Questions tagged [short-rate]
A short-rate model is a mathematical model that describes the evolution of interest rates
118
questions
12
votes
2
answers
2k
views
Differences between main classes of interest pricing derivatives models
There seems to be 3 main classes of interest rate pricing models: 1) Short rate models, 2) Heath Jarrow models and 3) Libor Market Model. My book doesnt seem to explain why we need all these different ...
10
votes
1
answer
6k
views
Vasicek model calibration
I am trying to calibrate Vasicek model, i.e. to determine the parameters $\kappa, \mu, \bar{\mu}$ and $\sigma$ where the process dynamics are given through
$$ dr_t=\kappa\left( \mu - r_t\right) dt+\...
9
votes
2
answers
2k
views
Ho and lee derivation for short rates model
A silly question that is bugging me. I am working my way through Baxter and Rennie (again) and I am getting my wires crossed on the short rate models in particular the straight forward Ho and Lee ...
8
votes
2
answers
723
views
Why is logarithmic mean equal to the arithmetic expectation less one-half its variance?
I've taken it as gospel that the following equality is true:
$$\mathbb{E}[\mu_x] = m_x - \frac{1}{2}\sigma_x^2 $$
where:
$\mathbb{E}[\mu_x]$ is the expected value of the logarithmic mean of some ...
7
votes
0
answers
235
views
Produce volatility smile/skew with G2++ model
Suppose I have a G2++ short rate model:
$$r(t)=x(t)+y(t)+\phi(t), \quad r(0)=r_0$$
with
$$dx(t)=-ax(t)dt+\sigma dW_1(t), \quad x(0)=0$$
$$dy(t)=-bx(t)dt+\eta dW_2(t), \quad y(0)=0$$
$$d\langle W_1,W_2\...
7
votes
0
answers
344
views
simulating from the CIR++
I am looking at the CIR++ model which is described in interest rate models by Brigo et al, and was wondering on how to actually simulate from this model. The model reads
$$r_t=x_t+\phi(t),$$
where $...
6
votes
3
answers
2k
views
What is the purpose of short rate models?
Just venturing into quantitative finance and studying short rate models (Vasicek, CIR, Hull-White etc.). Wanted to ask a very simple intuitive question. How would a practitioner use these models? I ...
6
votes
0
answers
229
views
Pricing interest rate options in emerging markets
I've been thinking how to price the early payment of mortgages in banks from emerging markets, where swaptions/caps/floors aren't available, and how to hedge this kind of options. At first I thought ...
6
votes
0
answers
806
views
Callable bond price sensitivity to Hull-White volatility changes
I'm using classic Hull-White model for short term interest rate dynamic:
$$dr(t)=[\theta(t)-\alpha(t)r(t)]dt+\sigma(t)dW(t)$$
(Notation is quite intuitive, anyway I am using the same as Wikipedia ...
5
votes
1
answer
452
views
Bond dynamics in Ho Lee model
The short rate in the Ho-Lee model is given by :
$$dr_t=\left( \frac{df(0,t)}{dt} +\sigma^2t\right)dt + \sigma dW_t$$
I'm trying to find the bond dynamics given by :
$$dP(t,T)/P(t,T)=r_tdt-\sigma(...
5
votes
1
answer
2k
views
CIR model: is the short rate really non-central $\chi^2$ distributed?
Probably simple question. Consider the CIR (1985) model for interest rates
$$
dr = k(\theta - r)dt + \sigma \sqrt{r}dz
$$
Then it is known in closed form the conditional pdf $f(r(s),s|r(t),t)$ ($s \...
5
votes
1
answer
1k
views
How to price Swaptions with short rate models?
I have specified a (Lognormal) short-rate model (non-affine) under the Risk-Neutral measure $Q$ as a shifted exponential vasicek:
$ r(t) = e^{y(t)} + \phi(t)\\
\text{with} \quad dy(t) = \kappa(\...
5
votes
2
answers
348
views
Extensions of CIR
I could need some advice on extensions of the CIR model.
The standard CIR reads
$dr(t)=\kappa(\theta-r(t))dt + \sigma \sqrt{r(t)} dW(t)$.
A possible extension, if we would like the short-rate to ...
4
votes
1
answer
4k
views
How to get set the theta function in the Hull-White model to replicate the current yield curve
I want to calibrate the HW one factor model to current market data. How do I set the function $\theta(t)$ in
$$
\mathrm{d}r(t) = \kappa(\theta(t)-r(t))\mathrm{d}t+\sigma\mathrm{d}W(t)
$$
to ...
4
votes
1
answer
1k
views
Why isn't the Vasicek model arbitrage-free?
Could anyone explain why the Vasicek model isn't an arbitrage-free model?
Additionally, which interest rate model is arbitrage-free and why?
4
votes
1
answer
194
views
How to determine components of Affine Term Structure for an Ohrnstein-Uhlenbeck process?
I wonder how I can determine the components $A(t,T)$ and $B(t,T)$ for the zero-coupon bond price process $p(t,T)=e^{A(t,T)-r(t)B(t,T)}$? The components are defined in the following link: https://en....
4
votes
1
answer
673
views
Vasicek model: joint simulation with discount factor
In Vasicek model, we have the following relation to get Discount factors given the value of short rate:
$$P(t\,,T)={{e}^{A(t,T)\,-\,B(t,T){{r}_{t}}\,}}$$
So, Discount factors are known as soon as we ...
4
votes
2
answers
146
views
"Standard" Model for Effective Fed Funds Rate
Is there a "standard" model used to model the Effective Fed Funds Rate? I know that BGM is often used for LIBOR but haven't found a similar application to the Effective Fed Funds Rate.
Do ...
4
votes
1
answer
1k
views
HJM simulation problem
I'm trying to simulate a 3-factor HJM model. I got the algorithms from Glasserman book. In my case, I have $3$ maturity:$ 0.25y, 0.5y, 0.75y$. So my time grid is: $t_0=0,t_1=0.25,t_2=0.5,t_3=0.75$.
...
3
votes
3
answers
5k
views
Basic LIBOR curve question
I'm new to the quant finance and have a very basic question about LIBOR curve.
LIBOR is published every day for 4 different tenors (1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y), and each rate means how much annual interest ...
3
votes
1
answer
874
views
QuantLib Gsr model
Almost spent the whole day. Could anyone give a link to the Gsr model specification that is implemented in QuantLib? Or give an explanation? Any help is highly appreciated.
3
votes
2
answers
249
views
What is the Q-dynamics of affine bond prices when r is described by the given model?
Assuming an Affine term structure model, where bond prices arebe defined as: $$P(t,T)=\exp({A(t,T)-B(t,T)r_t)}$$ and describing the Q-dynamics of the short rate according to the model: $$dr_t=ar_tdt+\...
3
votes
1
answer
237
views
Bond Option Hedging
(My question)
Please show me how to solve from (2) to (4) with computation processes.
These are too difficult to solve.
Thank you for your help in advance.
(Cross-link)
I have posted the same ...
3
votes
1
answer
261
views
Convert Short rate from HW simulation into Swap rates
I am trying to price an exotic option that requires me to simulate 10 yr swap rates. I have calibrated a 1 factor HW model to swaption prices. However, my understanding is that the HW model describes ...
3
votes
1
answer
549
views
Volatility considerations with interest rate derivatives
I am a bit confused about the practical use of vol surfaces used for derivative pricing. We know that the two main products that best represent market volatility are caps and swaptions, from which ...
3
votes
2
answers
724
views
Cox-Ingersoll-Ross
I am looking at a displaced CIR model and try to calibrate it to market data. I think my results looks reasonable but would like to sense-check with other studies. Does anyone know what "reasonable" ...
3
votes
1
answer
436
views
Solving the Jamshidian Zhu (1997) PCA short rate model
This is my first time posting a question. I have very limited experience in the field of stochastic calculus and interest rate modelling. I have been tasked with implementing the short rate model ...
3
votes
0
answers
48
views
Is the G2++ model apt to use when one needs estimates of longer term refinance rates for mortgages and can the model be created with Monte Carlo?
I am currently in the process of developing an interest rate model that would be used to price mortgage-backed securities and develop an OAS estimate. Referring to Brigo and Mercurio (2006) I'm ...
2
votes
1
answer
662
views
Problem with pricing a call option using the Monte Carlo Vasicek model
I am trying to price a call option on a zero coupon under the Vasicek Model using Monte Carlo method:
$$C_0 = B(0,\theta) \ \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}_T}[(B(\theta,T)-K)^{+}]$$
The problem is that the ...
2
votes
2
answers
508
views
Ho Lee model in Baxter&Rennie
I am currentyl reading Baxter&Rennie and I have a difficulty with understanding a derivation of formula for one function, $g(x,t,T)$ (this can be found on page 152 in the book). I know that there ...
2
votes
2
answers
483
views
Deriving interest rate term structure in a short rate model
I have often seen a statement that we can model only a short rate process $r(t)$ and then use it to derive a term structure $R(t,T)$ for every $t$. Could someone please elaborate? Say, I’ve simulated $...
2
votes
1
answer
2k
views
QuantLib - Calibrating Hull White one-factor on negative interest rates
I have been working with the QuantLib Python package for some days now. Currently, I am working on calibrating a Hull White one-factor model for short rates. I am calibrating the model on the yield-...
2
votes
1
answer
1k
views
Hull-White model: match between HJM framework and short model formulation
I need to show that the Hull-White model $$dr=(\theta(t)-ar)dt+\sigma dW^Q$$ corresponds to the Heath-Jarrow-Morton formulation $$df(t,T)=\alpha(t,T)dt+\sigma e^{-a(T-t)}dW^Q.$$
I obtained the drift ...
2
votes
1
answer
79
views
Negative Libor Simulation
Can LIBOR rates be simulated using short rate models?
If no, what is the reason behind it?
What is a simple model to simulate LIBOR rates? Especially in a negative rate environment.
2
votes
1
answer
415
views
Short rate models
On the short rate model in Wikipedia
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Short-rate_model
Why is the first function, the P(t,T) given? This is not the short rate model this is generating prices for a ...
2
votes
2
answers
1k
views
Risk neutral measure of short rate model
As we all know, all affine term-structure models are members of HJM model. Under HJM model, there is a unique risk-neutral measure in both forward-rate process and bond evolving process. Hence, the ...
2
votes
1
answer
785
views
CallableFloatingRateBond in QuantLib: just a matter of multiple inheritance?
I would like to know what are the issues related to a possible CallableFloatingRateBond class in QuantLib and to have some hints on implementation.
My (very ...
2
votes
1
answer
337
views
Obtaining the dynamics of the Vasicek model using Itô
Consider the following expression for the short-term interest rate
$$r_t=r_0 e^{\beta t}+\frac{b}{\beta}\left(e^{\beta t}-1\right)+\sigma e^{\beta t}\int_0^te^{-\beta s}dW_s \tag{1},$$
which is ...
2
votes
1
answer
187
views
Implication of forward-rate dynamics when the short-rate follows a normal process
In the section 3.2.3 of the second edition of "Interest Rate Models - Theory and Practice" by Brigo and Mercurio, the forward-rate dynamics implied by the CIR model is derived as follow:
The ...
2
votes
2
answers
331
views
Cumulative Integration with regard to Vasicek Model's Bond Price and its Forward Price
(My Question)
Please show me how to compute the following expectation with its computation process. Besides, $B_t$ is S.B.M.
$$E\left[ \exp \left( - \int^T_t \int^u_0 \sigma e^{-b(u-s)} d B_s du \...
2
votes
1
answer
216
views
The Riccatti equation for The Cox-Ingerson-Ross Model
(My Question)
I went through the calculations halfway, but I cannot find out how to calculate the following Riccatti equation. Please tell me how to calculate this The Riccatti equation with its ...
2
votes
1
answer
560
views
HJM or Short rates model?
When market practitioners do prefer HJM models to short rates models when it comes to pricing derivatives (other than swaptions and caps, let say light exotics to exotics) ?
To be more specific, ...
2
votes
2
answers
315
views
Workaround for Hull-White short rate model in market without swaptions
Every time I search calibration methods in short-rate models such as Hull-White, I always find information on how to do it with swaptions market data. Yet, I can't find anything about how to do it in ...
2
votes
1
answer
155
views
Deriving the variance of G2++ Model
I'm studying G2++ Model in Brigo(2007)'s book.
The model constructed as follows,
$$
r(t) = x(t) + y(t) + φ(t), \quad r(0) = r_0\\
$$
with the dynamics of $dx(t)$ and $dy(t)$ described by:
\begin{align}...
2
votes
1
answer
795
views
Proof of the Hull & White Model calibration
I have a question about the demonstration of the formula which states that:
If we have an Hull & White Model for the short rate diffusion such that
Then the model is fully calibrated if and only ...
2
votes
1
answer
172
views
Why Arent There Long Rate Models?
You have short rate models, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Short-rate_model, but there doesnt seem to be any long rate models.
I find this weird as in options modelling you model the whole smile, not ...
2
votes
1
answer
442
views
Black–Karasinski - Market Price of Risk
In the past I have calibrated simple short rate models to the term structure by using maximum likelihood to get the parameters of the Vasicek/CIR sde, and then use the ZCB formula and the current ...
2
votes
0
answers
54
views
Delta hedge call option on short rate
Usually delta hedging an european call option in the black-scholes model is constructed of three assets; a call option, the underlying stock and the risk-free asset often assumed to have constant ...
2
votes
0
answers
85
views
Black-Karasinski & Market Price of Risk [closed]
I have implemented the Black-Karasinski model using trinomial trees and calibrated following Brigo (2007) page 29. However, the results do not fit the interest rate curve practiced in the market. As I ...
2
votes
0
answers
119
views
Bond-pricing under the Vasicek short rate model
I'm currently studying the Vasicek model of the short interest rate
$$dr_t=a(\mu-r_t)dt+\sigma dW_t$$
I know how to solve this stochastic differential equation (SDE) and how to find expectation and ...