# Questions tagged [monte-carlo]

Monte Carlo simulation methods are a broad class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results.

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132 views

### Quasi Random Monte Carlo in m.v. portfolio optimization

Not specifying a correlation matrix for the Monte Carlo Simulation's random returns is equivalent to assuming no correlation or a correlation coefficient of zero, which will seriously and adversely ...
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### (C++) Monte Carlo pricer for SABR model to test Hagan / Paulot formulas

I'm trying to test the so-called Hagan formula (p.6 of this paper) and the Paulot formula, order 1 only (eq. (43) p.19 of this paper. For this, i'm trying to use both Euler and Milstein scheme ...
82 views

### How to price lookback american option when its payment is distributed during its life

I would like to price a floating strike american lookback with a particular feature: I don't want to charge upfront the client, rather I would like to insert a "running fee", some sort of a dividend. ...
44 views

### Are radial basis functions popular in least squares monte carlo option pricing?

In a Longstaff-Schwarz setting option on several underlyings can be priced using least squares monte carlo. Using suitable set of basis functions, continuation values can be approximated using ...
216 views

### Monte Carlo Method for American Call Option (No Dividends)

I tried to pricing the American Call option using "Longstaff-Schwartz" least squares method. However, I found the American call option is always lower than the Monte Carlo European call option (they ...
119 views

### How can I estimate the time-varying θ term in the Hull-White one factor model?

I am trying to simulate the prices of bond indexes (e.g. Barclays Aggregate, IBOXX sovereign, IBOXX corporates) using Monte Carlo assuming that they follow the SDE given by the Hull-White model (one-...
178 views

### How to interpret and define statistics of GBM output

I am trying to model the future prices of a number of commodities. For this, I am applying geometric Brownian motion, writing a Monte Carlo code in Python. Given that I want to estimate tommorows ...
463 views

### Monte-Carlo simulation Hull-White process: physical and risk-neutral measure

From Monte-Carlo simulation Hull-White process I get paths in risk-neutal measure. How can I get paths in physical measure?
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### Jamshidian's trick for Swaptions

Following Brigo$^1$ p.77, we can decompose the price of a swaption as a sum of Zero-Coupon bond options (Jamshidian's Trick). To do so, the authors suggest to find $r^*$ the value of the spot rate at ...
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### Intraday Value at Risk approximations

We use full valuation of derivatives portfolios using scenarios from historical data. For simple contracts, this is relatively fast. For contracts requiring monte carlo simulation, this becomes ...
847 views

### Law of a geometric brownian motion first hitting time (formula dont match Monte Carlo Simulation)

I posted this question before on MSE I need to use it in a small step in the middle of a simulation and I think I'm not getting correct results to this probabilities and so for my all ...
119 views

### Optimizing stochastic functions numerically

Is there an efficient and commonly used optimization method for "more complex" investment strategies. For instance, say you have a function $f(X_1,...,X_n,c,v)$ where the $X_k$'s are your random ...
41 views

### Stratified sampling in asian options

I am using the procedure of stratified sampling for variance reduction. In the Glasserman book the algorithm for stratified the terminal value of the Brownian motion is given for european options. For ...
75 views

### Can variance change over time?

I'm working on a toy project that involves fantasy basketball, I know this is the quantitative finance stackexchange, but it seemed like the best place to ask this question. My goal is to make ...
69 views

### When to remove a trading strategy?

Every strategy has a limited lifespan. How do you decide when to stop a particular strategy as it has lost its edge? Few of things that can be thought is strategy crossing its maximum drawdown, net ...
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### Ultra Powerfull Vibrato Montecarlo for delta sensitivities of a not regular payoff

Ciao, I am working on a derivative with the following payoff at time $T$: $$\sqrt{(S_T - K)^+}$$ where $S_T$ is the value of the stock at the expiring date. As usual we will assume $S_t$ to be a ...
19 views

### Benchmark values for exotic options with highly nonlinear boundaries

I have created some modifications of least squares monte carlo algorithm for pricing american options which gives me lower and upper bound. Now I want to test how good it works for options with highly ...
113 views

### Monte Carlo VAR with differente asset classes

I have found a very useful post regarding the use of Monte Carlo simulaton to obtain portfolio Value at risk, based on Cholesky decomposition, random variates, etc. This post I'm talking about is: Is ...
24 views

### Asian basket option variance reduction control variates monte carlo

I have priced an Asian put option with three underlying correlated stocks. Now I want to try to reduce the variance using control variates. I have found great ideas when there is one underlying (thus ...
128 views

### Simulating assets of different currencies

I have a situation as follows: One year call option on a Euro stock with a Euro denominated strike. Knock in feature as follows - The option can only pay out if the growth in the Euro stock over ...
33 views

### Determining the Relationship Between Monte Carlo Breaks and Model Volatility

I'm looking for a statistical test to understand the relationship (if any) between the model volatilities of a stochastic process, and the occurrence of 'break', defined as the instance when an ...
70 views

### Importance sampling procedure

I need someone to explain me the importance sampling method. There are several topics but the drift parameter $\theta$ when adjusting is never discussed. I read publications where $\theta$ was used ...
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### Pricing a Path-Dependent Option with Heston

I want to price a path-dependent option (let's say for example an arithmetic average Asian option) under a Heston model. In a Black-Scholes setup, I use forward volatilities to do so. I want to apply ...
117 views

### Modelling VIX futures backwardation

I have VIX futures trading algorithm and would like to perform Monte-Carlo simulation of VIX and understand how my algorithm performs on each simulation. In this case, not only VIX should be modeled, ...
395 views

### Longstaff Schwartz Algrorithm in R

I recently discovered the LSMonteCarlo library in R which basically determines the price of American options via Longstaff Schwartz method. I tried the ...
102 views

### Monte Carlo Simulation of correlated returns based on different frequencies

I am simulating through Monte Carlo, multivariate correlated returns of different products composing an Oil&Gas portfolio. The historical prices (from which I computed the log-returns) of the ...
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### Monte Carlo Pricer for Express Certificate delivers wrong price [Mathematica]

So I wanted to price the following Express Certificate with this specific payout structure: If S1 > S0 -> 105.25 , else -> If S2 > 0.95*S0 -> 110.5 , else -> If S3 > 0.9*S0 -> 115.75 , else -> If ...
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### Low estimator when valuing american option using Broadie and Glassermann Monte Carlo tree with antithetic branching (R)

I've been looking into Monte Carlo methods for valuing american options. Now, I found an R code by Stefano M. Iacus that values the option using a tree (based on Broadie and Glassermann) without use ...
110 views

### The last step of the Longstaff-Schwartz method

I'm reading An analysis of the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm for American option pricing, by Clement, Lamberton and Protter. They define the stopping times (top of page 4)  \tau_j^{[m]} = \begin{...
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### Monte Carlo convergence sample size

I'm studying Monte Carlo analysis but I find very counter-intuitive the computation of the minimum sample size in order to reach a certain level of precision. As stated in ...
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### Model for target zone exchange rates

I just found a stochastic model for target zone exchange rates $x_{t+1}=x_t+k+r(x_t-y)+ \tilde{\epsilon}$ where k is a drift term so equal $r-r_f$ r is lean againt the wind coefficient that ...
172 views

### Pricing Asian option at discrete times

I hope you can help me again regarding pricing an arithmetic Asian option. Asumme we have a time grid $(0=t_0,t_1,t_2=T)$ and we buy an Asian option at time 0 and the maturity is at T. Now we would ...