Questions tagged [yield-curve]

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54 views

daycount of the yield curve

Complete characterization of an interest rate requires a few elements: day count compounding frequency the rate itself start date and end date That said, I notice that day counts are never displayed ...
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53 views

Yield Curve Flattening Trade

Relatively simple question, but came upon it in class and have not been able to come up with an answer: The two-year bond yield is equal to 4% while the 10-year one is equal to 10%. You want to put ...
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1answer
75 views

Estimating a Yield Curve in a country without Bond Stripping

I am currently working under estimating a Yield Curve. From my understanding common procedures to construct a yield Curve like Nelson Siegel have the input of a series of different zero rates and ...
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1answer
78 views

Convexity in interest rate curve bootstrapping

Whether the bootstrapping is a multicurve one or not, one can use futures quotes. One link these quotes to corresponding (synthetic) forwards (that can be expressed as known functions of zero-coupons) ...
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24 views

Retrieve SYC from Par yields

Currently studying about fixed income and the construction of the Spot yield curve, but I do not know whether my intuition is right. Suppose we have a firm that has traded Bond for different ...
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1answer
121 views

stress testing zero coupon yield curve

i'm currently trying to stress test the zero coupon yield curve using daily observations from 2003 to 2019. Each Zero coupon yield curve originate from an actuarial curve with 37 tenors that range ...
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1answer
101 views

What's Hedge Curve Template

what's a Hedge Curve Template (HCT)? How does it help value a bond? It appears to me it normally is used together with another curve where x,y-axis being maturity dates and discount factors ...
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2answers
2k views

What does instantaneous forward mean?

Could you please help me to understand meaning of instantaneous forward rate? I mean economic interpretation at basic level. What is it used for? How can i derive it from zero rate/price? Thanks
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65 views

PCA predicted yield curve moves do not match (closely) realized yield curve moves

I have a need to set-up a methodology to decompose the x-day yield curve moves into its underlying (3) PCAs. Specifically, for an example, to generate the 1-day moves in the EUR-swap yield curve; ...
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1answer
131 views

No-arbitrage in term-structure models

I am a bit confused about what the implication of "no-arbitrage" in popular term struchture models (such as affine term struchtre models or HJM models) are? Is it solely a restriction on the cross-...
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58 views

Duration and yield

I have some basic questions about mainly duration and yield. 1) Almost no-one defines what yield they are talking about when talking about duration and discount rate, I've seen some talk about ...
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3answers
2k views

Deriving Interest Rates

I am trying to teach myself about interest rate swaps, how they are priced, etc... Easy enough - just comparing cash flows of fixed and floating rate bonds. However, what I'm struggling with is how ...
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1answer
23 views

Raw interpolation when the desired term is out of the know originals

I was reading this paper regarding the yield curve construction and was programming the Raw Interpolation algorithm (page 7 equation 6) however I was wondering how to use the formula when the desired ...
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1answer
76 views

Concentration risk in Rates

What are some good ways to assess the concentration risk for a rates curve or by currency when volumes traded by instrument are not easily available? For ex, if for some currencies, the PV01 at ...
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53 views

QuantLib FuturesRateHelper how do I input Future type = 'ASX', the 'IMM' date check is causing Runtime Error

How do I input Future type = 'ASX', the 'IMM' date check is causing Runtime Error future_maturities 1 2019-06-14 2 2019-09-13 3 2019-12-13 4 2020-03-13 5 2020-06-12 6 2020-09-11 ...
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3answers
204 views

PCA for Risk bucketing

I'm working on a project to justify the use the certain tenors (2y, 5y, 10y, 30y) for risk bucketing. I'm a little stuck after calculating the principal components. Just to describe my approach- a) ...
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2answers
60 views

Cash vs Deposit Rates

When constructing a yield curve for derivatives purposes, what is the difference between cash and deposits rates?
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0answers
131 views

How to interpret DV01 in terms of PCA equivalent?

I have computed the PCs for daily changes in the UST yield curve over the last 5 years using the covariance matrix and can explain 94% of the variance using the first two components, which is good ...
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85 views

Curve Building + Swap Pricing [duplicate]

Assume Swap means a USD Swap with standard conventions (semi-annual fixed payments and quarterly floating payments, etc).
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230 views

Interview question on interest rate spread trade

Consider this interview question: Tell me how you'd construct a risk neutral cross country trade on the 2 year – 10 year interest rate spread in Germany and the U.S. What does "risk neutral" mean ...
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0answers
55 views

Creating yield curve from exchange-listed products only?

For use in subset of my thesis, I’ve been given some exchange market data for several exchange-listed products, including Eurodollar rate futures as well US treasury futures and Fed Funds futures. I ...
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0answers
77 views

Yield Curve Trading Strategy Explaining Books

Recently I really enjoyed being here while getting great recommendations. Would like to thank you all. Could you please recommend some books/papers on trading strategies, lets say yield curve ...
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3answers
147 views

What's the logic behind 3-10 UST yield inversion predicting recession?

Is there causality, behavioral or logical explanation behind this indicator or is it just purely an observation based on correlation? My guess is that there are existing derivatives with clauses that ...
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1answer
1k views

Shape and geometry of the yield curve

Let the initial yield curve $T\mapsto y(0,T)$ be given for a term structure family of bonds $B(0,T)$ having different maturities. I am trying to figure out the geometric properties of the yield curve. ...
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1answer
77 views

Spreadlock derivatives

I would like to price a spreadlock forward swap and a spreadlock swaption but I don't find in the web any research article. Would you please provide me with some freely accessible papers on the web ? ...
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0answers
30 views

Bond Index Return from Yield Curve Data [duplicate]

I am trying to compare fund returns with benchmark returns. I have some yield curve data (some of them calculated by Bloomberg) but not bond price or return data. Is there any way to get bond returns ...
2
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1answer
191 views

Duration split: treasury curve vs spread duration

I am looking at corporate bond (FR0013367620) in Bloomberg for which I have these values: DUR_ADJ_MID (modified duration performed using the yield to worst): 6.649 DUR_ADJ_OAS_MID (security's price/...
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2answers
668 views

Implied term structure from risky discount curve: does it make sense?

We know that, taken every discount curve, it's possible to calculate its forward rates according to our tenor preferences. We know also that it's actually possible to extract an implied term ...
2
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1answer
123 views

Construct a butterfly interest rate portfolio to eliminate PCA exposures

I have data from 2012 to 2016 for interest rates whose term range from 2 month to 30 years, a total of 10 Principal components can be calculated. Then I want to construct a portfolio, $$WFLY = w_1 *5Y ...
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3answers
745 views

Why 10-year versus 2-year spread?

I occasionally see the 10y-2y spread referenced as a recession predictor. See, e.g., https://seekingalpha.com/article/4201787-current-slope-yield-curve-tell-us Why 10y minus 2y? Specifically, why use ...
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2answers
238 views

Reconstruct yield curve from principal components

I am currently building a model which aim is to model shocks to the yield curve (i.e. 25bps hike in the short rate). Currently I am looking at a swap curve from which I derive the PCs. Assessing the ...
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1answer
1k views

How does the 2-factor Hull White model propagate the forward rates curve?

I've been trying to get a grasp on some of the basics of interest rate modeling, and am looking to simulate rates using the 2 factor Hull White model, which I am aware offers a more realistic model of ...
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1answer
84 views

Relation Between Yield Curve, First Order Derivative of YC and Forward Rate

I'm reading the book, "Derivatives Analytics with Python" by Yves Hilpisch. In an application of calibration of CIR85 process for the short-term interest rate. I found some codes which can be ...
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1answer
532 views

Swap Curve and Forward Libor Rates

How does the (interest rate) swap curve incorporate forward libor expectations?
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2answers
524 views

Principal component analysis for yield curve

I have Treasury yield data across 11 maturities for past 1 year. I have used a code in MATLAB for PCA on change in yield curve. Now, I have covariance matrix of daily/monthly yield curve changes, ...
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1answer
235 views

ESTER replacement for EONIA/EURIBOR

Does anybody know what impact the replacement of EONIA with ESTER ( Euro Short TErm Rate ) will have on discounting existing or new derivatives once EONIA will be restricted as of Jan 2020? I'm ...
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0answers
42 views

Using above par zero coupon bond to build a zero coupon curve

Should I discard bonds above par (zero coupon bond with market price over par value) when I build a zero coupon curve? Most of the academic textbooks use bonds below par as inputs to build Zero ...
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3answers
158 views

YTM of “very-seasoned” bond issues

There is a liquidity premium between on-the-run treasury issues and off-the-run issues with similar characteristics. This is why when building a yield curve, typically on-the-run issues are used to ...
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0answers
72 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
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1answer
94 views

Zero Coupon Curve and Floating Rates Notes pricing

Simple question: Can I use a Zero Coupon Curve (using Treasury or Swap Curve) to price floating rates notes (FRN)? I am building a classic Zero Coupon Curve, however I wonder if I can use it to ...
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1answer
151 views

Curve steepner and convexity

Can someone please explain why a curve steepener trade has a negative convexity? And are the gains from the steepness of the curve offset by the negative convexity?
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0answers
100 views

basic difference between interest rate models

I am reading up on interest rate models, but currently confused about difference in the two types of models: no arb models like ho-lee, vasicek etc. others like nelson siegel, pca models etc. While ...
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2answers
892 views

Discount Factors to Zero Rates

I have obtained a Ibor-6Months curve using bootstrapping techniques. For the short-term of the curve I used spot, for the middle-term FRAs and for the long-term IRS. The curve that I have obtained is ...
3
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1answer
541 views

Duration: Parallel shift in yield curve assumption

General Intro I'm trying to really understand the assumptions of dollar duration for a portfolio of bonds. In particular I don't fully understand that the assumption that there are parallel shifts ...
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1answer
474 views

Wrong discount factors when finding Nelson Siegel Svensson model parameters

I am trying to determine the parameters for the Nelson Siegel Svensson model and am solving a Non- Linear Optimization problem to do this. Some of the code I have written is below and this is where my ...
4
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1answer
2k views

Dual Curve Bootstrapping - When to OIS discount?

I am a new quant and I am trying to understand some of the specifics of dual curve bootstrapping. For concreteness, suppose I want to build a Libor forward curve. From what I understand OIS ...
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1answer
3k views

Why does a barbell portfolio have higher convexity than a bullet porfolio

I cannot quite understood absolutely why a barbell portfolio has higher convexity than a bullet porfolio. I can easily understand how the parallel line represents duration but I cannot see what the ...
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0answers
73 views

How is the integral relationship between current yield curve and forward yield curve derived?

$$y(\tau) = \frac{1}{\tau} \int_{0}^{\tau} du \Big(f(u)\Big)$$ As far as I understand the forward rate is the future rate based on the expectation hypothesis. But it is unclear how many years into the ...
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1answer
204 views

Why we should specify the evaluation date when using Quantlib yield curve? And why updating the evaluation Date is time consuming

I was runing some tests using the yield curve structure in quantlib mainly: PiecewiseYieldCurve It seems that I have to fix the evaluation date using such a line : Settings::instance().evaluationDate(...
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Custom Frequency termstrc Package

Termstrc package in R by default uses yearly coupon frequencies. Dataset i am working with is semi-yearly coupon bonds. Here are the variables it takes into the model ...