Questions tagged [yield-curve]

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Using Python Quantlib's FittedBondDiscountCurve as Evaluator of Parametric Curve - Errors

I am using Quantlib's FittedBondDiscountCurve in Python 3.7 and setting MaxIterations to 0, and giving a guess_solution, which then turns the routine into an evaluator for the parametric form I choose,...
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1answer
26 views

Find Interest Rate Swap BUMPs from Bloomberg in Excel

I have a bunch of plain vanilla interest rate swap contracts with all the relevant details regarding payment structure such as notional, fixed rate, index, payment frequency, reset convention, etc.. ...
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0answers
65 views

pca for yield curve

I used Principe component analysis on yield curve data this was the result ...
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1answer
66 views

Required adjustments for stressed yield curves

I was looking at Basel proposed interest rate shocks. Using the standard US Treasury Yield Curve for the period starting from September 2017 to August 2019, I was able to construct Steep and Flat ...
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1answer
54 views

If 10s20s steepener have equal DV01 weighting on each swap then why does convexity play a role in MtM

Receiver Swap 10yrs Notional: 1,000,000 DV01: +1,300 Tenor: 10yrs Rate: 4% Payer Swap 20yrs Notional: 500,000 DV01: -1,300 Tenor: 20yrs Rate: 5% Looking at this fictitious example, I want to ...
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1answer
58 views

What does 5 year OIS actually mean?

I am aware that OIS is the new reference/risk-free rate for collateralized cashflows. OIS is by definition an overnight rate (annualized, I assume). So once I have constructed my OIS yield curve, what ...
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3answers
111 views

Bond strategy in rising rate environment

During a period of rising interest rates, it makes sense for investors to either swap out their longer term bonds for shorter ones, or simply invest in shorter maturity bonds in order to reduce ...
3
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1answer
79 views

Investor rationale behind inverted yield curve

I just had a question regarding investors/markets rationale behind the cause of the yield curve. Assuming that investors believe that rates will be lower in the future and are pessimistic about the ...
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2answers
87 views

Stress testing fixed income Yield curve with Nelson Siegel

I am attempting to stress test the Zero coupon Yield curve using The Nelson Siegel model as described in the following papers : Generating Yield Curve Stress-Scenarios Representative Yield Curve ...
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1answer
106 views

Recommended Instruments (and sources) for Constructing Money Market Yield Curves

What instruments are the current industry recommendations for constructing money-market yield curves in some major currencies? The switch after the crisis to multi-curve methods is well documented on ...
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2answers
81 views

Which curve does the interest rate risk fall in?

For example, Australian government issues a bond denominated in USD currency? Which curve does the interest rate risk fall in? Australian Gov Curve or USD Gov Curve?
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24 views

is there a specific design pattern in C# to model a yield curve into the NS model?

I successfully managed to have a nice NS model to a yield curve I am studying using R, while I am still beginner in C# I wonder if there is a specific design pattern I should follow in order to put ...
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208 views

Mark-to-market cross-currency basis swap valuation

I'm looking to replicate the EUR vs USD cross-currency basis curve that Bloomberg outputs (EUR.OIS collateralized in USD). I understand that Bloomberg is currently using the mark-to-market ...
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0answers
56 views

Matching the yield on a bond with the zeroRate on a curve in Quantlib

I am using QuantLib to generate a US Treasury curve from 1y, 3y, 5y, and 10y yield quotes. However, after building the curve and running zeroRate on it, it ...
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4answers
291 views

Par Yield, Bond Yield and Zero Rate

In the Hull's book, chapter 4.4, it says : The par yield for a certain bond maturity is the coupon rate that causes the bond price to equal it's par value. Then for this question (4.18) : “...
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36 views

Deriving the series for federal funds rate expectations using federal funds futures

I am trying to derive the monthly series from 2000-2019 of the expectations of federal funds rate based on federal funds futures. How should I proceed? Where to look? Is it possible?
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1answer
90 views

daycount of the yield curve

Complete characterization of an interest rate requires a few elements: day count compounding frequency the rate itself start date and end date That said, I notice that day counts are never displayed ...
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1answer
103 views

Yield Curve Flattening Trade

Relatively simple question, but came upon it in class and have not been able to come up with an answer: The two-year bond yield is equal to 4% while the 10-year one is equal to 10%. You want to put ...
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2answers
134 views

Estimating a Yield Curve in a country without Bond Stripping

I am currently working under estimating a Yield Curve. From my understanding common procedures to construct a yield Curve like Nelson Siegel have the input of a series of different zero rates and ...
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1answer
105 views

Convexity in interest rate curve bootstrapping

Whether the bootstrapping is a multicurve one or not, one can use futures quotes. One link these quotes to corresponding (synthetic) forwards (that can be expressed as known functions of zero-coupons) ...
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0answers
27 views

Retrieve SYC from Par yields

Currently studying about fixed income and the construction of the Spot yield curve, but I do not know whether my intuition is right. Suppose we have a firm that has traded Bond for different ...
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1answer
169 views

What's Hedge Curve Template

what's a Hedge Curve Template (HCT)? How does it help value a bond? It appears to me it normally is used together with another curve where x,y-axis being maturity dates and discount factors ...
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0answers
149 views

PCA predicted yield curve moves do not match (closely) realized yield curve moves

I have a need to set-up a methodology to decompose the x-day yield curve moves into its underlying (3) PCAs. Specifically, for an example, to generate the 1-day moves in the EUR-swap yield curve; ...
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67 views

Duration and yield

I have some basic questions about mainly duration and yield. 1) Almost no-one defines what yield they are talking about when talking about duration and discount rate, I've seen some talk about ...
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1answer
35 views

Raw interpolation when the desired term is out of the know originals

I was reading this paper regarding the yield curve construction and was programming the Raw Interpolation algorithm (page 7 equation 6) however I was wondering how to use the formula when the desired ...
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1answer
174 views

stress testing zero coupon yield curve

i'm currently trying to stress test the zero coupon yield curve using daily observations from 2003 to 2019. Each Zero coupon yield curve originate from an actuarial curve with 37 tenors that range ...
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1answer
81 views

Concentration risk in Rates

What are some good ways to assess the concentration risk for a rates curve or by currency when volumes traded by instrument are not easily available? For ex, if for some currencies, the PV01 at ...
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0answers
86 views

QuantLib FuturesRateHelper how do I input Future type = 'ASX', the 'IMM' date check is causing Runtime Error

How do I input Future type = 'ASX', the 'IMM' date check is causing Runtime Error future_maturities 1 2019-06-14 2 2019-09-13 3 2019-12-13 4 2020-03-13 5 2020-06-12 6 2020-09-11 ...
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2answers
64 views

Cash vs Deposit Rates

When constructing a yield curve for derivatives purposes, what is the difference between cash and deposits rates?
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3answers
257 views

PCA for Risk bucketing

I'm working on a project to justify the use the certain tenors (2y, 5y, 10y, 30y) for risk bucketing. I'm a little stuck after calculating the principal components. Just to describe my approach- a) ...
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0answers
164 views

How to interpret DV01 in terms of PCA equivalent?

I have computed the PCs for daily changes in the UST yield curve over the last 5 years using the covariance matrix and can explain 94% of the variance using the first two components, which is good ...
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0answers
94 views

Curve Building + Swap Pricing [duplicate]

Assume Swap means a USD Swap with standard conventions (semi-annual fixed payments and quarterly floating payments, etc).
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0answers
319 views

Interview question on interest rate spread trade

Consider this interview question: Tell me how you'd construct a risk neutral cross country trade on the 2 year – 10 year interest rate spread in Germany and the U.S. What does "risk neutral" mean ...
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1answer
132 views

Creating yield curve from exchange-listed products only?

For use in subset of my thesis, I’ve been given some exchange market data for several exchange-listed products, including Eurodollar rate futures as well US treasury futures and Fed Funds futures. I ...
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0answers
92 views

Yield Curve Trading Strategy Explaining Books

Recently I really enjoyed being here while getting great recommendations. Would like to thank you all. Could you please recommend some books/papers on trading strategies, lets say yield curve ...
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3answers
151 views

What's the logic behind 3-10 UST yield inversion predicting recession?

Is there causality, behavioral or logical explanation behind this indicator or is it just purely an observation based on correlation? My guess is that there are existing derivatives with clauses that ...
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2answers
3k views

What does instantaneous forward mean?

Could you please help me to understand meaning of instantaneous forward rate? I mean economic interpretation at basic level. What is it used for? How can i derive it from zero rate/price? Thanks
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0answers
34 views

Bond Index Return from Yield Curve Data [duplicate]

I am trying to compare fund returns with benchmark returns. I have some yield curve data (some of them calculated by Bloomberg) but not bond price or return data. Is there any way to get bond returns ...
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1answer
173 views

No-arbitrage in term-structure models

I am a bit confused about what the implication of "no-arbitrage" in popular term struchture models (such as affine term struchtre models or HJM models) are? Is it solely a restriction on the cross-...
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1answer
175 views

Construct a butterfly interest rate portfolio to eliminate PCA exposures

I have data from 2012 to 2016 for interest rates whose term range from 2 month to 30 years, a total of 10 Principal components can be calculated. Then I want to construct a portfolio, $$WFLY = w_1 *5Y ...
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2answers
294 views

Reconstruct yield curve from principal components

I am currently building a model which aim is to model shocks to the yield curve (i.e. 25bps hike in the short rate). Currently I am looking at a swap curve from which I derive the PCs. Assessing the ...
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3answers
1k views

Why 10-year versus 2-year spread?

I occasionally see the 10y-2y spread referenced as a recession predictor. See, e.g., https://seekingalpha.com/article/4201787-current-slope-yield-curve-tell-us Why 10y minus 2y? Specifically, why use ...
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1answer
276 views

Duration split: treasury curve vs spread duration

I am looking at corporate bond (FR0013367620) in Bloomberg for which I have these values: DUR_ADJ_MID (modified duration performed using the yield to worst): 6.649 DUR_ADJ_OAS_MID (security's price/...
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1answer
121 views

Relation Between Yield Curve, First Order Derivative of YC and Forward Rate

I'm reading the book, "Derivatives Analytics with Python" by Yves Hilpisch. In an application of calibration of CIR85 process for the short-term interest rate. I found some codes which can be ...
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1answer
641 views

Swap Curve and Forward Libor Rates

How does the (interest rate) swap curve incorporate forward libor expectations?
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1answer
333 views

ESTER replacement for EONIA/EURIBOR

Does anybody know what impact the replacement of EONIA with ESTER ( Euro Short TErm Rate ) will have on discounting existing or new derivatives once EONIA will be restricted as of Jan 2020? I'm ...
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0answers
54 views

Using above par zero coupon bond to build a zero coupon curve

Should I discard bonds above par (zero coupon bond with market price over par value) when I build a zero coupon curve? Most of the academic textbooks use bonds below par as inputs to build Zero ...
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3answers
172 views

YTM of “very-seasoned” bond issues

There is a liquidity premium between on-the-run treasury issues and off-the-run issues with similar characteristics. This is why when building a yield curve, typically on-the-run issues are used to ...
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0answers
75 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
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1answer
109 views

Zero Coupon Curve and Floating Rates Notes pricing

Simple question: Can I use a Zero Coupon Curve (using Treasury or Swap Curve) to price floating rates notes (FRN)? I am building a classic Zero Coupon Curve, however I wonder if I can use it to ...