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8
votes
3answers
2k views

What really is Gamma scalping?

How does Gamma scalping really work? It seems there is no true profit scalped. If we look at the simplest scenario, Black-Scholes option price $V(t,S)$ at time $t$ and the underlying stock price at $S$...
7
votes
2answers
2k views

How to make the final Interpretation of PCA?

I have question regarding final loading of data back to original variables. So for example: I have 10 variable from a,b,c....j using returns for last 300 days i got return matrix of 300 X 10. ...
12
votes
5answers
4k views

How to obtain true probabilities from Black-Scholes?

How to obtain true probabilities from Black-Scholes option pricing equation? Suppose, that we know risk adjusted discount rate for the underlying asset (the drift term in the physical measure) and ...
10
votes
3answers
2k views

Deriving Interest Rates

I am trying to teach myself about interest rate swaps, how they are priced, etc... Easy enough - just comparing cash flows of fixed and floating rate bonds. However, what I'm struggling with is how ...
10
votes
1answer
5k views

Why using the swap curve as riskfree rate and no longer gov bonds?

I recently had an interview where I was asked what to use as risk-free rate. In all my textbooks it was always the US treasury yield curve. But they said no its now the "swap curve". Why is the swap ...
8
votes
2answers
476 views

Empirical distribution function of overlapping time series data

If we model asset return volatility for periods of more than one (say more than one day) there is the square-root rule which holds true under some assumptions. The situation is more tricky if we look ...
8
votes
1answer
1k views

Multi Fractals Models

From a quant point of view, how would you explain Multi Fractals Models in few words ? I have the level to take these courses, but won't be able to do it next year, so I want to know what I am missing....
7
votes
1answer
1k views

Arbitragefree Pricing: Q vs. P

I read that the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing states, that a market is arbitrage-free if and only if there exists an equivalent martingale measure Q, under which the discounted asset price ...
5
votes
2answers
810 views

Is there a non-recursive way of calculating the exponential moving average?

I want to calculate the exponential moving average for many stocks in a large investable universe. To do this, I've seen the following formula: Because it references the previous day's exponential ...
3
votes
1answer
7k views

detecting and measuring lead lag effect

Given two time series data. I remember there is one statistics that tells you one is the leading factor while the other is the lagging factor. However, i do not remember the exact details. correlation ...
2
votes
1answer
7k views

How do I calculate yield from a bond futures contract?

I would like to know how I can calculate the yield of a bond futures contract(say the 5 yr treasury "FVM05" is trading at 108.2)? I am not sure how to go about calculating the yield of the futures ...
23
votes
3answers
8k views

How are limit orders selected from the order book?

I'm sure there is a simple answer to this but I haven't had any luck with searches. I'm just wondering when someone places a market order which order(s) from the limit order book are selected to fill ...
16
votes
5answers
3k views

Are two identical time series cointegrated?

I did cointegration test on two identical time series, and the result shows that they are not cointegrated, but intuitively, I think they are. Can anyone share some thoughts on this? Thanks!
12
votes
2answers
2k views

The Definition(s) of Momentum

I am currently studying the Momentum strategy and its differences in results (returns) when we change the formula describing momentum. There are indeed no accurate formulas for implementing the ...
12
votes
4answers
3k views

What .NET library can I use to solve optimization problems?

I'm working with C# and I start being bored writing optimization algorithm. Do you know any free library containing this sort of algorithms? In particular I'm currently working with Semidefit ...
12
votes
2answers
2k views

What's Risk-Neutral in an Interest Rate Model?

In Shreve II, on p. 265 he states the Hull-White interest rate model as $$ dR(u) = \left( a(u) - b(u)R(u)\right) dt + \sigma(u)d\tilde{W}(u), $$ and then mentions "...$\tilde{W}(u)$ is a Brownian ...
8
votes
1answer
350 views

What are the empirical limitations to testing market efficiency?

I have encountered a rather elegant argument about the limitations of empirically testing for market efficiency, involving the central point that we do not know whether a result is due to the "true ...
8
votes
3answers
2k views

Data Synchronization

I'm working on market trends. I have daily prices for 33 assets from different markets. I was wondering if there is a way to cancel the effects of different opening/closing times. I have been told ...
4
votes
1answer
3k views

Girsanov Theorem for Quanto/Compo adjustment

Assume that I have a foreign asset $$Y_t = Y_0 \exp \left((r_f-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2_Y)t+\sigma_Y W_t^1\right)$$ and an exchange rate $$X_t = X_0 \exp\left((r_d-r_f-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2_X)t+\sigma_X ...
4
votes
2answers
784 views

Shortcomings of generalized Brownian motion for asset price modelling

I'm simply interested on hearing some views on which shortcomings arise by using the (multidimensional) SDE $$dS(t)=S(t)\alpha(t,S(t))dt+S(t)\sigma(t,S(t))dW(t)$$ as a model for asset prices. I know ...
4
votes
2answers
216 views

Option Valuation

Can Black-Scholes option values be derived via the Capital Asset Pricing Model, without resort to the use of a risk-free portfolio being created from the option and a Delta determined quantity of the ...
0
votes
2answers
1k views

In curve building: How to calculate interest rate (discount factor) for period before first known effective date

I am building a curve using par swaps rates. For example, I have the following two semi-annual swaps for input Duration start end rate 1year 14-Nov-2011 14-Nov-2012 ...
10
votes
2answers
2k views

How to calculate the most realistic historical option prices with additional publicly available parameters

This is a follow up question of this one. My aim is to create the most realistic historical option prices possible with publicly available data. I want to do this for backtesting purposes. The ...
10
votes
4answers
1k views

Why use implied volatility

First I'll describe the way I understood things so far from the literature, feel free to correct me here, and then I formulate some questions. I'd search through QSE, but haven't found so far similar ...
9
votes
3answers
658 views

How to choose a risk-neutral measure when the market is incomplete?

I am more of a probabilist than a financial mathematician. I am currently working on the features of American put options under a particular stochastic volatility model. Like most stochastic ...
8
votes
3answers
2k views

What is the correct convexity adjustment for an Interest Rate Swap with unnatural reset lag?

I am looking at the valuation of an Interest Rate Swap (IRS thereafter) which is pretty much vanilla with one small tweak. Floating leg pays 3 months LIBOR in monthly intervals. To be precise: ...
8
votes
1answer
965 views

derivation of the hedging error in a black scholes setup

I'm reading the following short paper by Davis. In section 2.6 he wants to derive an expression for the hedging error. Assume we have Black scholes setup: $$ dS_t = S_t(r dt + \sigma dW_t)$$ $$ dB_t =...
8
votes
2answers
4k views

Simulation of GBM

I have a question regarding the simulation of a GBM. I have found similar questions here but nothing which takes reference to my specific problem: Given a GBM of the form $dS(t) = \mu S(t) dt + \...
8
votes
1answer
711 views

Expectation of maximum draw down in the Brownian motion case

Let $$ X_t = \mu t + \sigma B_t $$ be a linear Brownian motion with drift. Let $$ S_t = \max(X_u, u \le t) $$ denote the process of the running max, then the draw down is given by $$ DD_t = S_t - ...
7
votes
2answers
473 views

Stop-loss start-gain paradox: Why is it a 'paradox'?

The Stop-Loss Start-Gain Paradox and Option Valuation: A New Decomposition into Intrinsic and Time Value, by Peter P. Carr and Robert A. Jarrow, in The Review of Financial Studies, Volume 3, Issue 3, ...
6
votes
2answers
443 views

close form for stochastic integral

I am new to stochastic calculus. Can I know how to compute the close-form solution for $$\int_0^t \exp(\alpha s - \sigma W_s) \; ds$$ and $$\int_0^t \exp(\alpha s - \sigma W_s) \; dW_s.$$ I encounter ...
4
votes
1answer
386 views

Why must the risk free rate be free from risk in risk neutral valuation?

I am reading through documentation related to Funding Valuation Adjustments (FVA) which discuss risk free rate and funding matters and the following question came to my mind: in risk neutral valuation ...
4
votes
3answers
181 views

The possible preferences of investors for higher than first 2 moments of return distribution?

Can anyone explain in an intuitive manner a justification for possible preferences of investors for moments of return distribution beyond the first two moments (i.e. mean and variance). For example, ...
4
votes
2answers
15k views

How to normalize stock data

Please advise how can i normalize stock prices. Recently, I've been using such formulas: Log prices = Ln(Close(t)) Close(t)-Mean (Close(t)-Mean)/(StdDev) Ln(Close(t))-Mean Is there any other ways?
3
votes
1answer
203 views

Estimating implied volatility of an index component with no vanilla options market

There are liquid vanilla options trading on an index of 20 equity components. The question is how to price an option on one of the index components, knowing that there are no options trading on that ...
3
votes
2answers
1k views

Brownian motion - first passage time

Can anyone point me to the expression for the first passage time for a geometric Brownian motion process X(t) as a function of the starting point, threshold, drift and diffusion parameters. I am ...
2
votes
1answer
1k views

Price of bond future, given a specific interest rate?

I'm interested in calculating what a theoretical price of the ZB or UB(Ultra Bond) futures would be priced at, given an interest rate of 1%. Or 0% If the 30Y interest rate is around 1%, what will ...
2
votes
1answer
371 views

Pricing VIX Futures

In a 2006 paper Zhang and Zhu propose a model for VIX and VIX Futures based on Heston. I am struggling in understanding how they get equation 6 and 8 (where they define the parameters). Can anyone ...
2
votes
2answers
1k views

SABR Implied Volatility and Option Prices

I am trying to understand the SABR model. Specifically, I am having difficulty to understand how to calibrate the model parameters, that is, initial variance, volatility of variance, exponent for ...
10
votes
3answers
531 views

Scanning a stock database for errors/flaws

I'm currently working on some matlab code that is supposed to check a stock database for any errors (missing values, wrong values, etc.). The reason for this is that after reading this post I came to ...
8
votes
2answers
2k views

Normality assumption in Sharpe ratio

I have read that the Sharpe ratio imposes a normality assumption, but I fail to see how. Standard deviation is statistic for any type of distribution. Anyone have any ideas?
6
votes
2answers
257 views

What are the books in which to study the basics of the derivative financial instruments?

Books similar to Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives by John C. Hull. I need another academic book that explains the basics of quantitative finance derivatives (forward, futures, options)
6
votes
1answer
718 views

How to value a floor when a loan is callable?

Certain bank loans pay a spread above a floating-rate interest rate (typically LIBOR) subject to a floor. I would like to find the value of this floor to the investor. Assume for this example that ...
5
votes
1answer
6k views

How to get real-time data for Fama-French model?

For Fama-French model we need SMB (small[market cap] minus big) and HML (high[book-to-market-ratio] minis low). I want to ...
5
votes
1answer
1k views

Continuous delta hedge formula

When we buy a call and continuously delta hedge using some implied volatility $\sigma_i$, what is the formula for our aggregate profit given that the actual realized volatility is $\sigma_r$? Say $...
5
votes
2answers
431 views

Delta hedge value formula

When we delta hedge with implied volatility, and dynamically adjust every day, I believe the PnL theoretically is $$PnL = 0.5 \Gamma S^2 (\sigma_r^2 - \sigma_i^2)dt$$ where $\sigma_r$ is realized ...
5
votes
1answer
245 views

Other numerraire choices when applying Feynman Kac

all of the books and notes I have seen on the Feynman Kac formula mostly applied to Risk neutral measure, i.e. different interest rate models, stochastic volatility, etc. I think risk neutral measure ...
4
votes
1answer
4k views

volatility input for black scholes formula

I am not a mathematician but want to try and understand the BS model for option pricing. I get the intuitive sense of it but am unable to figure out calculation of volatility (as an input). Some ...
4
votes
1answer
928 views

Fama-French Factors in €

I am having a bit of a problem with currency conversion issues. What I do: I sort European stocks based on their book-to-market ratio, each year I form a portfolio (equal-weight) with the 10 stocks ...
4
votes
1answer
556 views

Finding arbitrage opportunity

Find an arbitrage opportunity in this market. Can anyone explain how to mathematically solve this exercise with for example solving a system of linear equations?

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