Questions tagged [yield-curve]

A yield curve is a plot of yields for various bonds (often government bonds) versus the bonds' maturities. We also often plot swap and other LIBOR rates to get the (related) swap curve.

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1answer
127 views

Difference between a 3-months UK nominal spot rate and a 3-months UK treasury bill discount rate?

I am trying to collect data I could use for calibration of a short-rate modeling process, so I need data which represents the historical short-rates. On the Bank of England webpage I came across the ...
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88 views

Why should central bank intervention cause inverted yield curve to be less effective as a recession signal?

Pimco's new CIO Dan Ivascyn believes that the inverted yield curve has become less effective as a signal of impending recession. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-22/pimco-s-ivascyn-...
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Discretizing the conditional variance in the Arbitrage Free Dynamic Nelson Siegel model

for my thesis I am trying to fit the correlated factor arbitrage free dynamic Nelson Siegel model to yield data. I use the Kalman filter to model this but since the model is in continuous time, I need ...
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Zero rate curve USD Libor

Good day, I gave following inputs of Libor rates : ON 0.3731 1W 0.3939 1M 0.4265 2M 0.5148 3M 0.6176 6M 0.8655 1Y 1.1336 How can I build zero-rate curve ?
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Equations for multicurve calibration with OIS discounting

I am trying to calibrate my forecast and discount curves using the multi-curve approach with OIS discounting. To do so, I have a implemented multivariate Newton-Raphson root finder. I am finding a bit ...
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591 views

Yield curve and bid ask spread

For the valuation of a bond, is the bid ask spread somehow reflected in the yield curve? Considering zero coupon bond, one would expect to have an bid price and ask price and therefore if I am ...
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202 views

Does the YTM for a zero coupon treasury equal the treasury yield curve value for it's maturity?

The title is my question. I think the answer is yes, but I am unsure about it.
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831 views

Fitting the Term structure of Discount Bonds with Ho-Lee

I was now reading a book on interest rate modelling, and I am having trouble picturing the practical issues of model calibration with the Ho-Lee model. Apparently, one of the drawbacks of this model ...
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589 views

Pricing zero coupon bonds on a yield curve

I'm getting confused about how I should price the current price of a zero coupon bond when there are several yields to choose from. For instance, lets say that there is an upward sloping yield curve. ...
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1k views

Applications of PCA to yield curve analysis

One of the applications of Principal Component Analysis in Finance is to analyse the shape of the yield curve. But what conclusions can be drawn exactly from performing this exercise? Does it help us ...
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Introducing 1bp shocks to yield curve (and interpolation consequences)

Let us assume we have a LIBOR 3M curve and that I would like to introduce a small shock up/down of 1bp at a certain point along the curve. I am trying to find out what the best and most efficient way ...
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HJM model, existence of arbitrage:

The Setup: Suppose I know the yield curve of a Bond satisfies: f (0, t) = 0.04 for t ≥ 0 and f (ω, 1, t) = 0.06, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 1 , 0.02, t ≥ 1, ω = ω 2 , where Ω = {ω 1 , ω 2 } with P[ω i ] > 0, i = 1,...
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Daily yield to maturity using `uniroot` in R: error

So, I'm trying to compute the daily yielt to maturity on basis of data retrieved from Datastream. The data comprises EMU Treasury bonds with Prices, Coupon and Maturity date. In R the matrices are ...
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Multi-factor affine yield models reference (a la Duffie and Kan)

http://www.darrellduffie.com/uploads/pubs/DuffieKan1996.pdf I was trying to read above paper on the topic of multi-factor affine models, but I presume the contents have been dealt with more ...
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Why 10 year treasury yield expectation note priced in bond prices?

A lot of large firms are predicting that the 10 year treasury yield is going to rise. My question is that if such prediction has any substance, shouldn't the current 10 year yield rise accordingly, as ...
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Best method for interpolating yield curve? [Multiple questions]

I'm building a spot curve for US Treasuries. My original selection of cash treasury include all the on-the-run bills, notes, bonds from 6 months to 30 years, as well as some selected off-the-run ...
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245 views

Brazilian break even inflation curves

Brazil has had historically two sets of inflation bonds, the NTN-B and NTN-C series each with a different inflation index. The NTN-C is no longer issued. When creating historical break even ...
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523 views

Python Quantlib yield curve dates different than input

Thanks very much for your help in advance. I am trying to understand the yield curve construction from Python Quantlib. And it seems I cannot get the curve output the same dates(nodes) as my input ...
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637 views

Will rolling-down-yield-curve bond strategy work if interest rates remain unchanged?

Suppose I have 2 strategies; A) Buying A One Year Bond And Holding To Maturity (Buy & Hold To Maturity) B) Buying A 3 Year Bond and Selling After One Year (Rolling Down The Yield Curve) Assume ...
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QuantLib Python Swap Yield Curve Bootstrapping Dates and Maturities

This is somewhat related to the question I asked here but simpler. I am trying to bootstrap a yield curve from swaps, and am having a problem with the dates/maturities that are coming out. The code ...
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1k views

QL-Python Bootstrapping Yield Curve FuturesRateHelper throwing off results

I'm trying to perform a bootstrap of a yield curve from deposit rates, futures, and swaps, and the interpolation is "blowing up" for the futures maturities being off by two orders of magnitude (100x). ...
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2k views

In what economic scenario do yield curves bull flatten or bear steepen?

Bull steepening and bear flattening have the common belief that in bad news, treasuries catch a bid and short end rallies more because most bad news are short lived. In good news, treasuries sell off ...
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What does equilibrium return on 90-day Treasury Bills mean?

I have been reading NZ Superfund's 2015 Ref Portfolio Review (here) and came across this notion: Our estimate of the equilibrium return on 90-day Treasury Bills is 5%. And this is under the column ...
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816 views

How to Construct a Corporate Yield Curve

I received this question in a job interview. I don't really have fixed income background and was wondering if anyone can help me understand how to figure out this for myself. Create a 12 month time ...
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Find Z-Spread in R

I am new to the quant finance community... I have a series of bond cash flows, its market prices and also the spot rates for the timing of those cash flows. How to find the Z-Spread that matches its ...
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3answers
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Basic LIBOR curve question

I'm new to the quant finance and have a very basic question about LIBOR curve. LIBOR is published every day for 4 different tenors (1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y), and each rate means how much annual interest ...
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3k views

Convert USD yield into EUR yields

I want to calculate the EUR equivalent yield from the USD yield curve. For example : how to translate the USD libor curve into an EUR equivalent yield curve ? Do I need to use FX forwards or is the ...
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Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART TWO

The Fed has a number of tools/targets with which they manage monetary policy. I'm looking to refine a concise summary of them and looking for guidance/correction/validation. Think I understand these ...
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1k views

Constructing yield curve directly from yield-to-maturity data

I'm trying to use Bloomberg yield-to-maturity data for sets of sovereign bonds of different maturities to fit to a yield curve. I looked into using the QuantLib library (the FittedBondCurve ...
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737 views

QuantLib FittedBondDiscountCurve fitResults [Error]

I try to use FittedBondDiscountCurve with NelsonSiegelFitting, but I faced with error when call fitResults() method: ...
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91 views

IR parity theorem

I wonder how post crisis multiple curve approach influences the ir parity theorem: $${\displaystyle (1+i_{\$})={\frac {E_{t}S_{t+k}}{S_{t}}}(1+i_{c})}$$ Let's say that $i_\$$ is USD Libor 3m rate ...
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How to compute treasury yields as reported in the online financial newspapers?

I am trying to compute treasury yields (with different data) similar to what has been done by bloomberg, yahoo finance, msn money, and wall street. I find the data reported by these are not the same ...
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3k views

Using Forward or Spot rates for NPV?

I have to calculate the NPV for Capital Budgeting in a project with annual cash flows discounted by a risk - free interest rates 1.Instead of using a constant interest rate, should it better to use ...
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Yield Curve Movement: Risk/Reward versus Safe Haven Demand & Monetary Policy Expectations

UK leaves Europe, credit rating get's downgraded. High uncertainty, higher perceived risk - based on just risk/reward, would expect yields on UK debt to increase. They did the opposite. UK government ...
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113 views

Do yield curves only show market expectations, or is there more to them?

I am hoping to understand 'Brexit' impact on UK yield curves. Specifically, government liability yield curves (so yields based on UK government bonds - Gilts): The Background On 24th of June - the ...
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Bonds with embedded options pricing via binomial model

Notation: t - time; G(t) - zero-coupon yield curve; $r$, $r_d$, $r_u$ - interest rates. The task is to find market price of a bond for today, while knowing the price of a number of other bonds. ...
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Quantlib FuturesRateHelper triggers not a valid IMM date error

I'm beginning to use QuantLib with Python SWIG, and trying to build a EUR yield curve. I face this error which frankly I don't understand; I looked at the code of bool IMM::isIMMdate in imm.cpp and ...
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How does one estimate theta in the Ho-Lee model from a yield curve?

I have a yield curve constructed using linear interpolation with data points every 3-months for US treasuries. I would like to use that calibrate a Ho-Lee model, but I can't wrap my head around how ...
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Calculate the “ten year zero rate” given two bonds with two prices

I have a little question and need some help with the notation. So, the question goes as follows: A bond with a maturity of ten years that pays annual coupons of 8% has a price of \$90. A bond with ...
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409 views

Discount factor taking into account yield curve shape

I have always been told that the discount factor formula is just: $$ DF(T) = \frac{1}{(1+L_{t_0})^T} $$ where $L_{t_0}$ is the LIBOR rate on one period (the first one I guess) and $T$ the number of ...
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Deriving the yield curve from the HJM dynamics

If I know that my model follows a no-arbitrage HJM model: \begin{equation} df(\tau) = \left(\sigma(\tau)\int_0^{\tau}\sigma(u)du\right)dt +\sigma(\tau)dW_{\tau} \end{equation} (where $\tau:=T-t$, ...
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216 views

Strategies on steepen yield curve

Believe that the yield curve is going to steepen very soon. It may be fall in short-term rates, a rise in long-term rates, or some combination of these. What strategy should we pursue in the bond ...
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Deriving a 3M libor curve from 6M libor swaps and 3M-6M libor basis swaps

If I had a set of 6M Libor instruments and another set of 3M-6M basis swap instruments, how would I derive the 3M Libor curve? Just bootstrap the 6M curve and the basis curve and add up the zero ...
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Is trading mean reversion of small principal components of prices profitable?

Many have told me that it is a good idea to look at the third principal component (PC) of yield curve movements, as well as third and fourth PC of G10 currencies. They claim these PCs represent "...
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Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART ONE

As I understand it, the Fed has 3 tools for moving interest rates to combat inflation/unemployment: the discount rate, Fed Funds rate and open market operations. I'm trying to understand how the ...
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588 views

Cubic spline interpolation function within Matlab

I want to use the Cubic spline interpolation technique so I can interpolate yield curve points. Now I wonder if I can use the standard matlab function interpl1 (and then using the 'spline' method) or ...
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Moody's seasoned corporate bond yields

The Fed publishes Moody's seasoned corporate bond yields here. These yields are not broken out by maturity. According to this website, the yields represent "long-term" bonds, with minimum and ...
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Turn of the year

I understand the basics of "Turn of the year" effect. But I am wondering why does this effect sometimes cause overnight rates around year end to dip below normal overnight rate levels (i.e. negative ...
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571 views

How to get real interest rate from Nominal spot rates?

I have the nominal spot rates. Based on the Fisher equation , how to get the real interest rate ($r$) and the "expected inflation" ($\pi$) ?
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Yield curve interpolation at (very) short horizons

I'm struggling to find much information about yield curve interpolation for sub-yearly horizons. Say, one-two months. It seems to be the area where the curvature is usually nontrivial, while after ...