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Questions tagged [stochastic-calculus]

A branch of mathematics that operates on stochastic processes.

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0answers
126 views

Change of measure from physical to risk-neutral under Radon-Nikodym and Girsanov Theorem

Given a stochastic process, how do we prove and generate the change-of-measure? I have been trying to prove the change-of-measure as under the Radon-Nikodym theorem and Girsanov Theorem, but ...
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97 views

For an Ito Process, $d\ln{X} \neq \frac{dX}{X}$ and $(d\ln{X})^2 = (\frac{dX}{X})^2$, but $d\ln{X} \neq \pm \frac{dX}{X}$

In normal calculus we can write $d\ln{x} = \frac{dx}{x}$ since there is no quadratic variation to deal with. This isn't true for stochastic processes, and Ito's Lemma is used to calculate $d\ln{X}$. ...
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77 views

SDE of futures price under non-constant interest rate and volatility process

I'm trying to figure out the form of the SDE of futures price under the risk neutral measure, when stock price follows GBM:             &...
2
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0answers
89 views

Pre-requisites for Finance Mathematics

I would like to pursue research in the areas of Financial Mathematics. Hoping to look into Operations Research, Risk Management and Stochastic Modeling. Anyone got some suggestions on useful resources ...
2
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0answers
135 views

Pricing caplet with Bachelier (normal dynamic) using forward measure

I'm trying to price caplet with Bachelier under forward measure, but I can't find any solution. Remind that Bachelier assumed rates follow a normal dynamic. So here what I was doing : $C_t(T,T+d)$ ...
2
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0answers
66 views

Prove the given stochastic integral are equally distributed

Let $W^i_t$ and $W_t$ be pairwise independent Brownian motions for $i \in \{1, \dots , d\}$. Let $X_t^i$ be $d$ independent Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes for $i \in \{1, \dots , d\}$, i.e. each $X_t^i$...
2
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64 views

Bond prices at future times under Vasick one-factor model

In Vasicek one-factor model (and in other affine models), the price of a zero-coupon bond at time $t$ conditional on the information at this time is $$P(t,T) = E[e^{-\int^T_tr(u)du}|F_t] = A(t,T)e^{-...
2
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0answers
67 views

Computing Malliavin Derivative for European Call Payoff

Let $X_t$ be a continuous local-martingale modeling the stock price given by $$ X_t = \int_0^t \sigma_t(T,K)dW_t , $$ and $\sigma_t(T,K)$ is an $L^2$-measurable process not adapted to $W_t$'s ...
2
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1answer
239 views

Feynman Kac Terminal value problem two variables

So, I need some help to move forward with this problem. $$ \begin{cases} \frac{\partial F(t,x,y)}{\partial t}+\frac{1}{2}\frac{\partial^2 F(t,x,y)}{\partial x^2}+\frac{9}{2}\frac{\partial^2 F(t,x,y)}...
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489 views

stochastic modeling and machine learning [closed]

For a little bit of background, I've been studying stochastic calc and a few of it's applications (currently I'm still at the early stages of learning applications) and have been curious as to whether ...
2
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0answers
188 views

Normalized Gains Process is a Q-Martingale - Proof and Intuition

I'm trying to work the proof that the normalized gains process, $G^z_t = \frac{S_t}{B_t}+\int^t_0\frac{1}{B_s}dD_s$ is a Q-martingale under Q (the risk-neutral measure). I'll show what I've worked ...
2
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0answers
66 views

Laplace Exponent of a Jump-Diffusion Process

I'm currently reading a paper (https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2543702) which uses the following process to describe the dynamics of a firm's asset value: \begin{equation} V_t = ...
2
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0answers
178 views

How to understand the integral in the Girsanov theorem?

Let $W^P$ be a $d$-dimesional $P$-wiener procss. Define $L_t = > e^{\int_0^t \phi_s^T dW_s^P - \frac{1}{2} \int_0^t \| \phi_s\|^2 > ds}$.Assuming $E^PL_T = 1$, then the measure given by $dQ = ...
2
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0answers
402 views

Stochastic Leibniz rule

We have the following single-factor HJM model $$d_tf(t,T)=\sigma(t,T)dW_t+\alpha(t,T)dt$$ $$f(t,T)=f(0,T)+\int_0^t\sigma(s,T)dW_s+\int_0^t\alpha(s,T)ds$$ The discounted T bond is then \begin{align} Z(...
2
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1answer
208 views

Mix of Arithmetic and Geometric Brownian Motion

Talking with some traders the other day, I found out that they were using a pricing model based on a mix between a geometric brownian motion and an arithmetic brownian motion to price certain ...
2
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0answers
142 views

Quadratic variation

The following question is more math than quant, but since it arises from a mathematical finance textbook, I've figured the good people in this sub might be able to help me. So here goes. In the 3rd ...
2
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0answers
379 views

Multivariate Itô's lemma

Hey guys I'm looking for worked examples who show how to apply Itô's lemma in several variables, starting from the very basics. Thank you in advance!
2
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1answer
154 views

Regarding “Two Singular Diffusion Problems” by William Feller

I'm currently reading the research paper, Two Singular Diffusion Problems, by William Feller (1950). However, I don't understand how Feller derived the solution $(3.5)$ given equation $(3.4)$ in his ...
2
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1answer
263 views

What is the filtration described?

What is the filtration $(\mathfrak{F}_t)$ encircled below? Is it $(\mathfrak{F}_t) = (\sigma(W_t)) = (\sigma(\tilde{W_t})), t \in [0,T]$? Or is it $(\mathfrak{F}_t) = (\sigma(\hat{W_t})), t \in [0,T]...
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1answer
151 views

Two papers - two different solutions of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

Bernal 2016 says that the solution of $$ dr_{t}=\lambda*(\mu-r_{t})*dt+\sigma dW_{t} \qquad (eq.1) $$ equals $$ r_{t}=r_0*exp(-\lambda t)+\mu(1-exp(-\lambda t))+\sigma \int_{0}^{t} exp(-\lambda t)...
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2answers
112 views

How to numerically simulate exponential stochastic integral

For example given an integral $$ \int^t_0 \exp(aW(t'))\,dt', t\in\mathbb R_+ $$ where $W(t')$ is a standard Wiener process. I've been very confused about stochastic integrals like $\int^t_0 W(t')\,...
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1answer
68 views

Integrating Brownian Motion [closed]

I just wonder how to integrate standard Brownian motion on time interval $(t, T)$. Let $Z$ be a standard Brownian motion with mean $0$ and standard deviation $1$, with $dZ^2 = dt$. How to derive the ...
1
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1answer
58 views

Levy process and random measure

I am wondering if random measures are used under a Levy process and how this connects to finance (particularly pricing). Any paper or books for suggestions is welcomed.
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1answer
2k views

What is an adapted process

I am reading Björk, Arbitrage theory in Continous Time and I have noticed that he uses the term adapted proces a lot. I can't seem to understand what an 'adapted proces' is by the wikipedia article. ...
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2answers
98 views

Is a wiener proces measurable? (exercise from Bjork)

I will claim $$E[W(T) \vert F_t] = 0$$ for $t<T$. Anyway, in an exercise in Bjork the results requires that $$E[W(t) \vert F_t] = 0$$ But why? Isn't $W(t)$ measurable at time $t$ and hence not ...
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1answer
396 views

Stratonovich Integral and Ito's lemma

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F},\mathbb{P},\{\mathcal{F}\}_t)$ be a filtered- probability space and $W_t$ be standard Wiener process. I want to show stratonovich integral of $W_t$, i.e $\int_{0}^{t} W_s ○ ...
1
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1answer
864 views

Trading over a Ornstein/AR process

For a OU/AR(1) process is there anyway to analytically calculated most probable period of time the process is likely to diverge from the average, before turning to converge. Basically I am looking ...
1
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1answer
72 views

Example of complex structured products on FX market?

Lately I have been working a lot with the vol smile and different stochastic volatility models with FX forwards data. Now I want to work with pricing examples through simulations. Can you suggest some ...
1
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1answer
241 views

negative values in geometric brownian motion

A GBM $ \frac{dx}{x} = \mu dx + \sigma dW $ solves to $x_t = x_o e^{(\mu - \sigma^2)t + \sigma W_t}$ From the solution, it is clear that $x_t$ cannot become negative. However, it is not so clear ...
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1answer
65 views

How to check if $ E [\exp \{ \int_0^t \frac{Y_u^2}{1+Y_u^2}du \}]< \infty $

$dY_t=2Y_tdt+2\sqrt{1+Y_t^2}dW_t$ where $W_t$ is $P-$Brownian motion (Wiener process). I have defined a new measure $Q$ where the Kernel density (In Girsanov theorem) is $$ \phi_t = \frac{Y_t}{\sqrt{...
1
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1answer
56 views

Extreme cases of normal random numbers and NaN

While trying to implement my version of Euler's method for simulating a SDE in C++, I came up with a problem. It occurs in some cases that the path generated by my method ends up giving values which ...
1
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1answer
355 views

Is this process of Brownian motion?

Background Information: The process $W = (W_t:t\geq 0)$ is a $\mathbb{P}$-Brownian motion if and only if i) $W_t$ is continuous, and $W_0 = 0$ ii) the value of $W_t$ is distributed, under $\mathbb{...
1
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1answer
268 views

Prove that $E[g(X_T)|\mathscr F_t] = E[g(X_T)|X_t]$

Let $T > 0$. Let $(\Omega, \mathscr F, \{\mathscr F_t\}_{t \in [0,T]}, \mathbb P)$ be a filtered probability space where $\mathscr F_t = \sigma(W_u, u \in [0,t])$ where $W_t$ is standard Brownian ...
1
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1answer
149 views

Prove uniqueness, and prove $Y_t$ is a martingale by considering $dZ_t$ and $dL_t$

Suppose we are given a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathscr{F}, \{\mathscr{F}_t\}_{t \in [0,T]}, \mathbb{P})$, where $\{\mathscr{F}_t\}_{t \in [0,T]}$ is the filtration generated by standard $...
1
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1answer
129 views

Differenced Brownian Motion covariance

I am having some difficult showing what the following equals, where $x$ and $y$, $x>y$, distinct times: $\mathbb{E}[\Delta W_x \Delta W_y]$ where each $\Delta W_t = W_t - W_{t-1}$. I have ...
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1answer
41 views

Why the variance of a process is $\left( \frac{dS_T^2}{dt}\right)^2$?

Consider an Ito process $dS_t = f(t,S_t) dt + g(t,S_t)dW_t $ What is the reason that we can compute the variance as: $\sqrt{VaR(S_t)} = \frac{(dS_t)^2}{dt}$
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1answer
121 views

Derive a mathematical equation for Eurodollar future rate

If we suppose that r(t) follows a Vasicek model, which is: $$dr(t) = (\mu - \kappa r(t))dt + \sqrt\sigma dW(t)$$ How to derive an expression for Eurodollar future rate?
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1answer
50 views

Payoff of an odd indicator of one stock being greater than another

Suppose $S_t^1$ and $S_t^2$ are two stocks following GBMs and have current value $s_1$ and $s_2$ respectively. How can I explicitly compute the payoff $$ V(t,s_1,s_2)\triangleq \mathbb{E}\left[ 1_{\{...
1
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1answer
133 views

Simple HJM model, differentiating the bond price

We have the following simple HJM model $$f(t,T)=f(0,T)+\int_0^t\alpha(s,T)ds+\sigma W_t$$ $$r_t=f(0,t)+\int_0^t\alpha(s,t)ds+\sigma W_t$$ $$P(t,T)=\exp-\bigg(\int_t^Tf(0,u)du+\int_0^t\int_t^T\alpha(s,...
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1answer
144 views

Piecewise Ito formula

Usually Ito's lemma is stated for $C^{1,2}(\mathbb{R}^{d+1},\mathbb{R})$ functions. My question is does Ito still hold if the domain is restricted. That is if the semi-martingale $Z_t$ is only ...
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1answer
143 views

How to understand the following brownian integral using Fubini's method?

I am a little bit stucked with the following integral process, using Fubini's method, this is an intermediate step of short rate Merton Model. $\int_{t}^{T} W(s)ds=\int_{0}^{\hat {T}}ds\int_{0}^{s}...
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2answers
462 views

Conditional probability of geometric brownian motion

I created paths using GBM to implement The stochastic mesh method. But the method requires the conditional distribution, given some S(t) the probability of S(t+1). I've searched and can't find this ...
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1answer
75 views

Expected Value of Products of Processes

Suppose I have two processes. $A_t = A_0 \exp((a-\frac{1}{2}\sigma_A^2)t+\sigma_A W_t^A$ $B_t = B_0 \exp((b-\frac{1}{2}\sigma_B^2)t+\sigma_B W_t^B$ I would like to calculate $E[A_s B_t]$ where s &...
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1answer
504 views

Vasicek model problem

I am analyzing a problem where the below is given Vasicek model with risk-neutral dynamics $$dr_t = \kappa (\theta - r_t)dt + \sqrt{r_t} dW_t \quad \quad (1) $$ bond prices $$P(t,T)=e^{A(t,T)-B(t,T)...
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2answers
82 views

zero coupon problem calculus

I encounter a problem: do we have the following equality : $B(0,T_{i})e^{\int_{0}^{t}r_{s}ds}=B(t,T_{i})$ and if yes why because I am stuck with this ... I try to use that : $B(t,T_{i}) = B(0,T_{i})e^...
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2answers
118 views

Stochastic process theory question

*S follows a process $dS= mSdt + oSdz$ where m and o are constant. What is the probability followed by $ Y=(Se)^{(r-t)} $. If S follows a process $ dS= k (b-S) dt + oSdz $ where k, b, o are ...
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1answer
113 views

Stochastic calculus: what am I doing wrong?

it is just the computation of a second moment but however is creating debate !!... Can someone spot the error?
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1answer
632 views

FX Rate dynamics

Let's suppose USD/EUR price in USD follows a GBM with $$ dS_t = rS_tdt + \sigma S_tdW_t $$ What process does EUR/USD follow in EUR?
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1answer
72 views

Are the Ito's Lemma given in Mark Joshi's Concept and Practice in Mathematical Finance same as what I learn?

In Joshi's Concepts and Practice in Mathematical Finance, page $110,$ he stated the Ito's Lemma: Theorem $5.1$ (Ito's Lemma) Let $X_t$ be an Ito process satisfying $$dX_t = \mu(X_t,t)dt + \sigma(...
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1answer
66 views

Calculating the value of Beta - Martingales

Assume a risk free bond $B_t$and the stock St follow the dynamics of the Black & Scholes model. (with interest rate r, stock drift $\mu$ and volatility $\sigma$). Find $\beta$ such that the ...