I am trying to replicate the results in Consistent Pricing of FX Options, A. Castagna and F. Mercurio. However, when I calculate the strike prices for 25-delta put and call and ATM I cannot get the same result as in the article.
The parameters given in the article (p.5):
- T = 94/365
- S = 1.205
- s(ATM) = 0.0905
- s(RR) = -0.0050
- s(BF) = 0.0013
These result in s(25dPut) = 0.0943 and s(25dCall) = 0.0893 (equations 4 and 5 on pages 2 and 3).
- K(25dPut) = 1.1733
- K(25dCall) = 1.2487
The values I get (equations 6 and 7 on p. 3) are:
- K(25dPut) = 1.16688287...
- K(25dCall) = 1.2421907...
Here is my Python code:
S = 1.205
tau = 94.0 / 365.0
iv_v = 0.0905
rr_v = -0.005
bf_v = 0.0013
for_df = 0.9902752
dom_df = 0.9945049
vol_call = iv_v + bf_v + 0.5 * rr_v
vol_put = iv_v + bf_v - 0.5 * rr_v
alpha = - scipy.stats.norm.ppf( 0.25 * np.exp( (for_df**(-1) - 1) * tau) )
k1 = S * np.exp( - alpha * vol_put * np.sqrt(tau) + ((dom_df**(-1) - 1) - (for_df**(-1) - 1) + 0.5 * vol_put**(2) ) * tau )
k2 = S * np.exp( alpha * vol_call * np.sqrt(tau) + ((dom_df**(-1) - 1) - (for_df**(-1) - 1) + 0.5 * vol_call**(2) ) * tau )
This code gives wrong results, but I cannot figure out where the error is.