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Questions tagged [stochastic-calculus]

A branch of mathematics that operates on stochastic processes.

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1answer
120 views

When $E[f(\alpha,X)] = f(\alpha, E[X])$

When $E[f(\alpha,X)] = f(\alpha,E[X])$, where $f$ is some convex function of the first and second variables, except when the first variable takes the value $\alpha$ in which case the equality holds, ...
3
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2answers
97 views

Find the brownian motion associated to a linear combination of dependant brownian motions

I have $N$ correlated standard one-dimensional Brownian motions $W_1,\ldots,W_N$ with correlation matrix $\rho$ and I consider the process $Z_t \equiv \sum_{i=1}^N \mu_i (t) W_t$ where the $\mu_i$ are ...
3
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1answer
71 views

Derivation and expectation interchange

I would like to know when it is allowed to interchange derivation and expectation. Suppose $X$ is some r.v whose dynamic is controlled by some parameter $\sigma$ and suppose $h$ is some smooth ...
3
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1answer
68 views

Solution to a Geometric Ornstein Uhlenbeck Process $dX_t = \kappa(\theta - X_t)dt + \sigma X_t dW_t$

I've been searching for the solution to the modified Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process \begin{equation*} dX_t = \kappa(\theta - X_t)dt + \sigma X_t dW_t \end{equation*} but it surprisingly hard to find. The ...
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0answers
31 views

Milstein discretization of the CIR process

Given the CIR process $\ dX_t = (a − bX_t ) dt + \sigma \sqrt{X_t}dW_t$ - I want to show that its Milstein scheme is $\ X_{i+1} - X_i = ((a − bX_i) - 0.25\sigma^2)\Delta + \sigma\sqrt{X_i}\sqrt{\...
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0answers
38 views

Ito Diffusion with Change of Measure

Let $(X_t)$ be an Ito diffusion with speed $(V_t)$, under a probability measure P. Could there exist a change of measure to a probability measure Q, with Q ~ P, under which $(X_t)$ is an Ito diffusion ...
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62 views

Feynman-Kac to derive stochastic representation

$u_t + \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2x^2u_{xx} - \alpha + \lambda((K_d - x)^+ - u) = 0$ with terminal condition $u(T, X) = (K_m - X(T))^+$ $dX = \sigma X(t)dW_t$ $\alpha$ and $\lambda$ are constants Ok so ...
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0answers
34 views

Change of measure from physical to risk-neutral under Radon-Nikodym and Girsanov Theorem

Given a stochastic process, how do we prove and generate the change-of-measure? I have been trying to prove the change-of-measure as under the Radon-Nikodym theorem and Girsanov Theorem, but ...
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0answers
53 views

For an Ito Process, $d\ln{X} \neq \frac{dX}{X}$ and $(d\ln{X})^2 = (\frac{dX}{X})^2$, but $d\ln{X} \neq \pm \frac{dX}{X}$

In normal calculus we can write $d\ln{x} = \frac{dx}{x}$ since there is no quadratic variation to deal with. This isn't true for stochastic processes, and Ito's Lemma is used to calculate $d\ln{X}$. ...
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53 views

Proving Flow Property of Stochastic Differential Equation

I am trying to show that $X_t^{s,x} = X_t^{r, X_r^{s,x}}$ for $0 \leq s \leq r \leq t$, $x \in \mathbb{R}^n$ is a given initial condition for time $s$, for some SDE: \begin{equation*} d X(u)=b(X(u))d ...
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1answer
57 views

If S(t) is geometric Brownian motion, what is the distribution of S(t+h)-S(t)?

Suppose we have a geometric Brownian $S(t)$ which follows a lognormal process. Say $$ \begin{equation} dS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_tdW_t \end{equation} $$ My question is what is the distribution of $...
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2answers
95 views

How to numerically simulate exponential stochastic integral

For example given an integral $$ \int^t_0 \exp(aW(t'))\,dt', t\in\mathbb R_+ $$ where $W(t')$ is a standard Wiener process. I've been very confused about stochastic integrals like $\int^t_0 W(t')\,...
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0answers
56 views

SDE of futures price under non-constant interest rate and volatility process

I'm trying to figure out the form of the SDE of futures price under the risk neutral measure, when stock price follows GBM:             &...
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0answers
99 views

On quadratic covariation

I ran through an equality in a paper I was reading but couldn't check if it is correct. Let $W^1_t$, $W^2_t$ and $W^3_t$ be three brownian motions, not necessarily independent, is it true that the ...
3
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1answer
98 views

HJM model Baxter Rennie: differentiating the discounted asset price using Ito

From Baxter and Rennie Page 145: $Z(t,T) = exp(\int_{0}^{t}\Sigma(s,T)dW_s - \int_{0}^{T}f(o,u)du - \int_{0}^{t}\int_{s}^{T}\alpha(s,u)duds)$ where $\Sigma(t,T) = \int_{t}^{T}\sigma(t,u)du$ How ...
3
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1answer
128 views

Differential of integral of Wiener process over time

I am trying to compute this quantity: $\frac{d}{dt}\int_{0}^{t} W_s ds $ Where $W_t$ is a Wiener process. Is there a theorem which tells how this can be computed? I have tried https://en.wikipedia....
3
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1answer
119 views

Bayes Theorem with change of measure

Tomas bjork- arbitrage theory in continuous time. Appendix B, proposition B41 says: The proof is not clear to me. Thanks to Gordon's comment below of $E^Q (X/G)$ being $G$ measurable, I think the ...
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1answer
143 views

How to compute the dynamic of stock using Geometric Brownian Motion?

I have been given the following question: Given that $S_t$ follows Geometric Brownian Motion, write down the dynamic of $S_t$ and then compute the dynamic of $f(t,S_t) = e^{tS^{2}}$ For the first ...
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4answers
163 views

Basic book on stochastic calculus, Itô and jump processes and Brownian Motion

I was looking for a good book that explains at beginner-level the basic of stochastic calculus, probability and random variables, Itô and jump processes as well as Brownian Motion. At university we ...
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92 views

Random variable minus Integral of Ito Generator is a Martingale under what conditions?

I am reading about american option pricing and the variational inequality, and the book I am reading states, in the derivation of the variational inequality, the following is a martingale: $$M_s = U(s,...
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1answer
139 views

Why don't I get this right $\frac{d}{dt}\mathop{\mathbb{E}}\left[ e^{-\int_t^Tr(s)ds}|\mathscr{F}_t \right]$

Let $r$ a random process defined by : $$dr_t=\theta(t)dt + \sigma dW_t$$ $\theta$ is deterministic in $t$ and $W$ a brownian motion. I don't know where my calculation below is going wrong : Let $...
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0answers
97 views

Ultra Powerfull Vibrato Montecarlo for delta sensitivities of a not regular payoff

Ciao, I am working on a derivative with the following payoff at time $T$: $$ \sqrt{(S_T - K)^+} $$ where $S_T$ is the value of the stock at the expiring date. As usual we will assume $S_t$ to be a ...
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0answers
57 views

kolmogorov backward equation intuition

The kolmogorov backward equation equation states that the probability density of a random variable $x$ which follows $dx= \mu dt + \sigma dw$ is given by $-p_t = \mu p_x + 0.5\sigma^2 p_{xx} $ ...
19
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1answer
426 views

What is the trickiest thing to get right in Rates Quant recently (2019)?

What are the biggest challenges for Rates Quants in 2019? Most quants have been through a lot over the past years-shifting their SABR models in JPY swaptions, fixing the FVA models for negative rates, ...
3
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2answers
73 views

Conditional Expectation with Indicator Functions for Poisson Process First Jump Time (Option Pricing PDE)

This is supposed to be for the derivation of a PDE for pricing a specific type of option, from the book 'Nonlinear Option Pricing' (Guyon). The option delivers $g(\tau, X_{\tau})$ at time $\tau$ if $\...
0
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1answer
115 views

negative values in geometric brownian motion

A GBM $ \frac{dx}{x} = \mu dx + \sigma dW $ solves to $x_t = x_o e^{(\mu - \sigma^2)t + \sigma W_t}$ From the solution, it is clear that $x_t$ cannot become negative. However, it is not so clear ...
3
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1answer
89 views

Limits of integration when applying stochastic Fubini theorem to Brownian motion

I'm looking at the solution below from Quantuple, it's a nice, succinct solution but I'm confused about how the limits of the integrals in the second line come from. Could someone please elaborate on ...
3
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0answers
60 views

Stochastic Differential equation: CAPM

Let $R=(R_1, \dots ,R_M)$′ denote a vector of excess returns of M assets observed at $n$ time points, $0<t_1<t_2< \cdots <t_n<T$, within a time span $T>0$. We wish to explain the ...
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0answers
76 views

Pre-requisites for Finance Mathematics

I would like to pursue research in the areas of Financial Mathematics. Hoping to look into Operations Research, Risk Management and Stochastic Modeling. Anyone got some suggestions on useful resources ...
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3answers
153 views

How to prove that $X_s=\int^s_0 f(u)dW_u$ is independant from $X_t-X_s$

I am asked to prove that $X_s$ and $X_t-X_s$ are independant for $s<t$ then $$X_t=\int^t_0f(u)dW_u$$ for a deterministic function $f$ and brownian motion $W_t$. For the proof I am giving a hint to ...
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0answers
31 views

Stochastic integral representation of $F(T-s,X_s)$-type equations

For $T\in R$ given and fixed consider: $$ {\rm d}F(T-t,X_t)=g(T-t,X_t)\,{\rm d}W_t. $$ where $g(t,x)$ is a given functions and $X_t$ is a given process driven by a brownian motion ($dX_t=(...)dt+(...)...
6
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1answer
137 views

Show that $(W_t, \int_0^t W_s ds)$ has a normal joint distribution

I have to show that, if $W_t$ is a 1-d Brownian motion then $\biggl(W_t, \int_0^t W_s ds\biggr)$ has normal distribution. Hint: apply Ito formula to this bivariate process. Any idea or suggestion on ...
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1answer
57 views

How to check if $ E [\exp \{ \int_0^t \frac{Y_u^2}{1+Y_u^2}du \}]< \infty $

$dY_t=2Y_tdt+2\sqrt{1+Y_t^2}dW_t$ where $W_t$ is $P-$Brownian motion (Wiener process). I have defined a new measure $Q$ where the Kernel density (In Girsanov theorem) is $$ \phi_t = \frac{Y_t}{\sqrt{...
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2answers
206 views

Application of Ito's lemma

Let $X_t$ be some stochastic process driven by wiener process ($W_t)$ so it can be expressed as: $$dX_t=(...)dt+(...)dW_t$$ Let $f(t,x)$ be some $C^2$ function. Define the process $Z_s=f(t-s,X_s)$ ...
4
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1answer
82 views

How to express a process using Itos formula

Let $F(t,x)$ be the solution to the PDE $$ F_t(t,x)=aF_x(t,x)+\frac{1}{2}F_{xx}(t,x),t>0 $$ $$F(0,x)=g(x)$$ for some function $g$. Let $X_t$ be a process defined by $$dx_t=aX(t)dt+dW(t)$$ Now ...
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1answer
122 views

Distribution of time integral of Brownian motion squared (where the Brownian motion occurs in square root time)?

Let $I_t = \int_0^t W_{\sqrt{u}}^2du$. What is the distribution of $I$? If I recall correctly, if the Brownian motion were instead $W_u$, then it would be $I_t \sim N\left(\frac{t^2}{2},\frac{t^4}{3}\...
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1answer
112 views

Compute distribution of a stochastic variable

$sign(x)=1$ if $x\geq0$ $sign(x)=-1$ if $x< 0$ Consider $$ X_t = \int^t_0 sign(W_u)dW_u $$ where $W_t$ is a wiener proces. How can I determine the distribution of $X_t$ and compute $E[\exp(\...
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2answers
119 views

Integral of Wiener process over time

This should hopefully be an easy question to answer, but I am new to Stochastic Calculus and am gapping as to why the following is true, for a brownian motion $W_t$: $$d(\int W_t dt ) = W_t dt$$ I ...
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1answer
103 views

Derive a mathematical equation for Eurodollar future rate

If we suppose that r(t) follows a Vasicek model, which is: $$dr(t) = (\mu - \kappa r(t))dt + \sqrt\sigma dW(t)$$ How to derive an expression for Eurodollar future rate?
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1answer
48 views

Levy process and random measure

I am wondering if random measures are used under a Levy process and how this connects to finance (particularly pricing). Any paper or books for suggestions is welcomed.
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0answers
59 views

Solving BSDE in R

I was wondering how to implement a BSDE approximation in R. For example, if I have the toy BSDE $$ dX_t = \mu dt + \sigma dW_t ; X_T\sim N(\mu_1,\sigma_1), $$ for fixed real numbers $\mu,\mu_1,\sigma,...
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0answers
72 views

Question about Stochastic Calculus,(change of measure)?

Can any one give some hint for this question? Let $\{S_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$ be an asset price process defined on the probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. Assume that the log-return of $...
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1answer
54 views

Characteristic function and distribution of a random variable

This is exercise 4.3 in Bjork, Arbitrage Theory in Continous Time. $$ X_t = \int^t_0 \sigma(s)dW_s $$ $\sigma$ is a deterministic function and $W_t$ is brownian motion. I am asked to find the ...
4
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1answer
240 views

For the Brownian motion integrate

I want to calculate $$\operatorname{E} \left[ \int_0^1{W(t)dt \cdot \int_0^1{t^2W(t)dt}} \right].$$ I discovered that the first integral is $\operatorname{N}(0, \frac{1}{3})$ but I don't know how to ...
2
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2answers
95 views

Statistical estimation vs Stochastic calibration of models

I have never been able to deduce the precise differences between model building from the statistical perspective and the stochastic processes/calibration perspective. I can only infer that these are ...
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0answers
26 views

Variance of integrated dynamical system

Define time increment $\mu:=t_{k+1}-t_{k}$. Consider the signal $x(\mu)-\mathbb{E}[x(\mu)]$ defined as $x(\mu)-\mathbb{E}[x(\mu)]=\frac{1}{\mu}\int_{t_{k}}^{t_{k+1}}\int_{0}^{\tau}e^{A(\tau-\delta)}...
2
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1answer
184 views

Black and Normal Model for Caplet using Python

I am able to Price Caplet using Black 76 model in Python. However, I am unable to price the same with Normal Model. Can anyone suggest what is missing ? I am valuing caplet that caps interest rate on ...
2
votes
1answer
132 views

How to calculate the covariance between two stochastic integrals?

How to calculate the covariance between the integral of a Brownian motion at different times: $$\text{Cov}\left(\int^{t_1}_0\sigma(t)dW_t,\int^{t_2}_0\sigma(t)dW_t\right)\ ?$$ I know the answer is: $$\...
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0answers
38 views

Model of asset substitution/risk shifting in continuous time

Consider a firm with cash flows $X_t$, which under a risk-neutral probability measure, follows a geometric brownian motion: $$dX_t = X_t[(r-\beta)dt + \sigma dZ_t]$$ where $r>0$ is the risk-free ...
3
votes
0answers
50 views

Euler discretization with jumps

There is a process $B_t = B_0\prod_{i=1}^{N_t}(1-Z_n)$, where $Z_n=e^{-ξ_n}$ for i.i.d exponentially distributed random variables $(ξn)_{n≥1}$ with rate $ρ=20$. ${N_t}$ is a counting process ...