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The possibility that a negative event (such as a loss) will happen.
9
votes
4
answers
2k
views
Why should there be an equity risk premium?
Yes, investors want to earn more than risk free but do they always get it? Or does the risk premium just fill the gap - sometimes positive sometimes negative? … Sometimes stocks are just falling and there is risk and no premium. What do you think? …
7
votes
3
answers
250
views
Where to find good notations to teach investment portfolio maths?
I don't know whether this question is in order here. I do a bit of teaching and I am preparing my own notes but I thought that his should not be necessary.
In which book/pdf on the web can we find a …
6
votes
Accepted
Calculate VaR for a liabilty taking a exponential distribution?
The VaR of level $\alpha$ a loss random variable (the bigger the worse) is the quantity $q$ such that the loss is bigger with probability $1-\alpha$.
Thus we need a $q$ such that
$$
P[L>q] = 1-\alp …
5
votes
Accepted
how can we know the residual return will be uncorrelated with the market return
Let us ignore the riskless rate for simplicity of the presentation.
If you have (historical or simulated) return series $r_i$ for the portfolio and $r_i^M$ for the market, then the beta is the OLS reg …
5
votes
questions on VAR manipulation
First, I am quite sure that this is a typo and it should be
$$
0 < VaR_1 < VaR_0
$$
then
$$
-VaR_0 < -VaR_1
$$
and the plot is correct.
Second, the put strategy does not change only the expected pro …
3
votes
PD and LGD for ECL calculations needs to be time dependent?
I assume that you calculate ECL in the context of IFRS9 -correct?
market practice often follows the following approach:
estimate a TTC PD/LGD (TTC = through the cycle). This corresponds to your lifet …
3
votes
Sharpe Ratio and time spent in loss
Looking at sharpe-ratio in an ex-post way you only divide average return (above risk free) by volatility.
Volatlity can have many patterns. A draw-down is something path dependent. …
3
votes
Why is variance problematic as a risk measure?
The next question is what the aim of your risk measures is. … portfolio B or my portfolio is riskier or less risky if I add/remove a tiny position in stock S then I would say:
Variance is (of course) as fine as standard deviation (volatility);
a Gaussian Value-at-Risk …
3
votes
1
answer
347
views
Risk and Reward in practice
As a risk manager I often have to tell portfolio managers to reduce risk (e.g. due to VaR limits or exposure limits). … What do you tell risk takers in order to tame their risk appetite? Where do you reference to in order to underpin your opinion? …
2
votes
How to determine portion of portfolio's risks from components?
You can do 2 things:
incremental risk:
Calculate the volatility with the asset and with the asset replaced by cash. … The difference gives you the (non-linear) incremental risk contribution of the asset. …
2
votes
Accepted
How to Calculate Minimun total Risk?
I assume that risk it measured here in volatility. … Thus we should invest all our wealth in stock A and the minimal risk is 25%.
If the volatolity of B were smaller it could reduce risk to invest in B. …
2
votes
Asynchronous Data Across Time Zones - RiskMetrics
as vanguard2k points out the prolem is dealt with e.g. in Scaling portfolio volatility and calculating risk contributions in the presence of serial cross-correlations and references therein. … But in my mind using daily data (and handling the effects described above) is superior in ex-ante risk analysis and portfolio optimization (more reactive, more data points). …
2
votes
Convex risk measure and a coherent risk measure?
We define a convex risk measure as
$$
\rho( \lambda X_1 + (1-\lambda) X_2) \le \lambda \rho( X_1 ) + (1-\lambda) \rho(X_2),
$$
for $\lambda \in(0,1) $. … Thus a coherent risk measure is convex. The reverse is not true in general. …
1
vote
Hedging using relative values
There are two things:
First: You have one stock of $B$ (worth \$30) and the calculation tells you to short 1.14 stocks of $A$. Of course you can only short whole stocks. So you would have to decide w …
1
vote
Accepted
Get distribution for aggregate loss using Monte Carlo
You can do the following:
For each $i$ in $1$ to number of Mont-Carlo runs $K$
simulate the number of losses $N_i$
simulate $N_i$ many loss-sizes $X_{i,1},\ldots,X_{i,N_i}$
calculate $L_i = \sum_{j= …