3
$\begingroup$

The more I think about the fundamental difference between growth and value stocks the more confused I am. Both strategies seem to exploit market mispricing: growth investors target underestimated future growth, while value investors focus on undervalued current fundamentals, yet in the end it both boils down to supposed misjudgments of future return rates by the market.

Beyond metrics like P/E ratios and earnings growth, what are the core principles that fundamentally differentiate growth and value investing? Are there specific strategies, risk profiles, or psychological aspects that set them apart? Or is this just some arbitrary differentiation that doesn't make real sense on the fundamental level:

Any insights, references, or pointers would be greatly appreciated. Thank you!

$\endgroup$
2
  • $\begingroup$ "growth investors target underestimated future growth" I think this is where your misunderstanding lies - they look for above average future growth, not underestimated future growth. Value investors might look for underestimated growth as part of their analysis if it means that the stock is undervalued. $\endgroup$
    – D Stanley
    Commented Jul 2 at 13:20
  • 4
    $\begingroup$ Voting to reopen as it can be answered with better definitions of "growth" and "value" investing, though it may be more suitable for money.se than quant.se. $\endgroup$
    – D Stanley
    Commented Jul 2 at 13:21

1 Answer 1

3
$\begingroup$

An interesting question and the answer likely varies between what people label "growth" and "value". I fear some (a lot) of that is pure marketing.

In academic finance, we typically think of valuation ratios as distinguishing criterion between value and growth stocks. Value stocks have a high book/price ratio, growth stocks have a low book/price ratio. While academics like book-to-market as a characteristic (in large parts due to Fama and French), other variables work fine too: earnings/price, sales/price, dividends/price, ...

Ultimately, value stocks are cheap stocks. Their fundamentals are high relative to their traded price - typically because they are poor performing, distressed stocks. Growth stocks are expensive stocks of higher quality. Funnily enough, Fama himself said he doesn't like the terms "value" and "growth". His former PhD student, AQR's Cliff Asness, echoes that and prefers the terms "cheap" and "expensive".

Historically, cheap stocks outperformed expensive stocks ("value premium") which aligns with the value investing of Benjamin Graham. Kind of makes sense. High prices mean low expected returns. There are plenty of sophisticated explanations for why value stocks have historically outperformed growth stocks, both behavioural and risk-based, and more recent theories why this premium may change over time.

However, if you look at the best performing stocks (the Microsofts in this world), they are all expensive stocks. So the picture is like this: on average, value stocks outperform growth stocks, but the absolute winners are hiding somewhere amongst the generally poor performing expensive stocks. Some trading firms would like to identify these superstar firms and pursue a growth strategy as a result.

More recently, some factor models include an expected growth factor which refers to firms which are likely to invest in the future. While high past investment predicts lower average returns, high expected investment actually predicts higher average returns. However, measuring expected investment is tricky, of course.

$\endgroup$
4
  • $\begingroup$ Thank you for your answer. To be honest with you, I am even more confused now. So you buy "expensive" stocks expecting them to rise? Wouldn't that make them relatively "cheap" again?!? $\endgroup$
    – vonjd
    Commented Jul 3 at 7:20
  • $\begingroup$ @vonjd Sorry for the confusion but you're right. It can make sense to buy expensive stocks if they turn out to massively go up in value. NVIDIA and Google were expensive (relative to its fundamentals) five years ago, but investing in them has paid off anyway. On average, cheap value stocks outperform expensive growth stocks. Hence the famous value premium. But that does not mean that every growth stock is a sucker. Indeed, amongst the generally poor performing expensive growth stocks there are some great stocks. Identifying them is difficult but pays off. Growth investors try to do this. $\endgroup$
    – Kevin
    Commented Jul 3 at 20:59
  • $\begingroup$ I accepted your answer. I, of course, understand the metrics but I think the whole concept is flawed. Value has now underperformed growth for several years which means that in this timespan "expensive" was cheaper than "cheap". Obviously, the market (which is still the master of us all) "thought" that those stocks were mispriced. In the end, it all boils down to finding stocks that are mispriced relative to the only metric that really counts: future returns. Thoughts? $\endgroup$
    – vonjd
    Commented Jul 4 at 7:51
  • $\begingroup$ @vonjd Thanks! I wouldn't quite agree with everything you said. In particular, I disagree with the word "mispricing". There are just as many rational/risk-based explanations why value stocks might outperform growth stocks than there are mispricing/behavioural stories. So you could just earn a high return because you take on more risk, which is totally fine $\endgroup$
    – Kevin
    Commented Jul 5 at 9:33

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge you have read our privacy policy.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.