# Questions tagged [returns]

The asset rate of returns is the profit on a particular investment; it includes any change in the asset value, interest, commission or dividends and so, all other cash-flows which an investors receive or pays due to the investment.

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### Closing prices are predicted very well but returns are predicted poorly

I'm learning some time series analysis and forecasting techniques, I've tried to predict stock prices for Netflix but I'm very confused. At first I've tried Auto ARIMA which gave me a straight line, ...
1k views

### Total Return Swaps and Borrow Cost Relationship

If an investor is long a Total Return Swap (TRS), they get the total return (ie, including dividend) performance and usually pay LIBOR minus a spread. This spread should trade ...
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### s&p500 companies value vs growth

I was thinking of examining how the constituent companies of the s&p500 are affected by sentiment in crises. Is there any way to download stock prices for all the companies? Moreover how can I ...
1k views

### R: Calculating cumulative return of a portfolio

I've downloaded adjusted closing prices from Yahoo using the quantmod-package, and used that to create a portfolio consisting of 50% ...
151 views

### Calculating excess returns

I would like to know if I am calculating these excess returns correctly. I have here an R dataframe with weekly 3-month treasury bill rates, and the arithmetic ...
5k views

### how to chain monthly excess returns into annual?

I want to calculate annual excess returns on portfolios using monthly returns for a CAPM (for the assets in the portfolio as well as for the benchmark), in order to have more information on the ...
477 views

### Block Bootstrapping Relative Returns

I want to run a block bootstrap on the relative returns, but I'm not sure if subtracting the mean is important. A bootstrap sequence is a synthetic sequence generated using the original sequence. If ...
222 views

### How to deal with different amount of td's in computing Sharpe Ratio

In calculating the Sharpe Ratio, should I take into account the days were I have 0 return due to non-trading day? Another user posted a similar question but this was related to trading days with no ...
232 views

### How to group mutual funds by volatility?

I want to group Mutual Funds by their volatility. Ideally, I would like to end up with the mutual funds beings attached to different groups: High volatility Medium volatility Low Volatility My ...
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### How can I convert rolling annual returns back to quarterly returns?

I have a series of rolling annual returns and would like to convert these back to quarterly returns, which have not been provided. Is this possible formulaically, or is something like Excel's solver ...
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### Does Adjusted Closing Price take account the Expense Ratio?

first time posting at Quantitative Finance. I am trying to use the yfinance python library to load various ETF's data and compared the return. I understand the adjusted closing price handles the ...
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### Literature on return sensitivy in respect to: growth, risk and profitability

I am currently writing my master's thesis, wherein I am looking for supporting literature. Specifically, I wanted to know if there had been any research relating to how the: growth, risk and ...
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### Aggregation to MSCI world return from subindicies

I have Bloomberg Data PX_LAST for the MSCI world (MXWO Index). I also have Bloomberg Data PX_LAST for all subindices for the ...
2k views

### cumulative return calculation, disagreement

A friend of mine and myself are having an argument on how to correctly determine cumulative return. The dataset has monthly return data and we are trying to determine the 6-month cumulative return. ...
790 views

### Calculating Portfolio Returns Across Sectors

I have a table of asset (mutual fund) returns and the percentage that each asset is in a particular stock sector: ...
1k views

### Drivers of equity returns: dividend yield, change in P/E and dividend (or earnings) growth

In an NBIM paper I read the following: "... one can break down the total equity return into the dividend yield (the starting valuation), the change in the P/E ratio (the change in valuation) ...
979 views

### Sharpe Ratio versus Cumulative Returns

I was asked whether Sharpe Ratio was a better measure than Cumulative Returns, in the context of hedge funds. To me, personally, Sharpe Ratio is a more important measure. By definition, it tells us ...
240 views

### Multiperiod return formulae with dividends

I have a question about returns when dividends are 'paid'. Firstly, will write down some definitions: Let $P_t$ be the price of an asset at time t. Assuming no dividends the net return over the ...
431 views

### Pair trading based on cointegration - equity line

I'm preparing a project at my Uni where I have to make a simple pair trading strategy using cointegration between two stocks. I'm stuck on the equity line calculation. I have prepared opening and ...
444 views

### Portfolio Return Contribution by Sectors

I have a table containing the following fields: Date, PortfolioReturn, CashReturn, Sector1Return,...,Sector10Returns 'PortfolioReturn' is the sum of CashReturn + return contributed from 10 market ...
246 views

### How to deal with missing returns when creating value (equal) weighted returns

recently I am doing cross sectional regressions, and getting confused about missing returns. Suppose we have 100 stocks, then we want to construct a value weighted return (or equal weighted return). ...
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### Log returns and GARCH models

I try to model currency rates volatility using GARCH models through the RUGARCH package in R. Starting from the observed currency rate series, I compute the log-return through: ...
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### Calculating the rate of return over a year then the data for a year before does not exist

I am trying to find the growth rate of a stock over a given year. Let's say I wanted to find the growth rate from today, June 11, 2015 to June 11, 2014. This is easy enough when you have perfect ...
190 views

### importing columns of returns data into python from excel/csv [closed]

I'm fairly new to the quant finance space, and I was hoping to get some guidance. Say I have a csv/excel file with columns of daily returns data for various asset classes or securities (one column per ...
915 views

### De-annualizing a target alpha return

apologies if this is not the correct place for this type of question, but I just want to confirm if the following de-annualization is correct. if a manager states that he will earn 200 bps of target ...
86 views

### Can you use a t-test on bootstrapped Value at Risk (VaR) figures?

I need to compare VaR before and after the recession. I have a series of market returns for a period before, and a series of market returns for the period immediately after. Both have been ...
853 views

### Problem when calculating the daily return on a forex trade, what is the best way to do such a calculation?

I intend to calculate the daily return on my investment in forex. Assume a trader invests \$\$$40 at a leverage of 100:1, so in total he is trading \$$4000 worth of currency, and assume the position ...
494 views

### How to classify stocks by their volatility?

I would like to hear other possible ways of classifying Stocks by the Volatility of their returns. Assuming that I want to characterize each stock as Low, Medium or High Volatility Stock and assuming ...
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### Weighting several returns over different time frames

I have a set of annualized returns over 4 time periods: 10yr, 5yr, 3yr and 1yr. Is there a way to weight each return to have a "more representative" return?
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### Event studies using revenue data vs. measuring abnormal returns

This may be a silly question, but does there exist a methodology for examining the impact of "events" on companies that are not publicly traded? I suppose it would look at abnormal revenues rather ...
374 views

### Portfolio risk-return when assets have limited and inconsistent historical data / time series?

Lets say we have "today's" snapshot of asset allocation and need to determine the 6mo, 1 yr and 5 yr risk and returns of this portfolio. If the time series for every asset is very long, longer than ...
118 views

### Limits analysis

I have a few time series of models to analyse in terms of how far/close they are to their underlying limit. The limit is a simple value on the y-axis (always positive), and the series can act ...