Questions tagged [quant-trading-strategies]

Quantitative trading strategies use quantitative signals and a set of predefined systematic rules to make trading decisions. Strategies operate within parameters based on historical analysis (backtesting) and real world market studies (forward testing). Strategies may be executed manually (by a human trader) or automatically (by a computer).

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245 views

Is there a relationship between Risk Neutral Pricing framework and Nash Equilibria?

Based on the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, the risk neutral price of a contingent claim on an asset in a liquid, arbitrage free market can be determined by switching to an equivalent $Q-$ ...
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583 views

Questions on Kelly criterion

I am new to asset allocation problems and have some concerns regarding the derivation of the continuous-time Kelly criterion (i.e. not the original version destined to discrete sports betting/Casino). ...
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1k views

Meaning of cross sectional rank

This paper mentions the concept of rank which is defined as cross sectional rank. For e.g. one of the alphas (#3) is (-1 * correlation(rank(open), rank(volume), 10)) 10 is just the number of days ...
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120 views

How does one simulate intraday strategies which don't end up flat at the close?

I ran into this trying to simulate trading interlisted names between the NYSE and the TSX. Depending on my strategy parametrization it would sometimes end up with a significant short or long dollar ...
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358 views

Calculating index arbitrage

I have a days-worth of level 2 market data. I am calculating S&P500 index arbitrage. I have a few questions about the calculation: 1) Should I be summing all the bids and asks from the stocks ...
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82 views

Realistic Modeling of Capacity in Backtesting a trading strategy

Typically the backtest of a quantitative trading strategy assumes a fixed period and fixed capital at the start to backtest a strategy. However, each strategy has a capacity (due to non-linear trading ...
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1answer
116 views

evaluating garch models

I used ugarchroll to backtest my garch model on S&P returns this is my code ...
3
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1answer
64 views

Exposure/Factor Analysis on a loan portfolio?

I am working on performing factor analysis on a loan portfolio. This is my understanding so far, and I was hoping that some of the smart folks here might be able to chime and guide me through this ...
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55 views

Dealing with missing factors

I have to deal with a factor investing strategy, with the particularity that I can't get a value for the factor for each date for each stock. Practically speaking, this is due to the fact that this ...
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96 views

Backtesting: what happens to real-executed order if mine fills instead?

I'm writing a backtester and using an order-by-order Nasdaq ITCH feed whilst testing it. Let's say the bid-ask spread is 100 @ 9-11 @ 100 My strategy inserts an bid order for 100 @ 10 and this ...
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644 views

Rationale behind volatility dispersion (or correlation) trading

When looking at the explanation of CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Indices available here, it is written that such indices: [...] "may be used to provide trading signals for a strategy known as ...
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458 views

Can a stat arb alpha be a global macro alpha?

In academic literature, "statistical arbitrage" is opposed to (deterministic) arbitrage.[1] In deterministic arbitrage, a sure profit can be obtained from being long some securities and short others. ...
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152 views

reconstruct LOB from NASDAQ ITCH -how to handle market price order

I am trying to reconstruct the limit order book from the NASDAQ Historical TotalView -ITCH data. After I decode the raw data, I can successfully generate whole messages flow from ITCH data. However,in ...
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89 views

Trading rules from automated search

I after talking to a research fellow, researched about trading rules from automated search. I found in the book Finding Alphas by Tulchinsky a general chapter, ...
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214 views

Assets cointegration: optimal inventory for futures market

I'm interested in HFT cointegration stratagies, and recently found interesting article "Algorithmic Trading of Co-Integrated Assets" The article describes mean-reversion strategy for N-assets. ...
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88 views

How to trade risk-adjusted returns?

Why does dividing daily returns by daily range eliminates fat tails and results in an (almost) gaussian distribution? And how could that distribution be exploited to enter trades?
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64 views

Johansen cointegration Test for spread generation

I'm using the python statsmodels version of the johansen cointegration test and I'm looking for some advice on how best to generate the spread used within a pairs trading algorithm. For example I've ...
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108 views

Calculating % Return in Pairs Trading Strategy

Hi guys Could you help me here? I would like to calculate the return of a Pairs Trading strategy. For example: 18/11 - Open the Trade: I will go long on A and Short on B: Stock A : $ 32.24 Stock B ...
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74 views

When to remove a trading strategy?

Every strategy has a limited lifespan. How do you decide when to stop a particular strategy as it has lost its edge? Few of things that can be thought is strategy crossing its maximum drawdown, net ...
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85 views

Kingdom of Denmark Nikkei put warrants

I have read in a book from Emanuel Derman that Goldman Sachs manufactured a derivative in the early 90's that consisted of buying cheap puts on th Nikkei index (and paid in Yen), combined them which a ...
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108 views

how to avoid building a strategy that depends on very long trends

When I construct a strategy, it is easy to make subtle dependencies on trends that have existed for a long time. Sometimes it is legit to explicitly take advantage of the trends. For example, it has ...
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105 views

Yield Curve Trading Strategy Explaining Books

Recently I really enjoyed being here while getting great recommendations. Would like to thank you all. Could you please recommend some books/papers on trading strategies, lets say yield curve ...
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321 views

How to calculate “Differential Sharpe ratio”?

Instead of using the "sliding the time window" method of calculating the sharpe ratio under online framework, they've defined "differential sharpe ratio" as such But under equation 5, you can ...
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182 views

Arbitrage from ATM option trading?

So I was testing out a collar options strategy (long put, short call, and long shares of the underlying stock) in a backtest for a school finance project, and the profits & losses are given by the ...
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170 views

Exotic derivatives - Replication

I would like to replicate the payoff Max(0, Min(S1, K) - S2) with a combination of the following derivatives: -> option on S1, strike of our choice -> option on (S1-S2), strike of our choice -> A ...
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457 views

Approximating Market Making PnL with a Trend Following Strategy

In an interview about the setting up AHL Michael Adams made the following quote (the quote relates to their pre AHL days when they acted as consultants): I think because we we re doing work for ...
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131 views

Need some suggestion about short vxx long vx future strategy

I read a post by M. Avellaneda trading volatility At page 59-62 there's Strategies with VIX futures to hedge short VXX I'd like to reproduce the result. I am not sure how to do it. Some key points ...
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66 views

Reduced rank / matrix factorisation techniques and their uses in portfolio optimisation?

I am interested in reduced rank / matrix factorisation techniques and their uses across finance and portfolio optimisation. For example, PCA might be used to reduce the number of components you are ...
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355 views

Trading strategies for increased realized volatility

Suppose once every 2-3 weeks I have a way to select a few equities that are likely to exhibit higher realized volatility in the future month (relative to the past month). Historically, the average ...
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376 views

cointegration strategy

If it can be proved that two time series $$S_t^1=\alpha + \beta S_t^2 + \xi_t$$ representing stocks are correlated, with $\beta=-2$ and then are proved to be cointegrated, how a portfolio should be ...
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64 views

Literature to Learn about Different Instruments

What is a good source of literature to learn about the specifics of various instruments that are traded? For example, suppose I wanted to know more about MBS's, i.e. how exactly they are securitized, ...
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105 views

References about market neutral portfolios that isolate unsystematic risk

I am looking for references, information, backtests etc. about market neutral portfolios that go long the index and short stocks of that index with high unsystematic (idiosyncratic) risk. The idea is ...
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0answers
2k views

How to calculate returns of backtested strategy?

Lets say I have some strategy (long/short) backtested for certain period. Strategy has entries/exits only at the end of the day and may have overnight positions hold. Now I would like to compare ...
2
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0answers
137 views

seasonality and generalized additive model

I am reading a report which talks about seasonality. There is a chart showing the average returns for each month of the year. In the chart it appears the last 3 months of the year tend to be negative. ...
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74 views

robust regions in grid search

I have a strategy f that takes parameters x,y (for x,y taking values in integer ranges). I get two grids (of returns and volatility values) from computing f(xi,yi) for integer ranges x1 <= xi <= ...
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291 views

trading strategy outperforms passive strategy in absolute terms, but in returns vice versa. how could this be?

Background: I want to compare two trading strategies in term of profitability. The red one is an active trading strategy, which involves many entry and exit to a specific market. The blue one is a ...
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382 views

Fluid dynamics for order book depth modelling

Would someone be able to give me an idea what type of fluid dynamics I could look at for modelling the order book? My background is more signals-related maths (correlation, covariance, fourier etc). ...
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60 views

Meta Labeling for trading opportunities

In Advances in Financial Machine Learning, Lopez explains how we should build a primary exogenous model (binary classifier) to identify trading opportunities and a secondary meta model to filter out ...
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60 views

What are some special trading phenomena that would be interesting to research?

I'm looking to research special trading phenomena like end-of-month bonds activity, daily closing imbalances in cash equities, futures expiration/settlement manipulation (like in VIX) etc. What are ...
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1answer
78 views

Benchmark of a Dollar Neutral Strategy

A dollar neutral strategy invests the same amount of money long and short without accounting for the volatility (risk) of either side. Depending on volatility you either end up positively or ...
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0answers
42 views

Are there any known text analysis NLP bots that read 8k filings, news, twits, articles - “understand” them and trade based on their derived meaning?

I want to build an NLP bot that "reads" and understands meaning and sentiment of articles, twits and trades on them. E.g. understand general sentiment of comments under important financial blog posts ...
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100 views

pca for yield curve

I used Principe component analysis on yield curve data this was the result ...
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0answers
60 views

How to properly hedge a short vol taking into account hedge stop loss?

Suppose a short straddle. In practice, hedging with long/short futures exposes to the risk of hitting a stop loss when market movements are wide. Eventually, it may very well happen that the hedge ...
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0answers
311 views

How to improve fitness and turnover in websim?

Well, I am new to quantitative finance.After reading a few things I started developing alphas on the websim platform by worldquant.Almost all the alphas I made had a decent sharpe(>2), but they ...
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61 views

RUGARCH (output) and Residual Resampling using GARCH(1,1)

I try to replicate the methodology proposed by Freedman and Peters (1984a, 1984b) which was applied in the famous paper by Brock, Lakonishok and LeBaron (1992) to generate many artificial log return ...
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117 views

Pairs trading strategy: Portfolio returns and NAV

Currently trying a pairs trading approach using cointegration. Tried both formations: $$log(P_t^A)=log(P_t^B) \hat{\gamma}+\hat{\mu}+\epsilon_t \hspace{0.5cm} (1)$$ $$P_t^A=P_t^B \hat{\gamma}+\hat{\...
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57 views

Correlation between a sector and MSCI ACWI returns

I have daily return data of 11 sectors of MSCI World Index and the MSCI ACWI index. I want to know the stationarity of correlations between the sectors and MSCI ACWI index. This is what I have done: ...
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52 views

How to make use of sector index returns data to analyze the overall stock market index

I have a set of indices returns data, namely, ...
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0answers
74 views

Probability of outlier events for laplace distribution

I've read that the laplace distribution is better for forecasting purposes than the normal distribution due to it better accounting for fat tails. However, when I run the numbers in matlab, laplace ...
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41 views

How are Risk indices linked to Physical Trading returns?

Ref to my previous question here: Physical trading spot transaction analysis-Quantified I have been able to narrow down my aim to defining a physical trading strategy P&L. My question is, how ...