Questions tagged [rolling]

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63 views

Estimating distribution of rate of return

Let $f[t]$ be the price of a stock at time $t$. We can calculate the rolling rate of return of the stock in a window of length $n$ by computing: $$r[t] = \frac{f[t] - f[t-n]}{f[t-n]}$$ $r[t]$ is ...
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1answer
79 views

Pandas rolling mean not working properly [closed]

I have the following dataframe df on which I want to compute a 4-window moving average : ...
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50 views

FX rollover tomorrow next and spot next

One traded a fx spot position on day T (say T+2 settlement). If he wants to roll the fx spot on day T, he will use SPOT/NEXT. If he wants to roll the fx spot on day T+1, he will use TOM/NEXT. Is this ...
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1answer
55 views

What is the duration of a rolling 5 year investment?

I have difficulty with the duration of a 5 year investment (like GIC). In such an investment, the investment (GIC) rate is reset as the current market rates. So the market value is equal to the face ...
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1answer
82 views

Rolling to a non-front month future contract?

I hedge my US positions with M6B, a GBP/USD future. Every time I roll my contracts, I ask myself "why is there so little liquidity beyond the next three months?" Surely there are people that ...
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0answers
210 views

Does the Shannon entropy of stock returns change over time?

Shannon entropy, $H(X) = -\sum_{i=1}^n p(x) \ln p(x)$ is a probabilistic measure of randomness or disorder within a random variable's probability distribution or histogram. If we take rolling window ...
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0answers
79 views

Volatility of multimodal distribution of returns

Take $x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_T$ to be the price of a stock, indexed by $t=1, 2, \ldots, T$. Define rate of return at time $t>W$ for a window size of $W$ to be $$r_t = \frac{x_t - x_{t-W}}{x_{t-W}}$$ ...
2
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1answer
66 views

How can I convert rolling annual returns back to quarterly returns?

I have a series of rolling annual returns and would like to convert these back to quarterly returns, which have not been provided. Is this possible formulaically, or is something like Excel's solver ...
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0answers
50 views

Rolling Hedge Performance

So I have Time Series data for Gas Spot and Futures Prices (first 6 front quarters and first 3 front years) from 2009-2019 and I want to evaluate the performance of a 3- year static hedge vs. 3- year ...
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144 views

Correct way to calculate the S&P500 average CAGR of earnings over 10 years rolling periods

Let's say we have only the following data for the earnings (e) and we calculated for each 10 years period the total earnings growth (G) and its Compounded Annual Growth Rate (AG) \begin{equation} \\...