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A measure of the variation in price over time. Also a measure of the risk of a financial instrument.

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Expected value of Black-Scholes

Two parts Real world vs risk neutral: Can we even estimate risk neutral volatility using historical data? … Luckily, changing to the risk neutral measure does not affect volatility, only the drift. Thus, a real world measure of volatility will properly estimate the risk neutral volatility. …
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1 vote

How to estimate the following model?

I would suggest writing the joint density as the product of the conditional densities then estimate parameters using an optimization package. The joint density is given by $$f(r_0, \ldots, r_T) = …
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