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The identification, assessment, and prioritization of risks, followed by coordinated and economical application of resources to minimize, monitor, and control the probability and/or impact of unfortunate events or to maximize the realization of opportunities.

2 votes
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Does VaR calculations consider my portfolio past

In (value at) risk calculations, we are commonly interested in the risk of changes of the value of our portfolio that are induced by external factors, i.e. thru changes in market prices. To that end, …
Kermittfrog's user avatar
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1 vote

pooling equilibrium

I'd argue as follows. Let there be two borrower groups, $l$ow risks and $h$igh risks. The population fractions are $w_l$ for the low risks and $1-w_l$ for the high risks. Their default probabilities a …
Kermittfrog's user avatar
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3 votes

Filtered Historical Simulation VaR for swaps

Adding to Dimitris' answer (this is a too long for a comment) Proceed as follows: Identify risk factors $r^{(i)}$, $i=1\ldots n$. Say the absolute returns of the pillars 1Y,2Y,...30Y of the discount …
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2 votes
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Testing severity of VaR by changing portfolio component weights

In R, the simplest way to brute force through a predefined number of portfolio combinations would be to simply iterate over them: set.seed(42) returns <- matrix(rnorm(200),40,5) weights <- list(c(1,0, …
Kermittfrog's user avatar
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2 votes
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Dependence between Credit Default Risk and Credit Spread Risk

Commonly, the definition of credit risk is the risk that, over a given time horizon, at a certain confidence level, names in our credit portfolio deteriorate or even default, leading to a (present val …
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4 votes
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Correlation for Trading vs. Risk Management

Good question! I think there's some semantics to be thought about first: The word Hedging commonly implies that you want to hedge the changes in the present value of your total position ($\Pi=PV(A) +w …
Kermittfrog's user avatar
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2 votes

how do we use portfolio optimization to hedge an existing portfolio?

Let us fix the asset universe with $N$ assets whose returns are multivariate normally distributed with covariance matrix $\Sigma$. You are already invested in $K<N$ assets (your portfolio) and you wis …
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1 vote

Minimum Variance Hedge Ratio and Risk Capital Relation

Without a risk free investment, the efficient frontier is described by a hyperbola, as you have already suggested. Efficient Frontier: Tour de force Given asset covariance matrix $\Sigma$ and the f …
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1 vote

Value at Risk (VaR): Normal distribution with gamma distributed volatility

You might want to have a look at the conjugate priors to the normal distribution (with known mean) Your setup will result in a $t$-distributed return with updated dispersion parameter.
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