According to the following thread:
How can I calculate the strike price or implied volatility from a given delta?
To back out some strike given some Delta, you simply use realized vol (plus a few other inputs) and within a few steps, you can convert any Delta to a specific strike corresponding to some value of spot @ some point in history. However, the responses seem to assume a flat skew, which is not consistent with what we see IRL.
According to the following thread:
What vol to use when implying strike from delta?
User "Hui" advises that you need the IMPLIED vol corresponding to the strike you are trying to solve for. For me this is more intuitive since BSM values observed on the open market are driven by supply/demand for vols, not statistical estimations of it. However, while BSM option prices IRL are a function implied vols, I'm not sure if the derivation of Delta is one that uses implied vol or statvol in the procedure.
https://quantpie.co.uk/bsm_formula/bs_delta.php
Can someone clarify? My question is regarding SPX options not FX btw, if that makes a difference.