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Questions tagged [stopping-time]

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4
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1answer
89 views

American put option. Exercise time is a random variable, calculation of expected payoff

I got an American put option, where the payoff is $V_\tau = \max(K - X_{\tau}, 0)$ and $X_{\tau}$ is the price of an underlying at the stopping time $\tau < T$. The underlying follows a standard ...
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0answers
24 views

A hitting time of an open set for a càdlàg process is a stopping time

In Protter Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, Springer (2003), the following definition is given: Definition. Let $X$ be a stochastic process and let $\Delta$ be a Borel set in $\...
2
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1answer
72 views

Regression techniques for bermudan Monte-Carlo

One knows that the price of a bermudan claim exercisable at times $T_1, T_2,\ldots, T_N$ is $$V_0 = \sup_{\tau\in\Gamma} \mathbf{E} \left[ e^{\int_0^{\tau} r_s ds} \varphi_{\tau}\left( x_{\tau} \...
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0answers
96 views

Perpetual American put option with zero interest rate

I want to find an optimal time when we should exercise perpetual American put option. In other words I want to maximize the following equation: $$ V(S) = \sup_{\tau \in \mathcal{\tau}}\mathbb{E}[e^{-...
4
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0answers
208 views

Girsanov theorem and stopping time

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ be a probability space, equipped with a filtration $(\mathcal{F})_{0 \leq t \leq T}$ which is a natural filtration of a standard Brownian motion $(W_{t})_{0 \leq ...
2
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1answer
146 views

How to solve one-touch American call

I want to solve the one-touch American call at $t = 0$ with level $B,$ maturity $T$ under the following assumption: $$d S= rSd t + \sigma SdW,\quad S_0<B.$$ We have following formula: $$V(S_0,0) = \...
0
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1answer
37 views

is there a dependence between an annotation date of stocks dividend payment and the end fiscal year

I know that the fiscal year in USA from 1 October till 30 September. I'd like to know: is whether there a dependence between a declaration date and an end of fiscal year? I think this dependence ...
1
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1answer
297 views

Figure of Stopping and Continuation Region

I am reading Alternative Characterizations of American Put Options by Carr et al. It is stated there that: Consider an American put option on the stock with strike price $K$ and maturity date $T$. ...
3
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3answers
229 views

Proof of optimal exercise time theorem for American derivative security in N-period binomial asset-pricing model

At least two textbooks (Shreve's Stochastic Calculus for Finance - I, theorem 4.4.5 or Campolieti & Makarov's Financial Mathematics, proposition 7.8) prove the optimal exercise theorem that says ...
4
votes
1answer
534 views

What is the probability that a Brownian Bridge hits an upper barrier $U$ before a lower barrier $L$?

The probability that an arithmetic Brownian motion process $dt = \mu dt + \sigma dW$ hits an upper Barrier $U$ before it hits a lower barrier $L$ is given by $$ \mathbb{P}(\tau_U\leq \tau_L) = \frac{\...
5
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1answer
214 views

What is the probability that a OU process hits an upper barrier U before a lower barrier L?

What is the probability that the arithmetic OU process $dx_t= \theta(\mu-x_t)dt+\sigma dW_t$ hits barrier $U$ before hitting barrier $L$ when $L<x_0<U$ ?
1
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1answer
168 views

Probability that return exceeds a certain level before a certain time (Black-Scholes)

I am self studying for an actuarial exam on financial economics. I encountered the following problem and solution. It seems to me that the author intended to mean what is the probability that the ...