2
$\begingroup$

Say I am estimating the following Capital Asset Pricing Model:

$$R_t = R^f_t - \beta(R^m_t - R^f_t)$$

where $R^f_t$ is the risk-free return, and $R^m_t$ is the return for some market index, say the S&P 500.

A common proxy for $R^f_t$ (for instance, see Fama and French (2004)) is the daily one-month yield on a Treasury bill. This data is easily available here.

Now, since those yields $Y$ are for holding it for 1 month, would I be correct in assuming that the proxy for the daily risk-free rate would be:

$$\widehat{R^f_t} = \sqrt[30]{Y_t}$$

Is this correct? If so, what assumptions am I implicitly making by generating the proxy for $R^f_t$ in such a manner (i.e. what am I assuming about investors?)?

$\endgroup$

1 Answer 1

1
$\begingroup$

Interest rates are usually reported in percent per year, so you should rather do

$$(1 + Y_t/100)^{1/365} - 1,$$

but there are a million of complications, most of which can be safely neglected. Think about what CAPM is doing: an investor at time $t-1$ is choosing between the risk-free asset and a stock to reap the payoff at time $t$. Hence, since the risk-free return at time $t$ is actually determined at time $t-1$, the risk-free rate in the formula should ideally be that of time $t-1$. Then, it should ideally be the actually investable 1-period rate, and if you are opting for the Treasuries, you are implicitly counting on selling it the next day, and so it's magically not risk-free anymore. A better rate for that purpose is the interbank overnight rate. Finally, day count conventions are a mess. But like I said, for all the practical purposes it is safe to convert the 1-month T-Bill rate to the daily return. Everyone does that anyway.

Also, see this question (link).

$\endgroup$
2
  • $\begingroup$ Thank you! I'm presuming that for the treasury website source I posted, the data reported are also the one year returns (therefore 365th root, not 30th root)? $\endgroup$
    – user080517
    Commented May 8, 2018 at 13:45
  • $\begingroup$ @user080517 exactly. Fixed income rates are almost always reported per annum (and so they must be). $\endgroup$ Commented May 8, 2018 at 21:18

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge you have read our privacy policy.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.