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Questions tagged [strategy]

The tag has no usage guidance.

8
votes
1answer
237 views

Why not just be long VIX and wait for the next volatile period?

Over the past 3 months, VIX has been relatively low. Therefore, there seems to be a "free-lunch" here by just being long VIX, and wait for the next market turmoil (which is happening at the moment ...
2
votes
0answers
94 views

how to avoid building a strategy that depends on very long trends

When I construct a strategy, it is easy to make subtle dependencies on trends that have existed for a long time. Sometimes it is legit to explicitly take advantage of the trends. For example, it has ...
1
vote
2answers
64 views

Strategy if dividend is lower than expected

Here is a question I encountered: In 2009, a trader believes that dividends for a stock in 2011 will be lower than expected, what is the best strategy among: long/short 2010 forward, long/short ...
4
votes
1answer
113 views

Strategy for implied volatility

I encountered this question: "A trader observed that the implied vol of OTM calls and puts are higher than that of ATM option, what is the best strategy among: Calendar Spread, Bull Spread, Bear ...
2
votes
2answers
161 views

Why Good forecasting != Good trading? [closed]

In AI for algorithmic trading: 7 mistakes that could make me broke the author talks about why good forecasting cannot equal good trading based on the strategy selected. While reading the article I ...
1
vote
0answers
78 views

Why “profit factor” is used to compare trading strategies?

A lot of books/articles/trading forums mention that "profit factor" is probably the most important measure and should be used to compare different trading strategies. They define profit factor as ...
0
votes
2answers
111 views

Seagull Spread payoffs

I'm looking at different option strategies and the ways that their payoffs differ (and therefore how they can differently be used). I'm looking at the long seagull (buy a call spread and sell a put), ...
-2
votes
1answer
99 views

Is forex trade set up where profit target is twice as far from stop loss is good strategy? [closed]

I was listening to this youtube video and the author is explaining that good way is to set up forex trades in a way where 10 pips in 'losing' direction (Stop loss) and 20 pips in 'winning' direction (...
0
votes
1answer
90 views

Methods to improve systematic strategies

Soliciting advice on ways to improve systematic strategies. Some things that I can think of off the top of my head: Using a risk model (correlations) instead of 1/n or 1/vol weighting Including a ...
3
votes
1answer
284 views

Option Strategy: Python Implementation Advice

I've been tasked to create and backtest an option strategy. The strategy, in vague terms, is to essentially write call options on securities in a universe, i.e., selling insurance. I have an idea of ...
8
votes
0answers
292 views

Market Maker portfolio management

I am interested in articles/strategies related to portfolio and inventory management for market makers and to management of order cancellation, updates of order, etc. Most of the strategies from ...
3
votes
1answer
302 views

What's the rationale behind having several orders on each each side for market makers

I've been browsing market making codebases and I've noticed most of them tend to create multiple orders on each side. Originally I thought having orders on each side is an advanced approach but here'...
1
vote
0answers
85 views

How to choose trades over time when capital is limited

Say I'm in the business of trading forward contracts. So at some point in time, I look at the markets, and determine a number of trades I could make. For each trade, I know the profit I expect to make,...
2
votes
1answer
193 views

Why there is a Deviation on my RSI indicator in comparison from one of the other Trading Markets

Hello all, and sorry for this stupid question. I am using my custom RSI indicator to which I created programmatically. I follow the equation type from here. My problem is when I compare it with the ...
2
votes
0answers
46 views

How to ascertain/establish certainty of a portfolio rebalancing strategy?

I created a portfolio rebalancing strategy, that I am currently paper trading with. It is, primarily, based on mean-reversion principle with a few rules in place, and geared towards cryptocurrencies, ...
3
votes
0answers
82 views

Backtesting: what happens to real-executed order if mine fills instead?

I'm writing a backtester and using an order-by-order Nasdaq ITCH feed whilst testing it. Let's say the bid-ask spread is 100 @ 9-11 @ 100 My strategy inserts an bid order for 100 @ 10 and this ...
3
votes
2answers
390 views

Backtrader doesn't display time when backtesting

I am trying to backtest a strategy with Backtrader (not the first time) and have a problem while printing date & time for each iteration (time stay on 23:59:59). Here are the first lines of my ...
2
votes
1answer
1k views

Calculate Returns of Momentum Strategy (Overlapping Portfolios - Jegadeesh and Titman 1993)

I want to implement a Momentum Strategy, followed by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) with overlapping Portfolios. I want to duplicate their results. Quick Link to the paper (Unfortunately the Method is ...
0
votes
2answers
52 views

Does MPR imply strategies with positive average return?

Doesn't the existence of Market Price of Risk make investment strategies relying on the average outcome of a risky investment attractive as compared to the expected value of it (computed under the ...
1
vote
1answer
83 views

Literature on credit risk premia

I am looking for a comprehensive ressource describing known strategies of credit risk premia. Is there such kind of articles/books/websites?
0
votes
0answers
79 views

Calculating basic win% of simple trend-following strategy?

I apologize if this isn't the correct place to post this. I'm not quite sure where else I should post on stackexchange. I'd like to preface this by saying I'm not actually planning on trading. This ...
0
votes
0answers
28 views

Best strategy for generating floats with minimum amount of risk

I'm looking for a way to get cash-in-hand in exchange for future obligation. For example, I can sell deep-in-the-money puts and buy out-of-the-money puts (for hedge) with expiration of 2 years, The ...
2
votes
3answers
300 views

Where to get historical equity data?

I have a decade of experience as a software engineer, but little quantitative finance knowledge. I have an idea for a simple trading strategy based around moving averages. In order to test it, I'd ...
3
votes
3answers
2k views

Writing an Options Strategy Backtester

I've been doing some digging, and this question has been asked many times in various forms over the years - Backtesting Options Strategies in R Are there any good tools for backtesting options ...
4
votes
0answers
182 views

Trading signal strength: [-1 to 1] or [predicted return]?

In the context of a backtesting engine, is it better to have strategy generate trade signals in the range from -1 to 1 or as exact predicted returns (e.g. -12% or 26%). The difference lies in how to ...
0
votes
1answer
222 views

Do you think this strategy will work?

I have been playing with paper trading and am planning on getting into the real stock market soon, but I want to make sure my strategy is realistic before I put real money on it. I made a program ...
0
votes
1answer
194 views

how to measure a event driven strategy?

How to measure an event driven investment strategy? Say I have a strategy which I assume that if a firm has positive momentum and it has a refinance corporate action, it's value will increase. For ...
6
votes
4answers
332 views

Shorting an option every day vs shorting only at maturity

Suppose we have 2 strategies : strategy A : every $N$ days, we short a call option with a time-to-maturity of $N$ days; strategy B : every day, we short $\frac{1}{N}$ of a call option with a time-to-...
3
votes
3answers
224 views

Multi-asset class allocation

How to allocate asset classes in a multi-asset portfolio? An institutional client needs to meet his pension liabilities, and suggested a multi-asset-class strategy. I'm trying to find ideas to pitch. ...
2
votes
1answer
984 views

How to evaluate a success rate of a trading strategy

In order to compare various trading strategies, I am trying to calculate the success rate (the ratio of winning and losing trades). While it is clear to me that this indicator is far from being an ...
4
votes
1answer
332 views

How to compute daily compounded backtest returns closer to real-world results?

I often run quick tests of trading strategies in my analytics suites by: multiplying a vector of signal (lagged, {-1,0,1}) with a time series of daily percentage returns doing a cumulative product of ...
5
votes
3answers
647 views

Is linear programming important for quant?

I'm thinking about taking a course on Linear and Convex Programming, but I don't know how useful it is in the real world finance. Which areas in finance is mathematical programming used?
2
votes
1answer
1k views

Divergent or Convergent Strategies? Which is the way to go?

Consider first the simple convergent strategy to invest some amount $X$ in a game, if you win you simply take the winnings and keep playing a subsequent game. In the case of a loss, you believe in ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

Pre-trade evaluation and risk assessment of option trading strategies (in market practice)

When a trader gets conclusion of the volatility is being underestimated (via volatility cone or some other technology), actually there are multiple ways for his trading. (Let's assume the underlying ...
5
votes
1answer
1k views

How to choose a rolling window type and size?

I'm developing a trading strategy which takes into account certain parameters (e.g. avg spread, weighted price, etc). Of course, these parameters can be calculated over different window types (i.e. ...
1
vote
1answer
1k views

Liquidity detection based strategy in HFT

This article contains the following statement. In terms of liquidity detection, traders intend to decipher whether there are large orders existing in a matching engine by sending out small ...
2
votes
4answers
521 views

Proof that the number of trades done (successfully) matters for whether or not a strategy was lucky

Me and a friend is trying to settle and argument in relation to the following quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb: I don’t want to spend too much time on Buffett. George Soros has 2 million times more ...
-4
votes
1answer
3k views

Show that convexity of call price as a function of the strike is violated [closed]

European call options with strikes 90, 100 and 110 on the same underlying asset and with the same maturity are trading for 22.50, 18.84 and 13.97 respectively. show that the convexity of the call ...
4
votes
5answers
7k views

Appropriate method for calculating negative returns on a trading strategy?

I have a cumulative profit/loss time series below for a trading strategy, what is the appropriate way to calculate the returns in percentage for such a series? My issue is the appropriate ...
7
votes
1answer
486 views

What is the optimal strategy when there is an equal chance for gain or loss but the size of the potential gain is larger?

I'm investigating a situation where the chance for gain or loss is the same, but the amount gained is greater than the amount that is lost. For example, the gain would be about 30% of the trade ...
14
votes
1answer
1k views

What is the Sugihara Trading System?

I recently heard the term Sugihara Trading System. I guess it might be some trading strategy or a special model to predict trends in market data, but I couldn't find out anything about it. Does anyone ...
6
votes
1answer
769 views

What research is available on the performance of convertible bond arbitrage models?

The basic principles of convertible bond arbitrage have been clear at least since Thorp and Kassouf (1967). For those who are not familiar, the arbitrage entails purchasing a convertible bond and ...
21
votes
10answers
42k views

Strategy of Renaissance Technologies Medallion fund: Holy Grail or next Madoff?

Renaissance Technologies Medallion fund is one of the most successful hedge funds - ever! Yet it is very secretive. Do you have information on the strategy used that is not yet mentioned in the ...
19
votes
4answers
6k views

Is there any good research on support and resistance?

Could somebody advise me on where to find good literature on the justification or motivation for using support and resistance lines - and also lines of maximums and minimums. In finance, it is ...
44
votes
9answers
7k views

How 'High' is the frequency in HFT?

How many trades per second are we talking about? What kind of strategies are used in this time frame? Can the small guy play the game?
14
votes
3answers
3k views

Categories of systematic trading strategies?

What are the main categories of systematic trading strategies (e.g. momentum, mean reversion), as might be considered by an index or fund-of-fund analyst? Are there any common sub-strategies?
3
votes
1answer
1k views

basic stock trading strategies [closed]

What are some trading strategies for stocks (just stocks, no derivatives) using freely available online data sources?
8
votes
2answers
674 views

What quant terms to use to search for papers about “stop-hunting” trading strategies?

Are there any papers about possible trading strategies you can apply when you know where a large cluster of orders is located in the order-book? These seem to fall in the liquidity-provisioning/...
20
votes
8answers
2k views

Why is there no “meta-model”?

If I design a trading model, I might want to know the model's half life. Unfortunately, it doesn't seem possible to predict alpha longevity without a meta-model of the market. Intuitively, such a meta-...
11
votes
1answer
519 views

How to select/construct benchmarks for black-box trading strategies?

When faced with a black box trading strategy with extensive historical data available, how would one select/construct a representative benchmark? As a trivial example, when a strategy historically ...