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Questions tagged [option-pricing]

Questions about models for the valuation of option contracts.

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0answers
9 views

Reading this ichimoku cloud how do you read this wdfc chart?

Having trouble reading the charts as the breakouts aren’t clear What do you see in this chart?
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1answer
201 views

Where can I find a clear explanation (brief derivation) of N(d1) and N(d2)?

Where can I find a good explanation (perhaps with a brief derivation) of N(d1) and N(d2) from Black-Scholes? Just trying to understand the general idea about these 2 probability functions and how they ...
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2answers
3k views

Pricing of a Foreign Exchange Vanilla Option

To understand how Bloomberg prices foreign exchange vanilla options , I extract the following screenshot from its OVML function. The Black-Scholes formua for vanilla options are \begin{split} & P=...
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4answers
1k views

Software for decomposing payoff diagrams into plain vanilla products

Nowadays structured products (or packages) with complex payoff diagrams are omnipresent. Do you know of any software, add-ons, apps, code whatever, that enables you to enter a payoff diagram or a ...
3
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1answer
64 views

S. Bossu's Correlation Swaps Model

I am reading Sebastien Bossu's "A new Approach For Modelling and Pricing Correlation Swaps" (link). I am recalling some of the definitions from the paper and would like to understand how to prove one ...
3
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1answer
254 views

Mixing Black Scholes with SABR

I am new to the whole concept of stochastic volatility so I am experimenting with option pricing. I think the concept is really difficult to understand / grasp. I was wondering if the following ...
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0answers
44 views

Quesion about the VBA function of continuous cap look up [closed]

Here is the VBA function to calculate the cap price Can anyone tell me what is N and t0? From the textbook, N = the number of reset (or payment) dates and t0 = time until the first reset date. But ...
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0answers
36 views

Pricing Equity Swaptions

Consider a swaption to enter into a standard equity swap as a fixed-rate payer, equity receiver, in which the notional principal is fixed. If the strike is K. the underlying swap starts at time 0=n ...
4
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1answer
198 views

Numerical simulation of Heston model

I am trying to simulate on Python random paths for a general asset price as described by the Heston model: \begin{equation} \begin{aligned} dS_t &= \mu S_t dt + \sqrt{\nu_t} S_t dW^S_t \\ d\nu_t &...
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0answers
95 views

A relatively useless but fun question for quants and physicists

Suppose I am a trader travelling in a very fast spaceship. What kind of SDE and corresponding PDE should I jot down and work with in order to ensure that there is no arbitrage (or if there is ...
1
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1answer
41 views

European Call option replication

An asset $S_t$ is evolving according to the Black-Scholes model. We want to replicate a call option on this asset by holding Delta units of the asset at every time. I use a Monte Carlo algorithm to ...
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0answers
44 views

Strictly increasing asset price under a risk-neutral probability measure?

I am reading a paper on option pricing under jump processes in continuous time. There is a section labeled examples where the authors work under a risk neutral probability measure and derive option ...
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0answers
50 views

Pricing of future options

I have the following question on futures options: There is a Black’s model, which is a variant of the Black-Scholes formula that is used to price stock options. The Black’s model prices future ...
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0answers
48 views

Pricing exchange options

I am really puzzled about the mechanism of pricing of exchange options using a change in numeraire: Suppose that $S^{(1)}$ and $S^{(2)}$ are stocks satisfying SDEs $$dS^{(1)}_t = \mu_1 S^{(1)}_t \,...
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1answer
76 views

Delta hedging: theoretical value vs actual price

One way to derive the Black-Scholes PDE is via the Delta-hedging argument: Suppose that $V_t = V(t, S_t)$, for some function $V: [0,T] \times \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}$. We construct a portfolio by ...
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1answer
55 views

Intuitive explanation of why ITM options have low Time/Extrinsic Values?

While brushing up on my knowledge about the Greeks, I have been struggling coming up with an intuitive, probability-based explanation behind why not only Out-of-the-Money (OTM), but also In-the-Money (...
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1answer
91 views

Why might these options price so far from the square-root of duration?

In general, to first order, option prices rise with the square root of duration (i.e., time-to-expiration). I was just looking at puts on U.S. ETF FXI and they ...
4
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1answer
74 views

Option pricing: Relationship between Theta and early exercise

I am confused about the following: For a European put option, the parameter $\Theta$ is given by $$ \Theta= \frac{d V}{dt} = -\frac{SN'(d_1) \sigma}{2 \sqrt{T-t}} + rK e^{-r(T-t)}N(-d_2).$$ My ...
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0answers
68 views

working with eurodollar options with strikes > 100?

I am trying to extract the implied volatility from options on Eurodollar futures. My understanding is that I should be converting the Underlying Price and Strikes to rates (S = 100 - FuturesPrice, K* =...
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0answers
32 views

Change of numeraire/probability when asset pays dividends

So I was looking at Margrabe's formula for exchange call options in the book 'Mathematical Methods for Financial Markets' (Jeanblanc, Chesney, Yor), and I was having trouble justifying their change of ...
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0answers
36 views

What is the name (Greek) for sensitivity of an option's Theta to the Time to maturity?

All other second order sensitivities of option prices to underlying price, volatility and time, seem to have a commonly accepted names: Gamma, Vanna, Charm, Vomma/Volga, Veta as documented here (...
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0answers
71 views

Does an option need to be tradable for Black Scholes pricing formula to hold?

Given the classic Black-Scholes model, e.g. $dS(t)/S(t)=rdt+\sigma dW^{\mathbb{Q}}(t)$ with $S(0)=S_0$ and $dB(t)=rB(t)dt$ with $B(0)=1$, whereby $r$ and $\sigma$ are constants and $\mathbb{Q}$ ...
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0answers
38 views

what is the state of the art method for hedging barrier options?

I want to create my own Barrier options for some security, I want to trade. I did some literature review, and found a static replication method, and many dynamic replication methods. I want to know ...
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0answers
36 views

Option arbitrage on two correlated or cointegrated underlying assets

If two indices are highly cointegrated, does it allow for some set of statistical arbitrage strategies for european options for which those indices are single underlyings ? Does answer change if ...
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1answer
2k views

Option prices in Bates SVJ model?

In this [post] discussed the European put and call price formulas under the Heston Stochastic Volatility model. There exists an important extension of Heston model to include diffusion jumps, known ...
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19 views

What is the best method to factoring/calculating pre and post event volatility? Such as for company earnings

What is the best method to factoring/calculating pre and post event volatility? Such as for company earnings.
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2answers
134 views

Understanding $N(d_1)$ and $N(d_2)$

Firstly, if the solution to geometric Brownian motion is $S_t = S_0 \exp((r-\sigma^2)t + \sigma W_t$ then if I have a payment that is not necessarily a full call option e.g. if the exercise price $K$ ...
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0answers
47 views

Local volatility Formula and How To use it

I'm new to Volatility Modelling, so the content of this question may be completely wrong and th question naive. I'm reading "The volatility surface" by Gatheral. I'm trying to get a sense of the first ...
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1answer
210 views

Pricing a callable bond

I have read the Lehman Brother's paper on OAS which I mostly understand, they outline how to find the OAS for a callable bond of which the formula is effectively (ignoring refinancing costs): Market ...
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1answer
73 views

Duan (1995) GARCH Option Pricing Model with MATLAB

This is the MATLAB code that replicates the option pricing model proposed by Duan in his paper "The GARCH Option Pricing Model". However, the parameters estimated in the file do not match with the ...
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1answer
2k views

Black-Scholes formula producing a negative number for a Call Option

I would expect that the Black Scholes model should always give a value for a call option, $c$, to be at least $0$. However, I am seeing some cases where that is not the case. Here is the Black-Scholes ...
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2answers
252 views

Approximate Hagan formula for SABR model with negative beta

While looking into fixing the $\beta$ parameter (based the following regression: $\text{ln } \sigma^{ATM}_t = \text{ln } \alpha - (1-\beta)\text{ln }F_t$, as explained in West (2004), page 6) before ...
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12answers
13k views

Probability of touching

For a vanilla option, I know that the probability of the option expiring in the money is simply the delta of the option... but how would I calculate the probability, without doing monte carlo, of the ...
3
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1answer
77 views

Arbitrage free in a Black-Scholes/Poisson model

I am trying to solve the following exercise from Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time: Consider a model for the stock market where the short rate of interest $r$ is a deterministic ...
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5answers
930 views

Free or Relatively Less Pricey Quant Finance courses online

I am trying to figure out what all online Quant Finance courses are out there which are free or relatively less pricey? CQF is not less pricey Financial Engineering course on Coursera - Not so great ...
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3answers
354 views

Valuating Prepayment on Loans- Which models are favorable?

I have some trouble in choosing the right method/model for the valuation a prepayment option on a loan (in General). So far I had some ideas about valuatiing it via a simple PV-method but there ...
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0answers
47 views

Optimizing monte carlo code in python [closed]

What are they key points to use while coding a monte carlo simulation in python? I have the following monte carlo code : ...
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0answers
39 views

Calibration using only strike price

I have a binary option and want to calibrate it's BS pricing model. I only have a series of Strike Price vs the Option price, no knowledge on time to maturity, volatility, risk free rate or the ...
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0answers
35 views

Option pricing with definite integral

I would like to consider a slight generalisation of this question, which I recall here: At date of maturity $T_2$ the holder of a financial contract will obtain the amount: $$ \frac{1}{T_2−T_1}\...
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2answers
155 views

Black-Scholes-Merton formula and option pricing

If the distribution is skewed to the right,Black-Scholes overprices out-of-the-money puts and in-the-money calls. It underprices in-the-money puts and out-of-the-money calls. How? Stock price log-...
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1answer
44 views

Caplet price under stochastic volatility is the black price integrated over volatility distribution

Hull&White 1987 state that when the brownian motion driving the volatility and the brownian motion driving the forward rate are uncorrelated, the caplet price under stochastic volatility is the ...
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1answer
66 views

Why and how is Implied volatility directly related to stock price but inversely related to strike price?

I know that in equity markets there is a volatility smirk which results in higher IV for lower strike price options because of crashophobia and leverage related factors but I can't wrap my head around ...
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2answers
412 views

Why risk neutral probabilities should be strictly greater than zero for no arbitrage condition?

I was recently told by a colleague that the risk neutral probabilities should ALWAYS be greater than zero to have a no arbitrage condition. Intuitively, we know probabilities cannot be < 0, but how ...
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2answers
1k views

Arbirtage free price process question in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time

I am currently working through questions in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time. However, I am unable to solve the following question, 7.2 in the book. A solution would be greatly appreciated. ...
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1answer
58 views

Can someone provide a good definitive explanation for rho in relation to option risks?

I have a pretty good understanding of option risks except for one thing, rho. Unfortunately, interest rates tend to have a small effect on option prices, and thus most literature tend to just gloss ...
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2answers
130 views

theoretical reason for which we can use monte carlo simulation for option pricing

The classic way to price an option is solving either analitically or numerically the associated PDE subject to the terminal and boundary conditions. An alternative approach is to use monte carlo ...
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3answers
831 views

Monte Carlo method vs PDE in option pricing

Good evening everyone, I would like to ask a question about Monte Carlo and PDE Pricing. For an American option, which one should we use, Monte Carlo method or PDE method? The same question for an ...
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4answers
283 views

How to calculate return on investment for an adjustment to a complex options position?

Say I currently hold a set of options positions with the same symbol/expiry that collectively have a net present value based on the estimated value at expiration of +10. I could also liquidate the ...
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2answers
486 views

What are some beginner quantitative option trading strategies?

I'm new to quantitative trading, with good knowledge in finance and coding (mainly Python, Java, R, etc). I would like to know if there are any basic quantitative option trading strategies that can ...
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0answers
24 views

Is it possible to price a double barrier option which one barrier is monitored continuously while another barrier discretely without using MCS?

I am thinking about pricing a down-and-in and up-and-out double barrier put option under Black-Scholes assumption. The upper barrier is monitored continuously and the lower barrier is monitored ...