Questions tagged [interest-rates]

An interest rate is the rate at which interest is paid by a borrower (debtor) for the use of money that they borrow from a lender (creditor).

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0answers
154 views

Implied Funding/Borrow Costs in Short-Dated ETF Option Prices

I'm struggling with some anomalous behavior in an analysis I'm running and was hoping for some advice/insights. I'm attempting to extract the implied funding/borrow costs from ETF option prices (say ...
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2answers
1k views

Quantitative strategies in the Fixed Income space

I'm looking to learn more about systematic strategies in the the fixed income space, particularly in Rates products (anything from simple cash to inflation or vol). I've been reading a couple of ...
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Quantlib-Python: use zero rates to get the originally bootstrapped curve

Let's say I am trying to build a curve using deposits, future and swaps with one of the three Quantlib methods in Python as below: ...
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2answers
370 views

OIS, Fed Funds Rate and Working

I'm a bit confused about OIS. Is OIS the overnight interest rate or is it a swap. If OIS is the rate at which banks lend overnight, where does the swap come in? Don't they borrow at a fixed rate? ...
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2answers
280 views

Application of Itô's lemma - Forward process

How would be applied the itô's lemma in the following equation: And we know that:
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0answers
36 views

Calculating the interest portion of a loan between two dates

The IPMT function in Excel calculates the interest portion of a loan between 2 dates. Is this a closed loop formula? Or are the payments projected and the interest summed up? I need to implement ...
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1answer
114 views

What's the difference between the short rate model projection and the 3M forward curve?

A term structure has a forward curve So what is it that the short rate model is projecting exactly? Why is it needed? How are they different?
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67 views

Why can the t-bill rate forecast stock returns?

The tbill rate is used as a predictor of the equity premium in a number of papers. Whilst there is not a general consensus about whether it is a significant predictor, it is still widely used. I ...
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Feller Condition (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) source

For the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model $$\text{d}r_t = a(b-r_t)\text{d}t+\sigma\sqrt{r_t}\text{d}W_t$$ the condition (referred to as "Feller condition") $$2ab\geq\sigma^2$$ ensures that the solution is ...
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1answer
85 views

Concentration risk in Rates

What are some good ways to assess the concentration risk for a rates curve or by currency when volumes traded by instrument are not easily available? For ex, if for some currencies, the PV01 at ...
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1answer
72 views

Effective Annual Interest Rate (EAIR) in a 12-month loan [closed]

A \$980 loan is paid over 12 months in 12 equal payments of $90 each. What is the loan's EAIR? 980/12=81.666…. (monthly principal payment) 90-81.6666….=8.3333….. (monthly interest payment) ...
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A Soft Problem: Application of Stochastic Differential Equations in Hilbert Space Beyond HJM Interest Rate Model

I am reading books on stochastic differential equations (SDE) in Hilbert spaces. It seems that every book just discusses HJM interest rate model as an application when discussing financial ...
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69 views

Cash vs Deposit Rates

When constructing a yield curve for derivatives purposes, what is the difference between cash and deposits rates?
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1answer
897 views

How to calculate one-year forward one-year rate? [closed]

I'm just a little lost on how to calculate forward rates. I know this is an easy question, but, if we are given a one-year and two-year zero rate (let's say, for the sake of the argument, 2% and 3% ...
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1answer
851 views

CMS Pricing - Convexity Adjustment by Replication [closed]

I'm trying to learn CMS pricing, but didn't get the logic of this method. Previously cited articles about this method is pretty complex. I'd be glad if you can provide me with simpler articles or ...
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1answer
646 views

What is the trickiest thing to get right in Rates Quant recently (2019)?

What are the biggest challenges for Rates Quants in 2019? Most quants have been through a lot over the past years-shifting their SABR models in JPY swaptions, fixing the FVA models for negative rates, ...
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105 views

Curve Building + Swap Pricing [duplicate]

Assume Swap means a USD Swap with standard conventions (semi-annual fixed payments and quarterly floating payments, etc).
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388 views

Interview question on interest rate spread trade

Consider this interview question: Tell me how you'd construct a risk neutral cross country trade on the 2 year – 10 year interest rate spread in Germany and the U.S. What does "risk neutral" mean ...
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1answer
431 views

Reference books for interest rates modeling?

I'm interviewing for a rates modeling quant role in a sell side bank. The role is centered around pricing and risk management of rates trading carried out by the front office. I've been told to ...
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1answer
2k views

Shifted Log-Normal model

I am trying to understand how the shifted log-normal model works, in which we shift a log-normal model by a factor before the simulation so that interest rates don't turn negative during the ...
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1answer
235 views

Single vs Multi factor interest rate model

How do we explain the difference beween a single and multi factor interest rate model. Short term interest rate is one of the factor which is used in drift and vol calculation but what are other ...
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60 views

What are the trade offs when choosing a long term bond future to trade?

It seems that when trading long term bonds *** and choosing between the two offerings on CME one is presented with a Scylla and Charybdis decision. 1. VOLATILITY CONSISTENCY: Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond ...
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4answers
715 views

Bond ETF vs Bond Future for longer term holding

How would a long term investor go about evaluating the prospect of investing in a bond ETF vs a long position in a future of equal duration? Let’s asume this investment is in a taxable account. Let’s ...
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1answer
113 views

Good References for Treasury Futures Spreads

I’m reading the excellent Treasury Bond Basis by Burghardt. I was wondering if there’s a similar quality book/paper about Yield curve spreads using treasury futures (i.e. NOL, NOB, FYT).
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309 views

Bachelier Pricing Formula for Interest Rate Binary Options

Similarly to the Black and Scholes formula, I am looking to replicate Bachelier's caplet formula with two digital options: (1) asset-or-nothing (forward rate in this case) and (2) cash-or-nothing. For ...
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89 views

Basic Question on rate hikes priced in through Eurodollar futures (EDF)

(Say) The Mar19 Future price is 94.52(5.48%) and the Dec 19 Future price 94.27(5.74%), does this imply that markets expect a ~25bps hike specifically between the time period when the two contracts end ...
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1answer
134 views

Derive a mathematical equation for Eurodollar future rate

If we suppose that r(t) follows a Vasicek model, which is: $$dr(t) = (\mu - \kappa r(t))dt + \sqrt\sigma dW(t)$$ How to derive an expression for Eurodollar future rate?
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1answer
124 views

Convexity adjustment--Assume sport and futures rates move together?

A cash flow argument I typically see for why a convexity adjustment is necessary is the following (taken loosely from Hull 9/e, p. 143): Say I am short an interest rate futures contract (e.g. ...
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1answer
554 views

Zero Coupon Bond prices in One Factor Hull White model

I implemented the one factor Hull White model for educational purposes and I calibrated the model from a given (made up!) yield curve: The Zero Coupon Bond Prices from this yield curve are: Taking ...
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2answers
94 views

how to trade interest rates outside G10

G10 currencies markets have active FRA markets and apart from NOK, SEK and NZD one can also speculate on interest rates through exchange-traded futures. What's the best liquid way to speculate on ...
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1answer
123 views

Ho & Lee yield curve fitting with zero coupon bond market prices

The Ho & Lee model for interest rates is given by the SDE: $$ \mathrm d r = \eta(t) \mathrm d t + c\,\mathrm d X $$ The calibration function for $\eta(t)$ is given by $$ \eta^*(t)=c^2(t-t^*)-\...
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6answers
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Arbitrage possible with negative rate of interest?

Given a security having price $1$ at time $t=0$, and price $1+r$ in all world states at $t=T$, i.e., a risk-free bond with interest rate $r$. At $t=0$, short this and also buy an other risk-free bond. ...
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2answers
281 views

Construct a butterfly interest rate portfolio to eliminate PCA exposures

I have data from 2012 to 2016 for interest rates whose term range from 2 month to 30 years, a total of 10 Principal components can be calculated. Then I want to construct a portfolio, $$WFLY = w_1 *5Y ...
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2answers
700 views

Black and Normal Model for Caplet using Python

I am able to Price Caplet using Black 76 model in Python. However, I am unable to price the same with Normal Model. Can anyone suggest what is missing ? I am valuing caplet that caps interest rate on ...
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0answers
44 views

Derivation of CIR interest rate model [duplicate]

I am trying to understand the derivation of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross interest rate model. This has a stochastic differential equation of the form $$dr=(\eta-\gamma r)dt + \sqrt{\alpha r} \space dX$$ ...
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1answer
200 views

Why are interest rate swaps the most popular interest rate derivatives [closed]

Interest rate swaps are the most popular interest rate derivatives. Is there a reason why they are more popular than other interest rate derivatives (e.g. forwards, futures)? Is it because they were ...
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3answers
1k views

Why 10-year versus 2-year spread?

I occasionally see the 10y-2y spread referenced as a recession predictor. See, e.g., https://seekingalpha.com/article/4201787-current-slope-yield-curve-tell-us Why 10y minus 2y? Specifically, why use ...
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0answers
191 views

Duration of a FRN in continuous time interest rate model

This question was inspired by my attempt to understand the duration of a floating rate note, or FRN for short. Several answers, like this, say the duration of a FRN is just time to next coupon payment....
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1answer
449 views

How are Interest Rate Swaps Quoted

Im not sure if this is the right place to ask this question or whether Personal Finance & Money would be a better place. Basically I know that initially interest rate swaps are quoted based on the ...
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1answer
144 views

Approximation of Forward Rates in discrete time

The forward rate from time $t$ to $T$ ($f_{t,T}$) can be approximated by: $$ f_{t,T}= \left[ \frac{(1+r_T)^T}{(1+r_t)^t} \right]^{\frac{1}{{T-t}}}-1 \sim \frac{(1+r_T)^T-(1+r_t)^t}{T-t} $$ Why is ...
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1answer
194 views

What is the value/price of a bond paying floating rate

I am going through J.C.Hull for swaps. Where he says we can value a swap using bonds. Let $B_{fl}$: value of floating rate bond, $L$ notional principal. Why is $B_{fl} = L$ just after a payment ? What ...
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1answer
697 views

Relation between OIS rate and discounting rate

This is from book Modern Derivatives Pricing and Credit Exposure Analysis page 22 In an OIS, two parties exchange a fixed coupon (paid annually for longer-dated ...
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1answer
197 views

Difference between settlement of Eurodollars and FRA

I am going through J.C. Hull's chapter on FRA and EuroDollar Futures. Taking the case of FRA. I assume $T_0$ is the time when two parties entered into a FRA to fix interest rates they get on a ...
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0answers
55 views

Bootstrap zero curve source of information

I'm trying to understand the bootstrap methodology to construct a zero curve from a par curve in detail. I'm looking for a good source of information, preferably with a detailed example, that ...
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1answer
706 views

Swap Curve and Forward Libor Rates

How does the (interest rate) swap curve incorporate forward libor expectations?
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1answer
112 views

a property of zero coupon bond in Brigo/Mercurio's “Interest Rate Models”

Let $P(t,T)$ be the the value of a contract at time $t$. This contract guarantees its holder the payment of $1$ at time $T$. consider $t<T<S$, when the interest rate is non-deterministic, do ...
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1answer
55 views

Exact definition of effective daily federal fund rates

based on https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFF I found that the effective federal fund rate reach to something like 13% in 1982. Based on my trading experience, I could earn this risk free rate ...
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1answer
596 views

Implied AUD Interest Rate from USDAUD FX Swap and USD Interest Rate

Can someone help me understand how to derive the implied interest rate or spot rate in BBG FXFA? I actually get why the Forward rate, F_Ask and F_Bid are derived using the formula in the picture. ...
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1answer
44 views

Which interest rates (maturity length) should one use for calculating interest rate differential of AUDUSD?

An interest rate differential is a difference in interest rate between two currencies in a pair. It is not clear from the internet articles such as the one below which maturity length should be used ...
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0answers
78 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...

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