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Questions tagged [mean]

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1
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1answer
82 views

What is the correct way to calculate the annualized returns from rolling windows starting from monthly returns?

What is the correct way to calculate the annualized returns in 5-year rolling estimation windows starting from monthly returns? Is it most correct to first annualize the returns (using the geometric ...
4
votes
1answer
320 views

Portfolio diversification and Sharpe ratio

I have a given trading strategy T and say 3 assets in my universe. The hold time is one day. The trading strategy can general signals for the 3 assets in any given day (so signal can trigger for any ...
2
votes
2answers
68 views

Why can we neglect the mean in the variance when the time step is very small?

Can anyone tell me why we can neglect the mean in the variance when the time step is very small? See the following picture: Usually, we choose a time step of one day. Is it small enough?
1
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0answers
70 views

Interpretation of Skew and Kurtoisis - strategy backtesting

I am working on my dissertation and i would like to provide a nice interpretation of two tables which i will present below. I have 10 portfolio buckets which i sort on 6 different attributes. One of ...
0
votes
1answer
212 views

GARCH Model Constant in Regression

When regressing a variable on a constant of 1, the coefficient of this constant is the mean. However, when I specified that the residuals follow a GARCH(1,1) model, the coefficient of the constant ...
1
vote
1answer
626 views

One-step ahead forecast of a AR(1) process (GARCH context)

I am using a Matlab toolbox for obtaining one-step ahead forecasts of the conditional mean from the ARMA(1,0)-GARCH(1,1) process and I have encountered a piece of code that contains, in my opinion, a ...
3
votes
0answers
190 views

Finding mean vector and covariance matrix for annual returns given quarterly returns

I am currently trying to calculate a vector for the mean annual returns of 4 different asset classes along with their 4x4 covariance matrix in excel. However, I am having problems since the data I ...
12
votes
2answers
675 views

GARCH model, expectation of volatility?

Consider a time series $\{r_t\}$ following a standard GARCH(1,1) model, i.e., $$ r_t = \sigma_t \epsilon_t,$$ where $\epsilon_t \sim N(0,1)$ and are i.i.d, and $$\sigma_t^2 = \omega + \alpha_1 r_{t-1}^...
1
vote
2answers
262 views

Modern portfolio theory in practice

I am wondering about the Markowitz theory of portfolio construction in practice. Hence, if one wants to know the efficient frontier, what variances can one use. The only method that I can think is the ...
3
votes
1answer
235 views

What is the relationship between arithmetic versus geometric averages and simple versus logarithmic prices?

I know that the geometric mean is used in order to make percentage returns across time comparable. Similarly, I know that log prices make percentage returns comparable for example when prices are ...
2
votes
2answers
8k views

Sharpe Ratio, annualized monthly returns vs annual returns vs annual rolling returns?

I would like to calculate the Yearly Sharpe Ratio on MSCI World index I have monthly values of the index that falls back up to Jan/1970, hence about: 44 years, 528 months In order to calculate ...
0
votes
1answer
568 views

Calculating the Sum of Squared Deviations between two Normalized Price Series

How can I calculate the sum of square deviations between two normalized price series according to (Gatev et. co 2006)? My normalized price series of stocks $X$ and $Y$ consist of the cumulative total ...
1
vote
0answers
86 views

Mean-variance minimizser

I am working on a project that involves pricing european call options in incomplete markets. Now I need to find a unique measure $Q^*$ such that $$Q^* = \min_{M_e} E_Q [V(T)-F(w)]^2 = \min_{u} E_Q [V(...
14
votes
4answers
8k views

R code for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

Can any one help me with some R code to run Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process?
4
votes
3answers
4k views

Mean reverting Indicator

I'm looking for an indicator which tells me if it's a good time to use mean reverting type quantitative trading strategies. In order to do so I look at the market (the few hundred stocks I trade) and ...