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Questions tagged [price]

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3
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1answer
156 views

Why is it more accurate to simulate ln(S) rather than S?

Let's take a process $S$ that satisfies: \begin{equation} dS = \mu S dt + \sigma S dz \end{equation} with $dz$ a Wiener process, $\sigma$ the volatility of $S$, $\mu$ the expected return of $S$. From ...
1
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0answers
67 views

Derivative of the stock price and volume at time t

According to Forecasting of Jump Arrivals in Stock Prices: New Attention-based Network Architecture using Limit Order Book Data at page 9, I would be interested in deriving the the price (ask and bid ...
1
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1answer
100 views

What is the order flow imbalance?

The price impact of order book event is an arxiv article which shows that, over short time intervals, price changes are mainly driven by the order flow imbalance, defined as the imbalance between the ...
2
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0answers
28 views

About buying and selling a cumulative parisian options

I ask my question here because I want to know more about the cumulative Parisian options introduced by M. Chesney, Mr. Jeanblanc-Picué and Mr. Yor in 1997, then developed by Hugonnier in 1999 and F. ...
1
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2answers
118 views

Clean vs. Dirty Price and its impact on duration

When calculating duration would you use the clean price or the dirty price? why for either?
0
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1answer
82 views

Geometric brownian motion and sudden price drops

Simple question of a curious person: One can say that prices tend to rise "slowly" and drop "all of a sudden". Still, they are a geometric composition upon random returns. As I understand, this is ...
0
votes
1answer
77 views

Determining the probability of arriving at a price by a time T

A useful calculation for ascertaining the risk of something might be determining the probability of a realization of a set of stock prices $X$ being greater than or equal to some future price $x$. I ...
0
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0answers
184 views

Gonzalo Granger and Hasbrouck Information Share

I am trying to implement the two methods for price discovery following this paper Price Discovery in CDS and Bond Markets. I allready looked for implementation and based my work on this R project ...
0
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0answers
65 views

OHLC inconsistencies in bloomberg

This may be clear to a practitioner, but consider the following rows of OHLC points: 55.20 56.50 55.35 55.45 (low > open) 53.30 53.30 53.20 53.325 (close > high) These are taken from ...
0
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1answer
84 views

Calculating Flat Price Risk for Physical Commodity Trades

I've been reading Craig Pirrongs Economics of Trading Firms published by Trafigura: https://www.trafigura.com/media/1364/economics-commodity-trading-firms.pdf Very informative read. The point I have ...
0
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2answers
559 views

How does after-hours trading affect the next session prices? [closed]

I just read about after-hours trading (and here ), but remain unclear as to what happens to the price level of the next open session. In other words, Do the prices change during after-market hours? (...
4
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1answer
201 views

Does margin trading affect market price?

Does supply and demand in CFD trading affect the actual price of financial market?
0
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1answer
72 views

Question about order book and single player interference

Let us suppose I have 1 Million US Dollars, and I am given an ask value of 0.45 USD per share in a given share. Let us call it MRD3. If I place an order of the type bid, in which I offer only 0.01 USD ...
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0answers
52 views

Are there ways of detecting a price bubble of an asset with no inherent value such as Bitcoin, purely based on an existing momentum in pricing?

I have heard of existing methods of detecting bubbles in the pricing of precious metals like gold and was wondering if, by extension, something similar could be done to examine prices of ...
4
votes
1answer
272 views

Relation between price changes and trading volume (market impact)

It is quite a well-know phenomenon that trading volume has an impact on a stock price: the more you buy the higher is a price because of demand increment. I'm wondering about models that can describe ...
1
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0answers
88 views

Simulation of Traders [closed]

I am writing a simulation of how traders will behave in an emergent market. The idea is to see how traders can use information from other traders to make a decisions as to whether they will buy, sell, ...
2
votes
1answer
94 views

Does a trade always change the mid-price?

I would like to ask: Let assume that the mid-price now is m0, then a trade happens and the new mid-price is m1. Is it possible ...
1
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0answers
58 views

Cox-Ross-Rubinstein - getting volatility

i have exam coming on financial engineering, and need help asap with this thing. Basically there's a European put option ex dividend. We know that the stock price is $S_t = 85$, the exercise price is $...
0
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1answer
357 views

How to price a quanto basket option?

EDIT: Maybe there is no way to get explicit solutions for basket options (maybe the Black-Scholes differential equation can't be solved directly ??). Q3: How do you price and hedge ( S1(T) + S2(T) - ...
0
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2answers
72 views

Fill prices on limit and market orders

Suppose the book of ticker X is empty. Simultaneously trader A sends a limit buy order for 1 unit of ...
0
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0answers
54 views

Methods for modelling price shocks

I am doing stress-testing of central counterparties, how a price shock affects them. The central counterparties calculate the required collateral based on a "normal" market, the distribution of the ...
0
votes
1answer
39 views

Share price after acquisition announcement (specifically QCOM NXP)

Recently it was announced that QCOM plans to acquire NXP in a deal taht values NXP at \$110 per share. In this case I would expect that the shares of NXP should rise up and hit the \$110 mark and stay ...
3
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2answers
340 views

What does implied volatility means for different call and put strike prices?

Why there different implied volatility for different strike prices?, Can plz someone explain to me? I am pretty new to options. Thanks in advance
1
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2answers
540 views

Scale prices in multiple stocks for comparison

I have a chart with prices of multiple stocks. The problem is that some prices are below 100 while others are above 1000, so the chart is really ugly. How do I compare historical in multiple stocks, ...
-1
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1answer
85 views

How to calculate the elapsed time until a stock reach a certain price?

In specific, I will set a certain price to a stock and I want to know how long takes until the historical prices reach this price. Thanks you.
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0answers
22 views

What are commonly used price movement color schemes?

What are commonly used price movement color schemes? Like American: up - green, down - red European: up - blue, down - red Asian 1: up - red, down - green Asian 2: up - blue, down - red Are these ...
3
votes
1answer
167 views

Interpretation of Risk Premium for Schwartz one-factor model

I have to deal with this one-factor model: \begin{equation*} \begin{cases} dS_t = \alpha \bigl(\mu - \log(S_t) \bigr)S_t \, dt + \sigma S_{t} \, dW_t \, , t \geq 0,\\ S|_{t=0} = S_0 > 0, \end{...
1
vote
2answers
304 views

How do I get a good mid-price?

I 'm trying to get a mid price for forex data. This answer by alex suggests that I shouldn't simply take ask minus bid. I am not a high frequency trader or market maker. My purpose for the fx mid ...
1
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1answer
128 views

The Dog That Did Not Bark?

I've been reading Cochrane's 2006 paper "The Dog that did not bark: A Defense of Return Predictability", but i am still struggling to understand what the dog was, and why it wasn't barking? If anyone ...
2
votes
2answers
448 views

Correlation: Use Price or Return? Return doesn't make sense [closed]

I am trying to find the correlation between the returns of two indices over a long period of time (10 years+) . Should I be using the index daily price level or the index daily total return? Most ...
0
votes
1answer
237 views

Design models using adjusted or unadjusted stock prices (time series prediction)?

I'm creating a predictive model for closing price of stocks (using neural network and support vector machines.). Is it appropriate to use adjusted prices or unadjusted prices for this prediction ...
2
votes
1answer
349 views

Strategies to merge bid, offer and trade price time series into a single price time series?

I'm doing intraday analysis on low volume stocks. There are just a few trades every day, but a whole host of bids and offers. In order to reduce the sparsity of the time series data I'd like to ...
1
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0answers
217 views

Finding metal price data from LME

Does anyone know any sites that allows you to download free historical monthly metal (copper and aluminium) price data, the best would be LME data. I need historical spot prices, inventory, ...
2
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3answers
154 views

Commodity market. Why would actual sellers / buyers bother about speculative price?

Investopedia says: The following are two types of futures traders: hedgers speculators An example of a hedger would be an airline buying oil futures to guard against potential ...
0
votes
1answer
127 views

How to estimate today's closing price?

I'm working on interday trading algorithm and I have a basic question: How can I estimate today's closing price? I need it to predict tomorrow closing price. Should I use the price few moments before ...
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0answers
19 views

Which rate have to be considered by using multiliteral netting?

I do have a netting structure consisting of four companies (A,B,C,D) and a netting center. The center also takes place in the netting process. The netting center uses the EUR as currency. Company A ...
2
votes
2answers
310 views

Normalizing SPY ETF time series data with its sector ETFs?

I am looking to compare the returns of a sector rotation strategy between the various SPDR sector ETFs XLY, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLU vs. ...
1
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0answers
57 views

simple game - fair value

Suppose a person A has the following game: there are 2 red balls, 2 green balls and 1 white ball in a bag you take 1 ball (don't put it again in the bag) and then a second ball if you take the white ...
-1
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1answer
28 views

How does Fed Qe affect the housing sales in the US? Why does it happen to be that way?

From my research, Fed's Qe should encourage house sales, however the graph shows houses price in the state seem to gradually go down after 2009. Isn't that contradicting itself? Ain't the increase in ...
0
votes
1answer
70 views

Finding circumstances for price of call = price of put

Here is a problem in Hull's book and the given solution: My approach was to compute the profit $\pi = \pi_{SP} + \pi_{LC}$ (short put, long call). One can show that $\pi = \pi_{SP} + \pi_{LC} = S_T -...
2
votes
1answer
155 views

How to distinguish trending/consolidating market conditions programatically?

Can someone please suggest me a method to programatically identify trending/consolidating market condition by reading ohlc data? Currently I'm thinking of checking the current price within last n ...
1
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0answers
63 views

What is the minimum price change required for a trading position increase of 1?

Suppose I have a trading system that calculates the daily risk adjusted position from the annualized risk, that is, the standard deviation of the returns of a stock over an arbitrary period of time. I ...
1
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3answers
2k views

What is the difference between market equilibrium and market efficiency? equilibrium implies efficiency?

The market efficiency hypothesis means securities are traded at their fair price. If the market is at the equilibrium, does it mean the market is efficiency? If equilibrium cannot implies efficiency,...
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2answers
171 views

Why is volume a totally independent variable from price?

In Martin Pring's book "Technical analysis explained", when talking about volume, he asserts that it is "a totally independent variable from price" Why is this?
2
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0answers
83 views

Why do leveraged and inverse leveraged WTI ETNs have this price relationship?

UWTI: 3x leveraged exposure to WTI DWTI: 3x leveraged inverse exposure to WTI The inverse relationship between these two symbols seems to trend toward the origin on a log-log plot (using log base 2)....
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0answers
91 views

Calculating Asset Returns

The question pertains to a simple phenomenon. There is gold futures listed on Exchange A and Exchange B. Exchange A and Exchange B overlap times with A and B starting 8 hours later and A and B ...
2
votes
1answer
129 views

Quick way to extrapolate call price as function of strike

Let's say I know the price of a call for two different values of strike. Is there a quick way to guess the price for another value of strike ? Actually, I know that C(100)=15 and C(90)=20 and I have ...
0
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1answer
728 views

How to forecast bond price with time series

I have the goal of being able to develop a model that can forecast the future prices of european government bond (or other private bonds), particularly from the historical prices and returns of the ...
2
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0answers
166 views

Finding relative price strength as defined in CANSLIM stock picking methodology

I am wondering if there is any website that provides relative price strength as is defined in CAN SLIM stock picking methodology. For the CAN SLIM difinition I am looking at this article: http://www....
1
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1answer
421 views

Proving there exists no arbitrage opportunities given 3 states and 2 assets

Assume there are 3 states of the world: w1, w2, and w3. Assume there are two assets: a risk-free asset returning Rf in each state, and a risky asset with Return R1 in state w1, R2 in state w2, and R3 ...