Questions tagged [treasuries]
The treasuries tag has no usage guidance.
48
questions
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1answer
31 views
Swap Spread Positions with Duration Bias
In practice, how are swap spread positions actually sized and constructed between the two legs? I would suppose the two legs are simply matched in notional terms.
However, in practice, do traders ever ...
2
votes
4answers
94 views
US Treasury - IEF vs ZN Cumulated Return Comparison
I have been trying to explore the possibility of replacing my IEF (10 years treasury ETF) positions with ZN (10 years treasury futures) for better leverage.
Reading the posts here, I understand that ...
2
votes
1answer
61 views
Swap Spread Arbitrage & Rates/STIRT Vol
Concerning the classic swap spread arbitrage trade where you (as far as I understand it):
Buy a treasury and borrow in GC repo, paying repo rate and funding the haircut in short term unsecured ...
1
vote
1answer
79 views
Negative Carry when Yield Curve is Downward Sloping
I am currently reading "The Treasury Bond Basis", and have a question regarding negative carry. The book states that the carry of a vanilla treasury bond will be negative when the yield ...
3
votes
1answer
290 views
Impact on DV01 of cbot bond futures by changing coupon from 6% to 4%
CBOT has been asking customers lately what their thoughts would be on coupon change from 6% to 4% on all bond futures. I believe the last time this was done was in 2000 where the coupon was changed ...
0
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1answer
58 views
T- bond cash flows [closed]
a) without a frequency and T note start date how do I find the coupon dates and cash flows?
b) is that calculated semi- annually?
c) how do I find the number of days for the current period?
Thanks
0
votes
2answers
48 views
Calculating excess returns with 3M T-Bill
I have to calculate weekly log excess returns using the 3-month T-bill. However I am not really sure if I am doing this correctly. This is what I did:
first I calculated the returns with ln(price/...
1
vote
0answers
40 views
Use of Macaulay Duration to calculate the Funds Transfer Pricing Cost of an Amortizing Mortgage
I am asked to comment on the Funds Transfer Pricing methodology used by our Treasury to assign a Cost of Funds to a Loan. This is the current methodology:
Let us say there is a 2 year loan with an ...
0
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0answers
43 views
Market pricing of forward US Treasury rates
What instrument(s) are used for forward pricing of US Treasuries? I know that Eurodollar futures are used for the market pricing of Libor in the future, but treasury futures only have contracts 3 ...
4
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0answers
92 views
Why are negative option prices possible for callable US treasury bonds?
I am not familiar enough with the theories of option pricing to understand how negative option prices are possible. I found two research papers indicating that negative option prices are indeed ...
0
votes
1answer
481 views
Implied repo rate calculation from Fabozzi
I'm looking at the chapter Implied repo rate in Fabozzi's Fixed Income Handbook.
There it is defined as the return received by going long the basis, i.e. buying the cash bond (financing it with the ...
1
vote
0answers
140 views
Bloomberg Treasuries PX_Last and daily returns
I tried to search for this specific question, although I didn’t found a conclusive answer.
I have a dataset containing the yields of several T-Bills and T-Notes that were downloaded from a Bloomberg ...
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0answers
35 views
Inflation TIPS - What does it mean - 10Y breakeven shorts with 0.8 beta?
"10Y breakeven shorts with 0.8 beta"
"10Y breakeven shorts with long 80% nominal to eliminate long duration bias"
Are the above two the same, what do they mean?
1
vote
0answers
48 views
How do Treasury bill/coupon settlements affect reserves?
Back in September when the repo market exploded, causes were attributed to corporate tax payments and T-bill settlements. Was hoping someone could help elaborate further on the mechanism as to how T-...
0
votes
4answers
272 views
T-bond of what maturity to use as risk-free rate when calculating excess return?
I am comparing different asset classes in order to estimate the expected return and the risk of a portfolio. I have historical data (adjusted close price) for my asset classes for the last 5 years ...
1
vote
1answer
46 views
Spot Rates on Treasuries
I am trying to find the spot rates for 1mo, 3mo, and 6mo tbills. This would just be their yields as listed on the treasury website, correct or am I missing something?
0
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1answer
47 views
How currency swap works for big companies bond and cash management
Suppose a big company A holds 10 Million USD at T+0, and A knows that it will pay 9.9 Million CHF to buy a bond at T+1, why would company A be willing to enter a currency swap to buy CHF and sell USD ...
1
vote
2answers
196 views
Why do big financial groups use fx swaps to manage cash?
Can someone help me with the logic that big companies' treasury department uses fx swap to manage their cash? An example would be much appreciated!
2
votes
1answer
111 views
Computing T-Bill Yield across leap year boundary
Consider this T-Bill (912796TE9) that was purchased on 2019-10-30 and matures on 2020-02-06:
I'm trying to work through some of the basics of the yield calculation.
The days until maturity is 99. (<...
3
votes
2answers
89 views
How do the following aspects lead to U.S. Repo shortfalls
A major theme in the markets this past week has been the repo rate hikes and the sudden disappearance of liquidity. Although most are confused as to the main reason, there seems to be a consensus on ...
0
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0answers
37 views
Finding 3month TBill given daily rates
I am working on updating a database and one of the sections that requires updating is the 3 month T-bill rates for each month of the past ten years. I have the past nine years' data from before, and ...
1
vote
2answers
790 views
Treasury futures cost of carry and P&L
I'm looking to understand the P&L implications of holding 2YR treasury futures. Assuming no movement in interest rates through to maturity (i.e., no capital gains or losses due to interest rate ...
3
votes
3answers
162 views
What's the logic behind 3-10 UST yield inversion predicting recession?
Is there causality, behavioral or logical explanation behind this indicator or is it just purely an observation based on correlation? My guess is that there are existing derivatives with clauses that ...
1
vote
1answer
55 views
Question regarding coupons for government bonds
I was looking at government bonds/treasuries and I wondered if my line of thinking is correct:
1) In general, how is the coupon set? I found out that usually they are auctioned for (a bit) less than ...
6
votes
3answers
2k views
Why 10-year versus 2-year spread?
I occasionally see the 10y-2y spread referenced as a recession predictor. See, e.g., https://seekingalpha.com/article/4201787-current-slope-yield-curve-tell-us
Why 10y minus 2y? Specifically, why use ...
2
votes
2answers
187 views
Calculating excess returns
I would like to know if I am calculating these excess returns correctly. I have here an R dataframe with weekly 3-month treasury bill rates, and the arithmetic ...
0
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1answer
336 views
Why do Treasury Futures settle at maturity with higher yield-to-maturity than the corresponding spot rate? [duplicate]
Absolute beginner on bonds, trying to understand why spot rates seen for US-T don't seem to line up with CME futures for ZT/ZB/etc at their maturity.
For instance, ZB-U8 seemed to settle at 140-27 on ...
1
vote
3answers
218 views
YTM of “very-seasoned” bond issues
There is a liquidity premium between on-the-run treasury issues and off-the-run issues with similar characteristics. This is why when building a yield curve, typically on-the-run issues are used to ...
1
vote
1answer
75 views
Why is LIBOR rate smoother than the US treasury rate?
Compare the daily rate graphs of LIBOR and US Treasury bill, the former is a lot smoother than the latter. Is there any reason for this?
1
vote
1answer
59 views
Where can I find data on US bank interest rates or 4-week T-bill rates dating back to 1970s or earlier?
Where can I find data showing 4-week T-bill rates or U.S. savings accounts' interest rates from 1960s to present, or 1970s to present?
1
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1answer
89 views
Where can I download 10 year Treasury prices in OHLC format?
I'm looking for treasury prices (not yield) in OHLC format. On websites like this you can see it has intraday data, so we could drive an OHLC from it? But I can't find a website that lets me download ...
5
votes
1answer
477 views
Why is the 1 month OIS rate so stable?
I was just playing around with bills prices data from CRSP.
It is well known that short term bills rates tend to be lower than corresponding maturity OIS rates this is often attributed to some ...
0
votes
2answers
102 views
Basic question re: Fed interest rate tightening and rising interest rates
February 2/8/2018 - context in case the question is still around beyond today: the stock market has been falling for almost a couple of weeks in the midst of fears of overheating of the economy (...
3
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2answers
5k views
Determine the carry of a treasury bond futures contract?
Hi fellow financial market enthusiasts. I'm trying to understand my options as a retail investor. I want to leverage a cash bond portfolio but my broker does not allow that, so I want to use futures ...
2
votes
1answer
1k views
Roll down Treasury curve (Coupon effects)
I'm currently working on roll down calculations for the Treasury curve (3-month roll, 6-month roll, etc..). One of the senior guys (I just started out of college) asked me to adjust for the coupon ...
0
votes
1answer
45 views
US Treasury foreign buying/selling data
Would anyone recommend any Index or data that I can avail to understand the trend in buying/selling of US treasuries by China? I have access to Reuters feed.
Thanks,
Sumit
2
votes
1answer
2k views
Modified duration of treasury futures tracking CTD?
If I know TYU7 contract's CTD is T 2.500 05/15/2024 with modified duration of 6.37. I know futures DV01 is calculated by taking the CTD's DV01 divided by conversion factor as shown here. What is the ...
0
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1answer
174 views
Curve to curve hedging for treasury
Please correct my conceptual understanding if needed, but I'm trying to calculate the mod duration of treasury curve pieces when the curves are DV01 hedged.
For example:
DV01 of 10 Year Note is 896....
-1
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2answers
53 views
Where to find risk report/models for treasury spreads trading?
I trade a lot of treasury curves, so say I have a portfolio of treasury cash and futures products (longs and shorts). How do I find the portfolio DV01 risk and curve risk? I couldn't find anything ...
0
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2answers
6k views
how to calculate daily risk free rate using 13 week treasury bill
I want to calculate excess return for AAPL plus the S&P 500. I have computed monthly and daily logarithmic returns for every stock and for the market, I now need to calculate the risk free ...
8
votes
1answer
1k views
Repo Settlement v. Collateral Settlement
I'm a bit confused about repo settlement conventions, and let's say repos on US Treasuries (USTs).
USTs settle $T+1$ where $T$ is the trade date. So if today is Wed 3/8/17 and I execute a trade with ...
8
votes
2answers
11k views
Best method for interpolating yield curve? [Multiple questions]
I'm building a spot curve for US Treasuries. My original selection of cash treasury include all the on-the-run bills, notes, bonds from 6 months to 30 years, as well as some selected off-the-run ...
0
votes
1answer
157 views
Textbook for US Treasury Bond / Notes Futures
Is the text The Treasury Bond Basis by Burghardt still the authoritative source on this topic? The most recent edition was published in 2005. I think that, based on the contents and others' ...
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0answers
24 views
Where can I find information about historical asset maturities purchased for QE by Fed and ECB?
I'm looking to conduct some research regarding government bond purchases by central banks. I am wondering where I can find the maturities of bonds purchased as well as the quantity online?
0
votes
1answer
318 views
Where can I find historical daily term repo data?
DTCC appears to provide historical o/n repo data for US Treasuries but does not do so for term repo data. If I want to analyze the term repo curve, where would I be able to find historical term repo ...
1
vote
1answer
2k views
In what economic scenario do yield curves bull flatten or bear steepen?
Bull steepening and bear flattening have the common belief that in bad news, treasuries catch a bid and short end rallies more because most bad news are short lived. In good news, treasuries sell off ...
5
votes
1answer
2k views
How to compute the yield on the Ultra-Bond Treasury Futures
I am trying to compute the yield on the Ultra-Bond Treasury Futures which is roughly 172.2187.
Heres the description of the contract:
U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining term to maturity of not ...
6
votes
2answers
408 views
Principal components in treasuries: spot vs futures
I'm looking to use first few principal components of the US treasury yields for trading, and have choice of using either the data for treasuries themselves, or for the corresponding futures contracts. ...
