Questions tagged [options]

A contract that gives the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security at a fixed price in the future.

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965 views

Cash-or-nothing and Asset-or-nothing price derivation

I was wondering how to derive the price of a cash-or-nothing and asset-or-nothing option by trying to work out the expectation under the risk-neutral measure, while assuming that the underlying ...
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71 views

Do you receive premium from selling VXTY futures?

I am having some difficulty understanding VXTY futures and how they are priced. The contract specs say it is priced off of OZN options (10yr UST futures options). I understand there is a premium ...
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132 views

Control Variate Barrier Basket Option

I need to improve the speed of convergence of PRNG Monte Carlo. I'm opening a new thread for that purpose and I have question / need confirmation about the algorithm. I'm pricing options with Heston, ...
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223 views

Extrapolating implied dividend yield

I have liquid option quotes for 1, 2, 3 and 4y expiries. I was able to imply the continuous dividend yield for all of those. How would you extrapolate such implied yield to 5 and 6y expiries?
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203 views

Exotic derivatives - Replication

I would like to replicate the payoff Max(0, Min(S1, K) - S2) with a combination of the following derivatives: -> option on S1, strike of our choice -> option on (S1-S2), strike of our choice -> A ...
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61 views

Multiple max/min forward start option

I want to calculate the price at $t$ for such payoff at $T$ $$\max(S_T,S_{T_0},C),$$ $$\max\left(S_T,\min(S_{T_0}, C)\right),$$ $$S_T -\min(S_{T_0}, C),$$ $$t<T_0<T.$$ Is there any way or ...
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76 views

Options pricing, dividend taxation

I have a question. When pricing, do an equity option, dividend has to be taken into account of course, however since there's a taxation on the dividend does the dividend input has to be cut by the ...
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234 views

American put option in binomial model - arbitrage opportunity?

I'm sorry this must be an elementary question. I spent a good deal of time searching through webs including this site for the problem but I got none. Here's the problem: Say we have a binomial tree ...
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123 views

Theta from Black-Scholes PDE - is it possible to use implied volatility?

There is a need to derive theta $\theta$ of an option out of standard Black-Scholes PDE. In usual notation ($P$ - price of an option, $S$ - underlying spot): $\theta=r_dP−Sr_d\delta−\frac{1}{2}\...
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127 views

American options — doing better than Black's approximation when $r = 0$

I am trying to find the implied volatility smile for an American call option with a known dividend during the option tenor. For the sake of argument, let's say today is Jan 1, the dividend $D$ is paid ...
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124 views

Barrier Option with Time-Dependent Rebate

Is there a closed form solution for American Single-Barrier Options (specifically Down-and-Out Calls) which undergo linear principal amortization based on the amount of time passed before being KO'ed? ...
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340 views

Pricing of multi strike rainbow options

I am looking at the pricing of a two asset multi strike option in the Black Scholes framework but I am struggling with coming up with a pricing formula. The payoff of the option at maturity is \...
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249 views

Option pricing formula for deep in-the/out-of money options?

I am learning option pricing and trying to calculate the call and put price using the Black-Scholes Formula. I have calculated the historical volatility to be 0.232. The formula is gives value close ...
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96 views

Practical precision for Options Pricing

When pricing options, especially in the theoretical literature getting high precision, say up to 8 decimal places is always a competitive goal. Though realistically in a practical setting is such ...
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48 views

Looking for material on volatility forecasting with a focus on market/news events

I'm hoping someone can direct me towards any books/papers that approach volatility forecasting from the perspective of market specific events (fed meetings, USDA reports, OPEC announcements etc). From ...
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163 views

Option delta under Black mode vs SABR

Under what scenarios would the Deltas for Options on Bond Futures differ the most between Black vs SABR models ?
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89 views

'Market price' based Delta vs 'Model Price' based Delta for Bond Future Options?

My understanding of Delta is the change in the Option's price relative to the change in the underlying asset's price. In the case of Treasury Future Options (ie those on CME), one intuitive way to ...
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702 views

GARCH Option Pricing Model (Duan 1995)

I am trying to replicate Duan's results from his 1995 Paper, "The GARCH Option Pricing Model". I have written this code in Python myself, and using his parameters I consistently seem to obtain results ...
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2k views

Pricing of European Power Call Option via Black-Scholes formula: reasoning?

I want to price a European Power Call option (without dividend yield) with payoff $\max\{S_T^2-X, 0\}$, where $T$ is the maturity and $X$ the strike. Let $(S_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be the price process of an ...
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898 views

Delta hedging vs Strangle

Long volatility delta hedging and strangle are common long volatility strategies. We can make strangle delta neutral(in $) by buying more puts than calls(if an absolute value of put delta is less than ...
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1answer
318 views

Exercise Probabilities Vanilla Cap/Floor

When looking at the discounted pay-off formulas of a vanilla caplet and a vanilla floorlet $\frac{\Delta\tau}{1+r_k\Delta\tau}\max(r_k-r_{cap},0)$ $\frac{\Delta\tau}{1+r_k\Delta\tau}\max(r_{floor}-...
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374 views

Trading strategies for increased realized volatility

Suppose once every 2-3 weeks I have a way to select a few equities that are likely to exhibit higher realized volatility in the future month (relative to the past month). Historically, the average ...
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268 views

Heston & Nandi GARCH model, parameters estimation from option data

I wonder if anybody has code for the HN-GARCH model where the parameters is NOT estimated with maximum likelihood and instead estimated by looking at the option data where an loss function is chosen ...
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83 views

Portfolio of single stock short put options: which correlation structure preferrable?

Let's say you want to have a equally-weighted (in terms of the option price) portfolio of short put options on various stocks with the same maturity. Running Monte-Carlo simulations, it seems that ...
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254 views

Callable Bond = long Bond - call on bond?

Can someone verify (maybe there is some literature around) the following relationships? Callable Bond= Long on Bond + short on a Call Position --> PV(CallableBond) = PV(Bond) - Call on Bond? or ...
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646 views

interview question : replication strategy of a betting game

Here is a question I found in a book I am not able to finish. Your help will be much appreciated! I also included where I have been so far. Q: Team A plays team B in a series of 7 games, whoever wins ...
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106 views

Problems with a Black-Scholes modified equation

I haven't really studied much financial mathematics until about 2 months ago so I'm quite new to this stuff, so I'm sorry if this is a trivial question. At the moment I'm trying to work out what the ...
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78 views

Capital increase: which stock price to use as input to Black-Scholes formula?

For an exercise we have to calculate the theoretical value of a scrip / preferential right on its issue day (23 April) in the context of a capital increase. The scrips are issued on 23 April. The ...
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54 views

Equity protection and butterfly certificates pricing

Certificates issued by famous industry names are usually made up by a combination of a fixed income instrument and some vanilla and exotic options. I am looking for something which explains: how to ...
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126 views

Risks Associated with Option Arbitrage Portfolio

If my math is correct, if I construct the following portfolio of options the worst that I can do regardless of what the underlying does is profit $1.74 (less commissions). Is this correct? Are there ...
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2k views

Simulation of Heston process

I am currently working on implementing Heston model in matlab for option pricing (in this case I am trying to price a European call) and I wanted to compare the results I obtain from using the exact ...
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162 views

replicating strategy three step binomial

I am having some trouble setting up a replicating strategy for a call option with a three step binomial model (discrete). I have no trouble doing this in a two step binomial model by backward ...
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113 views

Underlying changes impact on implied volatility

What are some valid techniques that can be used to simulate how changes in the underlying are most likely to impact implied volatility along with the skew of all strikes for options with the same ...
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79 views

What is the main reasons to use Miltersen & Schartz (1998) model for commodity futures options

versus a standard Generalised Black and Scholes model (if there are any?) I have read the paper but I am not to sure about its practical implications as would people with more experience using this ...
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364 views

Zakamouline Optimal Hedging of Options with Transaction Costs

I've read that the Zakamouline method suggests the best optimal hedging of options when taking transaction costs into account. I've read the article but am having difficulty understanding it well ...
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78 views

How to interpret CME's specification regarding grains options expirations?

Looking at the contract specifications for Soybean Meal and Soybean Oil (same for Corn, Wheat, and other major stuff I checked) serial options on CME I see the following expiration rule: the last ...
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579 views

Pricing options and bid-ask spread

Consider a non-liquid option market with a wide bid-ask spreads across all strikes. Spot: \$52 A snapshot of the \$50 strike shows: ...
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1k views

Interpolate option volatility in delta space in R

I have a bunch of deltas and option implied vols at those deltas. I would like to interpolate them in R. Interpolating them in delta space seems difficult, since normally you would like the ATM calls ...
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671 views

How to calculate a the PFE for a Swaption?

How do you calculate the Potential Future Exposure (PFE) for a swaption? Do you incorporate the dynamics of implied volatility when you are running your simulations? Is there a standard way to ...
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82 views

Any thoughts on how Warren Buffet's B of A warrants might be “marked-to-market” by either counterparty?

It's not too long since Berkshire Hathaway got its 10-year warrants in Bank of America alongside its \$5 billion purchase of preferred stock. At the time I saw some discussion about the value of ...
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200 views

What is the highest frequency greek for options on futures on bonds?

I'm considering exchange traded options of futures on bonds. Options on bond futures are usually American, thus the Black model is out of question. Which is the most imporatant Greek with respect to ...
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263 views

Tian third moment-matching tree with smoothing - implementation

I was wondering if someone has an implementation of the Tian third moment-matching tree (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1030143) with smoothing in code (e.g. c++, vba, c#, etc.)? ...
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1answer
848 views

Volatility Smile Approximation

Does anyone know what type of model is used to model the skew and IVs inside Thinkorswim platform for its volatility smile approximation? I am trying to replicate but do not know where to start. Any ...
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1answer
325 views

Under what circumstances Veta is positive?

In general, as the option moves towards expiry, its vega is decreasing. Are there circumstances where the veta, i.e. the sensitivity of vega with respect to time, is positive, that is when vega is ...
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2answers
249 views

Pricing options under a specific framework

I have a specific framework in mind and I would like to value options under this framework. I am not sure whether a closed form solution exists or Monte Carlo methods would work. The framework I have ...
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32 views

How does a concave up volatility smile correct high kurtosis for ATM option contracts?

Theoretically speaking, if we are to assume the following: Constant implied volatility throughout all strike prices The underlying's prices change distribution is log-leptokurtic and symmetric Then ...
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2answers
108 views

Jump diffusion simulation

I want to simulate a geometric Brownian motion and we assume that the volatility of the stock can take just two values $\sigma_1=0.2$ and $\sigma_2=0.8$. We also assume that the jumps up from lower ...
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1answer
89 views

Monte Carlo simulation for OTM options under stochastic volatility

I'm looking to simulate the stochastic price and volatility process (Heston model) using some form of Euler method for Monte Carlo approximation of option prices. The results that I get are acceptable ...
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23 views

How to Show an Arbitrage Opportunity Exist From a Market-Linked CD?

A bank issues a market-linked CD that guarantees the original principal with an interest at an effective annual rate of 2%, plus 70% of the percentage gain on the ABC Inc. non-dividend-paying stock ...
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Why does higher volatility for ATM Call Option lead to a lower risk-neutral probability of expiring ITM?

This is a follow-up question on the discussion in the thread here, from which I borrow the graph below depicting $N(d_2)$ (i.e. the risk neutral probability of a Call option expiring in the money) ...

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