Questions tagged [yield-curve]

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3k views

Cost of Carry Bear Flattener

I was reading a report last week that “the carry on a 2s5s gilt curve flattener is negative to the tune of 10bp over 6 months” and I realised I have little understanding of this concept and how ...
3
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1answer
2k views

Pricing a bond contract from the yield curve

When giving a particular class in financial mathematics for a student I saw a problem in a list of exercises that says: How to calculate the price at 15 December 2010 of a bond paying a coupon of 11....
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2answers
63 views

Cash vs Deposit Rates

When constructing a yield curve for derivatives purposes, what is the difference between cash and deposits rates?
3
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1answer
591 views

Duration: Parallel shift in yield curve assumption

General Intro I'm trying to really understand the assumptions of dollar duration for a portfolio of bonds. In particular I don't fully understand that the assumption that there are parallel shifts ...
3
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1answer
434 views

Fitting the Term structure of Discount Bonds with Ho-Lee

I was now reading a book on interest rate modelling, and I am having trouble picturing the practical issues of model calibration with the Ho-Lee model. Apparently, one of the drawbacks of this model ...
3
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1answer
611 views

Weights Blowing up in PCA

I'm using daily settlement data to get yield levels for a couple of products. From this data I am doing PCA on a rolling collection of the yield levels. I have been using sci-kit learn's PCA function, ...
3
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1answer
4k views

Calculate the “ten year zero rate” given two bonds with two prices

I have a little question and need some help with the notation. So, the question goes as follows: A bond with a maturity of ten years that pays annual coupons of 8% has a price of \$90. A bond with ...
3
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1answer
122 views

What's Hedge Curve Template

what's a Hedge Curve Template (HCT)? How does it help value a bond? It appears to me it normally is used together with another curve where x,y-axis being maturity dates and discount factors ...
3
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1answer
184 views

Brazilian break even inflation curves

Brazil has had historically two sets of inflation bonds, the NTN-B and NTN-C series each with a different inflation index. The NTN-C is no longer issued. When creating historical break even ...
3
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1answer
222 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART TWO

The Fed has a number of tools/targets with which they manage monetary policy. I'm looking to refine a concise summary of them and looking for guidance/correction/validation. Think I understand these ...
3
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1answer
115 views

Creating yield curve from exchange-listed products only?

For use in subset of my thesis, I’ve been given some exchange market data for several exchange-listed products, including Eurodollar rate futures as well US treasury futures and Fed Funds futures. I ...
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0answers
78 views

How is the integral relationship between current yield curve and forward yield curve derived?

$$y(\tau) = \frac{1}{\tau} \int_{0}^{\tau} du \Big(f(u)\Big)$$ As far as I understand the forward rate is the future rate based on the expectation hypothesis. But it is unclear how many years into the ...
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327 views

Is there really a negative roll yield for futures in contango?

I am trying to wrap my head around how ETFs that track futures work (whether its USO tracking WTI futures or VXX tracking VIX futures). I have read online about how for normal contango environments, ...
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473 views

Equations for multicurve calibration with OIS discounting

I am trying to calibrate my forecast and discount curves using the multi-curve approach with OIS discounting. To do so, I have a implemented multivariate Newton-Raphson root finder. I am finding a bit ...
3
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1answer
447 views

Quantlib FuturesRateHelper triggers not a valid IMM date error

I'm beginning to use QuantLib with Python SWIG, and trying to build a EUR yield curve. I face this error which frankly I don't understand; I looked at the code of bool IMM::isIMMdate in imm.cpp and ...
3
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1answer
278 views

Yield to Maturity

For a bond with market price $P_t$ and fixed payments $c_n$, I'm told the yield to maturity is given by the solution $Y$ to the equation $P_t=\sum_{n=1}^N c_n e^{-Y(t_n-t)}$. Firstly, I'm not great ...
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0answers
437 views

Bond (yield curve) dynamics in the Forward-LIBOR-market-model

The standard Libor-Forward-Market-Models provides a way of modelling the evolution of forward rates in time. However the model does not seem to be well suited for the modelling of zero-bonds. But ...
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0answers
965 views

Yield Curve Volatility

Let you have several issuers, and let each issuer have its yield curve built up with liquid plain vanilla fixed rate bonds. Each yield curve has its slope and its curvature, and they obviously change ...
2
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2answers
3k views

Do we use the Nelson-Siegel model to calculate the yield curve?

Suppose we are to plot a yield curve for a list of bonds. Do we use the Nelson-Siegel fitted yield curve since that's with the case for zero coupon bonds? Or do we in fact use bonds with different ...
2
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2answers
3k views

Bootstrap yield curve with QLNet / Quantlib

I am trying to grasp QLNet (C# version of Quantlib, all the functions of Quantlib have the same name and work the same way, so if you just know Quantlib, you can still help me), especially for pricing ...
2
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1answer
180 views

Arbitraging upward sloping yield curve

I read from various sources that yield curve is normally upward sloping. If that's the case, if we borrow short term and lend long term, won't we always make money on average? Let's say 1-year ...
2
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1answer
1k views

QuantLib error with qlPiecewiseYieldCurveData() on qlPiecewiseYieldCurve() with ZeroYield and ForwardRate

I'm using QuantLibXL to build a discount curve, a zero yield curve and a forward curve of the EURIBOR rate (QuantLibXL is downloadable here). I've built an object of class ...
2
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3answers
177 views

What do these maturity codes mean?

In fitting a curve I found that people are using the following tenors: U1 Z1 H2 M2 U2 Z2 2Y Could you please let me know what exact time periods they stand for? Is there a web page describing ...
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2answers
735 views

Accrual in Default Derivation of Credit CDS Curve

In Trading Credit Curves Part I by JP Morgan we have that each point on a credit (CDS) curve represents: $$PV(\text{Fee Leg}) = PV(\text{Contingent Leg})$$ which is $$S_n \sum_{i=1}^{n}\Delta_i ...
2
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1answer
95 views

Recommended Instruments (and sources) for Constructing Money Market Yield Curves

What instruments are the current industry recommendations for constructing money-market yield curves in some major currencies? The switch after the crisis to multi-curve methods is well documented on ...
2
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1answer
107 views

Par Yield, Bond Yield and Zero Rate

In the Hull's book, chapter 4.4, it says : The par yield for a certain bond maturity is the coupon rate that causes the bond price to equal it's par value. Then for this question (4.18) : “...
2
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2answers
271 views

Reconstruct yield curve from principal components

I am currently building a model which aim is to model shocks to the yield curve (i.e. 25bps hike in the short rate). Currently I am looking at a swap curve from which I derive the PCs. Assessing the ...
2
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2answers
267 views

Corporate Bond Yield Curve

I am an intern in a mutual fund and they have asked me to create in house yield curve for different type bonds in their portfolio I need to know on what basis are different yield curves made. For ...
2
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1answer
845 views

Derivation of the Nelson-Siegel model and proof of arbitrage

1. I am looking for a derivation of the Nelson-Siegel model $y(m)=a+b\left( \frac{1-e^{-\lambda m}}{\lambda m}\right)+c\left( \frac{1-e^{-\lambda m}}{\lambda m} -e^{-\lambda m} \right)$ It is ...
2
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1answer
153 views

Construct a butterfly interest rate portfolio to eliminate PCA exposures

I have data from 2012 to 2016 for interest rates whose term range from 2 month to 30 years, a total of 10 Principal components can be calculated. Then I want to construct a portfolio, $$WFLY = w_1 *5Y ...
2
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1answer
256 views

Why we should specify the evaluation date when using Quantlib yield curve? And why updating the evaluation Date is time consuming

I was runing some tests using the yield curve structure in quantlib mainly: PiecewiseYieldCurve It seems that I have to fix the evaluation date using such a line : Settings::instance().evaluationDate(...
2
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1answer
648 views

Comparison of multicurve calibration methods

It seems that there are mayor softwares around offering a multicurve framework based on bootstrap. I find this puzzling nowadays, given the distinct advantages of best-fit optimization methods and ...
2
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1answer
88 views

Convexity in interest rate curve bootstrapping

Whether the bootstrapping is a multicurve one or not, one can use futures quotes. One link these quotes to corresponding (synthetic) forwards (that can be expressed as known functions of zero-coupons) ...
2
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1answer
248 views

Duration split: treasury curve vs spread duration

I am looking at corporate bond (FR0013367620) in Bloomberg for which I have these values: DUR_ADJ_MID (modified duration performed using the yield to worst): 6.649 DUR_ADJ_OAS_MID (security's price/...
2
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1answer
186 views

Introducing 1bp shocks to yield curve (and interpolation consequences)

Let us assume we have a LIBOR 3M curve and that I would like to introduce a small shock up/down of 1bp at a certain point along the curve. I am trying to find out what the best and most efficient way ...
2
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1answer
521 views

Cubic spline interpolation function within Matlab

I want to use the Cubic spline interpolation technique so I can interpolate yield curve points. Now I wonder if I can use the standard matlab function interpl1 (and then using the 'spline' method) or ...
2
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1answer
1k views

Forecast 3m LIBOR USD. Budget purpose

How can I calculate/budget/find a expectation for the 3 month LIBOR for the next 3monts-4 years? I am calculating a CF scenario on USD 3month Libor + margin. With swaps and fixed rate this is easy, ...
2
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1answer
507 views

Building curves using onshore or offshore JPY overnight rates?

I am trying to build Japanese Yen interest rate curves. When defining the curve instruments for the 'OIS' (discount) curve (aka TONAR), I am uncertain as to which rate to use for the overnight deposit ...
2
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1answer
178 views

Economic indicators leading the yield curve

There is a lot of research on how the government yield curve can be used to predict the economy. The government yield curve is often seen as a leading indicator. But for which variables is the curve a ...
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0answers
157 views

How to interpret DV01 in terms of PCA equivalent?

I have computed the PCs for daily changes in the UST yield curve over the last 5 years using the covariance matrix and can explain 94% of the variance using the first two components, which is good ...
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0answers
85 views

Yield Curve Trading Strategy Explaining Books

Recently I really enjoyed being here while getting great recommendations. Would like to thank you all. Could you please recommend some books/papers on trading strategies, lets say yield curve ...
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0answers
31 views

Bond Index Return from Yield Curve Data [duplicate]

I am trying to compare fund returns with benchmark returns. I have some yield curve data (some of them calculated by Bloomberg) but not bond price or return data. Is there any way to get bond returns ...
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0answers
73 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
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0answers
76 views

How do traders determine when points in a yield curve are at 'fair value'?

While on my last day on an internship last summer, I heard on the morning call a UK rates trader say something along the lines of: "Most of the curve is at fair value at the moment, so nothing ...
2
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1answer
347 views

Discount factor taking into account yield curve shape

I have always been told that the discount factor formula is just: $$ DF(T) = \frac{1}{(1+L_{t_0})^T} $$ where $L_{t_0}$ is the LIBOR rate on one period (the first one I guess) and $T$ the number of ...
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0answers
136 views

Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART ONE

As I understand it, the Fed has 3 tools for moving interest rates to combat inflation/unemployment: the discount rate, Fed Funds rate and open market operations. I'm trying to understand how the ...
2
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0answers
105 views

Turn of the year

I understand the basics of "Turn of the year" effect. But I am wondering why does this effect sometimes cause overnight rates around year end to dip below normal overnight rate levels (i.e. negative ...
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0answers
308 views

Data source for a corporate bond yield curve?

Yield curves are a valuable tool for economic analysis. It is particularly interesting to analyse the difference between Government Debt yields and Corporate Debt yields (credit spreads). This gives ...
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3answers
165 views

YTM of “very-seasoned” bond issues

There is a liquidity premium between on-the-run treasury issues and off-the-run issues with similar characteristics. This is why when building a yield curve, typically on-the-run issues are used to ...
1
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1answer
849 views

Quantlib bootstraping fails on 5y swap

I'm trying to build a euro swap curve with real up to date data. I should say that examples provided in github work fine. as soon as I add the 5y swap, I got the following error : ...