Questions tagged [options]

A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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option chain data visualization, sunburst

I think option chains are not represented in the best way. With more and more options products coming out and trading on the various exchanges, I see vendors struggling to keep up with a good way to ...
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What is the most convenient data structure for backtesting a model of futures options prices?

I have an empirical model for the dynamics of futures prices in a particular market that I have implemented using a long series of the front five contracts. (I account for the roll in my model.) I ...
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1answer
977 views

Risk management tools for long term Gamma/Vega sellers subject to margin calls

TL;DR: if you're a retail investor and you systematically sell long-term vertical spreads while staying Delta-neutral, your main risk comes from Vega and the Gamma of opening gaps that can throw you ...
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222 views

Basket option density in BS model

Let X and Y be two GBM’s, they have each a univariate log-normal distribution for some time t, that is $X_t\sim{LnN(µ_x, σ^2_x)}$, $Y_t\sim{LnN(µ_y, σ^2_y})$ and $Z_t=[X_t,Y_t]\sim{ MvLnN(μ, Σ)}$ ...
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127 views

Has a closed-form formula for the collateral choice option been found?

The collateral choice option problem has been formulated in e.g. Fujii and Takahashi (2011), Piterbarg (2012) or Antonov and Piterbarg (2013), as the computation of an expectation of the following ...
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323 views

Libraries for calculating options strategy-based margin

Hopefully, this is an acceptable question in this forum, even if it isn't analytically focused. As part of an effort to analyse the effect of different option trade structures on a portfolio, I need ...
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1answer
178 views

Measuring implied move priced into an event

It's well known that options price in an expected move in the underlying going into events, such as earnings announcements. I currently measure this implied move by computing the forward variance ...
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278 views

implied volatility and strike price

Assume for simplicity that the expiration time of an option is $1$ the initial stock price is $1$ and there is no dividend yield and the risk free return is $0$. How is it possible to show that the ...
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200 views

Arbitrage free price of a derivative when the price is collected over the lifetime of the derivative

Let $X_t$ be an american style financial derivative with random exercise time $T$ where $t$ and $T$ belongs to some finite set $A$. Buying this derivative requires the buyer to pay $p_t$ up to time $T$...
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223 views

How companies choose earnings release dates, & effect on Implied Volatility

A company's earnings release date significantly affects weekly or monthly option prices/implied volatility. For companies that typically release earnings on the cusp of monthly options expiration, ...
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1answer
160 views

How are VIX futures being priced when the VIX itself is not being calculated because of circuit breakers

I see that CBOE has halted trading all SPX options, which means the VIX cannot be calculated. Yet VIX futures are still trading and we are very close to the last trade date for the March contract. I ...
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2answers
233 views

Black-Scholes: Volatility Smile “sharpens” with time to expiry

I have tried to calculate IV and log-moneyness (=log(S/K)) for different times to expiry (M = less than 1 month, Q = less than 1 quarter, S = less than 1/2 of an year, Y = less than 1 year, Y (+) = ...
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287 views

pricing option with two stocks

Let $\left(S_t^{(1)}\right)_{t\ge0}$ and $\left(S_t^{(2)}\right)_{t\ge0}$ be the price processes of two stocks with dynamics $$ \begin{align} & dS_t^{(1)}=\sigma_{11}S_t^{(1)}dW_t^{(1)} \...
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133 views

Risk neutral measure in exponential levy model

Is there a method of finding a risk-neutral measure for assets driven by the levy process? I understand there is the esscher transform but I think it tends to transform the processes into ...
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95 views

IR Cap Forward Premium

A well known broker quotes cap/floors as spot premium for ATM straddles but forward premium for the skew, given that the difference between spot premium and forward premium is that the option is not ...
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111 views

Finding optimal calendar spreads and diagonals

I am looking for some pointers on risk/return profiles of calendar spreads and diagonals with different strikes and expiration dates, preferably based on historical backtests with SPY options. Please ...
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92 views

Pricing of strange Asian lookback option with European-style payoff $\max\{ \max_{u\in[0,T]}S_u-\frac1T\sqrt{\int_0^TS_t^2\mathrm{d}t},0\}$

I am trying to price the Asian lookback option at time $t$ with time-$T$ (European) payoff $\max\{M_T-A_T,0\}$, where $$M_t=\max_{u\in[0,t]}S_u,\quad A_t=\frac1t\sqrt{\int_0^tS_u^2\mathrm{d}u},$$ and $...
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268 views

FX American call option optimal exercise and holding region

Problem I am considering an American call option which gives a domestic investor the right to buy a unit of foreign currency at a strike of $K$ units of domestic currency. I have an exchange rate $S_t$...
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137 views

What put options would the Universa Tail Fund have bought?

According to this Bloomberg article, Universa was up 3,600% in March 2020, by hedging with extremely out-of-the-money puts: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-08/taleb-advised-universa-...
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How is the implied risk neutral density affected when changing numeraire?

For example i would like to price \begin{equation*} E^{Q} \left[ e^{-\int_{0}^{T}r_{s}^{cur}ds} f \left( S_{T_f}^{cur_1} \right) | \mathcal{F}_{0} \right] = B_{cur}(0,T)E^{Q^{cur}_{T}}[ f(S_{T_f}^{...
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R: How do i finish the tails in the risk neutral density, obtained from option prices

Im currently working on constructing the risk neutral probability distribution of a stock, based on the option prices. In doing so, i calculate the implied volatilities from the option prices, and ...
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134 views

Is there an arbitrage free option model that treats volatility as a deterministic function of strike?

I am trying to get a good understanding of the different models out there, and thus be able to study hedging errors, and strengths and weaknesses. My understanding of the Local Volatility model in ...
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107 views

Alternative Method for Determining Option-Implied pdf

As I am refining a pricing model to incorporate skew, and not just ATM volatilities, I need to create random realizations of the underlying consistent with the skew-implied pdf. When searching, one ...
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88 views

Structured Energy Option Pricing

Let's say I have an option with the following terms. This is for an energy product (ie natural gas) The contract will last for 6 months The payoff is the difference between the first of month index ...
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290 views

Higher Order Greeks

In studying options pricing a while back, I had learned of the higher order sensitivities of of Speed and Color. Speed was the rate at which the gamma changes with the underlying. Color is a ...
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635 views

How to estimate option implied skewness and kurtosis in R

Suppose that i have data that for each day i have more than one option, either put or call. I.E. I have more than 20 put options and 20 call options for each specific day. What is the way to estimate ...
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ODE Solution in Carr's Randomized American Put

In Carr's 1998 paper Randomization and the American Put, he sets up the following ODE for the value of an American put with expiration given by the first jump time of a Poisson process with rate $\...
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186 views

Match different option high frequency databases

I downloaded the “E-mini S&P 500 (Dollar) Options for 1/10/11” Top-of-Book (BBO) data. If you are interested you may download the data from the following link (approx. 80MB zipped and 1GB unzipped)...
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Are there academic papers on the 'term structure' of adverse selection for futures and options?

By term structure I mean a non-stationarity in the pattern of intraday adverse selection as a given instruments approaches its expiry. Note that I am interested in the adverse selection on the ...
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458 views

Modeling market sentiment and pricing options by volume, open interest

Are there any empirically-proven methods/formulas for weighting IV surfaces, pricing a discount/premium in an option, and/or adjusting any of the 1st- or 2nd-order Greeks for the magnitude (volume or ...
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100 views

Forecasting amount of slippage in executing option spreads

Is there a good quantitative model to estimate how much slippage is required to execute a particular option spread trade? For example, let's say you want to execute an Iron Condor. Given X, Y, Z ...
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209 views

How to price an option with two volatilities?

Imagine you have two volatilities, the second which is "activated" when the stock crosses a barrier called $p_b$. The present price is $p_1$. ($p_b>p_1$). This can be used to price options after a ...
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233 views

What is the longest number of consecutive days that options implied volatility has stayed “extremely high” for any particular underlying?

Curious as to whether or not there is any sort of all time record. Any index, future, or stock will do. Volatility must be well above the average 1 year volatility for all periods.
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1answer
429 views

Correlation sensitivity of Rainbow options

I read from various sources (eg. Exotic Options and Hybrids, M. Bouzoubaa) that the correlation sensitivity of Rainbow options (say a call price on a basket made of 50% of the best stock, 20% of the ...
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43 views

Why does it hold true that $\theta_{t} d\overline{X}_{t}$ is a local $Q$ martingale if $\overline{X}$ is a local $Q$ martingale

I am learning from Bernt Oksendal's Stochastic Differential Equations and on page 276 Lemma 12.1.6, it is stated that: The existence of an equivalent martingale measure $Q$ on the discounted price ...
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1answer
1k views

What are “call and put walls” around a strike price, to kill off vega and prevent gamma?

Is there another name for this strategy? A colleague told me that hedge fund manager Steven A. Cohen likes to squash volatility with this strategy. Cohen would create massive blocks of expensive ...
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60 views

Pricing/Hedging a yield curve spread option (YCS)

I have 2 perspectives as to what model to use for a YCS option: It is an at the expiry option, so hit the marginals, correlate them with a copula, and be done with it. To hedge the vega, I will need ...
3
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1answer
91 views

Far OTM calculation issue on Bjerksund-Stensland

Has anyone come across and fixed calculation issues on boundaries using Bjerksund-Stensland 2002 (Hull, Haug or Rouah implementations) ? Thanks in advance
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1answer
336 views

Expected Delta hedging frequency as function of implied (and realized) volatility

I'm looking for a proxy (or some rule of thumb) that can create a link between the implied volatility, the realized volatility and the frequency of Delta hedging required to keep the Delta as close as ...
3
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1answer
242 views

GARCH(1,1)-M MLE optimization with fmincon in R

I've searched thru dozens of papers and did not find in any of them satisfying and enough theoretical answers to my concerns. So I've combined everything what I found below. Please indicate if my ...
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0answers
59 views

For any twice differential continuous function C(T, K), does there exist a sigma(t, S) that can reproduce C(T, K)?

In the Dupire's paper, he assumes that there exits a function $\sigma(t,S)$ that can reproduce $C(T, K)$. My question is that: is the assumption true for any twice differential continuous function $C(...
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121 views

Pricing of future options

I have the following question on futures options: There is a Black’s model, which is a variant of the Black-Scholes formula that is used to price stock options. The Black’s model prices future options....
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83 views

How to shock the IV surface w.r.t VIX and keep AOA

I have to compute the sensitivity of a set of option prices on a single sotck (range of tenor is over the whole surface) to an increase of 100% in the VIX.. and I am trying to get to the most ...
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46 views

Does convexity in the IV space means convexity in the price space?

Let's assume that we only look at OTM options to construct a Risk Neutral Density (RND). As the RND is the second derivative of the price of the option with respect to the strike, we would expect ...
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87 views

Rainbow option pricing formula under *Bachelier* model

Let's consider a call on min option on two underlying arithmetic Browniation motions $V_t$ and $H_t$ (no drift). Let $P_t$ denotes the price process of the option, $r$ the riskfree rate, $\tau$ the ...
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48 views

Why not discount the dividend in the european put lower bound condition?

According to the european put lower bound condition: $ p \geq max(D + K \cdot e^{-r(t_2-t_0)} - S_0, 0)$ where $t_0$ is now and $t_2$ is maturity. Say $t_1$ is the dividend release time where $t_0&...
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113 views

Uniqueness of the Hedging strategy

I am currently reading the book "Nonlinear Option Pricing" by Julien Guyon. In the book they defined an attainable payoff $F_T$ as a $\mathcal{F}_T$ measurable random variable for which there exists ...
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How to Compute the payoff of Var Swaps, which I have replicated

I used Derman(1999) method, to calculate the fixed Kvar for Variance Swaps using actual option price data. The first Pic Shows the outcome. (ignore the 0s). Now the profit and loss of short var swaps ...
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465 views

Bachelier Pricing Formula for Interest Rate Binary Options

Similarly to the Black and Scholes formula, I am looking to replicate Bachelier's caplet formula with two digital options: (1) asset-or-nothing (forward rate in this case) and (2) cash-or-nothing. For ...
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118 views

How to interpret CDF($d_1$)/PDF($d_1$) from BS model ?

In my research on put options, I come across the ratio: $\frac{(1-\mathcal{N}(d_1))}{\mathcal{N'}(d_1)}$ where $d_1=\frac{\log(S/X)+(r+\sigma^2/2)t}{\sigma \sqrt{t}}$ and $\mathcal{N}(.)$ is the ...

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