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Lucas Morin
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Machine learning for non optimal behaviour

I was working on the pricing of complex bermudean swaption when I noticed that the exercise is often (very) subobptimal. It seems that the clients are more sensitive to past growth or drop in rates than to their value at the moment.

I am looking for a way to modelise the suboptimal behaviour and I tought about Machine learning. But I can't find any reference on suboptimal options exercice.

Do you have any broader exemple of Machine learning applied to the replication of human non optimal behaviour ?

Lucas Morin
  • 917
  • 7
  • 27