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A mean reverting process is a process that, over time, tends to drift toward its long-term mean.

3 votes
2 answers
1k views

Statistical significance of a pair trading strategy

How can I test the significance of a pair trading strategy, i.e. that the H0 is "The strategy has no predicting power". I was considering to use the technique in Evidence Based Technical Analysis tha …
Victor's user avatar
  • 1,210
14 votes
2 answers
8k views

How to build a mean reverting basket?

I have been playing with mean reverting pairs, but seems that most of the low hanging fruit (ie pairs) have been squeezed already. I would like to start with mean reverting baskets (>2 securities) in …
Victor's user avatar
  • 1,210
2 votes
1 answer
858 views

Two prices pass the cointegration test but there is a trend. How to check stationarity?

Below is a spread built with two ETFs that pass the cointegration test i.e. Adjusted Dickey Fuller, adfTest(type="nc") in R's fUnitRoots with a p-value < 0.01. The red line is the trendline. What te …
Victor's user avatar
  • 1,210