Questions tagged [interest-rates]

An interest rate is the rate at which interest is paid by a borrower (debtor) for the use of money that they borrow from a lender (creditor).

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4answers
7k views

Which risk-free interest rate to use in Black-Scholes equation

Sorry but i'm new in quantitative finance. According to BS derivation the risk-free interest rate is the rate to wich the rate of a particular investment tends when the risk tends to zero. Suppose i ...
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Why is “full” Yield Curve (term structure of interest rates) 3 component based?

I am trying to understand bond-valuation and construction of yield curve. I don't have any exposure to bootstrapping or what-so-ever as of now. So it's appreciated to have an example but not too ...
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2answers
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BDT model implementation

I am looking for a nice and readable description of how to implement BDT model: $d log(r(t)) = [\theta(t)-\frac{\sigma'(t)}{\sigma(t)}log(r(t))]dt + \sigma(t) dW$. I assume I already have steady-...
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1answer
112 views

Stochastic process for interest rates allowing negative values

The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process for the short term interest rate r(t) does not allow r(t) to become negative, but short-term rates are negative in much of the developed world. To account for this, do ...
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2answers
640 views

How did traders calculate that the expected number of rate hikes is 4 based on eurodollar futures on 15Feb2018?

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-14/bond-traders-swarm-2019-fed-hike-bets-after-inflation-surprise After a Wednesday report showed consumer prices rose in January by more than ...
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2answers
476 views

Will rolling-down-yield-curve bond strategy work if interest rates remain unchanged?

Suppose I have 2 strategies; A) Buying A One Year Bond And Holding To Maturity (Buy & Hold To Maturity) B) Buying A 3 Year Bond and Selling After One Year (Rolling Down The Yield Curve) Assume ...
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1answer
209 views

U.S. Rate Hike Prediction

In a recent ft.com video an analyst mentioned that markets postponed their Fed rate hike expectation from September to around November 2015 due to the CNY devaluation, based on the "shift" of some "...
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3answers
9k views

How to hedge the fixed leg of a swap contract?

I happened to get this question for Fixed Income Swap contract. (let's assume it's it's not cross currency). If the fixed leg is paying 10% interest rate in this contract, but in the market the ...
4
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1answer
408 views

Do CDS have interest rate exposure?

For hedging purposes, do CDS have interest rate exposure? I've thought of CDS as a pretty direct proxy for credit risk, but on the other hand say if interest rates rise it would be harder for ...
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2answers
667 views

How to price a stock under Q and stochastic interest rates?

I am interested in pricing a stock under $\mathbb{Q}$ when I assume that $$dS(t) = \mu(S(t))dt + \sigma(S(t))dW(t)$$ where $W(t)$ is a Wiener process under $\mathbb{P}$ and $$dr(t) = a(b-r(t))dt +...
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1answer
219 views

Fixed Income free research available online

As from the title, I would like to know where it is possible to find free research focused on fixed income markets' themes and topics, such as interest rates, credit risk related fundamentals, new ...
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1answer
73 views

Bond-price dynamics in the Vasicek model

Hello I am studying about interest rate modeling There is one good source about Vasicek (link: https://web.mst.edu/~bohner/fim-10/fim-chap4.pdf). However there is one equation that I try but unable ...
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103 views

“Standard” Model for Effective Fed Funds Rate

Is there a "standard" model used to model the Effective Fed Funds Rate? I know that BGM is often used for LIBOR but haven't found a similar application to the Effective Fed Funds Rate. Do ...
4
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1answer
2k views

Consequence of negative mean reversion of hull white one factor model

I tried to calibrate the data for hull-white one-factor model. Sometimes, I get negative estimate of mean reversion factor after the calibration process. When I plug the negative mean reversion factor ...
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2answers
1k views

Effect of interest rate on options prices

This might be another basic derivatives question. When interest rate rises, stock prices generally fall. Assuming an option's underlying is a stock, this should lower the option's price as well. ...
4
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1answer
922 views

How to Analyze Interbank Lending Market?

I am currently trying to do a study in the interbank lending market, i plan to fit a DCC model to model them, these series below is taken from ...
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2answers
1k views

Why is the mean time-dependent in the Hull-White interest rate model?

In the Vasicek interest-rate model, the interest rate reverts to a constant mean. This makes sense to me. In my conception, the mean ought to be time-invariant, since interest rates don't follow an ...
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1answer
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Yield on Fixed income futures

I am trying to get a simplified model of the DV01 for the US 10YR Note futures but I cant figure out what the current yield is. When I back out the implied interest rate on the current TYM3 futures ...
4
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1answer
283 views

Value of option-free instruments with a short-rate model vs the spot curve

You can calculate the value of an option free bond or swap by using the spot curve and discounting cashflows accordingly. Alternatively, apparently you can use a single-factor short rate model in a ...
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1answer
71 views

Measuring interest rate sensitivity for illiquid private investments?

There seems to be surprisingly little literature on this topic. If you had a portfolio consisting of an unlisted illiquid private asset class (eg private real estate, direct infrastructure or private ...
4
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1answer
202 views

How to quantify how many ECB hikes are priced in?

My question comes in the same vein as the market estimates (roughly) how many hikes are priced in the US through looking at Fed Funds futures contracts. Is there a way to come up with a similar ...
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2answers
9k views

How to calculate daily risk free interest rates

I'm working on an assignment in which I need to calculate excess returns for six stocks plus the S&P 500. I have computed daily logarithmic returns for every stock and for the market, I now need ...
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2answers
273 views

Simple question about FX carry trade

I have been reading online about the FX carry trade and how this can be profitable (in general). From my understanding, the idea is to be long (lend) the currency with higher interest rate and short (...
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569 views

Monte Carlo, convexity and Risk-Neutral ZCB Pricing

I've built a simplistic Excel monte carlo model to price a zero-coupon bond, but it came up with a slightly unepxected result so I wanted to confirm whether my maths is just a little rusty or my model ...
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1answer
312 views

Negative Interest Rate & Basis Models

Since markets are showing negative interest rate, I'm forced to find a model that can catch this behaviour. Because of that, I have implemented and calibrated the G2++ (or the Hull-White 2 Factors) ...
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1answer
172 views

Interpreting Units of Short Rate Parameters

I've estimated the parameters for the Vasicek model $$ dr(t) = a(b - r(t))dt + \sigma dW(t) $$ and the CIR model $$ dr(t) = a(b - r(t))dt + \sigma\sqrt{r(t)} dW(t) $$ to one-year Treasury yield data ...
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1answer
64 views

Analytical Bond Price under Rendlemen-Bartter?

Assuming the short rate $r_t$ follows the risk-neutral (so $W_t$ is a $Q$-Brownian motion) process $$ dr_t = ar_t dt + \sigma r_t dW_t, $$ does anyone know of an analytical bond price formula? We ...
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1answer
4k views

What is the difference between a benchmark yield curve, funding curve and a basis spread curve?

I am trying to understand why these curves are important, and what they are used for in the industry today (if not at all).
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1answer
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What equation will convert implied yield volatility to implied price volatility?

I am trying to figure out how to turn implied yield volatility of a short-term interest rate into implied price volatility. Is there an equation to do this? I have come across the equation for a ...
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3answers
6k views

Bloomberg interest rate interpolation

I have question about the linear interpolation of interest rates. I am unable to reconcile the Bloomberg methodology for calculating risk-free rate between maturities. In theory it is a straight-line ...
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0answers
53 views

What are the trade offs when choosing a long term bond future to trade?

It seems that when trading long term bonds *** and choosing between the two offerings on CME one is presented with a Scylla and Charybdis decision. 1. VOLATILITY CONSISTENCY: Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond ...
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2answers
905 views

Fixing mean reversion parameter in the 1F HW model

I am trying to calibrate the 1 factor Hull White model to ATM swaptions. The strategy which I use is to minimise the sum of squared difference between model and market prices for the swaptions on the ...
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129 views

Inflation/Rates Correlation

I've been looking into a short piece of maths a colleague has written on pricing inflation with payment delays, and was hoping someone could confirm whether my understanding is correct, or if my ...
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1answer
845 views

How to download risk free rate?

I've been trying to download the national interest rates for some countries. When i use Datastream, it only gives me the currency return (while i need yield). Can someone please tell how to ...
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4answers
453 views

Bond ETF vs Bond Future for longer term holding

How would a long term investor go about evaluating the prospect of investing in a bond ETF vs a long position in a future of equal duration? Let’s asume this investment is in a taxable account. Let’s ...
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4answers
1k views

Why does the ultra long-end of a yield curve invert?

The shape of the yield curve (at least in the GBP Rates market) is upward sloping from the front end up to the long end (i.e. 30y), but then begins to become downward sloping as we go beyond 30y and ...
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2answers
353 views

Black-Scholes and Fundamentals

So basically $dS_t=\mu S_tdt+\sigma S_tdWt$ and $\mu=r-\frac12\sigma^2$ I have just been thinking about this later equation. This is very interesting because it ties together risk-free rate, ...
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2answers
685 views

How can an inverted yield curve in a liquid market exist?

Take a liquid market like US T-bills, notes and bonds... Who would want a long-term security that yielded less than the short? Even if someone is a long-term lender, why wouldn't they hold the ...
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6answers
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What is the risk-free rate of a precious metal, e.g. gold?

The risk-free rate of a x-currency denominated instrument can be determined from treasury bills, interbank borrowing rates (e.g. LIBOR), overnight index rates or interest rate swaps. What instrument ...
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1answer
883 views

Why does one-factor short-rate model tend to produce parallel shift of the yield curve?

I understand that one factor short rate model models the instantaneous rate given any moment in time. Can anyone explain how to derive a term structure from a short rate model and show that one-factor ...
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3answers
3k views

Basic LIBOR curve question

I'm new to the quant finance and have a very basic question about LIBOR curve. LIBOR is published every day for 4 different tenors (1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y), and each rate means how much annual interest ...
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3answers
3k views

Relationship between forward and option prices

Do forward prices factor into option prices at all? It seems to me from Black-Scholes that you just need a spot price and interest rate r. I understand that $F_t = S_0 e^{r t}$, but I don't know if ...
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1answer
8k views

Speed of mean reversion of an interest rate model

I would like to have a bit more of intuition about the concept of "speed of mean reversion" for an interest rate model, e.g. Vasicek or CIR. In particular, is a negative speed of mean reversion ...
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3answers
183 views

Why Central Bank carry out Qe when they can directly force banks to lower down the interest rate?

To boost the economy, the central bank can do it either by lowering down the interest rate nor carry out QE. But QE objective is to lowered the interest rate also so banks can give out more loan. This ...
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1answer
790 views

Does Nelson-Siegel require adjustments to yield curve input data?

I am attempting to gain a better understanding of the limitations of the Nelson-Siegel model as described in Estimating the Yield Curve Using the Nelson-Siegel Model. As I have been playing around ...
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1answer
3k views

EuroDollar vs FRA

I am not quite clear about this. When people mention Eurodollar are they mean Eurodollar Futures? One of the difference between Eurodollar and Forward Rate Agreement(FRA) is basically difference ...
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1answer
1k views

How to sum interest rate curves in QuantLib

C++ code taken from Bonds.cpp and slightly amended: ...
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2answers
5k views

How popular is the Linear Gauss Markov (LGM) model?

Some friends recommend to me Linear Gauss Markov model, saying it's interesting to have a look at it. Basically it's a framework different from HJM, with potential to extend, and the merit is that it'...
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1answer
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European Swaptions: does implied volatility of swap rates decreases both with start and tenor?

Does implied volatility of swap rates decreases both with start and tenor? Given a Swaption price and a discount curve I calculate the swap_rate from the curve, then I define implied volatility as ...
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1answer
98 views

Good References for Treasury Futures Spreads

I’m reading the excellent Treasury Bond Basis by Burghardt. I was wondering if there’s a similar quality book/paper about Yield curve spreads using treasury futures (i.e. NOL, NOB, FYT).