+r_2)^{d_2}}{(1+r_1)^{d_1}}\right)^{\frac{1}{d_2-d_1}} - 1 $ I want to find the discount factors for these forward, with ACT/...
2
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0answers
135 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART ONE

As I understand it, the Fed has 3 tools for moving interest rates to combat inflation/unemployment: the discount rate, Fed Funds rate and open market operations. I'm trying to understand how the ...
2
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0answers
44 views

Expectation of expression with two currencies under forward measure

I'm trying to calculate the expected value, at time $0$, of a cashflow paid at time $T$, resetting at time $t$. The coupon is of the form: $V_0=\mathbb{E}^{T_2}\left[\frac{A_t^y(T_1,T_2)}{B_t^x(T_1,...