Questions tagged [stochastic-calculus]

A branch of mathematics that operates on stochastic processes.

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16 views

Expression for the expectation of Integrated variance in case of GARCH(1,1) process

I have the following SDE (GARCH(1,1)) for the instantaneous variance: $$ d\sigma_t^2 = \kappa (\theta - \sigma_t^2) dt + \psi \sigma_t^2 dW_t $$ I would like to find an expression for $IV_t = E[\int_{...
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41 views

Covariation of Ito semimartingales

If we have two Ito semimartingales over $[0,T]$: $$d X_t^i=a^i_tdt+\sigma_t^idW_t^i,\quad i=1,2$$ What is the relationship between $$\langle X^1,X^2 \rangle_t \quad \text{and} \quad \langle W^1,W^2 \...
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108 views

Itos Lemma Derivation notation

So in Hull (2012) the main point is that $\Delta x^2 = b^2 \epsilon ^2 \Delta t + $higher order terms$ $ has a term of order $\Delta t$ and can not be ignored as the Brownian motion exhibits the ...
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1answer
48 views

Taking Expectation of Stopping Time and Integral Manipulation

Consider a stopping time $\tau$ that represents the point in time when the first credit event (e.g. default) occurs on a compact interval $[0,T]$. Consider the expectation of the indicator function, $\...
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mixing fractional Brownian motions

Given two Brownian motions $W_t^1, W_t^2$, we can have them correlated by $$dW_t^1 = \rho d W_t^2+\sqrt{1-\rho^2}dZ_t$$ where $W_t^{2}$ and $Z_t$ are independent of each other. My question then: is ...
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1answer
151 views

Application of Ito's Lemma in expected utility theory

An investor with utility curve $U(.)$ has wealth $X_t$ at time t. He invests A proportion $p$ of his wealth in a risky asset that follows a geometric Brownian motion, with parameters $\mu$ and $\...
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1answer
46 views

The most general conditions under which Ito lemma holds

Prompted by a question that came up in the comments here, namely why we can apply the Ito lemma to a function of the form $f(x)=(x-K)^{+}$, I would be interested in knowing what are the least ...
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22 views

Ito's formula with a random jump measure

Suppose all processes and functions defined are nice enough such that all the following definitions make sense. On a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ equipped with a filtration $\...
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102 views

Rigorous proof of Dupire formula (e.g. using Gyöngy's theorem)

Where can I find a rigorous proof of the Dupire formula (for example, using using Gyöngy's theorem)? I imagine this would be covered by a paper or by a standard financial math text, but I could not ...
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38 views

Serial correlation, quadratic variation and variance of returns

On p. 3 of Lorenzo Bergomi's book on Stochastic Volatility Modeling, there is the following assertion: Indeed, to a good approximation, the variance of returns scales linearly with their time scale, ...
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1answer
101 views

Under which conditions the given random process is martingale and under which submartingale?

Let $a_t $ be adapted to the filtration random process $a_t: P\{\int _0^T|a_t|dt < \infty \} = 1 $ and $ b_t \in M_T^2. \quad$ Under which conditions the random process $$X_t = exp\{\int _0^ta_sds+\...
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14 views

Statistical test for comparing two different speed of mean reversion parameters for CIR model

I am trying to compare two different values of speed of mean reversion parameter for CIR model. I would like to know if there exists a statistical test for comparing these two parameters. the estimate ...
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106 views

Dynamic programming and Bellman equation to obtain the maximum

This is the problem of Marhsall (1992) "Inflation and Asset Returns in a Monetary Economy" and Balvers and Huang (2009) "Money and the C-CAPM" Suppose an endowment economy where the representative ...
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98 views

How to replicate the future instantaneous short rate?

Suppose we have an interest rate model $R(t)=\alpha(t)d(t)+\sigma d\tilde{W}(t)$, where the brownian motion is under the risk neutral measure. Suppose $S(t)$ is the price at time $t$ for a contract ...
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25 views

Differentiation of value function in perpetual american option

I am trying to solve the perpetual American option problem. Currently I'm following this (slide 9). The stock price is modelled as Ito's process. $dS_t = (\mu-D_0)S_tdt\ +\ \sigma S_tdW_t $ where $...
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Boundary condition in perpetual american option problem

I am trying to solve the perpetual American option problem. Currently I'm following this (slide 9). The stock price is modelled as Ito's process. $dS_t = (\mu-D_0)S_tdt\ +\ \sigma S_tdW_t $ where $...
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Stochastic differential equation of Avellaneda model

I was reading this paper and page 14 the model is given. I'm trying to find the steps to get to the SDE given. OI is the open interest, E is the elasticity of demand. $$ \frac{\Delta S}{S} ∼ E·Q^p \...
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224 views

Black and Scholes equation for portfolio **with** arbitrage

I am well aware of how the ordinary Black and Scholes equation is derived, under the assumption of an arbitrage free portfolio, $V=G-hS$. Here $S$ is the price of the underlying and $G$ is the option ...
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1answer
58 views

Ito's lemma for a Forward

I'm trying to understand the derivation of Ito's process with respect to a Forward $F$ on a stock $S$ that pays a constant dividend yield, say $y$. Stock follows brownian motion $\\$ $dS_{t} = S_{t}(\...
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1answer
64 views

Properties of integrated GBM

(I asked this question on MSE but I think it might have more success here) Good day, I was going over some exercises and I stumbled upon a question that, for its solution, requires me to find/...
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1answer
71 views

Stochastic Interest Rates in Option pricing

My lecturer has written the slide below. The function B^T(t) is a zero coupon bond. I don't understand how V(t) can be a negative integral from 0 to ...
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67 views

Brownian motion and Stochastic Integration

I have two questions relating stochastic integration which perhaps could be answered together. First question: First of all, I don't really understand why we can't use Riemann-Stieltjes integration ...
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75 views

Normal vs. Lognormal Greeks for Negative Rates Options

My understanding is that for some of the G10 currencies with negative rates (CHF, EUR), Swaption and Cap / Floor prices are quoted in terms of BOTH, normal and log-normal Vols. That in itself is not ...
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63 views

Option on $ \left( \int_0^T dW_t \right)^2$

Silly question, but how would you actually price $$ E_0 \left( \left( \int_0^T dW_t \right)^2 - K \right)_+ $$ where $dW_t$ are standard Brownian motions. Is there a closed form analytical solution?...
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Compo/Quanto Adjustment & Multivariate Ito

Related to the issue that I have raised here, I am facing another question. As the rule here is 1 question / 1 post, I take the opportunity to ask it below: By exploring StackExchange, I noticed the ...
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1answer
35 views

Differential bond price stochastic rates

Suppose that the short rate follows the process $$dr(t) = a(t, r(t))dt + \sigma(t, r(t))dW(t)$$ If $B(t) = exp(-\int_0^t r(u) d u)$, can one still write the differential $dB(t)$ a-la-Ito? Thanks.
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64 views

Proof that $f$ is continuous if and only if it has 0 quadratic variation?

I understand that $f$ continuous $\Rightarrow Q(f) = 0$ where this is defined over a bounded interval [0,T] as then we may use uniform continuity and the mean value theorem. But I am not sure how the ...
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54 views

Hedging a short position in the Lookback Option

SOLUTION I got the correct answer using this formula $X_2(HH)=(1+r)*[X_1(H)-\Delta_1(H)*S_1(H)]+\Delta_1(H)*S_2(HH)$ $(1+0.25)[2.24-(.06667*8)]+0.06667*16=3.20$
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111 views

Radon Nikodym derivative when changing numeraires

I note from Wikipedia that if $Q$ and $Q^N$ are two measures corresponding to numeraires $M$ and $N$, then the Radon Nikodym derivative is given by: $$\frac{dQ^N}{dQ} = \frac{M(0)}{M(T)}\frac{N(T)}{N(...
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65 views

Idea of using logarithm for solving SDE in Black-Scholes model

In the Black-Scholes model they consider that the stock follows this stochastic differential equation: $$ dS = \mu S dt + \sigma S\ dW $$ I was wondering, was it common at the time they work on this ...
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1answer
44 views

Exact solution stock price with Vasicek interest rate model

Define two correlated stock price- and interest rate (Vasicek) processes, governed by the Wiener processes $W^{S}(t)$ and $W^{r}(t)$ $$dS(t)=r(t)S(t)dt+\sigma S(t)dW^{S}(t)$$ $$dr(t)=\kappa(\theta-r(...
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37 views

Simulate correlated Brownian motions conditioned on future state(s)

Consider a model defined by 2 geometric Brownian motions $$dY_{1}(t) = \sigma_{2} Y_{1}(t)dW_{1}(t)$$ $$dY_{2}(t) = \sigma_{2} Y_{2}(t)dW_{2}(t)$$ with $Y_{1}(0) = y_{1}$, $Y_{2}=y_{2}$ and $dW_{1}(...
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1answer
53 views

Generalization of Ito's Lemma to composite function

Ito's Lemma gives that for a function $F$ of a stochastic variable $X$, $dF = \frac{dF}{dX}dX + \frac{1}{2}\frac{d^2F}{dX^2}dt$ Given a stochastic differential equation $dS = a(S) dt + b(S) dX$ and a ...
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1answer
186 views

Are all change of measure operations between equivalent probability measures Doléans-Dade exponentials?

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{F}, \mathbb{P})$ be a filtered probability space, where $\mathbb{F}=\left(\mathcal{F}\right)_{t\in[0;T]}$ and $\mathcal{F}=\mathcal{F}_T$. Let $(W_t)_{t\in[0;T]}$ be ...
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62 views

Derivation of stock price formula John C. Hull 9th Ed p309

It says assuming a no-uncertainty Weiner process that models stock price: $$ \Delta S = \mu S\Delta t $$ Can be rearranged to (after taking the limit of $\Delta t \to 0$... $$ \frac{dS}{S}=\mu dt $$ ...
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1answer
66 views

Integration of a deterministic function w.r.t. a Brownian motion

Help me solve this problem: Let $W_t$ be a Brownian motion and suppose $X_t = \int_{0}^{t}\delta _{s}dW_{s}$ where $\delta _{s}$ is a deterministic function. Then show that $X_t$ is a Gaussian ...
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52 views

Expected Value of Mean-Reverting Jump Process

I cant see the link between my method of calculation and the method done in the book Cartea and Jaimungal (Algorithmic and High Frequency Trading, page 220.) We have a mean-reverting process $$d\mu_t=-...
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230 views

How can I use the Radon-Nikodym theorem to show that forward measure is indeed measure?

The following statements are taken from the Wikipedia page for forward measure. Let $$B(T)=\exp \left(\int _{0}^{T}r(u)\,du\right)$$ be the bank account or money market account numeraire and $...
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Building up an Economic Scenario Generator [closed]

I am trying to build an Economic Scenario Generator in VBA or Python. Can anyone please help me with some good resources which I can follow or some basic procedures which explains how to go about in ...
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1answer
41 views

Proving an Identity between a pair of correlated Wiener processes

Suppose we have the following subordinated stochastic differential equations: $dR(t)=\mu dt+\sigma (Y(t))dW_{1}(t)$ $dY(t)=f(Y)dt+g(Y)dW_{2}(t)$, where $W_i$'s are standard Wiener process such that ...
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65 views

Trouble understanding Notation in Stochastic Calculus (wedge symbol ∧)

I am a beginner in Stochastic Calculus. I am having trouble understanding the meaning behind a specific notation which appears in the topic of Ito process which in differential notation can be written ...
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72 views

Compute dZ(t) : Ito's formula/lemma

We need to find dZ(t). I know I have to use Ito's formula. But I am confused because in the Ito's formula we have f(y,t) is a twice differentiable function with two variables But here Z(t) = 1/(2+x(t)...
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63 views

On Geometric Brownian motion and Itô's formula

Let $S_t$ be a geometric brownian motion such as $$d S(t) = rS(t)dt +\sigma S(t)dW(t),$$ where $W$ is a standard Brownian motion. With Itô's lemma and formulas $(dt)^2=dtdW_t=dW_tdt=0$ and $(dW_t)^2=...
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118 views

question about spot/vol correlation

In this paper The Interplay between Stochastic Volatility and Correlations in Equity Autocallables by Alvise De Col, Patrick Kuppinger (2017) https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=...
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25 views

Deriving coupling equation(s) for Heston Stochastic Volatility Model

In Bergomi Smile Dynamics (2003) Section 2.1 we are given the following coupled equations for the mean and for the variance of the hedger's portfolio: $ \begin{align*} \frac{dm}{dt} + \mathcal{L}m - ...
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91 views

Advantages of pathwise calculus over stochastic calculus in continuous self-financing trading models

I am new to stochastic calculus but the statement below confuses me: Beside the issue of the impossible consensus on a probability measure, the representation of the gain from trading lacks a ...
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23 views

Order of expectation versus expectation of order (error terms in Taylor expansion)

Given a payoff function $F(X)$ of a random variable $X$, and a Taylor expansion of $F(X)$ around $X=a$, then the expecation of $F(X)$ can be written as $$ E[F(X)] = F(a) + E[ O((X-a))] $$ Under what ...
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75 views

Why are quadratic variation and rough paths so important in quantitative finance?

I am new to quant finance - come from a mathematics background. I am starting stochastic calculus and have been particularly interested in some papers pathwise integration and rough calculus in ...
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1answer
64 views

Expectations in Infinite Probability Spaces with Sub Sigma-Algebras [closed]

Let $X$ be an (integrable) random variable on a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$. Suppose $\mathcal{G}$ is a sub-$\sigma$-algebra of $\mathcal{F}$ and let $Z=\mathbb{E}(X|\mathcal{...
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58 views

Finding Differential and Quadratic Variation Squared Process

A question based from Springer's Stochastic Calculus for Finance II book - I've tried working this out, but keep ending up in circles. Let $S(t)$ be given by the usual formula for an asset price ...

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