Questions tagged [risk]

The possibility that a negative event (such as a loss) will happen.

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518 views

Optimization procedure for entropy pooling

I was wondering if those who used the entropy pooling code provided by Attilio Meucci had issues with the optimization procedure (especially regarding the fminunc function in Matlab). When I stress ...
213 views

Non-contractual accounts behavioural study

I need to carry a non-contractual accounts behavoiural study for a bank. The objective is to estimate core/non core ratios and then bucket and ftp them. Any recipe where to start? I have 3yrs of ...
84 views

Why are thousand-ish-factor vendor risk models not extremely overfit and inaccurate?

Many vendor risk models have many hundreds, or even thousands of factors (many of which are highly correlated with each other). Underlying all these risk models is some sort of covariance matrix in ...
77 views

Whats the big deal between volatility and the risk free rate?

I am trying to understand asset price volatility. Many of the news articles I read link how stock market volatility is linked to asset price volatility? To give an example, in Mike Mackenzie's (...
92 views

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optimizing the expected utility

The market consist of one single stock and call options with different strike price based on the given stock.Suppose the market believes the stock follows the following GBM:dS_t=\mu S_tdt+\sigma ...
176 views

CRRA utility application

I fitted a CRRA utility function to daily S&P 500 returns in R. (As for instance in Optimal Option Portfolio Strategies, page 10) ...
53 views

How to find the ideal options trade given certain return distribution?

Suppose I have a probability distribution for the return of a given stock from now until some expiration date. Is there any algorithm/process/software that will take that probability distribution and ...
166 views

Expected shortfall of stable distribution by Stoyanov

I've been working on calculating parametric ES assuming the returns follow Paretian stable law. Given the four parameters - $\alpha, \beta,\sigma,\mu$- Stoyanov introduces closed form solution of the ...
158 views

Estimate the risk of swaptions

I would like to model OTM Swaptions. I can use some implementation of the Bachelier model (not B76 due to negative rates) and implied volatilities from Bloomberg. For 10Y X 10Y (10 years option ...