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Questions tagged [returns]

The asset rate of returns is the profit on a particular investment; it includes any change in the asset value, interest, commission or dividends and so, all other cash-flows which an investors receive or pays due to the investment.

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22 votes
1 answer
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Skewness and Kurtosis under aggregation

Returns possess non-zero skewness and excess kurtosis. If these assets are temporally aggregated both will disappear due to the law of large numbers. To be exact, if we assume IID returns skewness ...
Bob Jansen's user avatar
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15 votes
3 answers
14k views

Daily returns using adjusted close

I want to chart the daily returns of a stock, and I'm using Yahoo finance data to download historic data. I was told to use Adjusted Close, but there seems to be an issue with this. For ANTO.L, you ...
LJW's user avatar
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0 votes
1 answer
4k views

How to calculate the annual contribution of a fund to a portfolio of funds?

let's assume I have a portfolio of two funds (call them F1 and F2), where, by convention, there is a monthly compounding of the returns. On a monthly basis, the contribution of each fund will just be ...
sen_saven's user avatar
  • 441
30 votes
11 answers
25k views

Should I use an arithmetic or a geometric calculation for the Sharpe Ratio?

What are the advantages/disadvantages of using the arithmetic Sharpe Ratio vs the geometric Sharpe Ratio? Is one more correct? Or is one better in certain circumstances?
Kelly's user avatar
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29 votes
5 answers
15k views

Should Sharpe ratio be computed using log returns or relative returns?

I am trying to reconcile some research with some published values of 'Sharpe ratio', and would like to know the 'standard' method for computing the same: Based on daily returns? Monthly? Weekly? ...
shabbychef's user avatar
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7 votes
2 answers
11k views

Fama-French Data from daily to monthly returns

Ken French on his website publishes daily, monthly and yearly returns for the Fama-French 3 Factors model which are excess market (Rm-Rf), small-minus-big (SMB) and high-minus-low (HML) returns. I ...
conighion's user avatar
  • 111
4 votes
2 answers
7k views

Fama French & Solving for Alpha

This is a question about comparing results from the Fama french 3 factor model. I have not physically done this, but let's assume a Fama French 3 factor regression was performed for Coca-Cola (KO) ...
Jack Armstrong's user avatar
4 votes
5 answers
9k views

Appropriate method for calculating negative returns on a trading strategy?

I have a cumulative profit/loss time series below for a trading strategy, what is the appropriate way to calculate the returns in percentage for such a series? My issue is the appropriate ...
user1129988's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
584 views

Returns of an interest rate swap

I would like to calculate returns for a plain-vanilla (fixed-for-floating) interest rate swap. Consider, that I am long in USD 5-year swap rate, i.e. I'm holding a receiver swap for 5-year swap rate ...
jacobb's user avatar
  • 11
1 vote
1 answer
119 views

Contribution to compound returns

When trying to recreate this chart from Deutsche on contribution to compound returns of an asset class I'm using log returns of each percentile group (bottom, mid, top), take the sum and divide each ...
Bball's user avatar
  • 13
1 vote
1 answer
441 views

Return on investment in spreads

I have a hard time getting my head around this. Let's say you have a strategy that consists in buying one future spread, for instance CL Z7-Z8 (crude oil dec17 minus dec18). It's easy to calculate the ...
d--b's user avatar
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17 votes
4 answers
17k views

Why do we usually model returns and not prices?

I think this is a quite similar question for most of you, however it is not completely understandable for me at the moment: Why do we usually use returns and not prices to model financial data in ...
jeffrey's user avatar
  • 539
10 votes
2 answers
10k views

Definition of Return of A Long/short Portfolio

This can either be a silly question or a question with no sure rigorous answer but defined with some convention. Any way, here it is. What is the (industrial recognized) definition of the return of a ...
Hans's user avatar
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9 votes
2 answers
920 views

What is a reasonable upper bound on the performance of a daily trading strategy?

I am backtesting an equity trading strategy which trades only once per day. Is there a general rule of thumb for the reasonable upper bound on the rate of return of such a strategy? For example, a ...
monksy's user avatar
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9 votes
5 answers
8k views

Under the CAPM, how do I deal with market returns being below the risk-free rate?

Let's say I'm using CAPM to estimate the cost of equity, so I need expected market returns for the calculations. The standard approach is simply to compute arithmetic mean of an index (or rather its ...
Always Right Never Left's user avatar
9 votes
2 answers
4k views

Quantmod: what's the difference between ROC(Cl(SPY)) and ClCl(SPY)

I feel like I'm missing something fundamental here, but I can't shake the feeling that these two series should be equivalent. /edit: there is also dailyReturn(Cl(SPY)). I've seen all 3 of these ...
Zach's user avatar
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8 votes
1 answer
844 views

Should cointegration be tested using close or adjusted close prices?

When doing cointegration tests should I use the adjusted close price or just close price for the time series? The dividend of each stock is on different dates and can cause jumps in the data.
Freewind's user avatar
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8 votes
3 answers
389 views

Can Gaussianity of returns depend on the time frame?

I would be interested in knowing if the fact that returns are Gaussian is disproved on all time frames, or if, for example, the 5 minute intra-day time frame could exhibits Gaussian returns assuming ...
Monolite's user avatar
  • 367
7 votes
1 answer
15k views

How to annualize skewness and kurtosis based on daily returns

I'm trying to annualize the four moments based on a string of daily returns (continuously compounded) for 11 years. The formulas for the annualization of the mean and the standard deviation I did ...
Stephan's user avatar
  • 73
5 votes
6 answers
3k views

CAPM - Expected vs. actual returns

I'm trying to calculate alpha in excess of CAPM and have seen a few slightly different calculations for CAPM. The primary difference I am seeing is that some equations use expected market returns (e....
santorch's user avatar
  • 115
4 votes
4 answers
8k views

Calculate bond returns from yields

I have to construct and evaluate portfolio of bonds and stocks, namely I need to get return on portfolio, standard deviation and sharpe ratios. I have weekly data that contains stock prices, and I ...
forstenn's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
3k views

Carry Trade vs synthetic Carry Trade using forward contracts

When it comes to foreign exchange carry trade strategy, the definition is straightforward: an investor borrows 1 US-\$ in the US (low interest country) and invests that \$1 to AU (high interest ...
forstenn's user avatar
3 votes
3 answers
6k views

Computing Pooled IRR from the IRRs of parts

Suppose I have two cash flows: CF1: -10001001001100 CF2: -20020301 I can compute now: IRR(CF1) = 10% IRR(CF2) =-55% IRR(CF1+CF2) = 4.46% Is there a way to compute (or at least get a fair estimate) ...
KT.'s user avatar
  • 75
3 votes
3 answers
472 views

How to identify daily returns as an unusual daily return given a dataset

I am currently calculating daily returns of a stock with the following formula: $$R_t = \frac{P_t - P_{t-1}}{P_{t-1}}$$ However, once I have the data, I am unable to establish a range to classify the ...
FFFAR's user avatar
  • 33
2 votes
1 answer
225 views

Is it always better to use the entire distribution of a financial returns series, not just $\mu$ and $\sigma$?

In finance models that use historical returns for inputs, including option pricing models, forecasting and portfolio optimization, only the statistical moments of the returns distribution, $\mu$ and $\...
develarist's user avatar
  • 3,000
2 votes
1 answer
877 views

T-statistics on monthly returns vs annualized monthly returns

eqI am very confused about a very basic question. This is probably more statistics than quantitative finance, but still, should be useful for this stackexchange board as well. Let's assume I have ...
phdstudent's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
738 views

How are Fama French Factor Returns for the last 3 and 12 months calculated?

In the Fama/French data library the monthly research factors for the Fama-French-3-Factor-Model and the Fama-French-5-Factor-Model are presented. I don't see how they are calculating the factor ...
Comma's user avatar
  • 21
2 votes
0 answers
496 views

kalman filter for a multifactor model in R

I am trying to set up a time varying factor model for the purpose of return decomposition via kalman filter. Following this example and slightly modifying it so as to accommodate for more than one ...
sen_saven's user avatar
  • 441
2 votes
1 answer
372 views

How to deal with missing returns when creating value (equal) weighted returns

recently I am doing cross sectional regressions, and getting confused about missing returns. Suppose we have 100 stocks, then we want to construct a value weighted return (or equal weighted return). ...
GrumpyJun's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
2k views

Drivers of equity returns: dividend yield, change in P/E and dividend (or earnings) growth

In an NBIM paper I read the following: "... one can break down the total equity return into the dividend yield (the starting valuation), the change in the P/E ratio (the change in valuation) ...
Wecon's user avatar
  • 21
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

annual excess returns from CAPM on monthly total returns

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on the ...
László's user avatar
  • 229
1 vote
1 answer
581 views

Simulating Correlated Stock Returns in Python (SciPy)

I'm looking to generate stock returns with inter-stock correlation in Python. However, the output is not behaving properly and may have accidental temporal correlation causing issues. This code is ...
rhaskett's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
8k views

What are DGTW adjusted returns?

Many papers, e.g. in The Journal of Finance, discuss DGTW adjusted returns (or DGTW abnormal returns) instead of just returns. What are these and how does one compute them?
Sunv's user avatar
  • 321
1 vote
2 answers
447 views

What are the units of the variance of returns?

I am a little confused about the units of the variance of returns. One way to compute that would be to look at the units of returns- $$r=\frac{1}{\Delta t}\ln\frac{P(t+\Delta t)}{P(t)}=\text{...
Amrit Prasad's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
222 views

How to calculate the daily rate of return for an actively traded account

I have a spot currency exchange account where the base currency is USD and where I can deposit and/or withdraw money from the account in any currency at any point in time. I can also exchange any ...
finstats's user avatar
  • 403
1 vote
2 answers
8k views

How does one calculate carry-roll-down theoretically assuming expectations of short-term rates are realised

I am not asking for an explanation that is hugely quantitative, but rather one that is more intuitive. I am aware that there are different assumptions that one could take when it comes to carry-roll-...
junior_pm's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
515 views

Granger causality with stocks and CDS

I would like to take a closer look at stock prices and CDS spreads of different entities. Because both of them are nonstationary in levels, I use log stock returns and the first difference of the CDS. ...
Kuma's user avatar
  • 183
1 vote
2 answers
294 views

Questions on continuously compounded return vs long term expected return

I have reading a paper from Oliver Grandville on long term expected return. I am trying to reconcile what I am reading in that paper vs what I see under "Application to Stock Market" in Kelly ...
qwer's user avatar
  • 333
1 vote
1 answer
528 views

Do EWMA weights remove autocorrelation in asset returns?

I know that the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) volatility estimator drapes a decaying weight function over historical returns in order to weight the past according to the decay of their ...
develarist's user avatar
  • 3,000
1 vote
2 answers
3k views

Correlation between S&P500 returns and 10y US Treasuries yields

I'd like to investigate the comovement of stock index returns with bond yields but I don't know which return's duration to use (1-year, 1-month or anything else) to get a better view of the ...
Alberto M's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
162 views

How to deal with missing stock returns?

If I want to calculate the Covariance between two stocks but there are missing days in both, how can I deal with missing data? I want to use Pairwise deletion and only use the days of which both ...
johnCena12345678's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
360 views

Converting international equity returns to USD

Background: I am trying to replicate some results from the Betting Against Beta paper by Frazzini & Pedersen (FP). (http://www.econ.yale.edu/~af227/pdf/Betting%20Against%20Beta%20-%20Frazzini%...
Mike Haye's user avatar
  • 193
0 votes
2 answers
540 views

Return on a CDS portfolio

Good evening, I try to compute the performance of a portfolio of a CDS. I already know how to mark-to-market a CDS but typically, the first time you enter a CDS, you invest zero as the mark-to-market ...
Gamma's user avatar
  • 1
0 votes
2 answers
132 views

How can I calculate returns for three investment strategy?

Assume that the price of DF stock went from a price of $104 on March 2 to 146 on April 1. With a current stock price of 146, there is a call option available on the DF stock with an exercise price ...
1190's user avatar
  • 109
-1 votes
1 answer
983 views

Momentum strategy cumulation of K-monthly returns over multiple months [duplicate]

In a momentum strategy, every month you form a portfolio of winners. Each of these portfolio you hold for K months. So after K months you sell the 1st portfolio, after K+1 months you sell the next and ...
DVV's user avatar
  • 3
-2 votes
1 answer
332 views

IRR for irregular cashflow in and out

So I work for a real estate development umbrella company and the developers that work within it borrow money as needed from the company and receive a percentage of the inflows after repayment of debt. ...
Marky Mark's user avatar
-2 votes
1 answer
904 views

CURRENCY ADJUSTED RETURNS: How to adjust stock returns in foreign currency (e.g., EUR) to local currency (USD)?

I have collected monthly stock returns (in %) denominated in EUR and exchange rate EUR/USD. I am trying to adjust the monthly stock returns denominated in EUR to monthly stock returns denominated in ...
Oliver's user avatar
  • 13