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The Credit Value Adjustment, or CVA for short, is the difference between the risk free value and the value including counterparty risk of a contract or portfolio.

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How to calculate the CVA of a forward contract?

Actually the problem is that the probability of default the second year is conditioned by the default the first year. So you have to multiply 4%*101.21*99%, because 1% of the times it has already defa …
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