Questions tagged [performance-evaluation]

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224 views

Performance attribution and monthly rebalance: Is a month enough data to calculate Beta and Alpha?

A portfolio is built systematically by calculating scores and rebalanced each month to invest only in the 80 best scores. Scores change frequently and therefore the portfolio changes each month, ...
1 vote
1 answer
218 views

How to calculate the daily rate of return for an actively traded account

I have a spot currency exchange account where the base currency is USD and where I can deposit and/or withdraw money from the account in any currency at any point in time. I can also exchange any ...
0 votes
1 answer
89 views

Highest asset allocation contribution to the fund’s performance

I am preparing for 2020 May FRM II test and will appreciate any explanation for this question: In terms of asset allocation contribution, why is real estate made the highest asset allocation ...
1 vote
2 answers
244 views

Outperform the market with a Beta lower than 1, is it possible? [closed]

I have a portfolio which seems to have outperformed the benchmark for the past 2 years however the risk system I use advises that using recent past data (lookback period of 2 years) the Beta to this ...
0 votes
0 answers
35 views

Practical definition of stock rating scores

I am trying to understand the practical quantitative definitions of the stock scoring system (1-5) that can be commonly found in sell-side analyst predictions. For instance, a score of 3 suggests ...
2 votes
0 answers
56 views

Relation between Sharpe ratio and amount of capital

In the book Quantitative trading by Ernest P. Chan, in one of the example we compute the Sharpe ratio of long-short strategy and one step perplexes me: In column L, compute the net returns for ...
1 vote
1 answer
129 views

How to compute estimate performance with variable returns and days held

I have a trading strategy that results in a number of holdings, each of which has a variable number of days held, and obviously, return. So, for example, suppose I run a Monte Carlo simulation, and ...
7 votes
1 answer
459 views

Alternative relative performance measure to Sharpe ratio for non-IID return

The Sharpe ratio is often used to compare the relative performance of portfolios despite its IID-assumption for the returns being violated. I can find ample warnings about the consequences of ...
2 votes
0 answers
280 views

How to conduct an event-study for a single index (i.e the DJIA) with multiple events

I am a postgraduate student writing my thesis. I am somewhat a novice in the field I have chosen to study, however this has undoubtedly broadened my horizons. I am attempting to evaluate the impact of ...
2 votes
1 answer
59 views

Composite portfolio performance

I'm trying to calculate the combined performance of two portfolios, but keep getting a nonsensical result. I have a Fixed Income & Equity portfolio and the GIPS quarterly performance number from ...
2 votes
2 answers
1k views

How to calculate the Maximum Drawdown for a portfolio in MATLAB?

I would like to verify my approach of calculating the Maximum Drawdown for a portfolio in MATLAB. I've got a vector of returns for the portfolio, to which I add 1 for every return. Afterwards I ...
2 votes
1 answer
70 views

ETF performance/returns

I was going over some ETF return data on yahoo finance and encountered some numbers that did not make sense to me. The image below shows a ytd return of 17.94% and 13.52%. I checked ETF.com and ETFdb ...
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

How to compute cumulative performance of a portfolio with two equities?

I have a time series of adjusted returns for two companies, A and B. I have created a portfolio consisting of these two time series with equal weighting (sum of weights must equal 1): $w_a = w_b=0.5$...
10 votes
2 answers
478 views

How to evaluate minimum-variance strategies against perfect information mvp

The minimum variance portfolio should minimize the standard deviation (variance) of the portfolio at time $t+1$. The covariance matrix $\Sigma_{t+1}$ needs to be estimated in order to form the mvp. ...
2 votes
4 answers
335 views

How likely it is that a strategy profits are explained by luck?

I want to evaluate a trading strategy. My goal is not to compare it with other strategies, but rather to determine how likely it is that the profits are generated from the strategy itself rather than ...
0 votes
2 answers
433 views

P&L Calculation of Option Strategy

I have designed a call writing option strategy, where I am rolling the options upon expiry, i.e., my portfolio consists of one short call position at any given time. I have a time series of the value ...
2 votes
3 answers
6k views

Is there a python library to generate performance metrics from returns of the strategy?

I am backtesting a strategy and have data generated from the returns of the strategy. Now I need performance metrics like maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, Treynor measure etc., I am writing functions ...
0 votes
2 answers
1k views

Calculating 10-year Sharpe ratio for a mutual fund in excel?

Probably a very simple question but here goes. I am looking to calculate the Sharpe ratio for some funds in excel (173 funds to be exact). The monthly returns I have are from January 2006 to December ...
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

Annualising Data

I have a 3 year performance track record of monthly returns. I am trying to calculate the Sortino Ratio, Information Ratio, Treynor index etc. In calculating the Sharpe Ratio I have multiplied the ...
3 votes
2 answers
2k views

performance measure using pnl series

I have a time series of \$pnl of a strategy and nothing else. Can i use it to come up with some sort of a performance measure adjusted for risk? Is $$ \frac{average(\$pnl)} {sigma(\$pnl)}$$ ok to use ...
7 votes
3 answers
321 views

Measuring alpha (Academia vs the Industry)

During academia, I learned to evaluate the performance of a portfolio by calculating alpha as the following: $\alpha_{i} = (R_{it}-R_{ft})-[\beta_i(R_{BMK_t}-R_{ft})]$ where $\alpha_i$ and $\beta_i$ ...
3 votes
1 answer
831 views

Log returns: volatility, outperformance, Sharpe/information ratios

I have developed the habit of simply stating that a 21% return compared to a 10% benchmark return means that the outperformance was 10% (not 11%). So, treating the whole thing in a multiplicative way, ...
0 votes
0 answers
296 views

Sharpe Ratio Calculation Best Practice

For Sharpe ratio formula : $SR(s) = \frac{(x_s - r)}{\sigma_s}$ where for the time period under evaluation : $x_s$ represents the average return of the portfolio $r$ represents average return of ...
1 vote
1 answer
65 views

Testing the accuracy of a created Index

So long story short, I created a Oil/Energy Index from a basket of 5 stocks in the asset class. I am looking to use mean-reversion, in order to help rebalance the allocation of funds between ...
0 votes
2 answers
226 views

What returns to use?

I have monthly returns of my portfolio... I would like to summarize the performance over a longer period in one overall figure. Should I use log returns per month then use geometric mean on the log ...
1 vote
0 answers
405 views

Portfolio risk decomposition using historical data: which weights to use for assets?

I am trying to decompose portfolio risk given historical returns of each asset in the portfolio. For a basic 2 asset portfolio, the portfolio risk is given as $$σ_p^2 = w_x^2 \cdot σ_x^2+ w_y^2 \...
0 votes
1 answer
569 views

Calculate Annualized Return / Annualized Sharpe From Portfolio

If I have a portfolio of stocks that I invest in and out of at different holding periods and different times of the year. How would one calculate the annualized returns and annualized sharpe ratio of ...
4 votes
3 answers
1k views

Risk-adjusted returns ratio that does not reward high risk for negative returns

Think of Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, or anything where (excess) returns $r$ are divided by something that represents risk, $\sigma$: $$\mathrm{performance} = \frac{r}{\sigma}$$ If the returns are ...
1 vote
1 answer
1k views

average return Vs cumulative return interpretation

I am looking for the interpretation which distinguishes between average return and cumulative return. I have two portfolios : the average return of portfolio 2 = 3 10E-4 per day while the average ...
13 votes
2 answers
5k views

Computing the Sharpe Ratio

The building blocks of the Sharpe ratio—expected returns and volatilities—are unknown quantities that must be estimated statistically and are subject to estimation error. The main problem I have is ...
2 votes
0 answers
496 views

kalman filter for a multifactor model in R

I am trying to set up a time varying factor model for the purpose of return decomposition via kalman filter. Following this example and slightly modifying it so as to accommodate for more than one ...
3 votes
1 answer
1k views

What is an accepted method to calculate percent PnL from a short position?

Calculating the normalized (e.g., percent or logarithmic) return on investment on a long (equity, call option, etc...) position is fairly simple. The percent return on investment for any position ...
3 votes
1 answer
355 views

Calculate Sharpe ratio for only one return [closed]

I have only one return for calculating sharp ratio. As you know, we should calculate standard deviation of returns and standard deviation of one item is 0. Suppose that the single return is 0.1 and ...
3 votes
2 answers
269 views

Diversification investment metric for a FI portfolio

What is a good investment metric to reward diversification within a portfolio. Suppose we have a fixed income universe and prefer stable currency, mid yield and mid tenors. Our stressed spread var ...
1 vote
2 answers
1k views

Sharpe Ratio, risk free rate [closed]

when comparing the Sharpe Ratio (SR) of two different funds, does it make a difference, whether I use excess returs (returns - risk free rate) or returns (without dedcuting the risk free rate, ...
3 votes
2 answers
1k views

What's the exact definition of alpha?

I am quite new to finance and I often hear people say 'I have 2 bps of alpha' or 'I have an alpha of two bps' I don't quite understand what does this mean For me alpha is about predicting power. At ...
4 votes
1 answer
3k views

Sortino Ratio calculation

I've been using an Excel template to calculate the Sortino ratio for my automated trading strategies. http://investexcel.net/calculate-the-sortino-ratio-with-excel Basically I input my monthly ...
2 votes
2 answers
607 views

Sharpe ratio: discrete or continuous returns?

The Sharpe ratio is known as $$SR=\frac{\mu-r_f}{\sigma}$$ Are these values calculated from discrete or continuously compounded returns?
1 vote
0 answers
94 views

Comparing two portfolio construction strategies

Suppose that I have two long-only portfolio construction strategies and that I backtest both of them on the same data. If I wanted to find out whether one of these methods would have outperformed the ...
1 vote
0 answers
64 views

Fund Separation Theorem for Performance Seeking Portfolio

Can someone explain this statement? "The beauty of the fund separation theorem is that the performance seeking portfolio mandate is the same for all investors"
0 votes
1 answer
531 views

Performance attribution for personal portfolio - weight attribution

i am building a platform for portfolio analytics, part of which is a performance attribution module. Given that most individual portfolio's can never have the same number of stocks as say, a mutual ...
0 votes
1 answer
72 views

Volatility of monthly performances, where the last month is short

I'd like to calculate the vol of a return series of, say, 25 months. However, the last of those months is not completed yet. The last data point only refers to the first 21 days of the month (say, ...
1 vote
2 answers
2k views

Forex P&l Attribution on Physical Forward position

Please validate my unrealized Fx P&L calculation on the commodity forward contract e.g. consider i have bought 1 MT of wheat at 300 EURO my financial currency for company is USD. I am using below ...
7 votes
2 answers
3k views

Risk-adjusted performance measurement: Log returns vs. simple returns and geometric vs. arithmetic mean return

I have just simulated 49 weeks of correlated returns on 5 different stocks, assuming returns being lognormally distributed. Next, I am supposed to assume that the simulated 49 weeks of returns ...
1 vote
2 answers
389 views

Which one is best Performance evaluation measures?

I want to compare the performance of various volatility models like GARCH, eGARCH, and gjrGARCH from actual volatility(computed using high frequency data). I found 3 common performance evaluation ...
2 votes
1 answer
362 views

Weights in Portfolio Attribution when considering Currency

I'm performing a simple Portfolio attribution with the Brinson 1985 model where returns are decomposed into both an allocation component and a selection. Using the formula, I first did the ...
1 vote
1 answer
227 views

Calculating unweighted performance of stocks within a period

The well known calculation of unweighted index of stocks is just calculating an arithmetic average. And then, to calculate the performance of the index, I calculate the %change of the unweighted ...
1 vote
1 answer
111 views

How can I compare two mutual funds' performance with a sparse set of data?

I want to compare the performance of two mutual funds. The only data I have is annual returns for the past 7 years. So I have 7 observations for Fund 1 and 7 observations for Fund 2. In addition, I ...
4 votes
0 answers
140 views

How does one simulate intraday strategies which don't end up flat at the close?

I ran into this trying to simulate trading interlisted names between the NYSE and the TSX. Depending on my strategy parametrization it would sometimes end up with a significant short or long dollar ...
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

How to evaluate a success rate of a trading strategy

In order to compare various trading strategies, I am trying to calculate the success rate (the ratio of winning and losing trades). While it is clear to me that this indicator is far from being an ...