Questions tagged [risk]

The possibility that a negative event (such as a loss) will happen.

394 questions
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Wave Method and Implied Duration

I am pricing an MBS under three different rate scenarios: a base case, +5bps and -5bps I compute partial durations on the base case using the wave method (P. Hagan: Calculating Delta Risks and Hedges ...
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understanding Value-at-Risk correclty

The are several types how to calculate the VaR. I am focussing on the method of calculation the VaR in percentage. $VaR=I*z*std*\sqrt{t}$ This gives the VaR in €. I have the z-value, the daily ...
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How to interpret the (expected) exposure and CVA of an option or a single share

I have a quick (hopefully simple) question regarding the interpretation of the expected exposure of a call option and a single share. I've done some computations on the formula for the expected ...
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Choquet integral risk measure

I have one question that cannot fully understand why. What is the definition of the Choquet integral risk measure?
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what are the underlying transactions for SOFR?

Recently I am reading about SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate), which is projected to replace LIBOR to be the reference for risk-free rate in the market. But I still don't understand or imagine ...
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PCA on a portfolio of spot and forward contracts

I have a portfolio of spot and FX forwards on various currencies all based to AUD. I need to able to quantify how the changes in amount, tilt and curvature of the AUD curve would impact my p/l. ...
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Market Risk - Trading and Banking book in light of Basel III

I can not understand whether Basel III (in the part of market risk) applies both to Trading Book and Banking book or just to the first one. I have read that for what concerns Banking book you only ...
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What 10 year bond data to use when making a risk/return scatter plot?

I am making a risk/return scatter plot (seen below) (from this site): What data must be used for bonds (e.g. 3 month or 10 year US bonds)? I thought you would use this data, but if you take the years ...
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Modified Sharpe ratio

I would like to model different type of investors, hence I need to find some kind of utility functions to optimize. Apart from very abstract exponential utility function, I couldn't find any proper ...
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cvxpy portfolio optimization with risk budgeting

I'm trying to do some portfolio construction in cvxpy in Python: ...
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Averaging Correlation Matrices based on different Periodicity

Averaging correlation matrices based on different models, but the same data, is commonly done. If the correlation matrices are derived from return series, is it proper/common to also average the ...
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What is the relationship between risk aversion and preference for skewness and kurtosis in portfolio optimization?

Is there any relationship between the risk aversion coefficient in an individual's utility function (commonly used in portfolio optimization) and the preference for higher moments such as skewness and ...
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Non-parametric estimator - CVaR / Expected shortfall

Is the estimation of the CVaR using known non-parametric methods (histogram, kernels) different than the estimation of any other R.V.? If the answer is yes, I am interested to know whether there are ...
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Financial Statement Analysis [closed]

So i have just completed a beginners course on understanding financial statements. As part of the final assignment, we are supposed to pick a real company, study its financial statements and conclude ...
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Risk-aversion parameters estimation in utility functions

Are there any "typical" risk-aversion parameters for power utility function and exponential utility function? Once I've seen an articel, in which author stated that for extremely risky person gamma in ...
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Why are thousand-ish-factor vendor risk models not extremely overfit and inaccurate?

Many vendor risk models have many hundreds, or even thousands of factors (many of which are highly correlated with each other). Underlying all these risk models is some sort of covariance matrix in ...
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Total risk from asset allocation and security selection

My company's multi-asset fund has been using risk metrics methodology to calculate ex-ante VaR and tracking error for years. Due to hardware limitation, the calculation only reflects active risk from ...
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better estimator of volatility for small samples

One commonly used sample estimator of volatility is the standard deviation of the log returns. It is indeed a very good estimator (unbiased, ...) when the sample is large. But I don't like it for ...
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Backtesting model results, but backtesting output sampled at different frequency than model output

So, I'm trying to backtest a model that computes P&L. This model pulls sensitivities on a weekly basis and applies market shocks to these sensitivities to project quarterly P&L. I want to ...
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Bregman Mean of a Distribution

In a paper (link), author writes, given that $\gamma:R\rightarrow \bar{R}$ is a convex function, $dom_{\gamma}:=\{x\in R:\gamma(x)<+\infty\}$ is a non-empty open set and $\gamma$ a closed proper ...
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Examples of Spectral Risk Measures

Let's take the usual definition of a spectral risk measure. If we look at the integral we see that spectral risk measures have the property that the risk measure of a random variable $X$ can be ...
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Prove Subadditivity - Entropic Value at Risk

Any insight in how to prove the following risk measure is subadditive? $\rho_{1-\alpha}(X) = \inf_{z>0}\{z^{-1}\ln(\frac{E[e^{zX}]}{\alpha})\}$, with $\alpha \in ]0,1]$ I want to prove it is a ...
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Philosophy of Financial Risk [closed]

Do you think that there exists a framework on that you can build risk measures? What are the necessary and desirable properties of a risk measure? (necessary means compulsory and desirable means more ...
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Why Can I not estimate a CVAR from Heston Model

I fit the parameters of Heston model, using option data for SPX. Now I have the process S and P 500 is expected to follow. I make 100,000 simulations of this process and then calculate the expected ...
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Transformation of random variables and second-order stochastic dominance

Suppose $X$ and $Y$ are two random variables where $X$ SOSD* $Y$. Let $g(\bullet)$ be a monotonic function and $X'=g(X)$ and $Y'=g(Y)$. Under what conditions of $g$ is $X'$ SOSD $Y'$? I know if $g$ ...
As the PV01 ($= dpdy \times notional$) of a bond is a measure of its risk, as well as its price return variance, could we measure the risk of a bonds portfolio with the Markovitz portfolio variance ...