Is the price of an American put on an underlying without dividend convex with respect to the strike?
3 Answers
It is indeed. The price of an American option is the Bermuda option in the limit that the exercising interval approaches zero. The Bermuda option at any exercising time can be evaluated inductively via the dynamic programming principle as the maximum of the payoff and the risk-neutral expected value of the Bermuda option price at the next exercise time. The latter is inductively assumed to be whilst the former is convex in the random variable of concern. The maximum of convex functions is again convex. The dominant convergence theorem guarantees the pointwise limit of a sequence of convex functions is again convex. Therefore the American option is convex in strike. As a matter of fact the same deduction applies to an option where the principle of dynamic programming is applicable and the payoff function is convex with respect to the value of an arbitrary random variable .
My other answer is more straightforward without resorting to the convergence of the Bermuda options, but only applicable to a deterministic parameter; whilst the following Bermuda option approach can also be used to prove the convexity of the American option with respect to a random variable, such as $S_t$.
We will show the convergence of the Bermuda option price to its associated American option price.
Let $A$ be the price at time $0$ of an American option with a continuous payoff function $g(S)$ on the underlying $S$ expiring at time $1$, i.e. $$A=\sup_{\tau\in\mathbb F[0,1]}\mathbf E g(S_\tau),$$ where $\mathbb FS$ stands for the set of all stopping times taking value in set S. Let $(T_n)_{n=1}^\infty$ be a sequence of sets where $T_n:=\{0,t_1,t_2,\cdots,t_{n-1},t_n=1\}$ with $0<t_1<t_2<\cdots<t_{n-1}<1$ and $\max_{0\le i\le n-1}(t_{i+1}-t_i)\to 0$ as $n\to\infty$. The associated Bermuda option price at time $0$ is $$B_n=\sup_{\tau\in\mathbb FT_n}\mathbf Eg(S_\tau).$$
Lemma: $$\lim_{n\to\infty} B_n=A.$$
Proof: Fix an arbitrary stopping time $\tau\in\mathbb F[0,1]$ and $\epsilon>0$.
Define simple function $$\tau_{T_n}:=\sum_{i=0}^{n-1} t_i\mathbf 1_{[t_i,t_{i+1})}.$$ $\tau_{T_n}\to \tau$ almost surely as $n\to\infty$. Since $S_t$ is almost surely continuous with respect to $t$ and $g$ is continuous, by the dominated convergence theorem, $$\mathbf E|g(S_{\tau_{T_n}})-g(S_{\tau})|\to0$$ as $n\to\infty$. $\exists N(\tau,\epsilon)\ni$ $$\mathbf Eg(S_{\tau_{T_n}})>\mathbf Eg(S_\tau)-\epsilon \tag1$$ $\forall n>N(\tau,\epsilon)$. For such $n$ $$B_n=\sup_{\tau\in\mathbb FT_n}\mathbf Eg(S_\tau)\ge \mathbf Eg(S_{\tau_{T_n}}) \tag2.$$ There are infinitely many $k>N(\tau,\epsilon)$, that $$\liminf_{n\to\infty} B_n\ge B_k \tag3$$ Combining $(1), (2)$ and $(3)$, we have $$\liminf_{n\to\infty} B_n>\mathbf Eg(S_{\tau})-\epsilon.$$
As $\tau$ and $\epsilon$ are arbitrary $$\liminf_{n\to\infty} B_n\ge \sup_{\tau\in\mathbb F[0,1]}\mathbf E g(S_{\tau}). \tag4$$
On the other hand, it is obvious that $$\sup_{\tau\in\mathbb F[0,1]}\mathbf E g(S_{\tau})\ge\sup_{\tau\in\mathbb FT_n}\mathbf Eg(S_\tau)=:B_n.$$ That leads to $$A=\sup_{\tau\in\mathbb F[0,1]}\mathbf E g(S_{\tau})\ge\liminf_{n\to\infty} B_n. \tag5$$
Finally, combining $(4)$ and $(5)$, we obtain the desired result. $\quad\quad\square$
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$\begingroup$ Is there any reference to support your second sentence 'The price of an American option is the Bermuda option in the limit that the exercising interval approaches zero'? $\endgroup$– IdonknowCommented Jun 6, 2020 at 1:35
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1$\begingroup$ @Idonknow: I have added the proof to that proposition. $\endgroup$– HansCommented Jun 8, 2020 at 3:17
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$\begingroup$ @Idonknow: I have put up a much more straightforward proof in a new answer. Check it out. $\endgroup$– HansCommented Jun 9, 2020 at 16:11
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$\begingroup$ yeah I saw it. Nice and elegant! $\endgroup$– IdonknowCommented Jun 9, 2020 at 16:21
Here is a much more straightforward proof of the convexity of the American option with respect to a parameter, if it is independent of time and deterministic, than my previous one, though I am happy to have made the connection amongst the dynamic programming principle, the discrete-time process and the continuous-time process there. As is pointed out in the previous answer, the limiting process of the Bermuda options argument applies to a wider range of parameters including a random variable such as $S_t$ whilst this method does not.
Let $g(t,\omega,x)$ be the discounted payoff function dependent on sample $\omega$ at time $t$ that is convex in parameter (e.g. strike) $x$ that is independent of $(t,\omega)$, and $\mathcal T$ the set of all stopping time. The price of an American option $A(x) := \sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T}\mathbf Eg(\tau,\omega,x)$. For the sake of notational brevity, we shall drop $\omega$ from the following derivation.
$\forall\tau\in\mathcal T,\,\lambda\in[0,1]$, by convexity $$g(\tau,\lambda x+(1-\lambda)y)\le \lambda g(\tau,x)+(1-\lambda)g(\tau,y).$$ Then \begin{align} \mathbf Eg(\tau,\lambda x+(1-\lambda)y) &\le \lambda\mathbf E g(\tau,x)+(1-\lambda)\mathbf Eg(\tau,y) \\ &\le \lambda\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T}\mathbf E g(\tau,x)+(1-\lambda)\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T}\mathbf Eg(\tau,y) \\ &=\lambda A(x)+(1-\lambda) A(y). \end{align} Thus $$A(\lambda x+(1-\lambda)y)=\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal T}\mathbf Eg(\tau,S_\tau,\lambda x+(1-\lambda)y)\le \lambda A(x)+(1-\lambda)A(y),$$ or that $A(x)$ is convex in $x$.
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3$\begingroup$ This is indeed more straightforward. $\endgroup$– GordonCommented Jun 8, 2020 at 23:04
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$\begingroup$ Did you miss an expectation in defining the American Option price? $\endgroup$– ArshdeepCommented Jul 3, 2020 at 17:50
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$\begingroup$ @ArshdeepSinghDuggal: Yes, indeed. Thanks for catching the typo. Corrected. Please check it out. $\endgroup$– HansCommented Jul 3, 2020 at 19:35
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$\begingroup$ @Gordon: This more straightforward method applies to a deterministic parameter. I want to bring your attention to my other more complicated answer which applies to a random parameter, such as the stock price $S$ while this straightforward method does not carry over. $\endgroup$– HansCommented Jul 16, 2020 at 18:27
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$\begingroup$ What deterministic parameters are you referring to? $\endgroup$– GordonCommented Jul 16, 2020 at 18:38
Let $\mathscr{T}$ be the set of stopping times with values in $[0, T]$. Note that, for any $\tau \in \mathscr{T}$, $\lambda_1\ge 0$, $\lambda_2 \ge 0$, and $\lambda_1+\lambda_2 =1$, \begin{align*} &\ \max(\lambda_1 K_1+\lambda_2 K_2 -S_{\tau}, 0) \\ =&\ \max\big(\lambda_1 (K_1-S_{\tau})+\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), 0\big)\\ =&\ \lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)\\ +&\max\big(\lambda_1 (K_1-S_{\tau})-\lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)+\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), -\lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)\big)\\ =&\ \lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)\\ +&\max\big(\lambda_1 (K_1-S_{\tau})-\lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)+\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), -\lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)\big)\pmb{1}_{K_1 < S_{\tau}}\\ +&\max\big(\lambda_1 (K_1-S_{\tau})-\lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)+\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), -\lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)\big)\pmb{1}_{K_1 \ge S_{\tau}}\\ =&\ \lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)\\ +&\max\big(\lambda_1 (K_1-S_{\tau})+\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), 0\big)\pmb{1}_{K_1 < S_{\tau}}\\ +&\max\big(\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), -\lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0)\big)\pmb{1}_{K_1 \ge S_{\tau}}\\ \le&\ \lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0) + \max\big(\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), 0\big)\pmb{1}_{K_1 < S_{\tau}} +\max\big(\lambda_2 (K_2 -S_{\tau}), 0\big)\pmb{1}_{K_1 \ge S_{\tau}}\\ =&\ \lambda_1\max(K_1-S_{\tau}, 0) + \lambda_2\max(K_2-S_{\tau}, 0). \end{align*} Let $B_t$ be the money-market account value at time $t$. Then, from Appendix 1 of Methods of Mathematical Finance, there exists a stopping time $\tau*\in \mathscr{T}$ such that \begin{align*} E\left(\frac{\max(\lambda_1 K_1+\lambda_2 K_2 -S_{\tau*}, 0)}{B_{\tau*}} \right) = \sup_{\tau\in \mathscr{T}} E\left(\frac{\max(\lambda_1 K_1+\lambda_2 K_2 -S_{\tau}, 0)}{B_{\tau}} \right). \end{align*} Therefore, \begin{align*} &\ \sup_{\tau\in \mathscr{T}} E\left(\frac{\max(\lambda_1 K_1+\lambda_2 K_2 -S_{\tau}, 0)}{B_{\tau}} \right) \\ =&\ E\left(\frac{\max(\lambda_1 K_1+\lambda_2 K_2 -S_{\tau*}, 0)}{B_{\tau*}} \right)\\ \le&\ \lambda_1 E\left(\frac{\max(K_1 -S_{\tau*}, 0)}{B_{\tau*}} \right) + \lambda_2 E\left(\frac{\max(K_2 -S_{\tau*}, 0)}{B_{\tau*}} \right)\\ \le&\ \lambda_1 \sup_{\tau\in \mathscr{T}} E\left(\frac{\max(K_1 -S_{\tau}, 0)}{B_{\tau}} \right) + \lambda_2 \sup_{\tau\in \mathscr{T}} E\left(\frac{\max(K_2 -S_{\tau}, 0)}{B_{\tau}} \right). \end{align*} That is, the American put is convex with respect to the strike.
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$\begingroup$ Great stuff. Do you think this will extend to a rates Bermudan, where the underlying is different at every exercise date? $\endgroup$– ArshdeepCommented Jun 19, 2020 at 10:13
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$\begingroup$ Likely. what are the specific underlings, CMS? $\endgroup$– GordonCommented Jun 19, 2020 at 12:08
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$\begingroup$ Yes, usual co-terminal swap rates. $\endgroup$– ArshdeepCommented Jun 19, 2020 at 13:37
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1$\begingroup$ @Gordon For the long algebra sequence, after the first equality, isn't it sufficient to just state that $\max(\cdot,0)$ function is convex? $\endgroup$– ir7Commented Jul 3, 2020 at 20:29
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1$\begingroup$ I never thought that formally checking through direct algebra that $ (\alpha a +\beta b)^+ \leq \alpha a^+ + \beta b^+$ would take a clearly non-negligible effort. But it turns out you are right. We need to pull out $\alpha a^+$ and to split the remainder along $1_{a<0}$ and $1_{a\geq 0}$. $\endgroup$– ir7Commented Jul 4, 2020 at 5:19