Questions tagged [yield-curve]

A yield curve is a plot of yields for various bonds (often government bonds) versus the bonds' maturities. We also often plot swap and other LIBOR rates to get the (related) swap curve.

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14
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2answers
803 views

Implied term structure from risky discount curve: does it make sense?

We know that, taken every discount curve, it's possible to calculate its forward rates according to our tenor preferences. We know also that it's actually possible to extract an implied term ...
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3answers
2k views

Why 10-year versus 2-year spread?

I occasionally see the 10y-2y spread referenced as a recession predictor. See, e.g., https://seekingalpha.com/article/4201787-current-slope-yield-curve-tell-us Why 10y minus 2y? Specifically, why use ...
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2answers
590 views

Reconstruct yield curve from principal components

I am currently building a model which aim is to model shocks to the yield curve (i.e. 25bps hike in the short rate). Currently I am looking at a swap curve from which I derive the PCs. Assessing the ...
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1answer
1k views

How does the 2-factor Hull White model propagate the forward rates curve?

I've been trying to get a grasp on some of the basics of interest rate modeling, and am looking to simulate rates using the 2 factor Hull White model, which I am aware offers a more realistic model of ...
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1answer
239 views

Relation Between Yield Curve, First Order Derivative of YC and Forward Rate

I'm reading the book, "Derivatives Analytics with Python" by Yves Hilpisch. In an application of calibration of CIR85 process for the short-term interest rate. I found some codes which can be ...
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1answer
791 views

Swap Curve and Forward Libor Rates

How does the (interest rate) swap curve incorporate forward libor expectations?
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2answers
1k views

Principal component analysis for yield curve

I have Treasury yield data across 11 maturities for past 1 year. I have used a code in MATLAB for PCA on change in yield curve. Now, I have covariance matrix of daily/monthly yield curve changes, ...
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1answer
494 views

ESTER replacement for EONIA/EURIBOR

Does anybody know what impact the replacement of EONIA with ESTER ( Euro Short TErm Rate ) will have on discounting existing or new derivatives once EONIA will be restricted as of Jan 2020? I'm ...
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0answers
64 views

Using above par zero coupon bond to build a zero coupon curve

Should I discard bonds above par (zero coupon bond with market price over par value) when I build a zero coupon curve? Most of the academic textbooks use bonds below par as inputs to build Zero ...
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3answers
232 views

YTM of “very-seasoned” bond issues

There is a liquidity premium between on-the-run treasury issues and off-the-run issues with similar characteristics. This is why when building a yield curve, typically on-the-run issues are used to ...
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0answers
85 views

Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
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1answer
158 views

Zero Coupon Curve and Floating Rates Notes pricing

Simple question: Can I use a Zero Coupon Curve (using Treasury or Swap Curve) to price floating rates notes (FRN)? I am building a classic Zero Coupon Curve, however I wonder if I can use it to ...
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1answer
462 views

Curve steepner and convexity

Can someone please explain why a curve steepener trade has a negative convexity? And are the gains from the steepness of the curve offset by the negative convexity?
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172 views

basic difference between interest rate models

I am reading up on interest rate models, but currently confused about difference in the two types of models: no arb models like ho-lee, vasicek etc. others like nelson siegel, pca models etc. While ...
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2answers
3k views

Discount Factors to Zero Rates

I have obtained a Ibor-6Months curve using bootstrapping techniques. For the short-term of the curve I used spot, for the middle-term FRAs and for the long-term IRS. The curve that I have obtained is ...
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1answer
1k views

Duration: Parallel shift in yield curve assumption

General Intro I'm trying to really understand the assumptions of dollar duration for a portfolio of bonds. In particular I don't fully understand that the assumption that there are parallel shifts ...
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1answer
540 views

Wrong discount factors when finding Nelson Siegel Svensson model parameters

I am trying to determine the parameters for the Nelson Siegel Svensson model and am solving a Non- Linear Optimization problem to do this. Some of the code I have written is below and this is where my ...
5
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1answer
4k views

Why does a barbell portfolio have higher convexity than a bullet porfolio

I cannot quite understood absolutely why a barbell portfolio has higher convexity than a bullet porfolio. I can easily understand how the parallel line represents duration but I cannot see what the ...
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0answers
126 views

How is the integral relationship between current yield curve and forward yield curve derived?

$$y(\tau) = \frac{1}{\tau} \int_{0}^{\tau} du \Big(f(u)\Big)$$ As far as I understand the forward rate is the future rate based on the expectation hypothesis. But it is unclear how many years into the ...
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45 views

Custom Frequency termstrc Package

Termstrc package in R by default uses yearly coupon frequencies. Dataset i am working with is semi-yearly coupon bonds. Here are the variables it takes into the model ...
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0answers
290 views

Relative order of curve for coupons for Upward Sloping Yield

Why would the forward curve be above zero and coupon bond yield be at the bottom for a sloping up yield curve.
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2answers
462 views

Corporate Bond Yield Curve

I am an intern in a mutual fund and they have asked me to create in house yield curve for different type bonds in their portfolio I need to know on what basis are different yield curves made. For ...
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2answers
197 views

OIS discounting pre and post crises

I have a Dynamic Nelson Siegel (DNS) based rv model. I want to know if I can use pre and post-crises curves interchangeably in my calibration and out of sample testing. I.e. those without OIS ...
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1answer
164 views

Construction of synthetic deposits

I'm looking at the paper "Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Multiple Interest Rate Curve Bootstrapping But Were Afraid To Ask". It describes how to construct synthetic deposits in order get a ...
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1answer
1k views

Details of calibration of Hull-White model

Consider the one-factor Hull-White model $$ \mathrm{d}r(t) = (\theta(t)-\kappa r(t))\mathrm{d}t + \sigma\mathrm{d}W(t) $$ When one calibrates the model to market data one chooses $$ \theta(t) = \...
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0answers
248 views

Yield curve estimaton using linear regression

Assuming that there are not any zero coupon bonds in the market, then someone has to use the prices of regular bonds with same maturity and characteristics (risk,issue etc.) to obtain the yield curve. ...
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1answer
2k views

High convexity vs low convexity bond definition

Isn't high convexity always better than low convexity bond from the formula that $$\frac {ΔB} B=-D \frac {Δy} {1+y} + \frac 1 2 CΔy^2$$ Since $\frac 1 2 CΔy^2$ is positive no matter what so the price ...
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2answers
2k views

Accrual in Default Derivation of Credit CDS Curve

In Trading Credit Curves Part I by JP Morgan we have that each point on a credit (CDS) curve represents: $$PV(\text{Fee Leg}) = PV(\text{Contingent Leg})$$ which is $$S_n \sum_{i=1}^{n}\Delta_i ...
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1answer
622 views

Weights Blowing up in PCA

I'm using daily settlement data to get yield levels for a couple of products. From this data I am doing PCA on a rolling collection of the yield levels. I have been using sci-kit learn's PCA function, ...
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1answer
616 views

Build a swap curve / Swap Hedging

I’m going through the exercise of building a swap curve. I understand I need libor rates for the short-end, futures for the medium-end, and swap rates for the long-end. Should I be using bid, mid, ...
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1answer
147 views

Deriving the Forward Rate Formula from the Expectation Hypothesis

The Expectation Hypothesis (EH) states that the current spot yield for any of the maturities is the geometric average of current and future short rates. $$\Big(1 + y(t=0, m=\mu) \Big)^{\mu} = \prod_{t=...
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1answer
183 views

Spot period considerations in yield curves

Textbook explanations of yield curve modelling discuss bootstrapping or other methods. If we take sovereign bonds for deriving the curve, we would get price data from a market data provider like ...
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2answers
306 views

Intuitive explanation of geometric mean

Suppose that the 10 Year Treasury Yield Rate varies every trading day during the year X1 (which in practice is accurate) what is the intuitive explanation behind calculating the geometric mean using ...
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2answers
372 views

Simulation curves; PRIIPS category 3

Once the yield matrix has been computed, the eigenvectors must be calculated to project the yield matrix on the 3 main dimensions. Tehen is wasted to calculate the yield matrix to be used for the ...
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0answers
78 views

How do traders determine when points in a yield curve are at 'fair value'?

While on my last day on an internship last summer, I heard on the morning call a UK rates trader say something along the lines of: "Most of the curve is at fair value at the moment, so nothing ...
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2answers
7k views

Principal Component Analysis of yield curve change

Following pictures are the Principal Component Analysis for the yield curve change from https://www.coursera.org/learn/interest-rate-models/lecture/ZHMM6/principal-...
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187 views

How are short rate models used to construct the whole of the yield curve? [closed]

There are a number of short rate models that give $r(t)$. How can those be used to construct the whole of the yield curve $y(t,T)$ (where $y(t, 0) = r(t)$)?
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2answers
5k views

Do we use the Nelson-Siegel model to calculate the yield curve?

Suppose we are to plot a yield curve for a list of bonds. Do we use the Nelson-Siegel fitted yield curve since that's with the case for zero coupon bonds? Or do we in fact use bonds with different ...
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2answers
844 views

Yield curve interpolation

I'm trying to build a zero/spot curve and have two pieces of information. 1yr zero coupon swap = 1% 3yr zero coupon swap = 3% My initial guess was to linearly interpolate which produces a linear ...
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1answer
11k views

Discount Curve Vs Forward Curve

This could be a trivial question, but would I like to clear the concepts. Our firm started sourcing the Murex Trades which has all the variety of Derivative products. I noticed that the Curve ...
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2answers
2k views

Is the “swap curve” synonymous with the “yield curve”?

Looking at the swap curve construction here: http://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/wp00-17.pdf it seems to be constructed in an identical fashion as the yield curve as described here:...
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1answer
135 views

Interest rate risk using copulas

In order to simulate an interest rate yield curve, can I just estimate a covariance matrix of historical key rate data, simulate with a normal copula, spline my simulated key rates, then price my ...
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1answer
731 views

Interest rate curve in option pricing

When pricing an equity option we calculate risk-free rate by interpolating one of the curves below for time-to-maturity T. What is the difference between the following curves and in what case each is ...
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300 views

Decreasing Forward FX rate curve

i've constructed a Forward FX curve using the formula: $F= Spot \frac{(1+I_b*n/N)}{(1+I_c*n/N)}$ when i get these Forward rates for 1 month, 3, 6 till 1 year i got a decreasing forward Fx Curve How ...
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1answer
2k views

Yield curve: Turn of year effect jump calculation

I'm trying to get the values for the turn of year jumps that can be found at section 4.8 of Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Multiple Interest Rate Curve Bootstrapping But Were Afraid To ...
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1answer
140 views

How are LIBOR rates beyond 12M arrived at? [closed]

I understand LIBOR rates quoted on a daily basis upto 12 M tenors. But how are rates beyond 12M tenor estimated. I got this question from an interviewer.
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1answer
122 views

Libor futures rolling adjustment & curve building

Can futures rolling affect curve constructing? Let's say that i'm using future 1 and 2 to construct the short end of my curve. As i understand it, rolling will create volatility (as volumes spike), ...
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2answers
801 views

Looking for a pricing library supporting Mutli-curve Framework

I am looking for a builder of Yield curves by tenors (O/N, 1M, 3M, 6M, 12M) respect to a given discount curve based on multi-curve framework as described below : Interest-rate Modelling with Multiple ...
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1answer
229 views

Generating random yields

I would like to test different methods for fitting a yield curve, like the Nelson-Siegel, cubic splines etc. I would like to generate random yield to maturity data, that somehow reflects the common ...
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0answers
403 views

Is there really a negative roll yield for futures in contango?

I am trying to wrap my head around how ETFs that track futures work (whether its USO tracking WTI futures or VXX tracking VIX futures). I have read online about how for normal contango environments, ...