# Questions tagged [yield-curve]

A yield curve is a plot of yields for various bonds (often government bonds) versus the bonds' maturities. We also often plot swap and other LIBOR rates to get the (related) swap curve.

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### Introducing 1bp shocks to yield curve (and interpolation consequences)

Let us assume we have a LIBOR 3M curve and that I would like to introduce a small shock up/down of 1bp at a certain point along the curve. I am trying to find out what the best and most efficient way ...
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### Cubic spline interpolation function within Matlab

I want to use the Cubic spline interpolation technique so I can interpolate yield curve points. Now I wonder if I can use the standard matlab function interpl1 (and then using the 'spline' method) or ...
2k views

### Forecast 3m LIBOR USD. Budget purpose

How can I calculate/budget/find a expectation for the 3 month LIBOR for the next 3monts-4 years? I am calculating a CF scenario on USD 3month Libor + margin. With swaps and fixed rate this is easy, ...
538 views

### Building curves using onshore or offshore JPY overnight rates?

I am trying to build Japanese Yen interest rate curves. When defining the curve instruments for the 'OIS' (discount) curve (aka TONAR), I am uncertain as to which rate to use for the overnight deposit ...
190 views

### Economic indicators leading the yield curve

There is a lot of research on how the government yield curve can be used to predict the economy. The government yield curve is often seen as a leading indicator. But for which variables is the curve a ...
39 views

### Nelson Segel Model calculation of the zero bound price at time zero that expires in 2 years

I am somewhat stuck and not sure how to proceed, so any help would be appreciated. I got the Nelson Siegel model with all parameters for the real data. The curve that is produced is yield vs maturity. ...
52 views

### How to optimise Fixed Income portfolio (Yieldbook) based on YTM, duration, rating and exchange rate

I have a fixed income portfolio built up in the Yieldbook and BBG Port. However due to some bad performance of my portfolio compared to the benchmark I would like to build up an optimisation which ...
38 views

### Par rates, zero rates and forward rates curves in swaps

I'm new to the concept of swaps, I'm having hard time understanding what each curve relationship with a swap derivative traded in the market. Can someone please explain this? Thank you.
276 views

### Using Python Quantlib's FittedBondDiscountCurve as Evaluator of Parametric Curve - Errors

I am using Quantlib's FittedBondDiscountCurve in Python 3.7 and setting MaxIterations to 0, and giving a guess_solution, which then turns the routine into an evaluator for the parametric form I choose,...
269 views

### How to interpret DV01 in terms of PCA equivalent?

I have computed the PCs for daily changes in the UST yield curve over the last 5 years using the covariance matrix and can explain 94% of the variance using the first two components, which is good ...
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### Yield Curve Trading Strategy Explaining Books

Recently I really enjoyed being here while getting great recommendations. Would like to thank you all. Could you please recommend some books/papers on trading strategies, lets say yield curve ...
49 views

### Bond Index Return from Yield Curve Data [duplicate]

I am trying to compare fund returns with benchmark returns. I have some yield curve data (some of them calculated by Bloomberg) but not bond price or return data. Is there any way to get bond returns ...
82 views

### Strategy in steepening curve environment, stable spreads - HotS interview problem

The following problem was found in "Heard on the Street": You construct a yield curve for (coupon-bearing) treasuries. A particular five-year corporate zero-coupon bond has a default risk ...
44 views

### Custom Frequency termstrc Package

Termstrc package in R by default uses yearly coupon frequencies. Dataset i am working with is semi-yearly coupon bonds. Here are the variables it takes into the model ...
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### How do traders determine when points in a yield curve are at 'fair value'?

While on my last day on an internship last summer, I heard on the morning call a UK rates trader say something along the lines of: "Most of the curve is at fair value at the moment, so nothing ...
391 views

### Discount factor taking into account yield curve shape

I have always been told that the discount factor formula is just: $$DF(T) = \frac{1}{(1+L_{t_0})^T}$$ where $L_{t_0}$ is the LIBOR rate on one period (the first one I guess) and $T$ the number of ...
146 views

### Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve PART ONE

As I understand it, the Fed has 3 tools for moving interest rates to combat inflation/unemployment: the discount rate, Fed Funds rate and open market operations. I'm trying to understand how the ...
113 views

### Turn of the year

I understand the basics of "Turn of the year" effect. But I am wondering why does this effect sometimes cause overnight rates around year end to dip below normal overnight rate levels (i.e. negative ...
329 views

### Data source for a corporate bond yield curve?

Yield curves are a valuable tool for economic analysis. It is particularly interesting to analyse the difference between Government Debt yields and Corporate Debt yields (credit spreads). This gives ...
215 views

### YTM of “very-seasoned” bond issues

There is a liquidity premium between on-the-run treasury issues and off-the-run issues with similar characteristics. This is why when building a yield curve, typically on-the-run issues are used to ...
12k views

### Par Yield Curves vs Zero Curves

Does it make sense to look at par yield curve for German bonds in the current environment? Because low rates mean that a lot of bonds are trading above much above par (even around 150!). I would ...
239 views

### Intuitive explanation of geometric mean

Suppose that the 10 Year Treasury Yield Rate varies every trading day during the year X1 (which in practice is accurate) what is the intuitive explanation behind calculating the geometric mean using ...
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### Quantlib bootstraping fails on 5y swap

I'm trying to build a euro swap curve with real up to date data. I should say that examples provided in github work fine. as soon as I add the 5y swap, I got the following error : ...
597 views

### Who determine Sport rate curve (Yield Curve)

My study was in a Mathematical modelling, we studied much about theory, equations, how to resolve equation, how to implement, but we don't understand well where these equations come from. My ...
185 views

### How to compute par yield from zero rate curve?

How does one calculate the below two-year par yield given the zero rate curve: Assume the following two-year zero rate curve, with continuous compounding: ...
114 views

### How to do simultaneous dual curve bootstrapping?

I wish to understand how dual curve bootstrapping is done? Lets say we want to bootstrap FF OIS curve and Libor 3 month fwd curve simultaneously. Lets also assume we don't LIBOR-OIS basis swap rates ...
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### Applications of PCA to yield curve analysis

One of the applications of Principal Component Analysis in Finance is to analyse the shape of the yield curve. But what conclusions can be drawn exactly from performing this exercise? Does it help us ...
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### Negative Carry when Yield Curve is Downward Sloping

I am currently reading "The Treasury Bond Basis", and have a question regarding negative carry. The book states that the carry of a vanilla treasury bond will be negative when the yield ...
467 views

### ESTER replacement for EONIA/EURIBOR

Does anybody know what impact the replacement of EONIA with ESTER ( Euro Short TErm Rate ) will have on discounting existing or new derivatives once EONIA will be restricted as of Jan 2020? I'm ...
1k views

### High convexity vs low convexity bond definition

Isn't high convexity always better than low convexity bond from the formula that $$\frac {ΔB} B=-D \frac {Δy} {1+y} + \frac 1 2 CΔy^2$$ Since $\frac 1 2 CΔy^2$ is positive no matter what so the price ...
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### Why should central bank intervention cause inverted yield curve to be less effective as a recession signal?

Pimco's new CIO Dan Ivascyn believes that the inverted yield curve has become less effective as a signal of impending recession. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-22/pimco-s-ivascyn-...
187 views

### Is it possible to derive a reasonable USD yield curve using only publicly/freely available data sources?

Background I'm a corporate financial analyst with a small derivatives portfolio (amortizing interest rate swaps and FX forwards) looking to value these derivatives "properly" (which, in my case, ...
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### Build a swap curve / Swap Hedging

I’m going through the exercise of building a swap curve. I understand I need libor rates for the short-end, futures for the medium-end, and swap rates for the long-end. Should I be using bid, mid, ...
2k views

### Is the “swap curve” synonymous with the “yield curve”?

Looking at the swap curve construction here: http://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/wp00-17.pdf it seems to be constructed in an identical fashion as the yield curve as described here:...
131 views

### Interest rate risk using copulas

In order to simulate an interest rate yield curve, can I just estimate a covariance matrix of historical key rate data, simulate with a normal copula, spline my simulated key rates, then price my ...
684 views

### QuantLib FittedBondDiscountCurve fitResults [Error]

I try to use FittedBondDiscountCurve with NelsonSiegelFitting, but I faced with error when call fitResults() method: ...
1k views

### Deriving a 3M libor curve from 6M libor swaps and 3M-6M libor basis swaps

If I had a set of 6M Libor instruments and another set of 3M-6M basis swap instruments, how would I derive the 3M Libor curve? Just bootstrap the 6M curve and the basis curve and add up the zero ...
541 views

### How to get real interest rate from Nominal spot rates?

I have the nominal spot rates. Based on the Fisher equation , how to get the real interest rate ($r$) and the "expected inflation" ($\pi$) ?
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### Yield curve interpolation at (very) short horizons

I'm struggling to find much information about yield curve interpolation for sub-yearly horizons. Say, one-two months. It seems to be the area where the curvature is usually nontrivial, while after ...
322 views

### “Friendly” papers about maximum smoothness yield curve modelling

I'm currently looking to implement some version of the yield curve modeling techniques in the maximum smoothness framework. The papers I have found so far explains the theory pretty well, but I find ...
132 views

### How to find OIS discounting factors from OIS swap rates. Please explain with example

Suppose I have the following OIS Swap rates: 1 year OIS Swap: 0.36% 2 year OIS Swap: 0.37% 3 year OIS Swap: 0.38% 4 year OIS Swap: 0.40% From these, how do I get the OIS Discounting factors for ...
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### Question with regards to fitting the yield curve with the Nelson.Siegel function from the YieldCurve package in R

I have the following data: ...