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0answers
109 views

Max Likelihood via Marquardt Optimisation

I asked a related question here: How to apply Levenberg Marquardt to Max Likelihood Estimation I tried the approach suggested it works for some of the parameters but not the variances. I spoke to ...
0
votes
1answer
318 views

How to get permanently growing chart within PCA

I looked onto different questions and answers about application of PCA on this site and found this interesting article : http://systematicedge.wordpress.com/2013/06/02/principal-component-analysis-in-...
0
votes
2answers
3k views

Technical analysis in Python - source of knowledge

I did my best, but I could not find answer for this one - is there any good and in-depth source of knowledge about using Python for technical analysis ? Obviously, there are plenty of tutorials, blogs ...
12
votes
2answers
2k views

Why Ito calculus?

Coming from physics, I am used to the fact that the Ito interpretation of most natural stochastic equations is wrong, and one should be using Stratonovich calculus instead (of course they are ...
0
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2answers
85 views

Break down XIRR to different segments

Currently, I have the following transactions. ...
2
votes
1answer
264 views

Where can I buy historic raw order by order data for Euronext market?

I cannot find any vendor that sell the full depth order by order data historically. I called Euronext and for some sick reason they "have the data" but "do not sell it". Do you guys know where I can ...
3
votes
2answers
677 views

Martingale Stock Prices

In http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/files/pdf/Granger-stockmarket.pdf Granger makes survey of some arguments. In section I there are two hypothesis H01, and H02. H01: Stock prices are a ...
1
vote
1answer
386 views

Prove that the binomial algorithm implies the arbitrage free price at t=0 of a T-claim

In Tomas Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ these propositions How does the first formula follow from from the algorithm? I get that $\Pi(0;X) = V_0(0)$, but I don't ...
2
votes
1answer
1k views

How to see the impact of one variable on a set of other variables?

Editing my question: I have decided to use multiple factor model to model my stress test. I am using factor shock method to implement the propagation of shocks. I am doing this according to a book "...
3
votes
2answers
5k views

How popular is the Linear Gauss Markov (LGM) model?

Some friends recommend to me Linear Gauss Markov model, saying it's interesting to have a look at it. Basically it's a framework different from HJM, with potential to extend, and the merit is that it'...
0
votes
1answer
922 views

Excel to Java for Interactive brokers

I have a working excel workbook connected to Interactive brokers DDE API. I am struggling to upgrade to a more robust environment like Java. I tried to change it to ActiveX for Excel but the ...
4
votes
1answer
1k views

Option based portfolio insurance in practice

My question is about option based portfolio insurance in practice. Some insurance companies offer products where there is a mutual fund (equity and bonds) and a guarantee attached. This guarantee is ...
2
votes
1answer
983 views

Correlation of asset to portfolio, given certain variables

Ultimately I'm trying to calculate stdev contribution, but I've hit a hurdle. What I have: 20x20 correlation matrix for various assets Standard deviations for each asset Returns for each asset ...
1
vote
1answer
126 views

How to benchmark bonds?

I am trying to find for each european bond in my database a proper Benchmark to compare them with the Bloomberg benchmarks for bonds. What i have done so far is to extract a list of all government ...
2
votes
1answer
260 views

How to projectP&L or drawdowns on pair trading , trading and portfolios? [closed]

This is for planning and risk management. I am stuck on the following thoughts - Back-test the trading strategy for a period similar to the one you expect and then project. Do the above using ...
0
votes
1answer
74 views

Is there any relationship between investment return of a stock, for individual year (Yearly return) and multiple years (Overall annualized return)

currently, I'm calculating the return of a stock, for individual year and multiple years. I tend to answer the following question. Return of a stock for end of year 2010 (Individual year) Return of a ...
7
votes
5answers
14k views

What are the implication of a negative risk-free rate on SML?

What happens to the Security market line (within the CAPM model) when the risk-free rate turns negative?
2
votes
0answers
74 views

robust regions in grid search

I have a strategy f that takes parameters x,y (for x,y taking values in integer ranges). I get two grids (of returns and volatility values) from computing f(xi,yi) for integer ranges x1 <= xi <= ...
1
vote
0answers
194 views

How to convert HJM model risk-neutral measure $\mathbb{Q}$ to real measure $\mathbb{P}$?

HJM model, $df(t,T) = \mu(t,T) dt + \xi (t, T)dW(t)$, is defined in risk-neutral measure $\mathbb{Q}$, according to Brigo's "Interest Rate Models" book. I wonder, how could I transform it to real ...
2
votes
0answers
60 views

Isn't a perfect economic system always in debt? [closed]

Let's say in a simple world, we have 3 persons, a banker, a businessman and a worker. Then we apply the current monetary system in this economy. So for the system to get started, we need a banker to ...
7
votes
1answer
128 views

Valuing a warrant on a warrant

How would you go about valuing a European warrant that entitles you to a) 1 share of a company and 2) 1 warrant on that same company?
2
votes
2answers
248 views

2 stocks, no shorting vs shorting. (concrete questions, mean-variance)

I'd appreciate help with the following questions. Suppose there are two stocks $A$ and $B$ with expected returns $E_A, E_B >0$ and volatilities $v_A, v_B >0$, respectively . Also, suppose ...
12
votes
2answers
2k views

The Definition(s) of Momentum

I am currently studying the Momentum strategy and its differences in results (returns) when we change the formula describing momentum. There are indeed no accurate formulas for implementing the ...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

Commodity prices on Yahoo finance [duplicate]

I tried looking for some decent way to get stock data for general commodities. I went looking on Yahoo Finance and found https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/q?p=finance.yahoo.com&s=GCN14.CMX. But this ...
2
votes
1answer
143 views

Shorting 'pump and dumps' legal?

Ive seen my junk inbox overflowing recently with a few stocks being pushed extremely heavily via unsolicited emails from a variety of 'firms', my guess is that these are done by the same individual / ...
3
votes
1answer
1k views

Non-linear Dynamical Systems and Quantitave Finance

The vast majority of what I have read about quantitave finance is to do with option pricing and time series analysis for forecasting. However the economy as a whole behaves as a dynamic system with ...
0
votes
1answer
92 views

Calculate rate of return of a stock, if there is a buy transaction occurs during the middle of financial year

Currently, I'm implementing a feature of an open source project (https://github.com/yccheok/jstock/issues/7), which requires me to calculate the rate of return of a stock. Let's take the following ...
0
votes
3answers
476 views

Divergence between binomial pricing and monte carlo simulation for vanilla european call?

I notice a divergence in my own code, but it's evident even in public code: http://www.thalesians.com/finance/index.php/Knowledge_Base/Finance/Option_Pricing_in_Python_and_Simple_English Pricing a ...
-1
votes
1answer
174 views

Math basics of Equally-weighted Risk contributions

i'm writing my BA Thesis about "Equally-weighted Risk contributions". Can anyone recommend math books for further understanding of Risk contributions?
7
votes
3answers
829 views

Transaction Costs for Currency Pairs

I have been aggregating some tick data from Oanda's streaming API to try and get an idea of the relative cost and best time to trade different currency pairs. The idea was to plot the spread of the ...
3
votes
1answer
2k views

What is the intuition behind the fact that Modified duration = Macaulay Duration / (1+r)?

I understand the derivation of both:take dP/dR and divide by P which will give you both 1) modified duration OR 2) macaulay duration / (1+r) (notice the weighted average time built into the function ...
1
vote
1answer
287 views

Does a delta hedged short option guarantee profit of extrinsic value at expiration?

If a trader shorts an option and dynamically delta hedges to ensure the delta is equal to 0 if that option expires out of the money does the trader profit that options extrinsic value at the time of ...
0
votes
3answers
2k views

Trading days or Calendar days for Compound Annual Growth Rate?

When calculating CAGR for intervals shorter than a year (or intervals that are longer than, but not integer years in length), should you use the 252 trading days or the 365.25 calendar days? The ...
2
votes
2answers
143 views

Ability of hedge funds to transform illiquid assets

In this discussion of a Citi paper, on the impact of collateral management and rising financing costs for hedge funds, there is a quote from Sandy Kaul's statement: Sandy Kaul, head of business ...
4
votes
2answers
610 views

Which is the correct definition of arbitrage?

Spin-off from here. In Tomas Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ 2 inconsistent definitions of arbitrage, which is correct? The first definition is for the single period ...
1
vote
2answers
421 views

Forward rates formulae

I am now working with forward rates and have somehow been asked to use an "intuitive" formula for forward rates. $$ \frac{F(0,s,T)}{F(0,t,T)} = \frac{F(s,s,T)}{F(s,t,T)} $$ I can understand the ...
4
votes
2answers
348 views

Inconsistent Definition of Arbitrage in Bjork?

In Tomas Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time (or here), $\exists$ what seems to be 2 inconsistent definitions of arbitrage: The first definition is for the single period Binomial model The ...
0
votes
2answers
432 views

Getting the next price of a GBM with reversion

Here is the "twin" question of Getting the next price of a GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) but for GBM with reversion As in that case, I'd like to write a formula for the next price, as function of: ...
0
votes
1answer
965 views

Getting the next price of a GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion)

I am writing a program that creates realizations of a GBM. Starting from an initial price, I get the following price with this formula: ...
3
votes
1answer
898 views

Does Implied Volatility always exist?

I am considering a simple Heston Model Market with one risky and one riskless asset. The dynamics of the riskless asset is simply $dB_t=r*B_t*dt$ The dynamics of the risky asset is as follows, $ ...
0
votes
1answer
761 views

How to calculate the pre-tax cost of debt for a mix of bonds allotted to a company?

I need to calculate the effective interest rate a company X is paying on the total debt it has been loaned (to arrive at the Cost of Debt) for the FY 2011-12. Its long term borrowings are a mix of ...
4
votes
1answer
4k views

Free stock split history data source?

Does anyone know of a reliable (free) source of historical stock split information? There's a YQL api for pulling down 'key stats' on a symbol but it only contains the LastSplitDate. Adjusted close ...
3
votes
3answers
5k views

What is the Most Efficient Way to Calculate the Internal Rate of Return IRR?

I have built a program that prices financial assets and it does this in part by calculating the IRR. The problem is that it does not run as quickly as I would like it to. I currently use the Newton-...
2
votes
2answers
2k views

IP API Active X for Excel refresh rate

I have been working on the EXCEL DDE sample worksheet and works fine and now I would to upgrade to ActiveX instead of DDE as I heard it is more robust but I found the refresh rate of ActiveX is even ...
4
votes
2answers
10k views

How can I calculate the strike price or implied volatility from a given delta?

I have calculated the implied volatility for all strikes of a certain product (options on futures) and approximated the ATM volatility. My question is how can I figure out the implied volatility for a ...
1
vote
1answer
177 views

Mysterious disappearance of options from historical datasets

I am in the process of analyzing historical options data, and I keep finding options that mysteriously disappear before they are due to expire. For example: For the QQQ $69 Put, http://www.eoddata....
1
vote
2answers
491 views

Counterparty risk tutorials

I want to learn about the latest methods used to measure credit risk, which I believe is same as counterparty risk. Can you please direct me some links for this. I have come across a few of them but ...
1
vote
2answers
642 views

How To Account For Inflation Over Historical Data

I believe inflation is greatly affecting my sample data, even when using percent-changes for movements. I have read this post, which recommends the formula ((Current-Base Year CPI) * Price) / (...
5
votes
1answer
783 views

Kelly Capital Growth Investment Strategy (Example in R)

In the paper Response to Paul A Samuelson letters and papers onthe Kelly Capital Growth Investment Strategy pages 5 and 6 Dr William T Ziemba, gives a praticle example on Kelly Growth. I’m trying to ...
2
votes
1answer
515 views

How Much Capital is Needed to Start an Arbitrage Strategy?

I'm trying to experiment with a simulated simple arbitrage strategy. I'm not doing this to actually invest, I'm just curious if the market is inefficient enough for this to be feasible. Every ...

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