Questions tagged [stochastic-volatility]

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How to show that this weak scheme is a cubature scheme?

Weak schemes, such as Ninomiya-Victoir or Ninomiya-Ninomiya, are typically used for discretization of stochastic volatility models such as the Heston Model. Can anyone familiar with Cubature on ...
TheBridge's user avatar
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31 votes
1 answer
2k views

Law of an integrated CIR Process as sum of Independent Random Variables

It is known (see for example Joshi-Chan "Fast and Accureate Long Stepping Simulation of the Heston SV Model" available at SSRN) that for a CIR process defined as : $$dY_t= \kappa(\theta -Y_t)...
TheBridge's user avatar
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27 votes
5 answers
13k views

Local Volatility vs. Stochastic Volatility

Are there any empirical observations or practices when to prefer Local Volatility Model for pricing over Stochastic Model or vice versa?
Andrey Taptunov's user avatar
22 votes
0 answers
2k views

Local Stochastic Volatility - Break even levels

In Chapter 12 of his excellent book Stochastic Volatility Modeling, Lorenzo Bergomi discusses the topic of local-stochastic volatility models (LSV). As most of you are probably aware of, the idea is ...
Quantuple's user avatar
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18 votes
1 answer
4k views

Bergomi: Skew arbitrage

In his paper "Smile Dynamics IV" (https://www.fields.utoronto.ca/programs/scientific/09-10/finance/derivatives/bergomi.pdf) as well as in his book "Stochastic Volatility Modeling" (...
Volwiz's user avatar
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16 votes
1 answer
1k views

Can VIX be interpreted as a proxy for instantaneous volatility?

Bakshi et al., (2006) Estimation of continuous-time models with an application to equity volatility dynamics (Table 2) estimate the following Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model for market variance, $\sigma^2_t$:...
lowndrul's user avatar
  • 263
15 votes
4 answers
3k views

How to prove that markets are incomplete under the Stochastic Volatility model?

Has anyone ever formally proved that Markets are incomplete under the stochastic volatility model? I know that if there are more random sources than traded assets, then the market is incomplete but ...
BillMJ's user avatar
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15 votes
2 answers
2k views

For which instruments performs SABR/LMM better than LMM?

For which class of instruments the SABR/LIBOR Market Model does perform better than the classical LIBOR Market Model? The LIBOR Market Model The LIBOR Market Model — also known as Brace, Gatarek, ...
Tim Enghel's user avatar
14 votes
1 answer
4k views

How do different models impact option Greeks?

If I trade an option using delta, vega, Prob OTM, etc. these are derived from a model. How do leading models impact valuations in terms of the Greeks? I suppose to form a baseline it would have to be ...
Jon's user avatar
  • 141
14 votes
1 answer
624 views

How to, from various hypotheses on the P&L, get known models (BS, Heston etc ...)

Usually models in quantitative finance are taught by giving, let's say, stochastic differential equations, initial conditions, and then pricing, under the model, various derivatives written on the ...
Olórin's user avatar
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13 votes
3 answers
4k views

Why is the SABR volatility model not good at pricing a constant maturity swap (CMS)?

I have heard that the SABR volatility model was not good at pricing a constant maturity swap (CMS). How is that?
Averroes's user avatar
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13 votes
2 answers
744 views

Realized variance in SVJJ (Heston with jumps) model

I am working with the stochastic volatility model with jumps in both the price and volatility dynamics, ie. the risk neutral dynamics are of the form: $$\mathrm{d}V_t = \kappa(\theta - V_t)\mathrm{d}t ...
Limbo's user avatar
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13 votes
1 answer
659 views

Transformation of Volatility - BS

I have recently seen a paper about the Boeing approach that replaces the "normal" Stdev in the BS formula with the Stdev \begin{equation} \sigma'=\sqrt{\frac{ln(1+\frac{\sigma}{\mu})^{2}}{t}} \end{...
Corn's user avatar
  • 181
12 votes
0 answers
474 views

Jim Gatheral's ansatz

In the Ansatz section of Jim Gatheral's book Volatility Surface (page 32), he assumes $$\mathbb E[x_s|x_T]=x_T\frac{\hat w_s}{\hat w_T}$$ where $\hat w_t:=\int_0^t \hat v_s ds$ is the expected total ...
Hans's user avatar
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11 votes
2 answers
707 views

Solve the following SDE: $\mathrm{d}X_t = a(b-X_t) \,\mathrm{d}t + c X_t \, \mathrm{d}W_t$

Let $\mathrm{d}X_t = a(b-X_t) \,\mathrm{d}t + c X_t \, \mathrm{d}W_t$ be a stochastic differential equation where $a$, $b$, and $c$ are positive constants, so I tried to solve it but I got stuck in ...
Blg Khalil's user avatar
11 votes
1 answer
3k views

Can the Heston model be shown to reduce to the original Black Scholes model if appropriate parameters are chosen?

Summary For Heston model parameters that render the variance process constant, the solution should revert to plain Black-Scholes. Closed from solutions to the Heston model don't seem to do this, even ...
John Tyree's user avatar
11 votes
3 answers
3k views

Why is there a stong intraday-correlation between spot and vol?

Fig.1 shows an intraday scatterplot of the DAX future against its volatility index VDAX on 6-Jan-2016. The data suggest a strong negative correlation between the two. There are various models ...
user3072048's user avatar
10 votes
1 answer
4k views

SSR definition in Bergomi in relation to sticky strike and sticky delta

In Bergomi [Stochastic Vol Modelling] (Sec. 2.5.2), in the section on surface dynamics, the following definition of the "Skew Stickiness Ratio" (SSR) is made: $$ SSR = \dfrac{1}{\mathcal{S}_T}\frac{d\...
John Doe's user avatar
  • 387
10 votes
1 answer
5k views

Mixed local-stochastic volatility model in Quantlib

At a conference the speaker mentioned that it is a standard approach today to use a mix of local and stochastic volatility model in equity, FX and interest rates. Can you please suggest the most ...
opt's user avatar
  • 559
10 votes
3 answers
729 views

clarification to use collocation methods to get arbitrage free sabr

I'm reading the following two papers (first, second) which suggest a so called "stochastic collocation method" to obtain an arbitrage free volatility surface very close to an initial smile stemming ...
math's user avatar
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10 votes
0 answers
434 views

Transition densities in the Heston model

Knowing the Characteristic function $\Phi_{T,t} = \mathbb{E} [ e^{i u S_T} | S_t, V_t]$ (or equivalently, the Laplace transform) of an affine process, it's possible to know the distribution of the ...
lush90's user avatar
  • 101
9 votes
3 answers
942 views

Why is it useless to model stochastic volatility when pricing Vanilla style derivatives?

With respect to the answer by user AFK in Ideas about Stochastic volatility models. I am specifically interested in interest rate options (IR Caps/Floors and Swaptions).
LePiddu's user avatar
  • 393
9 votes
1 answer
4k views

For pricing, what types of Exotic Options are suitable using Local Volatility Model or a Stochastic Volatility Model?

I understand that stochastic volatility models should be used when the exotic option payoff is volatility dependent (such as variance swaps and volatility swaps). Stochastic volailtiy models should ...
chengcj's user avatar
  • 473
9 votes
3 answers
450 views

Why does the price of a derivative not depend on the derivative with which you hedge volatility risk?

I'm trying to derive the valuation equation under a general stochastic volatility model. What one can read in the literature is the following reasoning: One considers a replicating self-financing ...
user1466113's user avatar
9 votes
0 answers
759 views

Autocallable option Delta

There have been numerous exotic trading desk blow ups lately, related to various reasons. However, in particular, one bank had some issues where they were pricing autocallable notes with Local ...
ellie_cat's user avatar
  • 111
8 votes
4 answers
5k views

Stock Price Behavior and GARCH

In my (limited) understanding, the behavior of a stock price can be modeled using Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM). According to the Hull book I'm currently reading, the discrete-time version of this ...
miggety's user avatar
  • 669
8 votes
2 answers
5k views

Local vol, stochastic vol, implied vol

I've been studying volatility modelling over past the few days; in particular, the connections between local vol, stochastic vol, implied vol. I've been reading Gatheral's book "The volatility surface"...
Ryan J. Shrott's user avatar
8 votes
2 answers
707 views

Confusion with volatility smiles implied by different models

I am reading a book "The concepts and practice of mathematical finance" by Mark Joshi. In Chapter 18 he discusses the shapes and dynamics of smiles under different models. I do not understand what is ...
tuko's user avatar
  • 81
8 votes
2 answers
1k views

Does it make sense to use upward and downward volatility in option pricing?

Historically stocks have a higher likelihood to increase in price than to fall in price. As such would it make sense to split a stocks volatility measurement into upward and downward components? For ...
Jakobovski's user avatar
8 votes
2 answers
2k views

SABR Model Closed Form Solution

I've been researching the SABR model and one of the main benefits it seems is that you can obtain a closed for solution of the implied BS volatility in certain cases. In all the papers I've read, I ...
Dabshffabjvs's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
992 views

Hedging error in a stochastic volatility model

I would like to find how much error I make when I hedge a call option using Black Scholes model in a market which is actually governed by a stochastic volatility process such as $$dS_t = rS_tdt + \...
Calculon's user avatar
  • 595
8 votes
2 answers
1k views

Vega of exotic options

I'am wondering if there is a standard definition to the Vega of an exotic product when the underlying model is not Black-Scholes. Let me give some examples : What is the Vega if the price is ...
Jiem's user avatar
  • 436
8 votes
1 answer
1k views

How can I compare 30 day implied volatility forecasts with GARCH forecasts?

I'm trying to understand whether there is a good way to compare forecasts for volatility from different sources i.e., implied volatility and GARCH. I'll outline a few statements that I believe and if ...
George1811's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
2k views

Estimate rolling stochastic volatility forecast using stochvol in R

I want to use the R package stochvol to fit a SV model to a DAX training set and use the output to estimate a rolling one-step-ahead forecast: ...
BeneSP's user avatar
  • 148
8 votes
1 answer
297 views

Are there "live" uses of the Generalized Method of Moments or are they all academic?

I see the Generalized Method of Moments suggested in numerous academic papers as a way to calibrate stochastic volatility models. However, any decent trading shop is going to calibrate to observable ...
Brian B's user avatar
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8 votes
1 answer
3k views

Why do we fit volatility surfaces implied from a option pricing model to the empirical data?

As far as I understand volatility surface. It is made of 2 components, the volatility skew/smile and the volatility term structure. Together they form something like Implied volatility is ...
Crushh's user avatar
  • 193
8 votes
1 answer
291 views

What tradeoff is there to using an accurate estimate with a large confidence interval?

I am working on calibrating a Heston model from simulated historical stock data. After obtaining an accurate estimate of the model parameters I found very large 95% confidence intervals for these ...
Beer4All's user avatar
  • 644
8 votes
1 answer
692 views

Calibration of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process that hits zero (Feller condition violation)

I'm considering a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process $$ dx_{t} = \alpha\left(\theta - x_{t}\right)dt + \sigma \sqrt{x_{t}}\,dW_{t}\,,\qquad \alpha,\beta,\sigma > 0 $$ which by assumption has $2\...
Jon's user avatar
  • 81
8 votes
3 answers
537 views

What is an acceptable error on implied volatility?

Given an implied volatility surface (on equity indexes) and a calibrated model, what is the range of error on implied volatility a trader would accept ? This obviously depends on the model used to ...
vanna's user avatar
  • 545
7 votes
3 answers
12k views

Problems with local volatility models (vs stochastic volatility models)

Why is pricing with local volatility models are problem with exotics, mainly due to "the volatility surface is the market's current view of volatility and this will change in the future meaning the ...
Trajan's user avatar
  • 2,462
7 votes
3 answers
1k views

Is variance swap long volatility of volatility?

In JPM's note on variance swaps, on page 29, they say "... a long variance swap is also long volatility of volatility". In Bennett's book Trading Volatility, on page 115, he says "... a ...
Michael's user avatar
  • 301
7 votes
1 answer
2k views

Modeling Call Price w.r.t. Strike w Models that Capture Vol Smile

I am trying to model $C(K)$, the price of the call $C$ as a function of strike $K$. Because this is tied to Prob ITM - and in fact the probability density function of that particular expiration (https:...
Jared's user avatar
  • 735
7 votes
2 answers
1k views

How to use a stochastic volatility model to price a quanto option

I want to price a quanto option using a Stochastic Volatility model (like Heston model, 1993). Normally, what we do is: Calibrate the stochastic volatility model, draw a binomial tree consistent ...
Joanna's user avatar
  • 853
7 votes
1 answer
997 views

Interpretation and intuition behind the Put-Call symmetry under the Heston Model

I am currently working on a report regarding the put-call symmetry relations under the Heston model. I did all the math and managed to prove the relations using PDE approach. However, I wish to have a ...
NamelessGods's user avatar
7 votes
2 answers
5k views

SABR Calibration: Normal vs Log-Normal Market Data

This question is about getting some clarification as to how to understand market quotes for normal & log-normal vols together with certain model assumptions. So let us define $C_{BS}(F_0,K,T,\...
Phil-ZXX's user avatar
  • 1,192
7 votes
1 answer
5k views

SABR calibration: simple explanation and implementation

I would like to learn more about the SABR model and ho it is used in modeling smiles in equity, FX and rates markets. How would you explain the process and its implementation in simple steps? Any web ...
opt's user avatar
  • 559
7 votes
1 answer
4k views

Calculating 6-minute, 20-minute, 45-minute, and 3-hour volatility

I am looking to measure the volatility from the open of the market until a trade takes place and use that volatility in post-trade regressions to help explain transaction costs. A simple regression ...
joesyc's user avatar
  • 405
7 votes
2 answers
999 views

on "recovering probability distributions from option prices" - how to subtract influence of stochastic volatility?

This is based on a 1995 paper by Rubinstein/Jackwerth by the above title where the authors produces a distribution of stock prices inferred from option prices. But their approach only produces a joint ...
Dinesh's user avatar
  • 109
7 votes
1 answer
2k views

Market price of volatility risk

Reading Gatheral's The volatility surface, page 7. The model they are talking about is $$\begin{align}dS_t&=\mu_tS_tdt+\sqrt{\nu_t}S_tdZ_1\\d\nu_t&=\alpha(S_t,\nu_t,t)dt+\eta\beta(S_t,\nu_t,...
Anna Taurogenireva's user avatar
7 votes
1 answer
982 views

Vega in the Heston model

I'm trying to calculate the hedging quantities of the Heston model. I undestand that the replicating portfolio consist of one option, $V = V(S,v,t)$, $\Delta$ stocks and $\phi$ units of the option to ...
Modvinden's user avatar
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