# Questions tagged [lognormal]

A continuous probability distribution of a random variable whose logarithm is normally distributed.

87 questions
Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
1 vote
75 views

### How can I estimate value-at-risk of a long/short portfolio without making simplifying assumptions?

I have had a couple of long-standing questions about the mathematics behind a simple "vanilla" parametric VaR calculation and I'm hoping someone could clear up my confusion. Most likely I am ...
1 vote
130 views

### Are there optimal portfolio theories than instead of the expected value they were based on the Mode of distributions

Are there optimal portfolio theories than instead of the expected value they were based on the Mode of distributions? During my engineer student days I saw the Markowitz theory for portfolio selection ...
56 views

### Should future price scenarios be symmetric around the current market price?

Assume a financial instrument which has a (roughly) log-normal price distribution and behaves like a random walk. I would like to generate some possible scenarios for where the price might be tomorrow....
101 views

### Modelling the instantaneous funding spread as a log-normal process

Let us consider a stochastic market model with a fixed short (risk-free) rate $r\in\mathbb{R}$. A trader can obtain unsecured funding at a rate $f_t:=r+s_t$ where $s_t$ is its stochastic funding ...
1 vote
91 views

94 views

### Is this process log normally distributed?

I came across a question that I guess $P$ is lognormally distributed. where $y_n$ is log-normally distributed. Am I right on the guessing? Here is the full solution if interested.( my guessing comes ...
135 views

### Covariance of the product of log normal process and normal procces

I tried to compute the following covariance : $$Cov(e^{\int_{t}^{T}W^1_sds},\int_{t}^{t+1}W^2_sds)$$ where $W^1_t$ and $W^2_t$ are Brownian motions such that $dW_t^1dW_t^2=\rho dt$ My idea was to ...
1 vote
122 views

### Equivalence of Call Option on $S_T$ and Put Option on $\frac{1}{S_T}$ in FX Markets

Part 1: I am trying to price an option in the FX world. It naturally pays in the domestic currency, but in this case the payout currency must be the foreign currency. For example, consider the payoff: ...
177 views

### VaR using normal vol vS lognormal

We are using a vendor's software to calculate the Parametric VaR (using RiskMetrics approach) that take as input the volatility figure of the risk factors. The volatility used so far was the lognormal....
84 views

### FX spot distribution with student-t returns

If I am modelling my returns as $\sim N(0, \sigma^2)$, then I can evolve my spot distribution as: $$S_{t} = S_{0}e^{(\mu - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^{2})t + \sigma dW_{t}}$$ where $S_{0}$ is the spot, $\mu$ ...
370 views

### VaR and Expected Shortfall for Geometric Brownian Motion

Given that $dS_t=\mu S_tdt+\sigma S_tdW_t$ ,a risk free rate r and defining Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall as $VaR_{t,a}=S_0e^{rt}-x$ where $x$ is the amount such that $P(S_t\leq x)=1-a$ ($a:$...
130 views

86 views

### Log-normal risk-neutral price derivation from binomial trees, not clear about step in derivation process

At page 64 of the book Concepts and practice of mathematical finance, 2nd edition by M. Joshi, paragraph 3.7.2 (Trees and option pricing - A log-normal model - The risk-neutral world behaviour) a ...
417 views

### Why can future forward interest rates be assumed to be lognormally distributed in the standard market model?

This seems to be the underlying assumption that allows us to use the standard market model/Black's framework in order to value interest rate derivatives, but I haven't found any understandable ...
1 vote
73 views

### Formula for coskewness and cokurtosis of LogN to project linear returns

I want to find the coskewness and cokurtosis of the multivariate LogN(mu, sigma) distribution from the moments of a normally distributed multivariate distribution (ie: log returns). These higher order ...
1 vote
608 views

### Ito's lemma and Lognormal Property

What would be the difference between: \begin{align} dS = udt + \sigma dz \end{align} and \begin{align} dS=u*S*dt + \sigma*S*dzdS \end{align} Is that the former is in absolute terms and the latter is ...
1 vote
807 views

### Probability of a stock price using implied volatility

I have attempted to use the fact of having implied volatility, but have not been able to come up with a viable way to calculate the probability, any ideas? Suppose that a stock $S_t$ follows a ...
130 views

### What is the industry standard model for pricing Swaptions during this time of negative interest rates, normal model or shifted log-normal model?

I have referred to the some of the well known papers but none of them has a clear answer for my question. I know that both of these models have some disadvantages but, what is the industry standard ...
95 views

### Geometric brownian motion and probabilities

A stock's price movement is described by the equations $dS_t=0.02S_tdt+0.25S_tdW_t$ and $S_0=100$. An investor buys a call option on said stock with a strike price $K=95$ which expires in $T=2$ years. ...
417 views

### Generate Monte Carlo simulation of multivariate lognormal or weibull distributions in R

I intend to perform a Monte Carlo simulation of asset returns in R. I am currently using the rmvnorm function in the mvtnorm R ...
1 vote
258 views

### lognormal assumption of Black Scholes

I have recently started learning about option pricing and the Black Scholes formula, where stock prices are assumed to be lognormally distributed and returns normally distributed. While trying to do ...
1k views

### Stock Prices are Lognormal - Formal Definition

I'm struggling with what the exact meaning of "stock prices are lognormal" (and its use to show normality of returns). My assumption was that given ${S_t}$ are stock prices and returns are ...
1 vote
372 views

### How to Understand Lognormal Distribution in the Following Case

I got a question and corresponding solution, but have some difficulties in understand the lognormal distribution part of it, so I really appreciate your advice: Question: assume zero interest rate ...
356 views

1 vote
11k views

### Black Scholes and the Log Normal Distribution

Why does the Black Scholes Equation imply the returns are log-normally distributed?? How can we tell that the returns of the underlying asset wouldnt be normally distributed??
756 views

1 vote
212 views

### Price is Log-normal distributed, yet the return is non-normal

I have a price series. The natural logarithm of the price shows good normality. As shown in the standardized normal probability plot below: However, by viewing the standardized normal probability ...