Questions tagged [regression]

Techniques for modeling and analyzing several variables, when the focus is on the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables.

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How can the different r2 score of an AR(1) model on prices vs. returns be explained

This is maybe a silly question, but I want to understand. As far as I understand an AR(1) model, it is basically a linear regression model with the same but lagged variable, right? However I am ...
23 views

Tradeoffs of using Loess regression to fit random walks

I am curious if anyone has had much experience attempting to predict random walks using Loess regression or a variant of local statistical methods.
51 views

Performance attribution and monthly rebalance: Is a month enough data to calculate Beta and Alpha?

A portfolio is built systematically by calculating scores and rebalanced each month to invest only in the 80 best scores. Scores change frequently and therefore the portfolio changes each month, ...
224 views

Extrapolate Implied Volatility Surface

I have a moneynessratio-tenor volatility surface and want to extrapolate the implied volatility for moneynessratios > 150%. The volatility surface was downloaded for different points in time, so I ...
82 views

How to interpret a value stock with 0 beta to HML portfolio

I am unsure of how to interpret stocks that have a low P/b but have a low beta when regressed onto the HML portfolio. Conversely, I have found stocks that are not cheap but have a high beta to HML ...
192 views

Portfolio Return Decomposition

Barra gives factor weights for a common set of factors, for each asset. Given a long-short portfolio, is there a way I can combine the individual factor weights to get the factor exposures for the ...
59 views

Cross Effect in OLS

I am using cross effect in OLS regression for a time series problem for a multivariate regression. I want to quote reference for use of cross effect. Secondly, I want to explain why better to use ...
23 views

Compare a timeseries of projected versus actual returns?

I am trying to validate the use of a model. I have two streams of NPV calculations, one is the actual return, the other is the projected return. Those streams are turned into deltas from one time ...
267 views

Multiple regression on hedge fund returns

I have a data set of long/short equity hedge funds returns and their associated benchmarks (market indices). I need to form multiple regression on the fund returns using the benchmarks returns as ...