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Questions tagged [stochastic-calculus]

A branch of mathematics that operates on stochastic processes.

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1answer
87 views

What is the easiest way to learn Option pricing with PDE?

I was reading about Ito's formula and Girsanov theorem, but I am still struggling to grasp how in reality these are combined to compute the price of an option. What are the main source to understand ...
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1answer
34 views

Why the variance of a process is $\left( \frac{dS_T^2}{dt}\right)^2$?

Consider an Ito process $dS_t = f(t,S_t) dt + g(t,S_t)dW_t $ What is the reason that we can compute the variance as: $\sqrt{VaR(S_t)} = \frac{(dS_t)^2}{dt}$
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63 views

Term structure equation in the Vasicek model

Consider the SDE $$dr_t = (b-ar_t)dt +\sigma dW_t, \text{with } a; b > 0.$$ Let $$F(t; r) = E(\exp(-\int_{t}^{T}r_sds)| r_t = r).$$ (F can be interpreted as price of a zero coupon bond with ...
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0answers
61 views

Valuation of Callable Bonds

Is there any way to price American Callable Bonds (those which can be called on any date before expiration) other than basic CRR interest rate trees, since they won't be accurate enough to give ...
3
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1answer
147 views

Dependence of implied volatility on spot-vol correlation

I have the following general SV model: $$ dS = \sigma S dW_S $$ $$ d\sigma = a(\sigma,t) dt + b (\sigma, t) dW_\sigma $$ $$ dW_S dW_\sigma = \rho dt $$ where $a , b$ are deterministic functions of $\...
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0answers
24 views

Stochastic process with determinstic frequency of regime changes

Suppose that I have an OU process. For instance, assume that I want to model the interest rates. Suppose that regime change is known ex ante, and is deterministic in terms of frequency (For instance, ...
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0answers
46 views

Option when underlying follows an ornstein-uhlenbeck process, or something else

I hope this is not a too basic question, but I am fiddling around a bit with option pricing. I have seen option pricing when the underlying in the most common settings, and the process seems fairly ...
4
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1answer
405 views

Ito`s Lemma problem

Can someone help me with calculus for this problem. I have these 3 equations and with Ito`s Lemma I have to find $dXt$. \begin{cases} dY= μYdt+σYdB \\ X=\frac{1}{2}cY\\ dc =-aαcdt\end{cases}
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3answers
6k views

How does one go from measure P to Q(risk-neutral) when modeling an asset paying dividends?

I am really having a terrible time applying Girsanov's theorem to go from the real-world measure $P$ to the risk-neutral measure $Q$. I want to determine the payoff of a derivative based an asset ...
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0answers
26 views

Filtrations and the different “kinds” of pre-knowledge

I am searching for a reference I think I saw in a book by either Shreve or Oskendahl. I am struggling with a theoretical question. As I recall how it was posed, the idea of no prior information (or ...
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1answer
34 views

Stochastic solution (mean, variance) to lognormal drift and normal volatility

I have trouble deriving the state equations for a mixture of normal/lognormal stochastic differential, namely for its a) expected mean, (b) variance, and (c) drift adjustment for LMM - libor model I ...
5
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1answer
100 views

Expected value of exponential of hitting time of GBM

We have a stopping time $$ \tau=\inf\{t\geq 0: S_0e^{\sigma B_t+(r-\sigma^2/2)t}=S^* \} $$ where $S_0,\sigma,r,S^*$ are constants and $S^*<S_0$, and $B_t$ is a brownian motion. I wish to compute ...
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0answers
30 views

Log Contract payoff function

I can’t get where Dr. Rouah gets payoff function of log contract. Could you please take a look at that? https://frouah.com/finance%20notes/Variance%20Swap.pdf It’s on page 2, section 3. I couldn’t ...
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2answers
683 views

Variance of Multi-Dimensional OU process

I'm trying to implement this model shown here: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407611000388 As part of the modelling process I have to calculate the unconditional variance of X ...
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1answer
61 views

Problem finding correct SDE for Stochastic Process

I am really struggling to come up with the correct SDE for the stochastic process: $Y(t) = a[Z(t)]^2$ where $Z(t)$ is a Brownian Motion. According to my Prof, the SDE is: $dY(t) = adt + 2aZ(t)dZt $...
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0answers
36 views

How does this transformation for Euler Scheme in mean reverting SDEs alleviate instability?

I saw this text in the book - Interest Rate Modelling by Andersen volume 1 on Page 112: I am unable to understand: How does instability arise when we use the Euler scheme on X(t)? What change does ...
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0answers
39 views

Unconditional Expectation vs. Conditional Expectation at time $0$

In most mathematical finance books I have read (all of them actually), the expectation, with respect to the sigma algebra at time $0$, $\mathcal F_0$, is considered the same as the unconditional ...
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0answers
67 views

The conditional expectation of a geometric brownian motion

In this question it states that $$\mathbb{E}[e^{\sigma(W_t-W_s)}|\mathcal{F}_s] = \mathbb{E}[e^{\sigma(W_t-W_s)}],$$ and I assume that $0 \leq s \leq t$. The accepted answer states that this step is ...
2
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1answer
120 views

Solution to a Geometric Ornstein Uhlenbeck Process $dX_t = \kappa(\theta - X_t)dt + \sigma X_t dW_t$

I've been searching for the solution to the modified Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process \begin{equation*} dX_t = \kappa(\theta - X_t)dt + \sigma X_t dW_t \end{equation*} but it surprisingly hard to find. The ...
3
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2answers
123 views

Find the brownian motion associated to a linear combination of dependant brownian motions

I have $N$ correlated standard one-dimensional Brownian motions $W_1,\ldots,W_N$ with correlation matrix $\rho$ and I consider the process $Z_t \equiv \sum_{i=1}^N \mu_i (t) W_t$ where the $\mu_i$ are ...
3
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4answers
381 views

Log of square of Geometric Brownian Motion

Which of the two calculations below, is wrong? Why? $dF = \sigma F dW$ First: $dF^2 = (F^2)' dF + \frac{1}{2}(F^2)''dF.dF$ $dF^2 = 2F dF + dF.dF$ $dF^2 = 2 \sigma F^2 dW + \sigma^2 F^2 dt$ $\...
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0answers
47 views

Self financing strategy and repo rate

I was wondering how to adjust the self financing condition when cash borrowing cas be secured by the stock. Suppose the risk-free money account is $B_t$ and there is a risky asset $S_t$. One have ...
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0answers
53 views

Novikov condition for Vasicek process

Suppose that we have a money account $S^{(0)}$ with dynamics \begin{align} dS^{(0)}_{t} = r_{t} S^{(0)}_{t}\, dt, \end{align} where \begin{align} dr_t = a(b-r_t)\, dt + \sigma_{r} \, dW_t^{(0)}. \...
3
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1answer
183 views

Question on Gÿongy' lemma proof

I have some questions regarding a proof of Gÿongy's lemma given in 1 I would like to understand the following passage: $$ \int_{s=t_0}^{s=t}\mathbb{E}\left[\delta(X_s-K)\langle dX_s\rangle^2 \right]= ...
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0answers
51 views

Simulation of Stochastic Volatility with Correlated Jumps (SVCJ) price paths

I am trying to simulate price paths for Monte Carlo option pricing of the Stochastic Volatility with correlated jumps model as presented in Dufffie et al.(2000), Eraker et. al. (2003) and Eraker (2004)...
0
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1answer
137 views

When $E[f(\alpha,X)] = f(\alpha, E[X])$

When $E[f(\alpha,X)] = f(\alpha,E[X])$, where $f$ is some convex function of the first and second variables, except when the first variable takes the value $\alpha$ in which case the equality holds, ...
3
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1answer
73 views

Derivation and expectation interchange

I would like to know when it is allowed to interchange derivation and expectation. Suppose $X$ is some r.v whose dynamic is controlled by some parameter $\sigma$ and suppose $h$ is some smooth ...
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3answers
1k views

Deterministic interpretation of stochastic differential equation

In Paul Wilmott on Quantitative Finance Sec. Ed. in vol. 3 on p. 784 and p. 809 the following stochastic differential equation: $$dS=\mu\ S\ dt\ +\sigma \ S\ dX$$ is approximated in discrete time by $$...
12
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1answer
437 views

Transformation of Volatility - BS

I have recently seen a paper about the Boeing approach that replaces the "normal" Stdev in the BS formula with the Stdev \begin{equation} \sigma'=\sqrt{\frac{ln(1+\frac{\sigma}{\mu})^{2}}{t}} \end{...
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0answers
36 views

Milstein discretization of the CIR process

Given the CIR process $\ dX_t = (a − bX_t ) dt + \sigma \sqrt{X_t}dW_t$ - I want to show that its Milstein scheme is $\ X_{i+1} - X_i = ((a − bX_i) - 0.25\sigma^2)\Delta + \sigma\sqrt{X_i}\sqrt{\...
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0answers
44 views

Ito Diffusion with Change of Measure

Let $(X_t)$ be an Ito diffusion with speed $(V_t)$, under a probability measure P. Could there exist a change of measure to a probability measure Q, with Q ~ P, under which $(X_t)$ is an Ito diffusion ...
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0answers
74 views

Feynman-Kac to derive stochastic representation

$u_t + \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2x^2u_{xx} - \alpha + \lambda((K_d - x)^+ - u) = 0$ with terminal condition $u(T, X) = (K_m - X(T))^+$ $dX = \sigma X(t)dW_t$ $\alpha$ and $\lambda$ are constants Ok so ...
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0answers
55 views

Change of measure from physical to risk-neutral under Radon-Nikodym and Girsanov Theorem

Given a stochastic process, how do we prove and generate the change-of-measure? I have been trying to prove the change-of-measure as under the Radon-Nikodym theorem and Girsanov Theorem, but ...
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0answers
63 views

Stochastic Differential equation: CAPM

Let $R=(R_1, \dots ,R_M)$′ denote a vector of excess returns of M assets observed at $n$ time points, $0<t_1<t_2< \cdots <t_n<T$, within a time span $T>0$. We wish to explain the ...
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0answers
58 views

Proving Flow Property of Stochastic Differential Equation

I am trying to show that $X_t^{s,x} = X_t^{r, X_r^{s,x}}$ for $0 \leq s \leq r \leq t$, $x \in \mathbb{R}^n$ is a given initial condition for time $s$, for some SDE: \begin{equation*} d X(u)=b(X(u))d ...
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0answers
64 views

For an Ito Process, $d\ln{X} \neq \frac{dX}{X}$ and $(d\ln{X})^2 = (\frac{dX}{X})^2$, but $d\ln{X} \neq \pm \frac{dX}{X}$

In normal calculus we can write $d\ln{x} = \frac{dx}{x}$ since there is no quadratic variation to deal with. This isn't true for stochastic processes, and Ito's Lemma is used to calculate $d\ln{X}$. ...
3
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1answer
125 views

Bayes Theorem with change of measure

Tomas bjork- arbitrage theory in continuous time. Appendix B, proposition B41 says: The proof is not clear to me. Thanks to Gordon's comment below of $E^Q (X/G)$ being $G$ measurable, I think the ...
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2answers
100 views

How to numerically simulate exponential stochastic integral

For example given an integral $$ \int^t_0 \exp(aW(t'))\,dt', t\in\mathbb R_+ $$ where $W(t')$ is a standard Wiener process. I've been very confused about stochastic integrals like $\int^t_0 W(t')\,...
2
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1answer
64 views

If S(t) is geometric Brownian motion, what is the distribution of S(t+h)-S(t)?

Suppose we have a geometric Brownian $S(t)$ which follows a lognormal process. Say $$ \begin{equation} dS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_tdW_t \end{equation} $$ My question is what is the distribution of $...
2
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2answers
250 views

Ho Lee model in Baxter&Rennie

I am currentyl reading Baxter&Rennie and I have a difficulty with understanding a derivation of formula for one function, $g(x,t,T)$ (this can be found on page 152 in the book). I know that there ...
2
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1answer
276 views

Black and Normal Model for Caplet using Python

I am able to Price Caplet using Black 76 model in Python. However, I am unable to price the same with Normal Model. Can anyone suggest what is missing ? I am valuing caplet that caps interest rate on ...
2
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0answers
69 views

SDE of futures price under non-constant interest rate and volatility process

I'm trying to figure out the form of the SDE of futures price under the risk neutral measure, when stock price follows GBM:             &...
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0answers
103 views

On quadratic covariation

I ran through an equality in a paper I was reading but couldn't check if it is correct. Let $W^1_t$, $W^2_t$ and $W^3_t$ be three brownian motions, not necessarily independent, is it true that the ...
3
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1answer
107 views

HJM model Baxter Rennie: differentiating the discounted asset price using Ito

From Baxter and Rennie Page 145: $Z(t,T) = exp(\int_{0}^{t}\Sigma(s,T)dW_s - \int_{0}^{T}f(o,u)du - \int_{0}^{t}\int_{s}^{T}\alpha(s,u)duds)$ where $\Sigma(t,T) = \int_{t}^{T}\sigma(t,u)du$ How ...
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0answers
99 views

Ultra Powerfull Vibrato Montecarlo for delta sensitivities of a not regular payoff

Ciao, I am working on a derivative with the following payoff at time $T$: $$ \sqrt{(S_T - K)^+} $$ where $S_T$ is the value of the stock at the expiring date. As usual we will assume $S_t$ to be a ...
3
votes
3answers
158 views

How to prove that $X_s=\int^s_0 f(u)dW_u$ is independant from $X_t-X_s$

I am asked to prove that $X_s$ and $X_t-X_s$ are independant for $s<t$ then $$X_t=\int^t_0f(u)dW_u$$ for a deterministic function $f$ and brownian motion $W_t$. For the proof I am giving a hint to ...
7
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1answer
470 views

Baxter & Rennie HJM: differentiating Ito integral

From Baxter and Rennie, page 138: $$f(t,T)=\sigma W_t+f(0,T)+\int_0^t\alpha(s,T)ds$$ $$Z_t=\exp-\bigg(\sigma(T-t)W_t+\sigma\int_0^tW_sds+\int_0^Tf(0,u)du+\int_0^t\int_s^T\alpha(s,u)ds\bigg)$$ $$dZ_t=...
3
votes
1answer
149 views

Differential of integral of Wiener process over time

I am trying to compute this quantity: $\frac{d}{dt}\int_{0}^{t} W_s ds $ Where $W_t$ is a Wiener process. Is there a theorem which tells how this can be computed? I have tried https://en.wikipedia....
14
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8answers
5k views

Geometric Brownian motion - Volatility Interpretation (in the drift term)

A Geometric Brownian motion satisfying the SDE $dS_t = rS_t dt+\sigma S_t dW_t$ has the analytic solution $$S_t = S_0\exp\left\{\left(r-\frac{\sigma^2}{2}\right)t\right\}\exp\{\sigma W_t\}$$ Recently ...
20
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1answer
463 views

What is the trickiest thing to get right in Rates Quant recently (2019)?

What are the biggest challenges for Rates Quants in 2019? Most quants have been through a lot over the past years-shifting their SABR models in JPY swaptions, fixing the FVA models for negative rates, ...