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The possibility that a negative event (such as a loss) will happen.

3 votes
1 answer
57 views

What is the date of reserve (operational risk)

One of the BCBS papers on operational risk says the following: Consistent with other operational risk losses, a bank should use a date no later than the date of reserve for including legal related …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
188 views

Using a hybrid approach to calculate operational risk capital

I've read that a hybrid approach combing scenario analysis and loss distribution analysis can be used to calculate operational risk capital under the advanced models approach. …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
0 votes
Accepted

What is the date of reserve (operational risk)

I think I've found the answer in another Basel paper. This second paper is talking about the treatment of pending losses (losses where the financial impact is not certain at this point e.g. litigation …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
273 views

How are we underestimating liquidity risk?

Malz explains that marking to model can underestimate liquidity risk. From his example, I don't see it. I can see us underestimating market risk because we are using an incorrect price. … These divergences are liquidity risk events that are hard to capture with market data, so VaR based on the replicating portfolio alone can drastically understate risk. …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
940 views

Meaning of conservative in risk management?

I believe this question is best asked here, as it pertains to risk, rather than English SE. What is the meaning of conservative in the context of risk management? …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
63 views

What risks is an exchange exposed to?

Putting aside operational/reputational/business risks for a minute, a financial institution is concerned with the risk of losing money on their positions. What about an exchange ? …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
2 votes

Difference between Risk avoidance and Risk transfer

TL;DR Risk avoidance is not taking on the risk in the first place by not investing in the product that has the said risks.Risk transfer is akin to buying insurance. … This is retaining the risk For the risks the firm chose not to be exposed to, they have avoided them (risk avoidance) by not being exposed to them in the first place. …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
149 views

Can Economic Capital cover Regulatory Capital?

If economic capital is set by the institution to cover unexpected loss (given a confidence level) and regulatory capital is set by the regulator, can one "absorb" the other? For example, if I determi …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
177 views

How does RAROC identify capital requirements?

Is it just a matter of solving for the required economic capital level to obtain a desired risk adjusted return on capital with a given risk adjusted return or is there more to it? … $RAROC = \frac{Risk\ adjusted \ return}{Economic\ Capital}$ …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
846 views

What is the difference between gross and net enterprise wide risk?

(Also, I'm not sure if the terms are gross enterprise wide risk and net enterprise wide risk or gross risk and net enterprise wide risk) The paper is Range of practices and issues in economic capital … define and communicate measures of the bank’s risk appetite on a net basis. …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

What are the pros and cons of historial and Gaussian approaches to VaR?

to calculate (more work than historical, but less compared to monte carlo) Cons: Assumes returns are normally distributed, which is often incorrect Assumes delta sensitivity accounts for all the risk
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
2k views

Calculating expected shortfall

I'm trying to calculate the expected shortfall for the below scenario. I don't understand why the 1.04% probability of 0 bonds defaulting is used as a weight when calculating ES, since the binomial pr …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
3k views

Risk neutral drift vs real world

I was of the understanding that risk neutral drift was always the risk free rate. … If risk neutral drifts can be different than the risk free rate and risk neutral drift can be estimated from futures, how then do we observe real world drifts? …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
1k views

Calculating probability of default with no recovery

Assuming 0 recovery and a risk free rate of 5%. 1 year conditional (on no prior defaults) probability of default: Method 1 Obtain the probability of default from a hazard rate (instantaneous conditional … = 5\%$ $\lambda = \frac{spread}{1-Recovery} = 20\%$ $\pi_{1 year} = 1 - e^{-\lambda} = 18.13%$ Method 2 Equate the future value of a risky bond with yield (y) and default probability ($\pi$) to a risk
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
23k views

Cumulative vs marginal probability of default

I understood the cumulative (aka unconditional) probability of default to be the probability of defaulting in a given period eg: between years 1 and 5. Further $\pi_{cumulative} = 1-e^{-\lambda*t}$ wh …
AfterWorkGuinness's user avatar

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