Questions tagged [options]

A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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29
votes
4answers
20k views

How to derive the implied probability distribution from B-S volatilities?

The general problem I have is visualization of the implied distribution of returns of a currency pair. I usually use QQplots for historical returns, so for example versus the normal distribution: ...
48
votes
8answers
50k views

What are some useful approximations to the Black-Scholes formula?

Let the Black-Scholes formula be defined as the function $f(S, X, T, r, v)$. I'm curious about functions that are computationally simpler than the Black-Scholes that yields results that approximate $...
34
votes
5answers
66k views

How can the implied volatility be calculated?

We all know if you back out of the B.S. option pricing model you can solve for what the option is "implying" about the underlyings volatility. Is there a simple, closed form, formula deriving Implied ...
32
votes
13answers
17k views

Why Drifts are not in the Black Scholes Formula

This question has puzzled me for a while. We all know geometric brownian motions have drifts $\mu$: $dS / S = \mu dt + \sigma dW$ and different stocks have different drifts of $\mu$. Why would ...
10
votes
1answer
1k views

Variance replication using options

I would like to understand the intuition behind the following question: Why a certain weighted sum of prices of put and calls is equivalent to the implied variance of an underlying? A variance swap ...
11
votes
2answers
4k views

Carr-Madan Formula

Really new to financial Maths. I am currently having problems with the Carr-Madan Formula. $$f(S_T)=f(F_t) + f'(F_t) (S_T - F_t) + \int_0^{F_t} f''(K) (K-S_T)^+ \ d K + \int_{F_t}^{\infty} f''(K)...
10
votes
2answers
2k views

How to derive the price of a square-or-nothing call option?

At maturity $T$, the holder of a "square-or-nothing" call option written on an underlying $S_t$ receives a payoff of the form $$ \phi(S_T) = \frac{S_T^2}{K} \pmb{1}_{\{S_T \geq K\}} = \begin{cases}\...
7
votes
1answer
773 views

Modeling Call Price w.r.t. Strike w Models that Capture Vol Smile

I am trying to model $C(K)$, the price of the call $C$ as a function of strike $K$. Because this is tied to Prob ITM - and in fact the probability density function of that particular expiration (https:...
12
votes
7answers
2k views

What is the fair price of this option?

Without having to use Black-Scholes, how do I price this option using a basic no-arbitrage argument? Question Assume zero interest rate and a stock with current price at \$$1$ that pays no dividend. ...
12
votes
1answer
777 views

How much can be said about the Greeks without picking a model?

Let $C(S, K, \sigma, r, T)$ be the price of a call option. How much can be said about the Greeks without picking a model? Or at least without full Black-Scholes? Below, I write down everything I know ...
7
votes
4answers
689 views

European Call Option Delta Upper Bound

For a pure equity process (with interest rate, dividend, etc., being zero) not necessarily the geometric Brownian motion, is the delta of a European call option always no higher than $1$? I am NOT ...
4
votes
2answers
2k views

Dynamic Hedge of Quanto Options

Can anybody explain to me step-by-step how can I dynamically hedge and/or replicate a quanto option with the foreign underlying asset, the foreign cash account and the domestic cash account as ...
2
votes
2answers
4k views

Calculate strike from Black Scholes delta

I have a list of deltas and their corresponding volatilities in an FX market but I want to go from delta to strike price. In this Question similar problem is being discussed How can I calculate the ...
10
votes
1answer
6k views

Implied dividend estimation

I am looking at two different ways of estimating the expected / implied dividends from market data. 1. Dividend futures I know that this asset class is not very liquid and might not be ...
2
votes
4answers
2k views

Prove that the butterfly condition is always greater than zero

I need to prove that the butterfly condition is always positive under no arbitrage theorem. We are constructing a long butterfly using European call options ...
0
votes
0answers
102 views

Exotic option arbitrage

Suppose an exotic European option has a sub hedging (price being lower than the target) portfolio of vanilla European options all with the same expiry as the exotic option. The sub hedging portfolio ...
8
votes
1answer
3k views

Arbitrage opportunity interview question

I have seen this interview question mentioned in a couple of places: There are three call options on the market, with the same expiry and with strikes 10, 20, and 30. Suppose the call option with ...
21
votes
3answers
4k views

Is there a popular curve fitting formula of options skew vs strike price or vs Delta?

I was trying to build a options trading/optimization system. But it often gets more inaccurate as it scans through the far from ATM options because, you know, options skews. That is because I did ...
20
votes
3answers
7k views

Is there an all Java options-pricing library (preferably open source) besides jquantlib?

I am looking for an all-java implementation of black scholes, preferably open source. I found jquantlib and quantlib (C++). Any other recommendations? The jquantlib site seems to be down. I'd prefer ...
9
votes
2answers
522 views

How to price an option allowing to change a call into a put?

A recruiter asked me this question: Suppose you have the following contract: a call option with maturity $T$ = 2 years the possibility to change this call into a put at $t$ = 1 year What is the ...
16
votes
2answers
9k views

What causes the call and put volatility surface to differ?

I currently have a local volatility model that uses the standard Black Scholes assumptions. When calculating the volatility surface, what causes the difference between the call volatility surface, ...
14
votes
2answers
5k views

How to extrapolate implied volatility for out of the money options?

Estimation of model-free implied volatility is highly dependent upon the extrapolation procedure for non-traded options at extreme out-of-the-money points. Jiang and Tian (2007) propose that the ...
10
votes
9answers
5k views

Why the expected return rate of a stock has nothing to do with its option price?

OK, I admit that this is a frequently asked question. But I couldn't find a satisfying answer after I read the explanations of books, went through the derivations of B-S formula, and searched answers ...
8
votes
3answers
2k views

What really is Gamma scalping?

How does Gamma scalping really work? It seems there is no true profit scalped. If we look at the simplest scenario, Black-Scholes option price $V(t,S)$ at time $t$ and the underlying stock price at $S$...
12
votes
5answers
4k views

How to obtain true probabilities from Black-Scholes?

How to obtain true probabilities from Black-Scholes option pricing equation? Suppose, that we know risk adjusted discount rate for the underlying asset (the drift term in the physical measure) and ...
10
votes
2answers
2k views

How to calculate the most realistic historical option prices with additional publicly available parameters

This is a follow up question of this one. My aim is to create the most realistic historical option prices possible with publicly available data. I want to do this for backtesting purposes. The ...
4
votes
2answers
215 views

Option Valuation

Can Black-Scholes option values be derived via the Capital Asset Pricing Model, without resort to the use of a risk-free portfolio being created from the option and a Delta determined quantity of the ...
3
votes
1answer
202 views

Estimating implied volatility of an index component with no vanilla options market

There are liquid vanilla options trading on an index of 20 equity components. The question is how to price an option on one of the index components, knowing that there are no options trading on that ...
5
votes
1answer
245 views

Other numerraire choices when applying Feynman Kac

all of the books and notes I have seen on the Feynman Kac formula mostly applied to Risk neutral measure, i.e. different interest rate models, stochastic volatility, etc. I think risk neutral measure ...
4
votes
1answer
556 views

Finding arbitrage opportunity

Find an arbitrage opportunity in this market. Can anyone explain how to mathematically solve this exercise with for example solving a system of linear equations?
2
votes
1answer
4k views

Implied state price density (Question 1 - derivation of the formula)

I came upon the term "implied state price density" in a couple of papers. As far as I understand the concept one basically tries to extract the "pricing density" from the market data. For the sake ...
6
votes
2answers
1k views

Lower bound of ITM Calls when computing Implied Volatility

Assuming the Black Scholes model and pricing formula of a European call option. Then, if the call is ITM, i.e. if $ln(\frac{S}{K})>0$, the $d_1$-term will go towards infinity as $\sigma$ goes to ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

Option prices in Bates SVJ model?

In this [post] discussed the European put and call price formulas under the Heston Stochastic Volatility model. There exists an important extension of Heston model to include diffusion jumps, known ...
1
vote
1answer
598 views

Paradox in option expiry as volatility goes to infinity

As volatility goes to infinity, the delta of a call option goes to 1. The delta approximates the probability that the option expires in the money. So it seems that the probability of expiring in the ...
1
vote
3answers
5k views

Negative time value european options

I have a basic question for which I feel like I should have found the answer by googling it, but I didn't get a definitive answer, so here I am: Can the time value for a plain vanilla (European) ...
0
votes
1answer
659 views

Interpretation of an option gamma larger than one

I am working on an option hedging simulation. In this context, I wanted to expand the simulation to include gamma. For testing purposes, I used among others the natural gas futures. When I calculate ...
23
votes
3answers
6k views

Papers about backtesting option trading strategies

I am looking for all kinds of research concerning option trading strategies. With that I mean papers that publish results on different option trading strategies properly backtested with real-world ...
44
votes
9answers
7k views

Option pricing before Black-Scholes

According to the Wikipedia article, Contracts similar to options are believed to have been used since ancient times. In London, puts and "refusals" (calls) first became well-known trading ...
6
votes
6answers
11k views

Option trading API other than Interactive Brokers

I'm looking for an options broker that provides an execution API. I'd like to ideally test on a papertrading version of it before connecting to a real execution engine. I know IB offers that, but they ...
12
votes
6answers
30k views

How to calculate stock move probability based on option implied volatility and time to expiration? (Monte Carlo simulation)

I am looking for one line formula ideally in Excel to calculate stock move probability based on option implied volatility and time to expiration? I have already found a few complex samples which took ...
15
votes
1answer
10k views

What is the best live options data API?

What is the best/cheapest service to get real-time (as real-time as you can get) on stock options? I'm looking for the fastest update on the ENTIRE market, with a few stocks prioritized, so I need ...
22
votes
7answers
8k views

When does delta hedging result in more risk?

There's a question in an interview book saying "when can hedging an options position make you take on more risk?" The answer provided is that "Hedging can increase your risk if you are forced to both ...
8
votes
4answers
6k views

Basket option pricing: step by step tutorial for beginners

I would like to learn how to price options written on basket of several underlyings. I've never tried to do it and I would appreciate if you can provide some documents, papers, web sites and so on in ...
15
votes
4answers
4k views

How to solve for the implied stock lending rate given equity options prices?

When market makers price options on hard-to-borrow equities, they include the cost to borrow the underlying equity that their broker is going to charge them to sell the security short to hedge. I'm ...
9
votes
5answers
27k views

Why do some people claim the delta of an ATM call option is 0.5?

I am looking for a mathematical proof in terms of differentiating the BS equation to calculate Delta and then prove it that ATM delta is equal to 0.5. I have seen many books quoting delta of ATM call ...
18
votes
8answers
11k views

Why does implied volatility show an inverse relation with strike price when examining option chains?

When looking at option chains, I often notice that the (broker calculated) implied volatility has an inverse relation to the strike price. This seems true both for calls and puts. As a current ...
14
votes
3answers
2k views

Implementing a Fast Fourier Transform for Option Pricing

So, I'm in need of some tips regarding a small project I'm doing. My goal is an implementation of a Fast Fourier Transform algorithm (FFT) which can be applied to the pricing of options. First ...
8
votes
1answer
682 views

How to use a change of numeraire to price this option?

I recently asked this question regarding how to price an option with payoff: $$\text{Payoff}_T = (A_TR_T - A_T \lambda)^+ $$ Let's assume for generality that $A_t$ and $R_t$ are GMB's: $$dA_t = \...
15
votes
2answers
891 views

What are important model and assumption-free no-arbitrage conditions in options trading?

In the paper "Why We Have Never Used the Black-Scholes-Merton Option Pricing Formula" (Espen Gaarder Haug, Nassim Nicholas Taleb) a couple of model-free arbitrage conditions are mentioned which limits ...
12
votes
3answers
6k views

How does volatility affect the price of binary options?

In theory, how should volatility affect the price of a binary option? A typical out the money option has more extrinsic value and therefore volatility plays a much more noticeable factor. Now let's ...